scholarly journals Prediction of COVID-19 Dynamics in Kuwait using SIRD Model

Author(s):  
Ahmad Sedaghat ◽  
Ali Mostafaeipour ◽  
Seyed Amir Abbas Oloomi

COVID-19 infectious started on 24 February 2020 with 5 patients returning to Kuwait. The ministry of health (MOH) has reported the total of 26,192 patients with 10,156 recovered, 15,831 under treatment, 205 deceased, 206 critical and 23 quarantined in Kuwait on 30 May 2020. Accurate prediction of number of expected infected patients, patients under treatment, patients in critical condition, and death will assist health authorities for better planning and the government policy makers a better approach to reduce the number of susceptible people to COVID-19. In this study, a modified SIR model is used to determine COVID-19 dynamics in Kuwait. COVID-19 data for 97 days consist of infectious, recovered, and deceased cases are used to study SIRD model and to obtain the re-production number  and the total susceptible (Sus) population. The accuracy of the fitted model is assessed using the coefficient of determination (R2). The re-production of  with the total susceptible (predicted) population of 123,102 is obtained to assess dynamics of COVID-19 in Kuwait. It is predicted that the peak of COVID-19 infectious will be around 23 June 2020 with the total infected cases of 56,533. However, maximum 26,039 people on need of hospitals may be accelerated on 10 June 2020 and will quickly drop on 2 July 2020 to only 377 people. The total deceased cases will be 1,169 on this date; although, the death tolls may continue to the total value of 2,667 by the end of pandemic. 

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 158-165
Author(s):  
Nurwita Ismail

The implementation of PSBB or Lockdown still pay attention to the effects caused in the community. Making a regulation is not providing solutions but how to implement existing regulations. With the restrictions on community activities which basically will affect the financial factors. The government is not only thinking about how the country's economic problems the presence of the government is able to embrace all aspirations and give priority to the rights of its citizens. This research method uses a normative research approach. The data used are secondary data from Literature, Journals, and Others related to the Topic. Data analysis using qualitative analysis. The results of this study conclude that the implementation of policies illustrates how the existence of regulations clearly established by policy makers (government) that have certain impacts by taking into account the details of the program specifications, namely how and where the institution or organization should run the program, and how the law or program is interpreted . The government must think carefully about how resources are allocated, how budgets can be distributed, and who are the personnel responsible and implementing the program that should be clearly stated in a decision to be made by the government in its policies. If a variety of policies carried out by the government must be adjusted to the provisions of existing legislation so as not to cause the blurring of norms.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Chinomona

Most research conducted on the influence of employee perception of equity (EPE), organisational citizenship behaviour (OCB), organisational commitment (OC) and turnover intention (ITS) has been on large organisations and little attention has been paid to SMEs. Studies on EPE and OCB have not filtered down to SMEs in developing countries. The primary objective of the study is to investigate the influence of OCB, EPE and OC on ITS in Zimbabwe’s SME sector. It also sought to ascertain the kind of relationships between OCB and OC, EPE with OC, OCB with ITS, EPE with ITS and finally OC with ITS. Structured questionnaires were distributed to SMEs in five major cities. A quantitative method using Smart PLS was employed to test the relationships among the three hypotheses. The results showed that there is a positive relationship between the three proposed hypotheses. Based on the findings, recommendations will be made to both the government policy makers and SME owners. The proposed study is expected to have practical and theoretical implications to both the policy makers in the government and the owners of small businesses in Zimbabwe. In addition, it will provide added insights and new knowledge to the existing body of literature on human resource management, hitherto not studied extensively in developing countries of Southern Africa and Zimbabwe in particular.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 446-450
Author(s):  
Lin Zarni Win ◽  
Kyaing ◽  
Ko Ko Lwin ◽  
Yoshihide Sekimoto ◽  
◽  
...  

This study aims to present the traffic conditions of one of the most congested areas in Yangon as well as the route choice behaviors of the road users in that area. It analyzes drivers’ route choice behaviors and traffic congestion according to road segments. Manual traffic counting and roadside interview methods were used in this survey. The data gathered were used in finding routes alternative to the U Htaung Bo road, which is extremely congested almost all the time. With regard to the report, it will be helpful to identify the scale of the problem that is caused by traffic congestion and to increase awareness of this issue, including amongst the government, policy makers, traffic engineers, and road users.


1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Reed

The U.S. burley tobacco industry faces an important crossroad in this decade. It appears that domestic disappearance of burley tobacco will continue to decrease and U.S. burley tobacco will continue to have stiff competition in foreign markets. The government can influence the U.S. tobacco market in the coming decade through its tobacco program. The alternatives available to government policy makers must be analyzed to help guide policy formulation.


