Catch-up and Convergence: Mechanism Design for Economic Development

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Hans W. Gottinger

A globalization process can be conceived as an evolving distributed algorithmic mechanism design (DAMD) that induces technology racing with natural catch-up processes of regional or country-wide competition. We describe the architecture of DAMD as the basis for development economics that lead to natural ongoing shifts in industrial performance and catch-up development. The link between implementation of DAMD and a dynamic system of country-wide industrial evolution is essential for understanding the diverse pattern of inter-country or inter-regional competition. By selectively reviewing a cross section of the catch-up literature on economic growth it is shown which essential elements of long-run sustainable growth dominate to achieve superior performance and why informationally efficient mechanism design of the Hayek-Hurwicz type is a superior vehicle for industry based economic growth in a globalized economy.

INFO ARTHA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 17-28
Author(s):  
Anisa Fahmi

Motivated by inter-regional disparities condition that occurs persistently, this study examines the Indonesian economy in the long run in order to know whether it tends to converge or diverge. This convergence is based on the Solow Neoclassical growth theory assuming the existence of diminishing returns to capital so that when the developed countries reach steady state conditions, developing countries will continuously grow up to 'catch-up' with developed countries. Based on regional economics perspective, each region can not be treated as a stand-alone unit,therefore, this study also focuses on the influence of spatial dependency and infrastructure. Economical and political situations of a region will influence policy in that region which will also have an impact to the neighboring regions. The estimation results of spatial cross-regressive model using fixed effect method consistently confirmed that the Indonesian economy in the long term will likely converge with a speed of 8.08 percent per year. Other findings are road infrastructure has a positive effect on economic growth and investment and road infrastructure are spatially showed a positive effect on economic growth. In other words, the investment and infrastructure of a region does not only affect the economic growth of that region but also to the economy of the contiguous regions. 


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. 315-325
Author(s):  
Lyndon M. Etale ◽  
Lucky L. Imbazi

This study set out to empirically examine the influence of selected microeconomic variables (MEVs) on economic growth in Nigeria between 1999 and 2018. It evaluated gross domestic product (as the measure of economic growth) as a function of four selected variables of MEVs: Interest rate, Exchange rate, Inflation and Broad Money Supply. For effective and efficient analysis of the study variables the multiple regression technique based on the ordinary least square method with the help of several inferential statistical tools were used for data analysis to draw necessary conclusions. The models used analyze the relationship between the selected MEVs. Nigeria’s inability to increase her GDP over the years far above her population growth is heavily dependent on the sincerity of our political will to actualize it. The hypotheses formulated were rejected for three variables because the critical P-value 0.05 is < the calculated P-values; except for BMS Broad Money Supply (BMS) which revealed significant positive influence on GDP with P-value of 0.00 < 0.05 level of significance. The study therefore concluded that macroeconomic decision is not enough to bring about economic growth. The interplay of both fiscal and monetary policy backed up with political will to achieve its objectives both in the short and long-run is required. Nigeria still lack good political will for economic growth and poor governance. Still government should improve the regulations and supervisory role in the financial sector for sustainable growth to be achieved in Nigeria.


Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Maysam Musai

This paper investigates the causal relationship between gross domestic investment (INV) and GDP for Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region countries by using panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis for the period 1970-2010. The results show a strong causality from economic growth to investment in these countries. Yet, investment does not have any significant effects on GDP in short- and long-run. It means that it is the GDP that drives investment in mentioned countries, not vice versa. So the findings of this paper support the point of view that it is higher economic growth that leads to higher investment. According to the results, decision makings should be employed to achieve sustainable growth through higher productivity and substantially enlarging the economic base diversification in the future


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Noula Armand Gilbert ◽  
Chouafi Nguekam Orfé ◽  
Kamajou François

This study evaluates the simultaneous impact of public and private investments on economic growth in the CEMAC zone between 1984 and 2017.To attain this aim, we use the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to test the direction of causality between the three variables above at the level of each country. We find that the direction of causality is not the same in all the countries both in the short as in long-run. We then develop an ideal model going from the Cobb Douglas production function which we quantitatively validate using panel data estimation through the method of Pool Mean Group which takes into account individual specificities. It arises that contrary to economic theory, private sector investments have positive and significant effects in short-run. However, the impact of public investments is negative and significant. In the long-run, the effects are reversed and call on the authorities of the CEMAC zone to reinforce the political risk to strengthen the public-private partnership in the process of sustainable growth.


