scholarly journals External Debt, Domestic Debt and Economic Growth: The Case of Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-94
Author(s):  
Dal Didia ◽  
Phillip Ayokunle
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Domestic Debt

Is public debt hindering economic growth of the Philippines?

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 202-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naeem Akram
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
External Debt ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Domestic Debt

Purpose – Over the years most of the developing countries have failed to collect enough revenues to finance their budgets. As a result, they have to face the problem of twin deficits and to rely on external and domestic debt to finance their developmental activities. The positive effects of public debt relate to the fact that in resource-starved economies debt financing (if done properly) leads to higher growth and adds to their capacity to service and repay external and internal debt. The negative effects work through two main channels – i.e., “Debt Overhang” and “Crowding Out” effects. The purpose of this paper is to examine the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment for the Philippines. Design/methodology/approach – The present study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment for the Philippines during the period 1975-2010, by using autoregressive distributed lag technique. Findings – The results reveal that in the Philippines, public external debt has negative and significant relationship with economic growth and investment confirming the existence of “Debt Overhang effect”. But due to insignificant relationships of debt servicing with investment and economic growth, the existence of the crowding out hypothesis could not be confirmed. The domestic debt has a negative relationship with investment and positive relationship with economic growth. Research limitations/implications – First and foremost implication of the study is that heavy reliance on external debt must be discouraged. Therefore, in order to accelerate economic growth, developing countries must adopt those policies that are likely to result in reducing their debt burden, and it must not be allowed to reach unsustainable level. In the case of domestic debt, the present study finds that investment is negatively affected by domestic debt due to the crowding out effect; yet real GDP has a positive relationship with domestic debt. Thus, if policy makers want to use domestic debt as a tool to stimulate real GDP then it must keep an eye on the consequences of domestic debt on the investment. Practical implications – First and foremost implication of the study is that heavy reliance on external debt must be discouraged. Therefore, in order to accelerate economic growth, the Philippines must adopt those policies that are likely to result in reducing their debt burden, and external debt it must not be allowed to reach unsustainable level. In the case of domestic debt, the present study finds that investment is negatively affected by domestic debt due to the crowding out effect; yet real GDP has a positive relationship with domestic debt. Thus, if policy makers want to use domestic debt as a tool to stimulate real GDP then it must keep an eye on the consequences of domestic debt for on the investment. Social implications – It also follows from the estimation results that population growth rate is harmful for the economic growth. So in order to stimulate the growth performance, it must adopt effective population control policies. Similarly, since openness and investment are growth enhancing so there is need for the trade and investment supportive policies. Originality/value – From the review of literature on the issue, it can be broadly summarized that most of the studies are on the relationship of external debt and economic growth, neglecting domestic debt entirely or mentioning it in the passing. Second, most of these studies have been conducted by using panel data. However, as the different countries vary in socio-economic conditions so it is better to conduct the country specific study. The present study is an attempt to fill these gaps in the existing literature.

On the Factors of Demand for Economic Growth

2018 ◽  
pp. 4-14
Author(s):  
Ольга Николайчук ◽  
Olga Nikolaychuk ◽  
А. Волкова ◽  
A. Volkova ◽  
В. Шарова ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Durable Goods ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Business Activity ◽  
Consumer Spending ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Investment Goods

To analyze the problems of economic growth in Russia, the factors of demand that affect economic growth are chosen: the volumes and dynamics of consumer spending, tax instruments and debt indicators in Russia and in recent years. Changes in the population’s expenses for the purchase of goods and services, the purchase of investment goods-real estate, as well as the use of credit sources to replenish the current and investment costs of citizens are analyzed. The main indicators are given in current prices and are recounted by the authors, for greater reliability of the findings, in prices at the beginning of 2015. The reasons for the formation of external and internal debt are revealed. It is noted thatthe external debt in recent years has grown through borrowing in external financial markets through the placement of government securities, as well as an increase in the volume of state guarantees. The thesis was confirmed that in macroeconomics only in the long run the influence of the change in the state debt on consumption is traced. It is especiallyemphasized that the state external debt burdens the national economy of the country, reduces aggregate demand, slows economic growth and, ultimately, leads to a decline in GDP. The state, having placed its stake on domestic debt, has increased the share of state guarantees by 4 times over the past 8 years and brought domestic debt to the limit, which has affected not only the fiscal and fiscal policies of the state, but it can negatively affect Russia’s economic security. In general, amid the downturn in business activity in Russia in recent years, the increase in public debt has led to a reduction in the consumption of durable goods and investment goods. Thus, based on the analysis of the dynamics of consumer spending of Russians, debt and tax policy, it was concluded that the pace of business activity and the need for government intervention in regulating the processes covered in the article, especially in the context of the crisis, were reduced.

