scholarly journals A study of 10 years risk prediction of CAD – applying “Framingham risk scores” among the coal mine employees of the Singareni Collieries company ltd, Telangana state, India

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 2151
Author(s):  
Ramakrishna Narashima Mahabhashyam ◽  
Sunil Pal Singh ◽  
Archana Carolin ◽  
Maruti Sarma Mannava Varaprasada
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Coal Mine ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Opencast Mining ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Company Limited ◽  
Framingham Risk ◽  
Telangana State

Background: Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) has become the leading cause of death. Many tools for CVD risk assessment have been devised. While it is relatively easy to identify those who are obviously at high risk, the health expenditure can be predicted and necessary high risk based preventive care programmes can be introduced. The study has been taken up with an objective of assessing “10 years risk prediction of CAD, Among the Coal Mine Employees by applying “Framingham Risk Scores.”.Methods: Study population: coal mine employees (30-60 years of age). Study area: Singareni Collieries Company Limited (SCCL), Telangana State, India. Study design: cross-sectional observational study. Sample size: 53367coal mine workers. Sampling methods: All coal mine employees (30-60 years) working atleast of 10 years duration and those who have given consent for the study have been included. Data collection: collected from the periodic medical examination records from 2008 to 2012. Analysis: By using Micro soft Excel 2007 and SPSS version 19.Results: Majority of the workers were in the age group of 51-60 years of age, followed by 41-50 years (31.5%). 11.9% has mild risk, 3.2% has moderate risk and 0.6% has severe risk of CAD. Mining Surface labourers has marginally higher risk of CAD than “Mining Supervisory and Managerial Staff’, Opencast mining staff were found to at higher risk of CAD.Conclusions: Mining Surface labourers and opencast mining staff were found to at higher risk of CAD. 

scholarly journals A community based cross sectional study to estimate total cardiovascular risk in rural Punjab

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 1295
Author(s):  
Bibhava Vikramaditya ◽  
Mahesh Satija ◽  
Anurag Chaudhary ◽  
Sarit Sharma ◽  
Sangeeta Girdhar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Diseases ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Cross Sectional Study ◽  
World Health ◽  
Sectional Study ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Cross Sectional

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are leading cause of non communicable deaths in India. CVD risk prediction charts by World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension (WHO/ISH) are designed for implementing timely preventive measures. The objective of the study was to assess the prevalence of CVD risk parameters and to estimate total CVD risk among adults aged ≥40 years, using the WHO/ISH risk charts alone and also to assess the effect of the inclusion of additional criteria on CVD risk.Methods: A community based cross sectional study was conducted in fifteen villages of Ludhiana district under rural health training centre of Department of Community Medicine, Dayanand Medical College & Hospital, Ludhiana, Punjab. Desired information was obtained using WHO STEPS survey (STEP wise approach to surveillance) from 324 adults aged ≥40 years. Anthropometric, clinical and laboratory measurements were also performed. WHO/ISH risk prediction chart for South East Asian region (SEAR-D) was used to assess the cardiovascular risk among the subjects.Results: WHO/ISH risk prediction charts identified 16.0% of the subjects with high risk (≥20%) of developing a cardiovascular event. The study population showed higher prevalence of physical inactivity, obesity, abdominal obesity, hypertension and diabetes. Amongst high risk CVD group, maximum prevalence was of hypertension and high perceived stress level. However, the proportion of high CVD risk (≥20%) increased to 33.6% when subjects with blood pressure ≥160/100 mmHg and /or on hypertension medication were added as high risk.Conclusions: A substantial proportion of this community is at high risk of developing cardiovascular diseases.

