Artificial Intelligence and Data Analytics for Virtual Flow Metering

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anton Gryzlov ◽  
Liliya Mironova ◽  
Sergey Safonov ◽  
Muhammad Arsalan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Multiphase Flow ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Production Control ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Sufficient Accuracy ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Flow Metering ◽  
Oil Gas

Abstract Modern challenges in reservoir management have recently faced new opportunities in production control and optimization strategies. These strategies in turn rely on the availability of monitoring equipment, which is used to obtain production rates in real-time with sufficient accuracy. In particular, a multiphase flow meter is a device for measuring the individual rates of oil, gas and water from a well in real-time without separating fluid phases. Currently, there are several technologies available on the market but multiphase flow meters generally incapable to handle all ranges of operating conditions with satisfactory accuracy in addition to being expensive to maintain. Virtual Flow Metering (VFM) is a mathematical technique for the indirect estimation of oil, gas and water flowrates produced from a well. This method uses more readily available data from conventional sensors, such as downhole pressure and temperature gauges, and calculates the multiphase rates by combining physical multiphase models, various measurement data and an optimization algorithm. In this work, a brief overview of the virtual metering methods is presented, which is followed by the application of several advanced machine-learning techniques for a specific case of multiphase production monitoring in a highly dynamic wellbore. The predictive capabilities of different types of machine learning instruments are explored using a model simulated production data. Also, the effect of measurement noise on the quality of estimates is considered. The presented results demonstrate that the data-driven methods are very capable to predict multiphase flow rates with sufficient accuracy and can be considered as a back-up solution for a conventional multiphase meter.

scholarly journals Production Flow Analysis in a Semiconductor Fab Using Machine Learning Techniques

Processes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 407
Author(s):  
Ivan Kristianto Singgih
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Parallel Machines ◽  
Production Control ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Test Bed ◽  
Data Types ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Learning Techniques

In a semiconductor fab, wafer lots are processed in complex sequences with re-entrants and parallel machines. It is necessary to ensure smooth wafer lot flows by detecting potential disturbances in a real-time fashion to satisfy the wafer lots’ demands. This study aims to identify production factors that significantly affect the system’s throughput level and find the best prediction model. The contributions of this study are as follows: (1) this is the first study that applies machine learning techniques to identify important real-time factors that influence throughput in a semiconductor fab; (2) this study develops a test bed in the Anylogic software environment, based on the Intel minifab layout; and (3) this study proposes a data collection scheme for the production control mechanism. As a result, four models (adaptive boosting, gradient boosting, random forest, decision tree) with the best accuracies are selected, and a scheme to reduce the input data types considered in the models is also proposed. After the reduction, the accuracy of each selected model was more than 97.82%. It was found that data related to the machines’ total idle times, processing steps, and machine E have notable influences on the throughput prediction.

scholarly journals Near real-time air quality forecasts using the NASA GEOS model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Emma Knowland ◽  
Christoph Keller ◽  
Krzysztof Wargan ◽  
Brad Weir ◽  
Pamela Wales ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Reactive Trace Gases ◽  
Assimilation System

<p>NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) produces high-resolution global forecasts for weather, aerosols, and air quality. The NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model has been expanded to provide global near-real-time 5-day forecasts of atmospheric composition at unprecedented horizontal resolution of 0.25 degrees (~25 km). This composition forecast system (GEOS-CF) combines the operational GEOS weather forecasting model with the state-of-the-science GEOS-Chem chemistry module (version 12) to provide detailed analysis of a wide range of air pollutants such as ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Satellite observations are assimilated into the system for improved representation of weather and smoke. The assimilation system is being expanded to include chemically reactive trace gases. We discuss current capabilities of the GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS) to improve atmospheric composition modeling and possible future directions, notably incorporating new observations (TROPOMI, geostationary satellites) and machine learning techniques. We show how machine learning techniques can be used to correct for sub-grid-scale variability, which further improves model estimates at a given observation site.</p>

Detecting Pressure Anomalies While Drilling Using a Machine Learning Hybrid Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurore Lafond ◽  
Maurice Ringer ◽  
Florian Le Blay ◽  
Jiaxu Liu ◽  
Ekaterina Millan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Quality ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Physical Models ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Digital Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
New System