External debt and economic growth in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-171
Author(s):  
Keji Sunday Anderu ◽  
◽  
Adeleke Omolade ◽  
Adeniyi Oguntuase
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
External Debt

Exchange Rate Volatility in Emerging Markets:The Chilean Case

2007 ◽  
pp. 87-100
Author(s):  
Juan R. Castro
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Arch Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Domestic Credit ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The document conducts an empirical investigation on the volatility of the Chilean exchange rate regime, using a model of Objective Zones. Through the use of the ARCH model, the document tests the volatility of the exchange rate in the presence of different levels of international reserves and other macroeconomic shocks. The results show that domestic credit, domestic debt and external debt have the greatest impact on the volatility of the variables studied, especially when compared with other fundamental variables. The variance of the exchange rate is heterosedastic but it is not persistent, which implies that the exchange rate is stable, probably when it oscillates between two bands. The volatility of the exchange rate fluctuates to a greater extent in the face of changes in internal and external debt, than with the other variables used.

How Does Public Debt Affect the Indian Macroeconomy? A Structural VAR Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-284
Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Mohanty ◽  
Sidheswar Panda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Impact

The study investigates the macroeconomic effects of public debt in India during 1980–2017 using a structural vector autoregression framework. The objective is to examine the impact of public debt on the interest rate, investment, inflation and economic growth in India. The results of the impulse response functions show that public debt has an adverse impact on economic growth but a positive impact on the long-term interest rate in the short run and a mixed effect (both negative and positive) on investment and inflation. We also find that domestic debt has a more adverse impact on the economy than external debt. The estimated variance decomposition analysis finds that much of the variation in selected macro variables are explained by public debt and growth in India. This study suggests that public debt especially domestic debt should be controlled and channelled productively to have a favourable impact on the economy. JEL Classification: H63, O40, C40

scholarly journals The Debt Overhang Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 140-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Imran Shah ◽  
Irfan Ullah ◽  
Zia Ur Rahman ◽  
Nadeem Jan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Dynamic Behaviour ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Unit Roots ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Debt Burden ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Labour

AbstractThis study investigates the debt overhang hypothesis for Pakistan in the period 1960-2007. The study examines empirically the dynamic behaviour of GDP, debt services, the employed labour force and investment using the time series concepts of unit roots, cointegration, error correlation and causality. Our findings suggest that debt-servicing has a negative impact on the productivity of both labour and capital, and that in turn has adversely affected economic growth. By severely constraining the ability of the country to service debt, this lends support to the debt-overhang hypothesis in Pakistan. The long run relation between debt services and economic growth implies that future increases in output will drain away in form of high debt service payments to lender country as external debt acts like a tax on output. More specifically, foreign creditors will benefit more from the rise in productivity than will domestic producers and labour. This suggests that domestic labour and capital are the ultimate losers from this heavy debt burden.

C. PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI DAN EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI (Studi pada Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Periode 2015-2019)

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Farah Syahri Maulidiyah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Indonesian Government ◽  
Independent Variable

ABSTRACT The purpose of this research is to analyze the influence of exports and foreign debt which can affect Indonesia's GDP (Gross Domesty Product). The variables of this research are the foreign debt value of the Indonesian government and the value of Indonesian exports as the independent variable, and the value of Indonesia's GDP as the dependent variable. The data used are supporting data for the 2015-2019 period from the time series (time series) of Bank Indonesia and BPS. The data analysis method used multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study are the value of the Indonesian government's foreign debt and the value of Indonesia's exports have a significant effect. Meanwhile, the results of the partial test (t-test) show that the value of foreign debt and exports of the Indonesian government greatly affects the value of Indonesia's GDP. Keywords : External Debt, Export, Economic Growth (Menggunakan template jurnal sinta 2 JESP (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan) eISSSN : 2502-7115 l pISSN : 2502-7115 Universitas Negeri Malang).

External Debts and Economic Growth when Debt Rating Matters

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ly Dai Hung
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Fixed Effect ◽  
Panel Regression ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

The paper investigates the dependence pattern of economic growth on external debt supply by accounting for the safety of debts, measured by the sovereign debt rating. The method of cross-section regression is based on a sample of 145 advanced and developing economies with averaged data over the 1990–2019 period. The pattern of economic growth follows a U-shaped curve, for which the growth rate is first decreasing and then increasing on the external debt supply. A possible explanation can rely on the sovereign debt rating. For low supply of external debts, more supply of debts reduces the debt rating, which, in turn, lowers the economic growth rate. But for high enough supply of debts, more debts raise their rating, improving the growth rate. These results are robust on controlling for various determinants of economic growth and on the fixed effect panel regression.

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