Preliminary Risk Assessment at the Petra Archaeological Park Recording Strategy

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 295-312
Author(s):  
G. Cesaro ◽  
M. Santana Quintero ◽  
A. Paolini ◽  
P. J. De Vos ◽  
E. Glekas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Time Lapse ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Comprehensive Management ◽  
Gps System ◽  
Gis System ◽  
Gis Software ◽  
The Impact

This paper describes the activities carried out in Petra by an international and multidisciplinary group of graduate students specializing in heritage conservation from the Raymond Lemaire International Centre for Conservation (RLICC), University of Leuven (Belgium) in cooperation with the University of Jordan, Faculty of Architecture, the Al Hussein Bin Talal University and in partnership with the UNESCO Office in Amman. The main objective of the work was to carry out a preliminary assessment of the risks affecting the integrity of the Petra World Heritage Property, due to both natural and man-made events so to understand the impact of the site's major threats. The outcomes provided the foundations necessary to develop a risk management plan, which should be integrated in the development of a comprehensive management plan for the site. The result of the overall study has been a preliminary risk management recommendation achieved through a rapid risk assessment of specific areas within the property, which readily identified vulnerabilities and threats to the state of conservation of the PAP. Outcomes of this work comprise two movies using time-lapse photography, 25 geo-referenced panoramas, a GIS system showing GPS track logs for all trails, satellite imagery and location of facilities, signage, monuments, 395 geo-referenced photos for the trails assessment, 105 geo-referenced photos for the areas assessment. An easy way to understand and visualize the circulation in the PAP was to bring the different trails on a satellite image through the use of a GPS system, combined with the ArcGIS software, in order to create a live track log while walking the trails in the PAP. Tracing this track log later in the GIS software indicated the actual location of parts of the PAP circulation and proved a very useful tool to retrieve the paths and areas analyzed.

scholarly journals Current and planned research for managing the fruit fly threat to New Zealand

2019 ◽  
Vol 72 ◽  
pp. 279
Author(s):  
David A.J. Teulon ◽  
John M. Kean ◽  
Karen F. Armstrong
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Fruit Fly ◽  
Fruit Flies ◽  
Bactrocera Tryoni ◽  
The World ◽  
Increasing Risk ◽  
Management Diagnostics ◽  
The Impact

Fruit flies (Family Tephritidae), in particular the Queensland fruit fly (Bactrocera tryoni; QFF), areone of the biggest biosecurity risks for New Zealand horticulture. New Zealand has one of the bestscience-based biosecurity systems in the world, based on years of experience and sound research. Theintroduction of fruit flies to New Zealand is now well managed in commercial fruit imports, but the riskis rising from growing trade and travel and, in the case of QFF, climatic adaptation and spread to moresouthern localities. Smarter solutions are continually needed to manage this increasing risk, and to dealwith such pests when they arrive. We present a brief summary of current and anticipated research aimedat reducing the likelihood of entry into New Zealand and/or minimising the impact for the fruit flyspecies of greatest threat to New Zealand. Research spans risk assessment, pathway risk management,diagnostics, surveillance and eradication.

Comparing co-production approaches to dynamic risk assessments in a forensic intellectual disability population: outcomes of a clinical pilot

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Deborah J. Morris ◽  
Elanor L. Webb ◽  
Inga Stewart ◽  
Jordan Galsworthy ◽  
Paul Wallang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Intellectual Disability ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Risk Assessments ◽  
Risk Management Plan ◽  
Convenience Sample ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dynamic Risk ◽  
Management Plans ◽  
The Impact

