scholarly journals Fertility of nationals and foreigners in Spain, Italy, and Greece during and after the economic recession and refugee crisis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byron Kotzamanis
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Large Contribution ◽  
Refugee Crisis ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Mediterranean Countries ◽  
Composition Changes

This article provides an overview of trends in fertility of foreign and national women in Greece, Spain, and Italy during the last decade and before the Covid pandemic. It focuses on the fertility of foreigners and compares this with that of ‘nationals’. The main analysis focuses on a period marked, firstly, by the economic recession and stagnation, and then by the recent wave of the ‘refugee crisis’. Foreigner fertility in the three south Mediterranean countries differs significantly from that of nationals, with the former having higher fertility rates and lower mean age at childbearing. However, although foreigners make a large contribution to births, their impact on period fertility (total fertility rate or TFR) is limited. At the same time, although the fertility of both groups decreased during the first years of the recession, foreigner TFRs fell faster in both absolute and relative terms in Italy and Greece. However, after 2014, the foreigner period fertility among the three countries differs as a relative stabilisation is observed in Spain and Italy, while indicators rise in Greece. This divergence is due to the various composition changes in the settled after-2014 foreigners in the three countries and the strong recovery of foreigner births in Greece (as fertility in Greece was much more affected by the recession).

scholarly journals Fertility rates and the postponement of first births: a descriptive study with Finnish population data

BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. e026336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Roustaei ◽  
Sari Räisänen ◽  
Mika Gissler ◽  
Seppo Heinonen
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Age At First Birth ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
First Birth ◽  
Educational Levels ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Impact

ObjectivesWe described the trend of fertility rates, age-specific fertility rates and associated factors in Finland over a 30-year period.DesignA descriptive population-based register study.SettingFertility data, including age at first birth, childlessness and educational levels were gathered from the Finnish Medical Birth Register and Statistics Finland.ParticipantsAll 1 792 792 live births from 1987 to 2016 in Finland.Main outcome measuresCompleted fertility rate, total fertility rate and age-specific fertility rate.ResultsThe total fertility rate of Finnish women fluctuated substantially from 1987 to 2016. Since 2010, the total fertility rate has gradually declined and reached the lowest during the study period in 2016: 1.57 children per woman. The mean maternal age at first birth rose by 2.5 years from 26.5 years in 1987 to 29 years in 2016. The proportion of childless women at the age of 50 years increased from 13.6% in 1989 to 19.6% in 2016. By considering the impact of postponement and childlessness, the effect on total fertility rates was between −0.01 and −0.12 points. Since 1987, the distribution of birth has declined for women under the age of 29 and increased for women aged 30 or more. However, start of childbearing after the age of 30 years was related to the completed fertility rate of less than two children per woman. The difference in completed fertility rate across educational groups was small.ConclusionsPostponement of first births was followed by decline in completed fertility rate. Increasing rate of childlessness, besides the mean age at first birth, was an important determinant for declined fertility rates, but the relation between women’s educational levels and the completed fertility rate was relatively weak.

Changes in maximum parental leave payment in Iceland and total fertility rates

2021 ◽  
pp. 140349482110290
Author(s):  
Kristjana Einarsdóttir
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Parental Leave ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Background: Following the 2008 financial crisis, the Icelandic Government reduced the maximum parental payment until 2016, when it was increased again. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of the changes in the maximum parental leave payment in Iceland during 2009 and 2016 on total fertility rates and birth rates during 2002–2019. Methods: Publicly available aggregated data on yearly total fertility rates, birth rates, unemployment rates, gross domestic product (GDP) and maximum parental leave payments were obtained for 2002–2019. Segmented regression analyses were used to measure the impact of changes in parental leave payment on term births for the two periods in which changes were implemented (2008–2010 and 2016–2017). Results: The decrease in maximum parental leave payment during 2008–2010 was associated with a 15% decrease in the estimated total fertility rate compared with the expected rate (−15.7%; 95% CI −22.7 to −8.7), whereas the increased payments during 2016–2017 indicated a possible 3% increase in the estimated total fertility rate (3.2%; 95% CI −29.1 to 35.5). Neither adjustment for the unemployment rate nor the GDP appeared to affect these results. The overall birth rate followed a similar trend and was most pronounced for women aged 25–34 years. Conclusions: These results suggest that total fertility rates in Iceland may have been affected by changes in the maximum parental leave payment that occurred in 2009 and 2016, although the effect of the 2008 financial crisis cannot be excluded despite adjustment for the unemployment rate and GDP.

scholarly journals Fertility rebound and economic growth. New evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970–2011

Equilibrium ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piotr Dominiak ◽  
Ewa Lechman ◽  
Anna Okonowicz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Fertility Trends ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Time Variations ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
The Relationship

Long-run impact of economic growth on fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Noticeably, over last decades, economic growth has led to significant falls in total fertility rates in many countries. However, recently, in high-income economies a kind of ‘fertility rebound’ emerged (Goldstein, 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2011; Day, 2012), which supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total fertility rates are mainly attributed to economic growth. The paper unveils the relationship between total fertility rate changes and economic growth in 18 selected countries with fertility rebound observed, over the period 1970–2011, and detects the GDP-threshold at which the fertility rebound emerged. To report on the relationship we deploy longitudinal data analysis assuming non-linearity between examined variables. The data applied are exclusively derived from World Development Indicators 2013. Our main findings support the hypothesis on U-shaped relationship between the total fertility rate and economic growth in analyzed countries in 1970-2011. Along with the previous, we project the minimum level of GDP per capita (GDP-threshold) when the fertility rebound takes place.