Abstract Abnormal surface pressure is typically the first indicator of a number of problematic events, including kicks, losses, washouts and stuck pipe. These events account for 60–70% of all drilling-related nonproductive time, so their early and accurate detection has the potential to save the industry billions of dollars. Detecting these events today requires an expert user watching multiple curves, which can be costly, and subject to human errors. The solution presented in this paper is aiming at augmenting traditional models with new machine learning techniques, which enable to detect these events automatically and help the monitoring of the drilling well. Today’s real-time monitoring systems employ complex physical models to estimate surface standpipe pressure while drilling. These require many inputs and are difficult to calibrate. Machine learning is an alternative method to predict pump pressure, but this alone needs significant labelled training data, which is often lacking in the drilling world. The new system combines these approaches: a machine learning framework is used to enable automated learning while the physical models work to compensate any gaps in the training data. The system uses only standard surface measurements, is fully automated, and is continuously retrained while drilling to ensure the most accurate pressure prediction. In addition, a stochastic (Bayesian) machine learning technique is used, which enables not only a prediction of the pressure, but also the uncertainty and confidence of this prediction. Last, the new system includes a data quality control workflow. It discards periods of low data quality for the pressure anomaly detection and enables to have a smarter real-time events analysis. The new system has been tested on historical wells using a new test and validation framework. The framework runs the system automatically on large volumes of both historical and simulated data, to enable cross-referencing the results with observations. In this paper, we show the results of the automated test framework as well as the capabilities of the new system in two specific case studies, one on land and another offshore. Moreover, large scale statistics enlighten the reliability and the efficiency of this new detection workflow. The new system builds on the trend in our industry to better capture and utilize digital data for optimizing drilling.

Implementation of Instrumentalised Virtual Multiphase Flow Metering Technology in the Wells of the Vostochno-Makarovskoye Gas Condensate Field

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrey Zozulya ◽  
Vladimir Baranov ◽  
Mikhail Miletski ◽  
Konstantin Rymarenko ◽  
Marat Nukhaev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multiphase Flow ◽  
Liquid Hydrocarbon ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Gas Condensate ◽  
Flow Measurements ◽  
Hydrocarbon Production ◽  
Flow Meters ◽  
Well Production ◽  
Track Record ◽  
Flow Metering

Summary Liquid hydrocarbon quantity optimization is among key technological indicators in the gas condensate fields development. To achieve it one needs to select and maintain optimal well-operating conditions. In this case, multiphase flow measurements are prioritized as an important optimization tool. The article presents a proven record of implementing the technology of instrumentalised virtual multiphase flow metering in the wells of the Vostochno-Makarovskoye gas condensate field to increase the efficiency of liquid hydrocarbon production. Virtual flow metering technologies that use modeling methods and adapt models to actual well-operating parameters aiming at determining well production rates are becoming increasingly popular. At that, the quality of the data at the model input does not often guarantee a qualitative determination of multiphase flow parameters. This article presents a track record of building a virtual multiphase flow meter based on single-phase streamer flow meters mounted on gas wells. Venturi flow meters were used. A series of well tests were conducted in various modes. To configure the streamer model, additional tuning studies were conducted on the separator. While testing the wells, the results of constructing a streamer model were verified by nodal analysis.

scholarly journals Identifying occupant presence in a room based on machine learning techniques by measuring indoor air conditions

2020 ◽  
Vol 172 ◽  
pp. 22005
Author(s):  
Lucia Hanfstaengl ◽  
Michael Parzinger ◽  
Uli Spindler ◽  
Ulrich Wellisch ◽  
Markus Wirnsberger
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Heat Dissipation ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Test Sample ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Automation System ◽  
Precise Control ◽  
Occupancy Detection

Knowing about the presence and number of people in a room can be of interest for precise control of heating, ventilation and air conditioning. To determine the number and presence of occupants cost-effectively, it is of interest to use already existing air condition sensors (temperature, humidity, CO2) of the building automation system. Different approaches and methods for determining presence have attracted attention in recent years. We propose an occupancy detection method based on a method of supervised machine learning. In an experiment, measurement data were recorded in a research apartment with controllable boundary conditions. The presence of people was simulated by artificial injection of water vapour, CO2 and heat dissipation. The variation of the number of artificial users, the duration of presence and the supply air volume flow of the ventilation resulted in a total of 720 combinations. By using artificial users, the boundary conditions were accurately defined, and different presence situations could be measured time-effectively. The data is evaluated with a method of supervised machine learning called random forest. The statistical model can determine precisely the number of people in over 93% of the cases in a disjoint test sample. The experiments took part in the Rosenheim Technical University of Applied Sciences laboratory.

