scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF DISCRETIONARY SPENDING ON INCUMBENT VICTORIES IN ELECTIONS

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 685-693
Author(s):  
Dewi Darmastuti Darmastuti ◽  
Dyah Setyaningrum
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Winning Strategy ◽  
Social Assistance ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
Opportunistic Behavior ◽  
Municipal Governments ◽  
Discretionary Spending ◽  
Average Proportion

Purpose of the study: This study aims to investigate the opportunistic behavior of local government heads in Indonesia using discretionary spending (grant spending, social assistance, and financial assistance) to win an election. Methodology: The study uses logistic regression on 133 samples of district/municipal governments in Indonesia prior to the election period. Main findings: The study finds no evidence that the average proportion and growth of discretionary expenditure affects the electability of incumbents in Indonesia’s local government head elections. That is, the use of discretionary spending is not sufficiently effective to attract sympathy from voters. Applications of the study: The results of the study provide inputs, especially for incumbents, to help focus more on performance, as it is proven that it leads to a higher probability of being re-elected, rather than the use of discretionary spending as an election-winning strategy. Government and NGOs should inform voters to be more cautious about the opportunistic behavior of their leaders. Novelty/originality of the study: Although some previous studies have examined the use of discretionary spending by incumbents, there has been little research, which provides evidence that such spending for political purposes can in fact help to win elections.

scholarly journals The political hourglass: opportunistic behavior in local government policy decisions

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-43
Author(s):  
Emilio J. de la Higuera-Molina ◽  
Marc Esteve ◽  
Ana M. Plata-Díaz ◽  
José L. Zafra-Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Government Policy ◽  
The Political ◽  
Opportunistic Behavior ◽  
Policy Decisions ◽  
Local Government Policy

scholarly journals Represión del gobierno del D.F a la protesta en el periodo 2012-2014

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Itzel Coca Rios
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Mexico City ◽  
Rare Events ◽  
Necessary Conditions ◽  
Status Quo ◽  
Public Order ◽  
Partial Support ◽  
Nested Analysis

Between 2012 and 2014, there were ten events in Mexico City that were repressed through arbitrary arrests which affected 365 persons. Through data analysis about the protest in that period it’s verified a change in police strategy by means of more selective tactics of repression and protest disarticulation. A sample of massive demonstrations with more than 2 thousand assistants was taken to test the hypothesis of repression as a response to two main characteristics of the events: 1) a protest directed to the federal scope, that local government cannot negotiate with, and 2) that threatens public order and status quo through: violence, several claims directed to many authorities, and radical petitions. The binomial logistic regression with “rare events” package and QCA tests reveal that the federal scope of the claim and the presence of violence from the protestors are necessary conditions for the repression to occur, while radicalism and variety of claims receive partial support. The study concludes with a nested analysis of the cases of December 1st 2012 and 2013.

scholarly journals Predicting Incidence of Long-term Care Insurance Certification in Japan with the Kihon Checklist for Frailty Screening Tool: Analysis of Local Government Survey Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumiko Ito ◽  
Hisashi Kawai ◽  
Harukazu Tsuruta ◽  
Shuichi Obuchi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Long Term Care ◽  
Multiple Logistic Regression ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Care ◽  
Specificity And Sensitivity ◽  
Long Term Care Insurance ◽  
Level 1

Abstract Background: Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification in the short term is of increasing importance in Japan. The present study examined whether the Kihon Checklist (KCL) can be used to predict incidence of LTCI certification (care level 1 or higher) in the short term among older Japanese persons.Methods: In 2015, the local government in Tokyo, Japan, distributed the KCL to all individuals older than 65 years who had not been certified as having a disability or who had already been certified as requiring support level 1–2 according to LTCI system. We also collected LTCI certification data within the 3 months after collecting the KCL data. The data of 17785 respondents were analyzed. First, we selected KCL items strongly associated with incidence of LTCI certification, using stepwise forward-selection multiple logistic regression. Second, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for three conditions (1: Selected KCL items, 2: The main 20 KCL items (nos. 1–20), 3: All 25 KCL items). Third, we estimated specificity and sensitivity for each condition.Results: During a 3-month follow-up, 81 (0.5%) individuals required new LTCI certification. Eight KCL items were selected by multiple logistic regression as predictive of certification. The area under the ROC curve in the three conditions was 0.92–0.93, and specificity and sensitivity for all conditions were greater than 80%.Conclusions: Three KCL conditions predicted short-term incidence of LTCI certification. This suggests that KCL items may be used to screen for the risk of incident LTCI certification.

scholarly journals PENYELENGGARAAN URUSAN PEMERINTAHAN DAERAH STUDI PENYELENGGARAAN URUSAN BIDANG PENDIDIKAN MENENGAH DI KOTA PALOPO PROVINSI SULAWESI SELATAN

