scholarly journals Forecast Analysis of Gross Regional Domestic Product based on the Linear Regression Algorithm Technique

TEM Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 620-626
Author(s):  
Veta Lidya Delimah Pasaribu ◽  
Fauziah Septiani ◽  
Suharni Rahayu ◽  
L Lismiatun ◽  
Muhammad Arief ◽  
...  

Statistical data are indispensable for macro-economic planning activities such as the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) where data can determine the economic development strategies and policies that have been adopted and can be continued in the future. This study draws on quantitative data sources from the Regional Statistical Agency of Jakarta for the period 2017-2019, the subject of the Gross Regional Domestic Product based on current business prices. The aim of this research is to test and predict the level of accuracy of GRDP at current prices based on business fields using the Linear Regression method supported by Rapid Miner software. The results show that the validated Linear Regression algorithm with K-Fold values from 2 to 10 with the sampling type linear sampling and shuffled sampling can be used and implemented with the smallest Root Mean Square Error value of IDR 9,977,431 at k = 10 for the sampling.

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 106
Author(s):  
Ismaulina Ismaulina ◽  
Oumar Tidiane Doumbouya

Fee Based Income is the income that keeps the company from decreasing the net interest margin (NIM). The amount of profit obtained by the bank as well as being efficient and effective in managing company finances, shows a good bank financial performance. One of the products of PT. BSM that provides Fee Based Income is Gold Pawn (rahn) services provided by banks to customers. This research uses quantitative data. Data obtained from the monthly financial statements of gold pawn products and FBI at PT. Bank Syariah Mandiri period January 2017 - December 2019. This study uses a simple linear regression method. Regression analysis shows that the effect of gold rahn on fee based income is significant where t count (3.826)> t table (2.03) and a significance of 0.001 <0.05 so that Ho is rejected and Ha is accepted. It can be concluded that the Gold Rahn variable has a significant effect on FBI. This happens because the total gold Rahn fee received by Bank Syariah Mandiri makes a significant contribution to the bank's profit rate.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-54
Author(s):  
Misdawati Misdawati ◽  
Syahrituah Siregar

Abstract—Remittance is a source of external finance for developing countries. This research aims to determine the remittance influence on poverty alleviation in Indonesia, as well as to determine the influence of the control variables on poverty alleviation which is                  unemployment and gross domestic product. This study uses a descriptive quantitative       approach, using time series data from 1999 to 2018 obtained From the World Bank, BPS, Bank Indonesia and BNP2TKI. Data analysis techniques using double linear regression method (multiple linear Regression method) with smallest squared Method (Ordinary Least Square).  The results showed that remittance had significant negative correlation on poverty alleviation in Indonesia by 3,08%. Unemployment has a significant positive impact on      poverty alleviation, and gross domestic product has a significant negative impact on poverty alleviation in Indonesia. Still low delivery remittance that enter Indonesia due to low levels of education that has migrants, low wages, and expensive remittance shipping costs through financial institutions. Keywords: Remittance, Poverty, Indonesia, OLS (DEA)   Abstrak - Remitansi menjadi sumber keuangan eksternal bagi negara berkembang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh remitansi terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan di   Indonesia, serta  untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari variabel kontrol terhadap pengentasan  kemiskinan  yaitu Pengangguran dan Produk Domestik Bruto.  Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif deskriptif, menggunakan data time series dari tahun 1999 hingga tahun 2018 yang diperoleh dari World Bank, Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia dan BNP2TKI. Teknik Analisis data menggunakan Metode Regresi Linier Berganda (Multiple Linier       Regression Method) dengan Metode Kuadrat Terkecil (Ordinary Least Square).  Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa  Remitansi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap           pengentasan kemiskinan di Indonesia sebesar 3,08 persen. Pengangguran berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan, dan Produk Domestik Bruto  berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pengentasan kemiskinan di Indonesia. Masih rendahnya         pengiriman remitansi yang masuk ke Indonesia disebabkan karena  rendahnya tingkat       pendidikan yang   dimiliki migran, rendahnya tingkat upah, serta mahalnya biaya pengiriman remitansi melalui lembaga keuangan. Kata kunci: Remitansi, Kemiskinan, Indonesia, OLS    


