scholarly journals Liver Metastases in Newly Diagnosed Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Population Based Analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guoyi Wu ◽  
Xiaoben Pan ◽  
Baohua Wang ◽  
Xiaolei Zhu ◽  
Jing Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Estimates of the incidence and prognosis of developing liver metastases at the pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) diagnosis are lacking.Methods In this study, we analyzed the association of liver metastases and the PDAC patients outcome. The risk factors associated with liver metastases in PDAC patients were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank test. Cox regression was performed to identify factors associated with OS.Results Patients with primary PDAC in the tail of the pancreas had a higher incidence of liver metastases (62.2%) than those with PDAC in the head (28.6%). Female gender, younger age, primary PDAC in the body or tail of the pancreas, and larger primary PDAC tumor size were positively associated with the occurrence of liver metastases. The median survival of patients with liver metastases was significantly shorter than that of patients without liver metastases. Older age, unmarried status, primary PDAC in the tail of the pancreas, and tumor size ≥4 cm were risk factors for OS in the liver metastases cohort.Conclusions Population-based estimates of the incidence and prognosis of PDAC with liver metastases may help decide whether diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging should be performed in patients with primary PDAC in the tail or body of the pancreas. The location of primary PDAC should be considered during the diagnosis and treatment of primary PDAC.

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
pp. 3877 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazem M. Zakaria ◽  
Anwar Mohamed ◽  
Ayman Alsebaey ◽  
Hazem Omar ◽  
Dina ELazab ◽  
...  

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) had a poor prognosis and surgical resection remains the only potentially curative treatment. The aim of the study was to identify the outcome and risk factors affecting survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for PDAC.Methods: The patients who underwent PD for PDAC from 2007 to 2015 were retrospectively studied. Cox regression test for multivariate analysis was used for evaluation of prognostic factors for survival.Results: Ninety-four patients underwent PD for PDAC, 20 patients (21.3%) had major postoperative complications. The perioperative mortality was 4.3%. The 1-, 3-, and 5-years survival rates were 74.5%, 38.7%, 23.4, respectively. In univariate analysis the risk factors for survival were; presence of co-morbidity (P=0.03), high preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 > 400U/ml (P=0.02), advanced tumor stage (P=0.03), large tumor diameter >3cm (P=0.01), poorly differentiated tumor (P= 0.02), involved resection margin (P=0.04), and positive lymph nodes in pathology after surgery (P=0.03). In multivariate analysis the independent risk factors for survival were; high preoperative CA 19-9 (P=0.042), tumor size >3cm (P=0.038), poorly differentiated tumor in histopathology (P=0.045).Conclusions: High tumor marker CA19-9, tumor size, and grade are significant risk factors for poor survival after resection of PDAC and should be taken into account in the selection of patients for surgery to improve the outcome.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jincheng Feng ◽  
Georgios Polychronidis ◽  
Ulrike Heger ◽  
Arianeb Mehrabi ◽  
Katrin Hoffmann

Abstract Background: There is little population-based data on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with brain metastases at initial diagnosis published. This study aimed to estimate incidence of brain metastases in initial metastatic HCC and its impact on prognosis. Methods: Newly diagnosed HCC cases from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were screened for the presence of brain metastases. Data were stratified by age and ethnicity. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression were used to identify factors associated with brain metastases and factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), respectively. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used for survival analysis. Results : 141 cases presenting with brain metastases were identified, accounting for 0.35% of all HCC cases and 2.37% of cases with metastatic HCC disease. The incidence rate was highest among cases with age 50-59 (2.74%), respectively. Ethnicity was not associated with the presence of brain metastases at the time of HCC diagnosis. However, African American patients presented significantly lower disease-specific survival (median time: 1month; interquartile range (IQR):0-3.0 months). Initial lung or bone metastasis was independently associated with an increased risk of the presence of brain metastases (odds ratio (OR) 12.62, 95%CI 8.40-18.97), but not associated with worse OS and CSS among brain metastases cases. Conclusions: The study shows population-based incidence and survival of brain metastases at diagnosis of HCC. Brain metastases are most prevalent in initial metastatic HCC patients with lung or bone metastasis. The results may contribute to consider screening of the brain among HCC with initial lung or bone metastasis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiwei Shao ◽  
Zhenhua Lu ◽  
Jingyong Xu ◽  
Xiaolei Shi ◽  
Tianhua Tan ◽  
...  