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-54
Author(s):  
Harsya Harun
Keyword(s):  
High School ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Key Words ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Basic Education ◽  
Geographical Location ◽  
Provincial Government ◽  
Municipal Governments ◽  
Local Government Authority ◽  
Government Authority

Penyelenggaraan kewenangan pemerintah daerah telah bergeser ke arah prinsip ultra vires doctrine yang nampak pada perumusan kewenangan pemerintah daerah menjadi urusan pemerintah daerah, dan pembagian kewenangan pemerintah pusat dan daerah mengedepankan prinsip yang kongkuren.Kondisi ini ditandai dengan penyelenggaraan urusan pendidikan yang terbagi antara pemerintah kabupaten/kota dengan pemerintah provinsi, dimana untuk pendidikan dasar diselenggarakan oleh pemerintah kabupaten/kota sedang pendidikan menengah dikelola oleh pemerintah provinsi. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan pendekatan motode kualitatif melalui observasi dan kajian pustaka.  Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan penyelenggaraan urusan pendidikan menengah yang dialihkan kepada pemerintah provinsi akan menimbulkan sejumlah kecenderungan baru dalam pengelolaannya baik pada pemerintah daerah maupun pada pemerintah provinsi. Pertama, bahwa kebijakan – kebijakan yang selama ini dikeluarkan oleh pemerintah daerah terkait bidang pendidikan tidak seluruhnya akan diakomodir oleh pemerintah provinsi. Kedua, kecenderungan pada meningkatnya alokasi anggaran pada pemerintah provinsi sebagai ekses pengalihan kewenangan tersebut. Ketiga, proses evaluasi, pengawasan dan pengendalian penyelenggaraan pendidikan menengah oleh pemerintah provinsi yang akan semakin berat dilihat dari sisi letak geografis wilayah, dan keempat kekhawatiran akan kurang terakomodirnya muatan kearifan lokal dalam penerapan kurikulum, dimana sebelumnya setiap kabupaten/kota tentunya memiliki karakteristik budaya yang berbeda sebagai bentuk kearifan lokal yang dapat menjadi penguat dalam penyusunan kurikulum pendidikan. Key Words : Penyelenggaraan Urusan Pemerintahan, Pendidikan Menengah   Abstract Implementation of local government authority has shifted towards the principle of ultra vires doctrine which appears on the formulation of local government authority to the affairs of local government, and the division of central and local government authority put forward the principle of kongkuren. This condition is characterized by the implementation of educational affairs divided between district / municipal governments and provincial governments, where basic education is administered by district / municipal governments while high school is managed by the provincial government. This research was conducted with qualitative motive approach through observation and literature review. The results of this study indicate that the implementation of secondary education affairs transferred to the provincial government will lead to new trends in the management of both local government and provincial governments. First, that the policies that have been issued by local governments related to the education sector will not be entirely accommodated by the provincial government. Second, the tendency to increase budget allocation to the provincial government as an excess of the transfer of authority. Third, the process of evaluation, supervision and control of the implementation of high school by the provincial government will be more severe in terms of geographical location of the region, and the four concerns will be less accommodated local wisdom content in the application of the curriculum, where previously each district government / different as a form of local wisdom that can be a reinforcement in the preparation of educational curriculum. Key Words :Implementation of Government Affairs, High School

scholarly journals Interactions of Financial Assistance and Financial Reporting Competency: Evidence From Local Government in Papua and West Papua Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Pilipus Ramandei ◽  
Abdul Rohman ◽  
Dwi Ratmono ◽  
Imam Ghozali
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Additional Information ◽  
West Papua ◽  
The Republic

Good local government financial statements are financial statements according to the qualitative characteristics of financial statements, which are relevant, reliable, comparable and understandable. However, the phenomenon shows that there are still weaknesses in financial reporting in several local governments in Indonesia, especially in the provinces of Papua and West Papua based on the findings of the Audit Board of the Republic of Indonesia (IHPS II BPK, 2017). The purpose of this study is to obtain empirical evidence of the role of moderating financial assistance and apparatus competency on the quality of government financial reports. Explanation of the relationship between variables was using an institutional theory perspective. The survey was conducted in 2018 on 42 Local Governments in Papua and West Papua. Methods of processing and analyzing data were using SEM-PLS with WarpPLS 6.0 statistical software. The results of the apparatus competency research have a positive effect on the quality of financial statements. A financial resistance positively strengthens the influence of apparatus competency on the quality of local government financial reports. Thus, efforts to overcome the presentation of quality financial statements require competent apparatus through the existence of financial assistance policies. Limitations of the study are the method of collecting data using a questionnaire and that it is very possible for the bias to occur. Therefore, efforts to achieve better results need to be accompanied by an interview method in order to obtain additional information as a comparison of respondents' answers; 2) the determination coefficient value of R- square is 0.41 or 41% indicating that there are still 0.59 or 59% variability in the quality of Local Government Financial Statements (LKPD) which can be explained by other variables outside the research model. 