Proportion of patients eligible for statin therapy substantially varies between different cardiovascular disease risk calculators and guidelines used

2021 ◽  
pp. 095646242110293
Author(s):  
Matthias C Mueller ◽  
Susanne Usadel ◽  
Winfried V Kern ◽  
Andreas Zirlik ◽  
Qian Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Statin Therapy ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease Risk ◽  
Hiv Care ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
People Living With Hiv ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional

Because people living with HIV (PLWH) have an elevated risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD), prevention of CVD should be integrated in to HIV care. In this study, we compared the agreement between three risk scores and evaluated the indication for statin therapy based on guidelines of the American Heart Association and European AIDS Clinical Society. This study is a cross-sectional, single-center study. All PLWH ≥ 30 years without CVD and statin therapy were consecutively enrolled. Agreement between CVD risk estimates was assessed using Cohen’s kappa coefficient. Of 488 PLWH, 41.2% were female with a median age of 47.8 years. D:A:D-R classified the highest proportion of patients in the categories of high/very high risk for CVD (17.8%) compared to SCORE (4.7%) and FRS (13.7%). D:A:D-R and SCORE (κ = 0.11) as well as D:A:D-R and FRS (κ = 0.33) showed poor agreement. Based on different CVD risk equations and guidelines, indication for statin therapy ranged from 34.8% to 92.0% of patients. In conclusion, a high proportion of PLWH is at high risk for CVD likely underestimated by treating physicians. Inconsistencies in the evaluation of CVD risk and primary prophylaxis should be tackled by an interdisciplinary approach.

scholarly journals Dyslipidemias and 10-Years Cardiovascular Risk Scores in Adults in Asmara, Eritrea: Findings From a Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Okoth Achila ◽  
Nahom Fessahye ◽  
Samuel Tekle Mengstu ◽  
Naemi Tesfamariam Habtemikael ◽  
Wintana Yebio Werke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional Study ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
High Burden ◽  
Lipid Panel ◽  
Multistage Sampling ◽  
Very High

Abstract Background: The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of dyslipidemias and associated factors in adults (≥35 to ≤ 85 years) living in Asmara, Eritrea. Methods: A total of 384 (144 (%) males and 242 (%) females, mean age ± SD, 68.06±6.16 years) respondents were randomly selected after stratified multistage sampling. The WHO NCD STEPS instrument version 3.1 questionnaire was used to collect data. Measurements/or analysis including anthropometric, lipid panel, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and blood pressure (BP) were also undertaken. Results: The frequency of dyslipidemia in this population was disproportionately high (87.4%) with the worst affected subgroup in the 51-60 age band. The level of awareness was also low. In terms of individual lipid markers, the proportion were as follows: HDL-C (40 mg/dL men and 50 mg/dL females) (55.2%); TC ≥ 200 mg/d (49.7%); LDL≥130 mg/dL (44.8%); TG≥150 mg/dL (38.1%). The mean ± SD, for HDL-C, TC, LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and TG were 45.28±9.60; 205.24±45.77; 130.77±36.15; 160.22±42.09 and 144.5±61.26 mg/dl, respectively. Regarding NCEP ATP III risk criteria, 17.6%, 19.4%, 16.3%, 19.7%, and 54.7% were in high or very high-risk categories for TC, Non-HDL-C, TG, LDL-C, and HDL-C, respectively. Among all respondents, 59.6% had mixed dyslipidemias with TC+TG+LDL-C dominating. In addition, 27.3%, 28.04%, 23.0%, and 8.6% had abnormalities in 1, 2, 3 and 4 lipid abnormalities, respectively. In terms of Framingham CVD Risk scores, 12.7%, 2.8% were in the high risk and very high-risk strata. Further, the high burden of dyslipidemia coexisted with an equally high burden of abdominal obesity (71.8%), BMI≥25 kg/m2 (44.6%), dysglycemia (24.7%), hypertension (24.4%), and physical inactivity. Dyslipidemia was associated with employment status (ref: unemployed vs. employed, aOR 0.48, 95% CI 0.24–0.97, p=0.015) and self-employed (aOR 0.41, 95% CI 0.17–1.00, p=0.018); marital status (ref: not married vs married (aOR 2.35, 95% CI 1.19–4.66, p=0.009); increasing DBP (aOR 1.04 mmHg (1.00-1.09)=0.001) and increasing FPG (aOR 1.02 per 1 mg/dL, 95% CI 1.00–1.05, p=0.001). Conclusion: High frequency of poor lipid health may be a prominent contributor to the high burden of CVDs – related mortality and morbidity in Asmara, Eritrea. Consequently, efforts directed at early detection, and evidence-based interventions are warranted.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF 10-YEAR RISK OF DEVELOPING A MAJOR CARDIOVASCULAR EVENT IN PATIENTS ATTENDING A HOSPITAL FOR THE TREATMENT OF OTHER DISORDERS