Background: Total pancreatectomy (TP) seems to be experiencing a renaissance in recent years. In this study, we aimed to determine the long-term survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients who underwent TP by comparing with pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), and formulate a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) for PDAC individuals following TP.Methods: Patients who were diagnosed with PDAC and received PD (n = 5,619) or TP (n = 1,248) between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. OS and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of the PD and TP groups were compared using Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Furthermore, Patients receiving TP were randomly divided into the training and validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were applied to identify the independent factors affecting OS to construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was measured according to concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).Results: There were no significant differences in OS and CSS between TP and PD groups. Age, differentiation, AJCC T stage, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and lymph node ratio (LNR) were identified as independent prognostic indicators to construct the nomogram. The C-indexes were 0.67 and 0.69 in the training and validation cohorts, while 0.59 and 0.60 of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. The calibration curves showed good uniformity between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. DCA curves indicated the nomogram was preferable to the AJCC staging system in terms of the clinical utility. A new risk stratification system was constructed which could distinguish patients with different survival risks.Conclusions: For PDAC patients following TP, the OS and CSS are similar to those who following PD. We developed a practical nomogram to predict the prognosis of PDAC patients treated with TP, which showed superiority over the conventional AJCC staging system.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taija Korpela ◽  
Ari Ristimäki ◽  
Marianne Udd ◽  
Tiina Vuorela ◽  
Harri Mustonen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), one of the most lethal malignancies, is increasing in incidence. However, the stromal reaction pathophysiology and its role in PDAC development remain unknown. We, therefore, investigated the potential role of histological chronic pancreatitis findings and chronic inflammation on surgical PDAC specimens and disease-specific survival (DSS). Methods Between 2000 and 2016, we retrospectively enrolled 236 PDAC patients treated with curative-intent pancreatic surgery at Helsinki University Hospital. All pancreatic transection margin slides were re-reviewed and histological findings were evaluated applying international guidelines. Results DSS among patients with no fibrosis, acinar atrophy or chronic inflammation identified on pathology slides was significantly better than DSS among patients with fibrosis, acinar atrophy and chronic inflammation [median survival: 41.8 months, 95% confidence interval (CI) 26.0–57.6 vs. 20.6 months, 95% CI 10.3–30.9; log-rank test p = 0.001]. Multivariate analysis revealed that Ca 19–9 > 37 kU/l [hazard ratio (HR) 1.48, 95% CI 1.02–2.16], lymph node metastases N1–2 (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.16–2.52), tumor size > 30 mm (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.04–2.08), the combined effect of fibrosis and acinar atrophy (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.27–2.88) and the combined effect of fibrosis, acinar atrophy and chronic inflammation (HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.03–2.58) independently served as unfavorable prognostic factors for DSS. However, we observed no significant associations between tumor size (> 30 mm) and the degree of perilobular fibrosis (p = 0.655), intralobular fibrosis (p = 0.587), acinar atrophy (p = 0.584) or chronic inflammation (p = 0.453). Conclusions Our results indicate that the pancreatic stroma is associated with PDAC patients’ DSS. Additionally, the more severe the fibrosis, acinar atrophy and chronic inflammation, the worse the impact on DSS, thereby warranting further studies investigating stroma-targeted therapies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 2031-2040
Author(s):  
Susana Cararo Confortin ◽  
Selma Regina de Andrade ◽  
Lariane Mortean Ono ◽  
Thamara Hubler Figueiró ◽  
Eleonora d’Orsi ◽  
...  

Abstract This article aims to investigate risk factors associated with mortality in young (< 80 years) and long-lived (≥ 80 years) older adults in Florianópolis. A longitudinal population-based study of 1702 older adults participants of the EpiFloripa Ageing Study. Deaths were identified through searches in the Mortality Information System. The probability of survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier and Log-Rank methods. The effect of risk factors for mortality was evaluated using Cox Regression models, adjusted for gender, family income, leisure physical activity, depressive symptoms, functional disability, falls, smoking, cardiovascular disease, stroke, and diabetes mellitus. The overall survival probability was 89.9% and 52.6% for the young and long-lived older adults, respectively. For younger older adults, the risk of death was higher for males, ex-smokers and those with moderate/severe disability. For the long-lived older adults, only those with depressive symptoms had a higher risk of death. These results reveal different risk profiles of death among younger and older adults and the need for a differentiated look in the health care of this population.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (9) ◽  
pp. 1045-1053
Author(s):  
Héctor G. van den Boorn ◽  
Willemieke P.M. Dijksterhuis ◽  
Lydia G.M. van der Geest ◽  
Judith de Vos-Geelen ◽  
Marc G. Besselink ◽  
...  