scholarly journals The Political Economy of Township Government Debt, Township Enterprises and Rural Financial Institutions in China

2006 ◽  
Vol 186 ◽  
pp. 377-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lynette Ong
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Public Goods ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Financial Resource ◽  
Resource Mobilization ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
The Political ◽  
Township Government

This article sheds light on the ways in which township governments mobilized resources from local financial institutions, and how failure to repay many of these loans gave rise to sizeable local government debt. Mobilization of resources was done through loans to collective enterprises whose de facto owners were township authorities. Though the enterprises were nominal borrowers, loan transactions would not have occurred without guarantees by township governments. Another way of financial resource mobilization was by establishing local informal financial organizations that were subject to less strict regulations, and over which township authorities could exercise control. Further, because the enterprises' profits and taxes ultimately went to township authorities, and the enterprises also contributed towards provision of public goods that were the authorities' obligation, enterprise financing became a roundabout way in which township authorities sought financial assistance for their fiscal needs.

scholarly journals Dampak Pemilihan Kepala Daerah terhadap Alokasi Belanja Daerah

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-119
Author(s):  
Doddy Setiawan ◽  
Eka Setyorini
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Social Assistance ◽  
Budget Allocation ◽  
T Test ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Investment Expenditure ◽  
Paired Sample ◽  
Local Election ◽  
Local Government Budget

This research aims at examining the effect of local election to regional head on the local government budget allocation. Sample of the study consists of local government election in Java Island at year 2015. The study expect that incumbent engage in budget manipulation at the election year. The result of the study shows that there is different in the donation expenditure, social assistance expenditure and investment expenditure between pre-election year and election year. There is increase in donation expenditure, regional head increase donation expenditure to increase his performance. However, the increase of donation expenditure through decrease in investment expenditure and social assistance expenditure. Further test shows that incumbent that running for election also use his discretion to decrease service and goods expenditure. AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui adanya perbedaan alokasi belanja hibah, bantuan sosial, belanja barang jasa dan belanja modal dalam APBD pemerintah daerah pada saat pelaksanaan pemilihan umum kepala daerah. Penelitian dilakukan pada 52 daerah Kabupaten/Kota di Pulau Jawa yang melaksanakan pemilukada pada tahun 2015. Untuk menganalisis data, penelitian ini menggunakan statistik deskriptif yang menginformasikan tentang nilai minimum, nilai maksimum, rata – rata (mean) dan standar deviasi (standard deviation). Penelitian ini menggunakan uji-t untuk menguji perbedaan alokasi belanja pada daerah sebelum dan pada saat pemilukada, dengan cara melakukan Uji Paired Sample t-Test. Hasil penelitian yaitu terdapat perbedaan alokasi belanja hibah, bantuan sosial dan belanja modal antara periode sebelum dan pada saat pemilukada. Hasil ini konsisten pada daerah yang dipimpin oleh petahana yang mengikuti pemilukada dan petahana yang tidak mengikuti pemilukada.

scholarly journals PUBLIC GOVERNANCE DAN KORUPSI: BUKTI PENGUJIAN DARI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN PERSPEKTIF TEORI KEAGENAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 223-234
Author(s):  
Evi Maria ◽  
Abdul Halim
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Public Services ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Public Governance ◽  
Asymmetry Of Information ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Asymmetry

This article explores public governance impact on the corruption’s probability in Indonesian local government practices. The research employs data of Indonesian local governments in 2012. Data were analyzed using logistic regression. The study results found that good public governance has a negative effect on corruptio’s probability. The results of this research conclude that the greater public governance index, the less the local government’s engagement in corruption. The results are rugged when area type is added as control variable. Area type do not affect the corruption’s probability in Indonesian local governments. This study found good public governance decreases the asymmetry of information between agents and principals, so that the opportunity to commit corruption are reduced. Improvement of public governance can be done by implementing e-Government to supervise the implementation of government activities and public services in local government, Indonesia.

scholarly journals THE EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL RATIO, LOCAL SIZE AND LOCAL STATUS ON FINANCIAL DISTRESS

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (01) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Novica Indriaty ◽  
Doddy Setiawan ◽  
Yuwita Ariessa Pravasanti
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Financial Ratio ◽  
The Status ◽  
Equity Ratio

This study is aimed to examine the effects of financial ratio empirically, local size and local status on financial distress. The status of financial distress is the condition of the inability of the local government to repay the loan principal and the loan interest. The population of this study include local governments in Indonesia that publish Report on Local Government Finances in 2008-2014. Samples were selected based on purposive sampling method and obtained 641 as research observation. With logistic regression, this study found that financial ratio included current ratio (CR), debt to equity ratio (D/E), operating revenues to total revenues ratio (OR/TR), return on assets ratio (ROA), return on equity ratio (ROE), and macro-economic variables were local size and local status have a significant effect on financial distress. Keywords : Financial Distress, Financial Ratio, Local Size, Local Status, Logistic Regression, Report on Local Government Finances

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