scholarly journals Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities: Effects of the Ban on Selected Commodities in India

2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Cledwyn Primus Savio Fernandez

The commodity market is one of the emerging markets in today‟s economy. Given that inflation is increasing alarmingly and the emergence of risk in all activities, the commodity market has a phenomenal contribution to the overall economy of India. The following paper – Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities: Effects of the ban on selected commodities in India shall focus on the impact of hedging (risk management) and price discovery, which are two major aspects under the agricultural commodity market. Secondary data from two main sources namely the Multi Commodity Exchange Market and National Commodity Derivatives Exchange were used for analysis. The ban on futures trading under agricultural commodities that was implemented by the Government of India shall be dealt with specifically taking seven commodities – Wheat, Rice, Sugar, Chickpea, Potato, Rubber and Guar Seeds. The common element between all these commodities is that they were all banned from futures trading at some point of time or the other. An analysis using econometric and statistical tools shall be performed to check whether there exists any sort of relationship between the ban and the prevailing inflation in the economy and also the correlation between the prices before and after ban. This is purely an explanatory study wherein the strategies for buyers and sellers in the futures market will also be discussed.Keywords: Hedging, ban, futures trading, inflation

Author(s):  
Rakhi Arora

Commodity market is a fast paced dynamic market with liquidity and Commodity Exchange providing a platform for trading in various agri and non agri commodities at nationalized exchanges for discovering the price of agricultural goods in India since 2003. This also provides an opportunity to farmers, manufacturers or individuals for hedging and arbitrage to minimizes the losses due to fluctuations in the futures as well as spot prices. Though the Government has taken many steps time to time to control the prices of listed commodities by imposing restrictions like imposing daily margin limits and banning futures trading in speculative commodity/commodities if required but it is still being questioned. This chapter emphasizes on the working of the National Level Commodity Exchanges in India in general, the share of major agricultural commodities traded across National Level Commodity Exchanges in India, the marketing mix for agricultural commodities in India and the benefits and challenges of commodity futures derivatives for investors in India.


Author(s):  
Rakhi Arora

Commodity market is a fast paced dynamic market with liquidity and Commodity Exchange providing a platform for trading in various agri and non agri commodities at nationalized exchanges for discovering the price of agricultural goods in India since 2003. This also provides an opportunity to farmers, manufacturers or individuals for hedging and arbitrage to minimizes the losses due to fluctuations in the futures as well as spot prices. Though the Government has taken many steps time to time to control the prices of listed commodities by imposing restrictions like imposing daily margin limits and banning futures trading in speculative commodity/commodities if required but it is still being questioned. This chapter emphasizes on the working of the National Level Commodity Exchanges in India in general, the share of major agricultural commodities traded across National Level Commodity Exchanges in India, the marketing mix for agricultural commodities in India and the benefits and challenges of commodity futures derivatives for investors in India.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nur Khasanah ◽  
Prihartini Budi Astuti ◽  
Ika Neni Kristanti

This research attempts to analyze the effects of the economic integration of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) which was implemented since 2015. The impact analyzed is focused on investments made in Indonesia, both investments made by foreign investors and domestic investors. Another thing that was also highlighted in this study was the flow of exports and imports. This was also investigated because one of the policies contained in the agreement of the ASEAN economic community was the elimination of international trade barriers. In addition to the two things above, researchers also analyzed the influence of the ASEAN economic community on the use oflabor in Indonesia. The data analyzed in this study are secondary data obtained from the relevant agencies. The method used in this study is a different sample pair test. This method is used because the research conducted is comparing the conditions of investment, export-import and use of labor in Indonesia before and after the economic integration of the ASEAN Economic Community. At the end of this study, researchers will provide recommendations to the government regarding what should be done by the government to optimize investment activities, exports and use of local labor in Indonesia.