scholarly journals Recent marriage and childbearing trends in Croatia and Slovenia: A comparative review

2021 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vera Graovac Matassi ◽  
Ana Talan
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Marriage Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
First Marriage ◽  
Human Fertility ◽  
Comparative Review

The paper discusses the marriage and childbearing trends in Croatia and Slovenia from 1985 to 2017. We made a comparative review of several indicators related to marriage and childbearing trends: mean ages of women at first marriage and first childbirth, birth rates, births within and outside marriage, total fertility rate, tempo-adjusted fertility rate, age-specific fertility rates, and marriage rate. The analysis is based on the official statistical data provided by the statistical offices of both countries and Human Fertility Database. Many of the indicators, including the birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific fertility rate, are somewhat more favourable in Slovenia than in Croatia. One of the major differences between the two countries is that in Slovenia the connection between marriage and childbearing is not as nearly significant as in Croatia.

A New Look at the Asian Fertility Transition (Distinguishedl Lecture)

1996 ◽  
Vol 35 (4I) ◽  
pp. 385-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Caldwell
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Asian Women ◽  
Population Replacement ◽  
Planning Meeting ◽  
Annual Birth Rate

The significance of the Asian fertility transition can hardly be overestimated. The relatively sanguine view of population growth expressed at the 1994 International Conference for Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo was possible only because of the demographic events in Asia over the last 30 years. In 1965 Asian women were still bearing about six children. Even at current rates, today’s young women will give birth to half as many. This measure, namely the average number of live births over a reproductive lifetime, is called the total fertility rate. It has to be above 2— considerably above if mortality is still high—to achieve long-term population replacement. By 1995 East Asia, taken as a whole, exhibited a total fertility rate of 1.9. Elsewhere, Singapore was below long-term replacement, Thailand had just achieved it, and Sri Lanka was only a little above. The role of Asia in the global fertility transition is shown by estimates I made a few years ago for a World Bank Planning Meeting covering the first quarter of a century of the Asian transition [Caldwell (1993), p. 300]. Between 1965 and 1988 the world’s annual birth rate fell by 22 percent. In 1988 there would have been 40 million more births if there had been no decline from 1965 fertility levels. Of that total decline in the world’s births, almost 80 percent had been contributed by Asia, compared with only 10 percent by Latin America, nothing by Africa, and, unexpectedly, 10 percent by the high-income countries of the West. Indeed, 60 percent of the decline was produced by two countries, China and India, even though they constitute only 38 percent of the world’s population. They accounted, between them, for over threequarters of Asia’s fall in births.

scholarly journals POPULATION CONTROL POLICIES IN THE SPECIAL REGION OF YOGYAKARTA AFTER TOTAL FERTILITY RATE INCREASED BASED ON IDHS 2017

NATAPRAJA ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-53
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arif Fahrudin Alfana ◽  
Agus Joko Pitoyo ◽  
Rizky Laudiansyah ◽  
Sri Sugiharti
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Control ◽  
Control Policy ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Library Research ◽  
Grand Design ◽  
Qualitative Descriptive ◽  
The Government ◽  
Special Region

This study has two main objectives. The first is to explain the achievement of the value of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in the Special Region of Yogyakarta (DIY). The second is to explain the population control policy after the increase in TFR in DIY results of the 2017 IDHS. The population control policy taken by the DIY government comes from the Grand Design of Population Development document published by the People's Welfare Bureau. The method used in this study is library research. The analyst uses qualitative descriptive. The results showed that according to IDHS data, there had been fluctuations in the value of TFR during 1991-2017. In the last ten years, the pattern of TFR values in DIY has tended to increase. Population control is necessary to prevent this tendency. The policies taken by the government in the future in terms of population control in DIY include suppressing population growth rates, maturing marital age, controlling the value of TFR, and increasing the prevalence of contraception. The DIY government will implement at least this policy until 2035.

scholarly journals Estimation of Fertility due to Contraception in Nepal

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-150
Author(s):  
Bijaya Mani Devkota
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Contraceptive Use ◽  
Population Policy ◽  
Unmet Need ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Background Characteristics ◽  
Unintended Pregnancies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

  Fertility has an important role for demographic transition and total fertility rate (TFR) which is one component measurements of fertility. Absences of complete and reliable data, a large number of indirect techniques have been developed to estimate demographic parameters. Some of these techniques are based on stable population theory and others are regression equations between the dependent variables, the TFR and the independent variables, the socio economic as well as demographic variables. The unwanted or unintended pregnancies can be avoided through the use of contraceptives; it becomes very important to estimate the births averted or pregnancies stopped by use of contraception. Though there is increase in the use of contraception, still many couples do not use contraception in spite of the fact that they require to use contraception. To satisfy this unmet need of contraception is one of the policy targets of national population policy for population stabilization. In this study, 12862 married females between 15-49 years of age, whose marital duration is more than 5 years, have been taken to study the distribution on different background characteristics and their behavior. Firstly, a regression study was done to know the impact on contraceptive use and further multivariate study has been carried out to know the effect of background characteristics and behavior on absence of birth five years jointly at different sub division. This method is based on the relationship between the Total fertility rate (TFR) and contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR).By using this modified estimate of TFR, birth averted for different area. The variables are CPR that about 71.4 percent variation in TFR can be explained by the first regression approach. The second is based on the relationship between total fertility rate (TFR) and Additive combination of CPR and proportion of currently married females having open birth interval (NPV) explained about 82percent of the variation in TFR. The findings revealed that the TFR calculated by the present method are quite close to the observed values of the TFR. Estimates of births averted and the percent change in births in the absence of contraception, based on the two methods are fairly consistent.

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