Author(s):  
Pedro Teles

AbstractThe covid-19 has spread very quickly worldwide, leading the World Health Organization (WHO) to declare a state of pandemic. Moreover, the WHO has announced that the European continent is now the main centre of the pandemic.One of the questions many governments are asking is how the spread is going to evolve in time. In this study, an adapted SIR model previously used in South Korea to model the MERS outbreak was applied to estimate the evolution of the curve of active cases in the case of the Portuguese situation. As some of the parameters were unknown, and the data for Portugal is still scarce, given that the outbreak started later (first case on the 2nd of March) I used Italian data (first reported case in Italy on the 31st of January) to predict them. I then construct five different scenarios for the evolution of covid-19 in Portugal, considering both the effectiveness of the mitigation measurements implemented by the government, and the self-protective measures taken by the population, as explained in the South Korean model.In the out of control scenario, the number of active cases could reach as much as 40,000 people by the beginning of April. In the best-case-scenario considered, the active cases could reach circa 7,000 people. The actual figure probably lies between the interval (7,000-13,000) and the peak will be reached between 9th and the 20th of April 2020.Without control and self-protective measures, this model predicts that the figures of active cases of SARS-covid-2 would reach a staggering 40,000 people It shows the importance of control and self-protecting measure to bring down the number of affected people by following the recommendations of the WHO and health authorities. With the appropriate measures, this number can be brought down to 7,000-13,000 people


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 57-73
Author(s):  
Elizabeth Chinomona

Most research conducted on the influence of employee perception of equity (EPE), organisational citizenship behaviour (OCB), organisational commitment (OC) and turnover intention (ITS) has been on large organisations and little attention has been paid to SMEs. Studies on EPE and OCB have not filtered down to SMEs in developing countries. The primary objective of the study is to investigate the influence of OCB, EPE and OC on ITS in Zimbabwe’s SME sector. It also sought to ascertain the kind of relationships between OCB and OC, EPE with OC, OCB with ITS, EPE with ITS and finally OC with ITS. Structured questionnaires were distributed to SMEs in five major cities. A quantitative method using Smart PLS was employed to test the relationships among the three hypotheses. The results showed that there is a positive relationship between the three proposed hypotheses. Based on the findings, recommendations will be made to both the government policy makers and SME owners. The proposed study is expected to have practical and theoretical implications to both the policy makers in the government and the owners of small businesses in Zimbabwe. In addition, it will provide added insights and new knowledge to the existing body of literature on human resource management, hitherto not studied extensively in developing countries of Southern Africa and Zimbabwe in particular.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 3892-3895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guan Chyun Shiah

This study developed municipal green roof promotion strategies by reviewing successful green roof initiatives of the international municipalities. This paper consists of three major parts: the first introduced some green roof initiative policies in some cities. The second part of this paper employs the key findings of some municipal governments have set green roof policies and program to assist the government policy makers can better determine which policies suit their needs. The third part of this paper is to propose some green roof promotion strategies for the municipalities to pursue the goals of energy-saving carbon reduction and ecological-compensation for the cities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 014-015
Author(s):  
Ibtesam A Hazzazi ◽  
Abdulhameed G Albeshr ◽  
Yazeed A Alhabdan

Reducing number of maternal mortality in Saudi Arabia is one of the main goals for the health authorities in the country. The government efforts through the ministry of health and its partners need to be continue to ensure providing access to medical facilities to all pregnant females and thus preventing the occurrence of such deaths.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Fatima Nisa ◽  
Muhammad Kamran ◽  
Asma Khan Mahsood

Non profitable organizations have been contributing in the development of state and society for a long time. These are generally praised for their progressive agendas. However, occasionally these have also been blamed for having some hidden agenda. This requires strict monitoring and evaluation of this sector. Different policies have been introduced in the past for this purpose. However, some of them have been found to be working for foreign agendas. Therefore, it is extremely important to comprehend the effectiveness of the monitoring and evaluation policies in Pakistan. This paper is focused on different monitoring and evaluation policies and compared it with the policy of PML (N) government (2013-18) to bring to limelight the strengths and weakness of such policies. The research paper is primarily designed to find out comprehensive study that how the government presently monitored the working of NGOs. The analysis will help the policy makers to evaluate the working of NGOs in an effective way.   Received: 28 October 2020 / Accepted: 5 December 2020 / Published: 17 January 2021


Author(s):  
Ari Pradhanawati

This research is initiated by an interesting fact that there are still many labor strikes and rallies in Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to determine: the influence of normative demands and solidarity together on job dissatisfaction of workers. This research is intended as explanatory research. Sampling method used in this research is accidental sampling. The sample consists of 100 workers/laborers who joined rallies on May 1, 2014. The results show on the indicator the amount of City Minimum Wage Rates in normative demands variable, respondents believe the amount of wages earned are still not in accordance with the provisions of the minimum wage set by the government. Participation of workers in the fight for economic security must be done in various ways including demonstrations, based on solidarity between workers in order to put pressure on policy makers with regard to labor issues. In conclusion, good normative demands in accordance with the provisions of the agreement and the strong solidarity between workers will reduce dissatisfaction. Suggestions are made on normative demands variable; review should be made on the amount of the city minimum wage rates; leave entitlements, workers social security and dismissal policies should be in compliance with the current government policy.


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