Purpose A co-produced clinical practice that aims to improve outcomes through a partnership with service users is becoming increasingly important in intellectual disability (ICD) services, yet these approaches are under-evaluated in forensic settings. This study aims to explore and compare the feasibility of two approaches to co-production in the completion of dynamic risk assessments and management plans in a secure setting. Design/methodology/approach A convenience sample of adults admitted to a secure specialist forensic ICD service (N = 54) completed the short dynamic risk scale (SDRS) and drafted risk management plans under one of two conditions. In the first condition, participants rated the SDRS and risk management plan first, separately from the multidisciplinary team (MDT). In the second condition, participants and MDTs rated the SDRS and risk management plan together. Findings In total, 35 (65%) participants rated their risk assessments and 25 (47%) completed their risk management plans. Participants who rated their risk assessments separately from the MDT were significantly more likely to complete the SDRS (p = 0.025) and draft their risk management plans (p = 0.003). When rated separately, MDT scorers recorded significantly higher total SDRS scores compared to participants (p = 0.009). A series of Mann-Whitney U tests revealed significant differences between MDT and participant ratings on questions that required greater skills in abstraction and social reasoning, as well as sexual behaviour and self-harm. Originality/value Detained participants with an intellectual disabilities will engage in their dynamic risk assessment and management plan processes. The study demonstrates the impact of different co-production methodologies on engagement and highlights areas for future research pertaining to co-production.

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK MANAGEMENT: A PROPOSED SCHEME

1997 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 714
Author(s):  
H.B. Goff ◽  
R.K. Steedman
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Environmental Risk ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Oil And Gas Industry ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Assessment Process ◽  
Gas Industry ◽  
Environmental Risk Management ◽  
The Impact

Environmental risk assessment is becoming an increasingly important factor in the assessment process for new projects. The oil and gas industry is familiar with assessing and managing risks from a wide range of sources. In particular, risk assessment and management is fundamental to the evaluation and implementation of Safety cases. Risk assessment is essential in valuing exploration acreage. Various industry and government risk management standards and criteria have been developed for public and occupational health and safety.This paper examines the extension of these approaches to environmental risk management for the offshore oil and gas industry and proposes a conceptual management scheme.We regard risk as the probability of an event occurring and the consequences of that event. The risk is classified into four categories, namely:primary risk, which relates to the mechanical oilfield equipment;secondary risk, which relates to the natural transport processes. For example dispersion of oil in the water column and surrounding sea;the tertiary risk, which relates to the impact on some defined part of the physical, biological or social environment; andthe quaternary risk, which relates to the recovery of the environment from any impact.Generally the methods of quantitatively analysing primary and secondary risks are well known, while there remains considerable uncertainty surrounding the tertiary and quaternary risk and they are at best qualitative only. An example of the method is applied to coral reef and other sensitive areas which may be at risk from oil spills.This risk management scheme should assist both operators and regulators in considering complex environmental problems which have an inherent uncertainty. It also proves a systematic approach on which sound environmental decisions can be taken and further research and analysis based. Perceived risk is recognised, but the management of this particular issue is not dealt with.

Limits to natural disasters management: the influence of human behavior

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeroen Aerts
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Human Behavior ◽  
Flood Risk ◽  
Behavioral Adaptation ◽  
Risk Models ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
The Impact

<p>Despite billions of dollars of investments in disaster risk reduction (DRR), data over the period 1994- 2013 show natural disasters caused 1.35 million lives. Science respond with more timely and accurate information on the dynamics of risk and vulnerability of natural hazards, such as floods. This information is essential for designing and implementing effective climate change adaptation and DRR policies. However, how much do we really know about how the main agents in DRR (individuals, businesses, government, NGO) use this data? How do agents behave before, during, and after a disaster, since this can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. Since existing risk assessment methods rarely include this critical ‘behavioral adaptation’ factor, significant progress has been made in the scientific community to address human adaptation activities (development of flood protection, reservoir operations, land management practices) in physically based risk models.</p><p>This presentation gives an historic overview of the most important developments in DRR science for flood risk. Traditional risk methods integrate vulnerability and adaptation using a ‘top- down’ scenario approach, where climate change, socio economic trends and adaptation are treated as external forcing to a physically based risk model (e.g. hydrological or storm surge model). Vulnerability research has made significant steps in identifying the relevant vulnerability indicators, but has not yet provided the necessary tools to dynamically integrate vulnerability in flood risk models.</p><p>However, recent research show novel methods to integrate human adaptive behavior with flood risk models. By integrating behavioral adaptation dynamics in Agent Based Risk Models, may lead to a more realistic characterization of the risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk management strategies and investments. With these improved methods, it is also shown that in the coming decades, human behavior is an important driver to flood risk projections as compared to other drivers, such as climate change. This presentation shows how these recent innovations for flood risk assessment provides novel insight for flood risk management policies.</p>

scholarly journals A DYNAMIC RISK ASSESSMENT MODELING BASED ON FUZZY ANP FOR SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS

Aviation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 143-155
Author(s):  
Masoud Rezaei ◽  
Naimeh Borjalilu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Traditional Approach ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Fuzzy Anp ◽  
New Model ◽  
The Impact

Risk assessment in large organizations with extensive operational domains has been a challenging issue. Employing an efficient method along with realistic pair comparisons, applying subjective inferences of organization experts, and purging the intrinsic ambiguity of inferences, are not reflected in current airlines' safety management. Traditional two-dimensional risk assessment for risk management of safety hazards, however, is no longer sufficient to comply with this complexity. A new model for risk management and a novel formula for risk index calculation, based on a fuzzy approach, are presented in this study. In this new model, unlike in the traditional approach, the latent aftermath of safety reports, especially those which affect the continuity of the business, is also taken into account. In this model, along with the definition of a new structure for risk management, risk analysis should be restructured. To that end, a two-dimensional classic risk formula was replaced with three-dimensional (nonlinear) exponential ones, considering “the impact on the business” as a source of risk and hazard. For measuring the safety risk using the Fuzzy hierarchical evaluation method, considering experts' opinions, three criteria in four different operational fields were developed. This method employs a Fuzzy ANP to help quantify judgments, make qualitative judgments in the traditional method, and weigh the priority of elements contributing to risk. Also, it provides a tool for top-level as well as expert level management to monitor safety more precisely, monitor the safety level within their departments or organizations, set quantitative safety goals and provide feedback for improvement as well as find the most critical areas with the least cost. In this study, an airline has been selected as a case study for the risk assessment of reports based on the new model.

scholarly journals Risk Management of Credit Card Payment Gateway using Octave Allegro Methodology At Electronic Payment Provider Institution

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 11831-11838
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Credit Card ◽  
Group Discussion ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Internet Technology ◽  
Card Payment ◽  
Financial Transactions ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Payment Gateway

The use of internet technology is growing very fast which is driving the development of businesses in Indonesia, one of which is in the eCommerce sector. To support payment transactions conducted by e-commerce, in conducting this business, it is necessary to collaborate with business partner engaged in the payment gateways sector. Company partner engaged in the payment gateways sector to provide solutions to electronic financial transactions where one product is a credit card payment gateways. The purpose of this research is to make a risk assessment and risk management for audit certification credit card payment gateway Company. Risk assessment can help to know what are the risks that may occur, how big the impact of these risks, as well as recommendations related control measures must be carried out if the impact of these risks occur. This research using OCTAVE Allegro methodology to identify and evaluate information security risks credit card payment gateway. This research is qualitative research consisting of observation, conducting group discussion with the respondents. The respondend of this research are VP Development and Service Provisioning, VP Operation and Infrastructure, Manager Front End 1, Manager Back End 2, and Senior Programmer. Results of this research are 9 critical information assets in credit card payment gateway in COMPANY, such as : Card Holder Data & Customer Credential, Data Center, Physical Devices, Logical Storage, Logical Network, Supporting Software, Core Application, Encryption Key, and Human Resources. There are 21 risks that may occur during in credit card payment gateway. From 21 risks that were identified, obtained 15 risks are defer, 3 risks to be acceptable, and 3 risks should be mitigate.

scholarly journals Toolset for financial risk strategic assessment in corporations based on stochastic modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (28) ◽  
pp. 451-464
Author(s):  
Viktoriya Manuylenko ◽  
Denis Ryzin ◽  
Natalia Gryzunova ◽  
Olga Bigday ◽  
Olga Mandrytsa
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Financial Leverage ◽  
Financial Risk Management ◽  
Environment Factors ◽  
Target Values ◽  
The Impact