2020 ◽  
pp. 74-78
Author(s):  
M. MAHIMA SWAROOPA ◽  
REDDY PRAVEEN ◽  
S. K. LAL SAHEB ◽  
S. K. SAI RINNISHA ◽  
P. SARANYA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Total Risk ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Framingham Risk ◽  
Risk Scoring ◽  
Ascvd Risk ◽  
Risk Estimator

Objective: To assess the individual’s predicted risk of developing a CVD event in 10 y using risk scores among persons with other disorders/diseases. Methods: This is a cross-sectional observational study conducted for a period of 6 mo among 283 subjects. Total risk was estimated individually by using Framingham Risk Scoring Algorithm and ASCVD risk estimator. Results: According to Framingham Risk score the prevalence of low risk (<10%) identified as 67.84% (192), followed by intermediate risk (10%-19%), 19.08% (54), and high risk (≥20%) 13.07% (37). By using ASCVD Risk estimator, risk has reported in our study population was low risk (<5%) is 48.76% (138), borderline risk (5-7.4%) is 13.07% (37), intermediate risk (7.5-19.9%) is about 25.09% (71), high risk (>20%) is about 13.07% (37). Conclusion: In this study burden of CVD risk was relatively low, which was estimated by both the Framingham scale and ASCVD Risk estimator. Risk scoring of individuals helps us to identify the patients at high risk of CV diseases and also helps in providing management strategies.

scholarly journals Temporal trends in cardiovascular risk factors and performance of the Framingham Risk Score and the Pooled Cohort Equations

2018 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susanne Rospleszcz ◽  
Barbara Thorand ◽  
Tonia de las Heras Gala ◽  
Christa Meisinger ◽  
Rolf Holle ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Framingham Risk Score ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Temporal Trends ◽  
Discrimination Performance ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Western World ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Framingham Risk

BackgroundThe Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) are established tools for the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. In the Western world, decreases in incidence rates of CVD were observed over the last 30 years. Thus, we hypothesise that there are also temporal trends in the risk prediction performance of the FRS and PCE from 1990 to 2000.MethodsWe used data from n=7789 men and women aged 40–74 years from three prospective population-based cohort studies enrolled in Southern Germany in 1989/1990, 1994/1995 and 1999/2000. 10-year CVD risk was calculated by recalibrated equations of the FRS or PCE. Calibration was evaluated by percentage of overestimation and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests. Discrimination performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and corresponding area under the curve (AUC).ResultsAcross the three studies, we found significant temporal trends in risk factor distributions and predicted risks by both risk scores (men: 18.0%, 15.4%, 14.9%; women: 8.7%, 11.2%, 10.8%). Furthermore, also the discrimination performance evolved differently for men (AUC PCE: 76.4, 76.1, 72.8) and women (AUC PCE: 75.9, 79.5, 80.5). Both risk scores overestimated actual CVD risk.ConclusionThere are temporal trends in the performance of the FRS and PCE. Although the overall performance remains adequate, sex-specific trends have to be taken into account for further refinement of risk prediction models.

scholarly journals Comparison of Cardiovascular Risk Factors among Somalis Living in Norway and Somaliland

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (13) ◽  
pp. 2353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soheir H. Ahmed ◽  
Niki Marjerrison ◽  
Marte Karoline Råberg Kjøllesdal ◽  
Hein Stigum ◽  
Aung Soe Htet ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
High Body Mass Index ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cvd Risk Factors ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Anthropometric Measures ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Framingham Risk