2011 ◽  
Vol 56 (03) ◽  
pp. 423-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
PRAVAKAR SAHOO ◽  
RAJIV KUMAR

Trading in commodity derivatives on exchange platforms is an instrument to achieve price discovery and better price-risk management besides helping the macroeconomy with better resource allocation. In the 2008–2009 budget, the Indian government proposed to impose a commodity transaction tax (CTT) amounting to 0.017% of trading value. In this context, we examine the relationship between trading activity, volatility and transaction cost for five most traded commodities in India. Results suggest that there exists a negative relationship between transaction cost and liquidity and a positive relationship between transaction cost and volatility. Further, the results of structural model support the results of VAR analysis. Therefore, if the government imposes CTT, it would lead to higher volatility and lower trading activity affecting market efficiency and liquidity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Sehgal ◽  
Tarunika Jain Agrawal

Executive Summary A commodity transaction tax (CTT) of 0.01 per cent is levied on non-agricultural commodity futures trading since 1 July 2013 by the Government of India. This article examines the impact of CTT on market liquidity, volatility and government tax revenues for the Indian commodities market. We use daily data of five sample commodities, namely gold, aluminium, copper, zinc and crude oil available from 1 May 2010 to 31 August 2016. It is found that CTT imposition has destroyed the parity of the Indian commodity futures market with the international markets as CTT is absent on COMEX, LME, NYMEX, and so on. Moreover, evidence of trade migration can be found by drawing a comparison across MCX and international exchanges. This argument is further substantiated by observing the decline in liquidity after the imposition of CTT. It should be further noted that parity with the equity market is also lost as the transaction taxes imposed in equity and commodity markets are not in line with the level of volatilities of the two markets. CTT has also failed to curb speculative pressure as average volatility on major commodities has risen significantly by about 33 per cent post its imposition. Considering the transaction tax, income tax and service tax aspects and decline in the trading volume attributed solely to the CTT imposition, it is found that CTT results in huge revenue loss to the exchequer. It is estimated that at the current CTT rate, government is losing an annual net tax revenue worth ₹30 billion. Even at a lower rate of 0.001 per cent (which is one-tenth of the current rate of 0.01%), the government’s fiscal loss is expected to be about ₹2.50 billion. Even if we make a conservative assumption that CTT accounts for only 25 per cent decline in the trading volumes, the optimal CTT rate, in terms of tax revenue collections, is found at 0.003 per cent, well below the current rate. There is, therefore, no justification for retaining CTT on the commodity futures trading in India as it leads to a huge revenue loss to the government, owing to reduced trading activity and trade migration. Withdrawal of CTT would be ideal for Indian commodities market development, improving its liquidity and making it more internationally competitive.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.3) ◽  
pp. 82
Author(s):  
Deffi Ayu Puspito Sari ◽  
Astrid Sugiana ◽  
Ristianti Yuri Ramadhonah ◽  
Suci Innaqa ◽  
Robbi Rahim

Urbanization triggers an increase in urban land conversion. Along with the increasing population and the increasing needs of the shelter, people tend to use the remaining space such as riverbanks and river bodies which are not intended for residential buildings. This has a negative impact on the environmental and river ecosystems, as well as causing the changes in the function of rivers in urban areas, one of it is Ciliwung River which runs through Kampung Pulo. The government seeks to deal with the environmental damage on the riverbank through a revitalization program. This research was conducted to find out the impact of revitalization process by observing biophysical condition of river before and after eviction of people that live in the Ciliwung riverbank and provide a landscape plan of Kampung Pulo segment. Using secondary data of rainfall, land use, land cover and flooded area. The mapping with ArcGIS 10.1 shows there decrease in the area of flood puddle in Kampung Pulo.  


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-168
Author(s):  
Aditya Paramita Alhayat