Background: A prediction model for overall survival (OS) in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) including patient and treatment characteristics is currently not available, but it could be valuable for supporting clinicians in patient communication about expectations and prognosis. We aimed to develop a prediction model for OS in metastatic PDAC, called SOURCE-PANC, based on nationwide population-based data. Materials and Methods: Data on patients diagnosed with synchronous metastatic PDAC in 2015 through 2018 were retrieved from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. A multivariate Cox regression model was created to predict OS for various treatment strategies. Available patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were used to compose the model. Treatment strategies were categorized as systemic treatment (subdivided into FOLFIRINOX, gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel, and gemcitabine monotherapy), biliary drainage, and best supportive care only. Validation was performed according to a temporal internal–external cross-validation scheme. The predictive quality was assessed with the C-index and calibration. Results: Data for 4,739 patients were included in the model. Sixteen predictors were included: age, sex, performance status, laboratory values (albumin, bilirubin, CA19-9, lactate dehydrogenase), clinical tumor and nodal stage, tumor sublocation, presence of distant lymph node metastases, liver or peritoneal metastases, number of metastatic sites, and treatment strategy. The model demonstrated a C-index of 0.72 in the internal–external cross-validation and showed good calibration, with the intercept and slope 95% confidence intervals including the ideal values of 0 and 1, respectively. Conclusions: A population-based prediction model for OS was developed for patients with metastatic PDAC and showed good performance. The predictors that were included in the model comprised both baseline patient and tumor characteristics and type of treatment. SOURCE-PANC will be incorporated in an electronic decision support tool to support shared decision-making in clinical practice.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jincheng Feng ◽  
Georgios Polychronidis ◽  
Ulrike Heger ◽  
Arianeb Mehrabi ◽  
Katrin Hoffmann

Abstract Background: There is little population-based data on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with brain metastases at initial diagnosis published. This study aimed to estimate incidence of brain metastases in initial metastatic HCC and its impact on prognosis.Methods: Newly diagnosed HCC cases from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were screened for the presence of brain metastases. Data were stratified by age and ethnicity. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression were used to identify factors associated with brain metastases and factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), respectively. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used for survival analysis.Results: 141 cases presenting with brain metastases were identified, accounting for 0.35% of all HCC cases and 2.37% of cases with metastatic HCC disease. The incidence rate was highest among cases with age 50-59 (2.74%), respectively. Ethnicity was not associated with the presence of brain metastases at the time of HCC diagnosis. However, African American patients presented significantly lower disease-specific survival (median time: 1month; interquartile range (IQR):0-3.0 months). Initial lung or bone metastasis was independently associated with an increased risk of the presence of brain metastases (odds ratio (OR) 12.62, 95%CI 8.40-18.97), but not associated with worse OS and CSS among brain metastases cases. Conclusions: The study shows population-based incidence and survival of brain metastases at diagnosis of HCC. Brain metastases are most prevalent in initial metastatic HCC patients with lung or bone metastasis. The results may contribute to consider screening of the brain among HCC with initial lung or bone metastasis.


2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110234
Author(s):  
Masaji Tani ◽  
Hiroya Iida ◽  
Hiromitsu Maehira ◽  
Haruki Mori ◽  
Toru Miyake ◽  
...  

Introduction Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a common malignancy. While inflammation-related biomarkers influence patient survival after resection, it has not been known whether postoperative inflammations affect the survival of PDAC patients or not. Methods It was investigated whether the universal biomarkers on postoperative day (POD) 7 affect the survival of PDAC patients in the retrospective view, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed via the Cox regression method. Results Overall, 108 consecutive patients underwent resection; 98 (90.7%) had T3 disease and 73 (67.6%) had lymph node metastases. Thirty-four patients (31.5%) experienced postoperative complications. Compared with preoperative values, the white blood cell count and C-reactive protein (CRP) level on POD 7 were significantly elevated ( P < .001 for both); conversely, the lymphocyte count was significantly reduced ( P < .001). Among 108 patients, 72 received adjuvant chemotherapy. The median overall survival was 21.0 months; the 5-year survival rate was 22.3%. On multivariate analysis, receiving adjuvant chemotherapy and low CRP levels on POD 7 (<7.6 mg/dL) were prognosticators of better survival. However, the CD classification was not a prognosticator of survival after resection. Conclusions Adjuvant chemotherapy and postoperative low CRP levels on POD 7 were prognosticators of better survival of PDAC patients after resection. Surgeons should be aware of managing postoperative infections because a high postoperative CRP level is related with unfavorable survival.


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