Objective: We aimed to assess and compare cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and predict the future risk of CVD among Somalis living in Norway and Somaliland. Method: We included participants (20–69 years) from two cross-sectional studies among Somalis living in Oslo (n = 212) and Hargeisa (n = 1098). Demographic data, history of CVD, smoking, alcohol consumption, anthropometric measures, blood pressure, fasting serum glucose, and lipid profiles were collected. The predicted 10-year risk of CVD was calculated using Framingham risk score models. Results: In women, systolic and diastolic blood pressure were significantly higher in Hargeisa compared to Oslo (p < 0.001), whereas no significant differences were seen in men. The ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol was significantly higher in Hargeisa compared to Oslo among both men (4.4 versus 3.9, p = 0.001) and women (4.1 versus 3.3, p < 0.001). Compared to women, men had higher Framingham risk scores, but there were no significant differences in Framingham risk scores between Somalis in Oslo and Hargeisa. Conclusion: In spite of the high body mass index (BMI) in Oslo, most CVD risk factors were higher among Somali women living in Hargeisa compared to those in Oslo, with similar patterns suggested in men. However, the predicted CVD risks based on Framingham models were not different between the locations.

scholarly journals Evaluating Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk scores for participants with known CVD and non-CVD in a multiracial/ethnic Caribbean sample

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8232
Author(s):  
Amalia Hosein ◽  
Valerie Stoute ◽  
Samantha Chadee ◽  
Natasha Ramroop Singh
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Trinidad And Tobago ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Biometric Data ◽  
Risk Prediction Models

Background Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk prediction models have been useful in estimating if individuals are at low, intermediate, or high risk, of experiencing a CVD event within some established time frame, usually 10 years. Central to this is the concern in Trinidad and Tobago of using pre-existing CVD risk prediction methods, based on populations in the developed world (e.g. ASSIGN, Framingham and QRISK®2), to establish risk for its multiracial/ethnic Caribbean population. The aim of this study was to determine which pre-existing CVD risk method is best suited for predicting CVD risk for individuals in this population. Method A survey was completed by 778 participants, 526 persons with no prior CVD, and 252 who previously reported a CVD event. Lifestyle and biometric data was collected from non-CVD participants, while for CVD participants, medical records were used to collect data at the first instance of CVD. The performances of three CVD risk prediction models (ASSIGN, Framingham and QRISK®2) were evaluated using their calculated risk scores. Results All three models (ASSIGN, Framingham and QRISK®2) identified less than 62% of cases (CVD participants) with a high proportion of false-positive predictions to true predictions as can be seen by positive predictabilities ranging from 78% (ASSIGN and Framingham) to 87% (QRISK®2). Further, for all three models, individuals whose scores fell into the misclassification range were 2X more likely to be individuals who had experienced a prior CVD event as opposed to healthy individuals. Conclusion The ASSIGN, Framingham and QRISK®2 models should be utilised with caution on a Trinidad and Tobago population of intermediate and high risk for CVD since these models were found to have underestimated the risk for individuals with CVD up to 2.5 times more often than they overestimated the risk for healthy persons.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Cardiovascular Risk Scores and Several Markers of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in an Asymptomatic Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 955
Author(s):  
Ovidiu Mitu ◽  
Adrian Crisan ◽  
Simon Redwood ◽  
Ioan-Elian Cazacu-Davidescu ◽  
Ivona Mitu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Score ◽  
Subclinical Atherosclerosis ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Intima Media Thickness ◽  
Carotid Intima Media Thickness ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Single Center Study ◽  
Asymptomatic Individuals

Background: The current cardiovascular disease (CVD) primary prevention guidelines prioritize risk stratification by using clinical risk scores. However, subclinical atherosclerosis may rest long term undetected. This study aimed to evaluate multiple subclinical atherosclerosis parameters in relation to several CV risk scores in asymptomatic individuals. Methods: A cross-sectional, single-center study included 120 asymptomatic CVD subjects. Four CVD risk scores were computed: SCORE, Framingham, QRISK, and PROCAM. Subclinical atherosclerosis has been determined by carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), pulse wave velocity (PWV), aortic and brachial augmentation indexes (AIXAo, respectively AIXbr), aortic systolic blood pressure (SBPao), and ankle-brachial index (ABI). Results: The mean age was 52.01 ± 10.73 years. For cIMT—SCORE was more sensitive; for PWV—Framingham score was more sensitive; for AIXbr—QRISK and PROCAM were more sensitive while for AIXao—QRISK presented better results. As for SBPao—SCORE presented more sensitive results. However, ABI did not correlate with any CVD risk score. Conclusions: All four CV risk scores are associated with markers of subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic population, except for ABI, with specific particularities for each CVD risk score. Moreover, we propose specific cut-off values of CV risk scores that may indicate the need for subclinical atherosclerosis assessment.