The study substantiates the need to develop and test a model for assessment of strategic financial risk level in corporations. It implies modeling for two indicators: relative (financial leverage) and absolute (external capital of indicators). The model should also take into account influence of emergent environment factors and most stakeholder groups’ interests when building scenarios for their behaviors in the financial markets –Implementation of the model allows establishing financial risk target values considering deviation calculations between the indicators’ modeled and actual values simultaneously determining both tactical and strategic guidelines for Financial Risk Management Policy in corporations, which should involve stakeholders into financial risk-taking process. The model implementation also should be the basis for development and improvement of risk-based forecasting tools, business planning and stress testing. The toolkit for assessing level of current and strategic financial risks in corporations based on simulation modeling was developed and implemented with attraction of general scientific and special methods. Direct results of the study are as follows: in theoretical block of the research – essentially, main attributes of financial risks classification for corporations are identified; they are recognized by time as retrospective, current and strategic financial risks, and correct classification of the latter allows their identification, evaluation and regulation; in practical block of the research – evaluation of financial risk in corporations reveals that the risk apart from other internal factors is highly affected by the level of financial leverage, where its high value increases financial risk; still, corporations do not take into account the influence of environmental factors on its level; the role of tax risk as a part of financial risk is not significant, still it is unfortunate that the Russian legislation system allows double taxation on income tax in the form of dividends, and dividend policy of Russian corporations is unstable; in methodological block of the research –financial risk assessment model for corporations was developed and tested on a platform of a special new software product that determines the target level of financial risk; the model differs from standard approaches to financial risk assessment as it carries strategic forecasting nature and takes into account the impact of emergent environment factors; thus it promotes new areas in strategic financial risk management.

Failures in risk assessment and risk management for cosmetic preservatives in Europe and the impact on public health

2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (3) ◽  
pp. 133-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jakob F. Schwensen ◽  
Ian R. White ◽  
Jacob P. Thyssen ◽  
Torkil Menné ◽  
Jeanne D. Johansen
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
The Impact

Application of Risk Assessment for Violence Methods to General Adult Psychiatry: A Selective Literature Review

2005 ◽  
Vol 39 (5) ◽  
pp. 328-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shailesh Kumar ◽  
Alexander I. F. Simpson
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Safety Culture ◽  
Daily Activities ◽  
Personal Knowledge ◽  
Forensic Patients ◽  
Key Concepts ◽  
Adult Psychiatry ◽  
Forensic Psychiatric ◽  
The Impact

Objective: General adult psychiatrists are required to assess risk of violence as frequently as forensic psychiatrists. Yet most of the literature on risk assessment has originated from forensic settings, has been written by forensic psychiatrists, is applicable to forensic patients but may not apply to general psychiatric settings. Because the patient population and the nature of risk assessed may differ between the two settings, there is a need to consider the relevance of systems of assessment of risk of violence specific to the context of general adult psychiatry. Methods: We searched the literature on the way risk has been conceptualized in different disciplines using Medline database from 1993 to 2003. Keywords used were violence and risk management and risk assessment. Additional papers were identified from cross-references and personal knowledge of authors. Results: Seven hundred and nine key papers were identified. We identified three common key concepts that define risk: Uncertainty, weighing up the likelihood of different outcomes arising and, the possibility of benefits as well as harm due to risk assessment. The impact of safety culture – the collection of beliefs, norms, attitudes, roles and practices while making daily activities and management decisions – on psychiatric thinking is examined. We review the two main methods of risk assessment from forensic psychiatric literature (actuarial and clinical) with a view to examine their utility in general adult psychiatric context. Conclusions: In order to develop a system of risk assessment relevant to general adult psychiatry, we note the benefits of shifting from risk prediction to assessment, management and reduction of risk, the need to merge actuarial and clinical approaches, communication of risk and finally the need to involve patients in the process of risk assessment.

scholarly journals International trade risk management under the impact of globalization

2021 ◽  
Vol 111 ◽  
pp. 01016
Author(s):  
Mariia Nezhyva ◽  
Olha Zaremba ◽  
Viktoriia Mysiuk
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Business Environment ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Doing Business ◽  
Risk Management Process ◽  
Assessment Approach ◽  
The Impact

Doing business in condition of international trade, a stable and competitive business environment is vital to operate efficiently and attract inward investment. Businesses can assess these factors alongside challenges such as corruption, political instability and terrorism to understand the strengths and weaknesses of an operating environment and for strategic investment decisions. In terms of open economy and globalization trends, business faced a lot of different challenges with their specific risks, hence an effective risk assessment approach and management is extremely vital for economic security of business and especially for all country doing business with other countries trying to succeed. The article presents risk management plan content that helps to structure business risk management process and provide with the measures how to deal with risks.

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