2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (231) ◽  
pp. 151-171
Author(s):  
Pratibha Saini ◽  
Krishna Muniyoor

The main purpose of this study is to examine the debt-growth nexus in India over the period 1984-2019 using Bayer-Hanck and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration techniques. The findings of both techniques suggest the existence of a negative relationship between public debt and economic growth in the long run. The results also confirm the significant negative relationship between foreign exchange reserves and economic growth. Interestingly, the test results confirm the unidirectional causality running from public debt to economic growth in the case of India. From a policy perspective, reducing public debt is imperative to achieve long-term sustainable growth. Efforts should be made to circumvent the burden of burgeoning interest liabilities by generating a primary surplus, which will facilitate debt servicing and timely repayment of debt.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Sharma ◽  
Pradeep Kautish

The present study intends to investigate the impact of financial sector development on GDP growth in the four middle-income countries of South Asia over the period of 1990–2016. Using pooled mean group (PMG) estimation, this study tries to examine whether in these developing countries, GDP growth has been influenced by size of market capitalization and size of market turnover in the long run which are used as proxy for stock market development. Similarly, domestic credit to private sector is used as proxy for banking sector development while assessing its long-run impact on GDP growth. Furthermore, by incorporating a dummy variable for the global financial crisis (2007–2008), this study investigates whether these economies are vulnerable to external shocks or not. The outcomes of this study find that relatively, the impact of banking sector on GDP growth has remained low in the region. Nevertheless, the development in both sectors has positively influenced economic growth in the long run. The outcomes of this study suggest that both, i.e. stock market and banking sector, are vital determinants of long-run economic growth in the South Asian countries. Therefore, to achieve the sustainable growth, policymakers need to adopt the global approach which can be ensured by improving the quality and scope of financial services in these countries.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anelí Bongers ◽  
Carmen Díaz-Roldán

The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent to which traditional economic policies can be oriented by sound practices. It is becoming widely accepted that sustainable economic growth (and not only economic growth) is the final target of economic policies, but some economic policies are applied just looking to the short-run without taking in account the long-run perspective. Our aim is to show how a sustainable economic policy-making would be possible, making compatible the stabilization of the economy in the short-run with a sustainable economic growth in the long-run. We confront the design of economic policies with the 17 goals of the 2030 Agenda. We argue that all sustainable development goals can be attained by the design and implementation of sustainable economic policies. Finally, to illustrate this point, we will conduct a simulation exercise to show under which combinations of demand policies technological shocks would promote a path of sustainable growth. Our results will provide a reference framework for a sustainable economic policy-making.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 496
Author(s):  
Maku Affor Owen

The research investigated the relationship linking stock market development and economic growth from 1985 to 2018. In measuring growth, Gross domestic product (GDP) was adopted, while stock market was surrogated by turnover ratio, market-capitalization, and value of share- traded, sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Security and Exchange Commission Database. The inclusion of money supply (M3) captured innovation (financial) in the monetary sector. In investigating the aforementioned relationship, the ARDL Bound test methodology was adopted. Empirical results from the investigation confirm the existence of a long-run relationship between stock market development and growth. Similarly, there was a positive relationship between indices of stock market development and growth, albeit statistically insignificant. The study concluded that financial institutions should concentrate on financial innovation in other dimensions in other to boost stock market performance that will result in sustainable growth.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ismail Fahmi Lubis

The Phenomena and trends of level of inflation which seem to be high as caused by factors or government policies whilst the level of economic growth averagely shows high and sustainable growth drawing the unusual macroeconomic condition in Indonesia. This research is conducted to find Correlation and Short-run as well as Long-run relationship between inflation and economic in Indonesia during 1968-2012. Besides, it is to find Granger-Causality between the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It first tests its Unit-Root by Augmented Dickey Fuller and Dickey Fuller test, then it tests its Cointegration by Johansen Cointegration test and its causal relationship by Granger-Causality test as well as it makes mechanism of Error Correction Model (ECM). It is found both inflation and economic growth have no Unit-Root. It is found both inflation and economic growth have Correlation. It is found significantly long-run relationship through the probability value of its residual and short-run relationship through the probability value of inflation and economic growth in its differentiation. It is then found significantly one-way Granger-causality GDP causes CPI but not found one-way Granger-causality CPI causes GDP.


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 9-13
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai

This study investigates the long run relationship between economic growth and gross domestic savings for Zimbabwe during the period 1980 to 2011. The causality relationship between savings and economic growth has been a subject of extensive debate for almost half a century now. There are currently two dominant views regarding the relationship between savings and economic growth. The first view maintains that it is the growth of savings that drives economic growth. The second view argues that it is economic growth that spurs savings expansion. Using the case study methodology, the study revealed that GDP per capita had a significant positive influence on the quantity and level of gross domestic savings and not the other way round. Policies that are targeted at boosting GDP per capita should be accelerated in order to promote long-term and sustainable growth gross domestic savings for in Zimbabwe


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