scholarly journals Predicting 10-year cardiovascular risk using WHO/ISH risk prediction chart among urban population in Salem

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
pp. 5228
Author(s):  
K. Premanandh ◽  
R. Shankar
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Smoking Status ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease Risk ◽  
Total Serum ◽  
Total Serum Cholesterol ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Very High

Background: Coronary vascular disease (CVD) risk estimation tools are a simple means of identifying those at high risk in a community and hence a potentially cost-effective strategy for CVD prevention in resource-poor countries. The WHO /ISH risk prediction charts provide approximate estimates of cardiovascular disease risk in people who do not have established coronary heart disease, stroke or other atherosclerotic disease.Methods: A total of 280 subjects between 40 to 70 years of age were included in this cross sectional study. Eligible households was selected randomly (every 5th household) for the interview using systematic random sampling. Age, gender, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, presence or absence of diabetes and total serum cholesterol were used to compute the total CVD risk using WHO/ISH CVD risk prediction chart. The chart stratify an individual into low (<10%), moderate (10% to <20%), high (20% to <30%), and very high (>30%) risk groups.Results: Moderate and high CVD risk were 12.14% and 7.5% respectively. Of total study participants, 2.5% had very high risk (>40%). High risk (binge drinking) alcohol drinkers (p=0.04) and abdominal obesity (p=0.0001) were significantly associated with higher CVD risk. Higher prevalence of behavioral risk factors was also reported in our study population.Conclusions: A large proportion of the population is at moderate and high cardiovascular risk. Risk stratification and identification of individuals with a high risk for CHD who could potentially benefit from intensive primary prevention efforts are critically important in reducing the burden of CVD in India.

scholarly journals Cardiovascular risk prediction in India: Comparison of the original and recalibrated Framingham prognostic models in urban populations.

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Priti Gupta ◽  
David Prieto-Merino ◽  
Vamadevan S. Ajay ◽  
Kalpana Singh ◽  
Ambuj Roy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Diseases ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Outcome Data ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Resource Setting ◽  
Risk Approach ◽  
The Impact

Introduction: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of death in India. The CVD risk approach is a cost-effective way to identify those at high risk, especially in a low resource setting. As there is no validated prognostic model for an Indian urban population, we have re-calibrated the original Framingham model using data from two urban Indian studies. Methods: We have estimated three risk score equations using three different models. The first model was based on Framingham original model; the second and third are the recalibrated models using risk factor prevalence from CARRS (Centre for cArdiometabolic Risk Reduction in South-Asia) and ICMR (Indian Council of Medical Research) studies, and estimated survival from WHO 2012 data for India. We applied these three risk scores to the CARRS and ICMR participants and estimated the proportion of those at high-risk (>30% 10 years CVD risk) who would be eligible to receive preventive treatment such as statins. Results: In the CARRS study, the proportion of men with 10 years CVD risk > 30% (and therefore eligible for statin treatment) was 13.3%, 21%, and 13.6% using Framingham, CARRS and ICMR risk models, respectively. The corresponding proportions of women were 3.5%, 16.4%, and 11.6%. In the ICMR study the corresponding proportions of men were 16.3%, 24.2%, and 16.5% and for women, these were 5.6%, 20.5%, and 15.3%. Conclusion: Although the recalibrated model based on local population can improve the validity of CVD risk scores our study exemplifies the variation between recalibrated models using different data from the same country. Considering the growing burden of cardiovascular diseases in India, and the impact that the risk approach has on influencing cardiovascular prevention treatment, such as statins, it is essential to develop high quality and well powered local cohorts (with outcome data) to develop local prognostic models.

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