Meskipun Indonesia telah mengenakan tindakan anti-dumping terhadap beberapa jenis produk baja, namun impor produk tersebut masih meningkat. Salah satu kemungkinan penyebabnya adalah importasi melalui produk yang dimodifikasi secara tidak substansial atau melalui negara ketiga yang tidak dikenakan tindakan anti-dumping, yang dalam perdagangan internasional umum disebut sebagai praktik circumvention. Studi ini ditujukan untuk membuktikan bahwa circumvention mengakibatkan tindakan anti-dumping atas impor produk baja Indonesia tidak efektif dan untuk memberikan masukan berdasarkan praktik di negara lain supaya kebijakan anti-dumping Indonesia lebih efektif. Circumvention dianalisis dengan membandingkan pola perdagangan antara sebelum dan setelah pengenaan bea masuk anti-dumping (BMAD) menggunakan data sekunder dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) maupun Global Trade Information Services (GTIS). Hasil analisis menunjukkan adanya indikasi kuat bahwa circumvention mengkibatkan pengenaan tindakan anti-dumping impor produk baja di Indonesia menjadi tidak efektif. Oleh karena itu, sangat penting bagi Pemerintah Indonesia untuk segera melakukan penyempurnaan terhadap Peraturan Pemerintah No. 34/2011 tentang Tindakan Antidumping, Tindakan Imbalan, dan Tindakan Pengamanan Perdagangan dengan memasukkan klausul tindakan anti-circumvention yang setidaknya mencakup bentuk-bentuk dan prosedur tindakan, sebagaimana yang telah dilakukan beberapa negara seperti: AS, EU, Australia, dan India. Although Indonesia has imposed anti-dumping measures on several types of steel products, the import of steel products is still increasing. One possible cause is that imports are made by non-substantial modification of product or through a third country which is not subject to anti-dumping measures, which is generally referred as circumvention practice. This study is aimed to prove that circumvention made Indonesian anti-dumping actions on the steel products ineffective. This also study provides recommendation for a best practice for other countries so that Indonesia's anti-dumping policy can be more effective. Circumvention was analyzed by comparing trade patterns between before and after the imposition of anti-dumping duty using secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and the Global Trade Information Services (GTIS). The results of the analysis indicate that circumvention became the reason why Indonesian anti-dumping measures on imported steel products are ineffective. Therefore, it is very important for the Government of Indonesia to immediately make amendments to the Government Regulation No. 34/2011 on Antidumping, Countervailing, and Safeguard Measures by adopting clauses of anti-circumvention. This can be done bycovering the forms/types and procedures of action, as has been implemented by several countries such as the US, EU, Australia, and India.


Author(s):  
Neha Gupta

Abstract This paper reviews rice procurement operations of Government of India from the standpoints of cost of procurement as well as effectiveness in supporting farmers’ incomes. The two channels in use for procuring rice till 2015, were custom milling of rice and levy. In the first, the government bought paddy directly from farmers at the minimum support price (MSP) and got it milled from private millers; while in the second, it purchased rice from private millers at a pre-announced levy price thus providing indirect price support to farmers. Secondary data reveal that levy, despite implying lower cost of procurement was discriminated against till about a decade back and eventually abolished in 2015 in favor of custom milling, better trusted to provide minimum price support. We analyze data from auctions of paddy from a year when levy was still important to investigate its impact on farmers’ revenues. We use semi-nonparametric estimates of millers’ values to simulate farmers’ expected revenues and find these to be rather close to the MSP; a closer analysis shows that bidder competition is critical to this result. Finally, we use our estimates to quantify the impact of change in levy price on farmers’ revenues and use this to discuss ways to revive the levy channel.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 1282-1291
Author(s):  
Sanjay Dhamija ◽  
Ravinder Kumar Arora

The article examines the impact of regulatory changes in the tax on dividends on the payout policy of Indian companies. The tax law was recently amended to levy tax on dividends received by large shareholders. As the promoters group is the largest shareholder, this is expected to have a negative impact on the payout policy of companies. Furthermore, companies with larger promoter holdings have a higher motivation to reduce their payout. The study covers 370 companies present in the BSE 500 Index and compares the dividend payout of the companies before and after the introduction of tax levy. The study finds that the newly introduced tax indeed caused a shift in the dividend policy of companies, particularly those companies which have high levels of inside ownership. The findings have significant implications for companies, investors and the government.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 117
Author(s):  
Mohamad Anis Fahmi

Background: Low public awareness of the impact of smoking makes the implementation of smoke-free areas (KTR) difficult. Smoke-free areas aim to protect the public from the direct and indirect effects of smoking. Purpose: This study aimed to analyze the correlation between the application of smoke-free areas and the prevalence of active and ex-smokers in Indonesia. Method: This study implemented a cross-sectional design, using secondary data from the Riskesdas 2018 on active and ex-smokers. KTR application data were obtained from the Profile of Non-Communicable Diseases in 2016. A Pearson product-moment test was conducted by a computer application to determine the correlation coefficient (r). This coefficient was used to describe the level of correlation between the two variables; significance was determined as a p value of 5%. Results: This study showed that the average application of KTR throughout Indonesia was 50.83%, active smokers comprised 23.49% of the population, and ex-smokers comprised 4.94%. Most active smokers were in Java and Sumatra, while the majority of ex-smokers were in Java and Sulawesi and the majority of KTR was in Java. This study shows that there is a positive correlation between KTR application and the percentage of ex-smokers (r = 0.46; p value = 0.01). Conclusion: There is a positive correlation between the application of KTR and an increase in ex-smokers. The government needs to increase the application of KTR policies.


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