Offshore Drilling: Extending the Weather Window for Operations by Optimal Use of Simulations and Probabilistic Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simen Eldevik ◽  
Stian Sætre ◽  
Erling Katla ◽  
Andreas B. Aardal
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Load Capacity ◽  
Structural Response ◽  
Gaussian Process Regression ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Wave Loads ◽  
Simulation Techniques ◽  
Bad Weather ◽  
Probabilistic Machine Learning

Abstract Operators of offshore floating drilling units have limited time to decide on whether a drilling operation can continue as planned or if it needs to be postponed or aborted due to oncoming bad weather. With day-rates of several hundred thousand USD, small delays in the original schedule might amass to considerable costs. On the other hand, pushing the limits of the load capacity of the riser-stack and wellhead may compromise the integrity of the well itself, and such a failure is not an option. Advanced simulation techniques may reduce uncertainty about how different weather scenarios influence the system’s integrity, and thus increase the acceptable weather window considerably. However, real-time simulations are often not feasible and the stochastic behavior of wave-loads make it difficult to simulate all relevant weather scenarios prior to the operation. This paper outlines and demonstrates an approach which utilizes probabilistic machine learning techniques to effectively reduce uncertainty. More specifically we use Gaussian process regression to enable fast approximation of the relevant structural response from complex simulations. The probabilistic nature of the method adds the benefit of an estimated uncertainty in the prediction which can be utilized to optimize how the initial set of relevant simulation scenarios should be selected, and to predict real-time estimates of the utilization and its uncertainty when combined with current weather forecasts. This enables operators to have an up-to-date forecast of the system’s utilization, as well as sufficient time to trigger additional scenario-specific simulation(s) to reduce the uncertainty of the current situation. As a result, it reduces unnecessary conservatism and gives clear decision support for critical situations.

scholarly journals Identification of NLOS and Multi-Path Conditions in UWB Localization Using Machine Learning Methods

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 3980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cung Lian Sang ◽  
Bastian Steinhagen ◽  
Jonas Dominik Homburg ◽  
Michael Adams ◽  
Marc Hesse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Indoor Localization ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Ultra Wideband ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Line Of Sight ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Case Scenario ◽  
Worst Case ◽  
Worst Case Scenario

In ultra-wideband (UWB)-based wireless ranging or distance measurement, differentiation between line-of-sight (LOS), non-line-of-sight (NLOS), and multi-path (MP) conditions is important for precise indoor localization. This is because the accuracy of the reported measured distance in UWB ranging systems is directly affected by the measurement conditions (LOS, NLOS, or MP). However, the major contributions in the literature only address the binary classification between LOS and NLOS in UWB ranging systems. The MP condition is usually ignored. In fact, the MP condition also has a significant impact on the ranging errors of the UWB compared to the direct LOS measurement results. However, the magnitudes of the error contained in MP conditions are generally lower than completely blocked NLOS scenarios. This paper addresses machine learning techniques for identification of the three mentioned classes (LOS, NLOS, and MP) in the UWB indoor localization system using an experimental dataset. The dataset was collected in different conditions in different scenarios in indoor environments. Using the collected real measurement data, we compared three machine learning (ML) classifiers, i.e., support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) based on an ensemble learning method, and multilayer perceptron (MLP) based on a deep artificial neural network, in terms of their performance. The results showed that applying ML methods in UWB ranging systems was effective in the identification of the above-three mentioned classes. Specifically, the overall accuracy reached up to 91.9% in the best-case scenario and 72.9% in the worst-case scenario. Regarding the F1-score, it was 0.92 in the best-case and 0.69 in the worst-case scenario. For reproducible results and further exploration, we provide the publicly accessible experimental research data discussed in this paper at PUB (Publications at Bielefeld University). The evaluations of the three classifiers are conducted using the open-source Python machine learning library scikit-learn.

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