Biomarker analysis from a phase III trial (GOLD) of dovitinib (Dov) versus sorafenib (Sor) in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma after one prior VEGF pathway–targeted therapy and one prior mTOR inhibitor therapy.
473 Background: In the GOLD trial, Dov did not improve progression-free survival (PFS) or overall survival (OS) over Sor. An exploratory objective of the study was to investigate plasma and tumor biomarkers to predict outcome. Methods: Plasma samples were obtained longitudinally throughout the study, and biomarkers were assessed by immunoassay. Primary archival tumor samples were assessed by immunohistochemistry. Log-rank tests, stratified by baseline MSKCC risk group, for difference in Kaplan-Meier curves between biomarker category (low/high based on </≥ median baseline values) within treatment arm were performed. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Plasma samples were available from 561 patients (Dov, n = 281; Sor, n = 280), and tumor samples were available from 341 patients (Dov, n = 181; Sor, n = 160). Baseline plasma biomarker levels were not predictive of Dov or Sor PFS or OS. However, strong prognostic effects, particularly for OS, were observed. High baseline cKIT and low baseline FGF2, HGF, PlGF, sVEGFR1, VEGFA, and VEGFD were associated with better OS for both Dov and Sor (Table). Changes from baseline in a number of plasma biomarkers were observed following treatment with Dov and Sor, consistent with VEGFR/FGFR inhibitory effects. Prognostic effects were also observed for low FGFR2 (PFS) and low FGF2 (OS) expression in archival tumors. Conclusions: Baseline plasma biomarkers are prognostic but not predictive in the third-line setting. Clinical trial information: NCT01223027. [Table: see text]