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 90-101
Author(s):  
Chitra Indah Sari

The purpose of this research is as follows: 1) to find out how much problem loans affect SHU KPN-GA Batipuh 2) to know how big of own capital influence SHU KPN-GA Batipuh 3) to know how big business volume influence SHU KPN -GA Batipuh.This research takes place in the Cooperative Islamic Teacher in Batipuh District Tanah Datar. The data collected are quantitative data from RAT reports of civil Islamic teacher cooperative Batipuh in 2010-2015. Data analysis was done by multiple linear regression method. The result of data analysis is known that the problem loans, own capital and business volume simultaneously have significant effect to the Business Result Residual (SHU) of Cooperative Islamic Teacher Batipuh. The problem of non performing loans has the most dominant effect on the Business Result of Islamic Teacher Cooperative (KPN-GA) Batipuh.Based on the results of the research, it is suggested that there should be handling of non-performing loans, increase business capital and lower interest rates, as it will affect the remaining results of operations. 


Author(s):  
Mohammad Shohidul Islam ◽  
Sultana Easmin Siddika ◽  
S M Injamamul Haque Masum

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging task for the meteorologists. Over the last few decades, several models have been utilized, attempting the successful analysing and forecasting of rainfall. Recorded climate data can play an important role in this regard. Long-time duration of recorded data can be able to provide better advancement of rainfall forecasting. This paper presents the utilization of statistical techniques, particularly linear regression method for modelling the rainfall prediction over Bangladesh. The rainfall data for a period of 11 years was obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological department (BMD), Dhaka i.e. that was surface-based rain gauge rainfall which was acquired from 08 weather stations over Bangladesh for the years of 2001-2011. The monthly and yearly rainfall was determined. In order to assess the accuracy of it some statistical parameters such as average, meridian, correlation coefficients and standard deviation were determined for all stations. The model prediction of rainfall was compared with true rainfall which was collected from rain gauge of different stations and it was found that the model rainfall prediction has given good results.


1988 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 1134-1140
Author(s):  
Martin Breza ◽  
Peter Pelikán

It is suggested that for some transition metal hexahalo complexes, the Eg-(a1g + eg) vibronic coupling model is better suited than the classical T2g-(a1g + eg) model. For the former, alternative model, the potential constants in the analytical formula are evaluated from the numerical map of the adiabatic potential surface by using the linear regression method. The numerical values for 29 hexahalo complexes of the 1st row transition metals are obtained by the CNDO/2 method. Some interesting trends of parameters of such Jahn-Teller-active systems are disclosed.


2012 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 1809-1813
Author(s):  
Dai Yu Zhang ◽  
Bao Wei Song ◽  
Zhou Quan Zhu

The accuracy assessment of weapon system is always a complex engineering. How to make the most of the information given in only a few tests and obtain reasonable estimate is always a problem. Based on the fuzzy theory and grey theory, a grey linear regression method is presented. From the numerical example, we can see that this method provides an easy access to deal with data in small sample case and may have potential use in the analysis of weapon performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 330-334
Author(s):  
Novita Ria Lase ◽  
Fristi Riandari

The problem of the SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru school is to predict how many facilities that need to be provided for new students such as chairs, tables and others. This study discusses the prediction of the number of new student registrants at SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru based on the amount of tuition fees using a simple linear regression method. From a commercial point of view, the use of data mining can be used to handle the explosion of data volumes, using computational techniques can be used to produce information needed which is an asset that can increase the competitiveness of an institution. Prediction is almost the same as classification and estimation, except that in the prediction the value of the results will be in the future. This system can be used to predict the number of applicants in the following year to help the school. The advantage is that this simple linear regression method is very simple so that it is easy to calculate and use. Saves the time needed to solve problems, especially those that are very complex.


2019 ◽  
Vol 164 ◽  
pp. 681-689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariusz Zapadka ◽  
Mateusz Kaczmarek ◽  
Bogumiła Kupcewicz ◽  
Przemysław Dekowski ◽  
Agata Walkowiak ◽  
...  

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