Definição do momento ótimo para contratação do financiamento habitacional usando simulação Monte Carlo
<span class="fontstyle0">Statistical data show that housing finance has been in wide demand as an option for the purchase of real estate and that the level of default and the number of properties auctioned have also increased significantly in recent years.. These data show that the decision to purchase the financed home is not always carried out in an organized way, impacting on high costs and the difficulty in meeting financial commitments made by the borrower. In this context, the objective of this research is to develop a simulation tool, using Monte Carlo simulation techniques, to help consumers make decisions regarding long-term financing in the acquisition of properties. A large number of simulations, using a real-case study, were carried out to verify the validity of the proposed model, allowing the evaluation the behavior of debt costs. The results obtained in this research indicate that the cost of debt can be reduced by more than 40% if the requester chooses to postpone the financing for a few years in order to obtain a greater financial amount to be given as input, reducing the outstanding balance and the financing period.</span><br /><br />