scholarly journals The Polygenic Risk Score Knowledge Base: A Centralized Online Repository for Calculating and Contextualizing Polygenic Risk Scores

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Madeline Page ◽  
Elizabeth Vance ◽  
Matthew Cloward ◽  
Ed Ringger ◽  
Louisa Dayton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Knowledge Base ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Web Interface ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Gwa Studies

Abstract Introduction: Genome-wide association (GWA) studies identify correlation between genetic variants and phenotypes. GWA findings can be used to calculate polygenic risk scores, which represent the aggregate genetic risk across all associated loci. Methods: We developed a centralized polygenic risk score calculator containing over 2,300 GWA studies from the NHGRI-EBI GWAS Catalog. Polygenic risk scores are calculated from user-uploaded data using various user-defined parameters across any disease(s) or studies. Results: The Polygenic Risk Score Knowledge Base (https://prs.byu.edu) and command-line interface facilitate user-specific polygenic risk score calculations. We report study-specific polygenic risk scores across the U.K. Biobank, 1000 Genomes, and the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and identify potentially confounding genetic risk factors in ADNI.Discussion: We introduce the first streamlined analysis tool and web interface to calculate and contextualize polygenic risk scores across various studies. We anticipate that the PRSKB will facilitate a wider adaptation and innovative use of polygenic risk scores in disease research. Data Availability: This project is documented online at https://polyriskscore.readthedocs.io/en/latest/, and all programs are publicly available at https://github.com/kauwelab/PolyRiskScore. A web interface is also available at https://prs.byu.edu/.

scholarly journals Identifying individuals with high risk of Alzheimer’s disease using polygenic risk scores

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ganna Leonenko ◽  
Emily Baker ◽  
Joshua Stevenson-Hoare ◽  
Annerieke Sierksma ◽  
Mark Fiers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Genetic Risk Score ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Sample Mean ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Reliable Identification

AbstractPolygenic Risk Scores (PRS) for AD offer unique possibilities for reliable identification of individuals at high and low risk of AD. However, there is little agreement in the field as to what approach should be used for genetic risk score calculations, how to model the effect of APOE, what the optimal p-value threshold (pT) for SNP selection is and how to compare scores between studies and methods. We show that the best prediction accuracy is achieved with a model with two predictors (APOE and PRS excluding APOE region) with pT<0.1 for SNP selection. Prediction accuracy in a sample across different PRS approaches is similar, but individuals’ scores and their associated ranking differ. We show that standardising PRS against the population mean, as opposed to the sample mean, makes the individuals’ scores comparable between studies. Our work highlights the best strategies for polygenic profiling when assessing individuals for AD risk.

Effects of genetic risk for alcohol dependence and onset of regular drinking on the progression to alcohol dependence: A polygenic risk score approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 109117
Author(s):  
Ellen W. Yeung ◽  
Kellyn M. Spychala ◽  
Alex P. Miller ◽  
Jacqueline M. Otto ◽  
Joseph D. Deak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Alcohol Dependence ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk

Performance of polygenic risk scores for cancer prediction in an academic biobank.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1528-1528
Author(s):  
Heena Desai ◽  
Anh Le ◽  
Ryan Hausler ◽  
Shefali Verma ◽  
Anurag Verma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Variants ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
European Americans ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Common Genetic Variants

1528 Background: The discovery of rare genetic variants associated with cancer have a tremendous impact on reducing cancer morbidity and mortality when identified; however, rare variants are found in less than 5% of cancer patients. Genome wide association studies (GWAS) have identified hundreds of common genetic variants significantly associated with a number of cancers, but the clinical utility of individual variants or a polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from multiple variants is still unclear. Methods: We tested the ability of polygenic risk score (PRS) models developed from genome-wide significant variants to differentiate cases versus controls in the Penn Medicine Biobank. Cases for 15 different cancers and cancer-free controls were identified using electronic health record billing codes for 11,524 European American and 5,994 African American individuals from the Penn Medicine Biobank. Results: The discriminatory ability of the 15 PRS models to distinguish their respective cancer cases versus controls ranged from 0.68-0.79 in European Americans and 0.74-0.93 in African Americans. Seven of the 15 cancer PRS trended towards an association with their cancer at a p<0.05 (Table), and PRS for prostate, thyroid and melanoma were significantly associated with their cancers at a bonferroni corrected p<0.003 with OR 1.3-1.6 in European Americans. Conclusions: Our data demonstrate that common variants with significant associations from GWAS studies can distinguish cancer cases versus controls for some cancers in an unselected biobank population. Given the small effects, future studies are needed to determine how best to incorporate PRS with other risk factors in the precision prediction of cancer risk. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Polygenic risk modeling with latent trait-related genetic components

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Aguirre ◽  
Yosuke Tanigawa ◽  
Guhan Ram Venkataraman ◽  
Rob Tibshirani ◽  
Trevor Hastie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fat Mass ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Complex Traits ◽  
Fat Free Mass ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Associations ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Genetic Components ◽  
Mass Component

AbstractPolygenic risk models have led to significant advances in understanding complex diseases and their clinical presentation. While models like polygenic risk scores (PRS) can effectively predict outcomes, they do not generally account for disease subtypes or pathways which underlie within-trait diversity. Here, we introduce a latent factor model of genetic risk based on components from Decomposition of Genetic Associations (DeGAs), which we call the DeGAs polygenic risk score (dPRS). We compute DeGAs using genetic associations for 977 traits in the UK Biobank and find that dPRS performs comparably to standard PRS while offering greater interpretability. We show how to decompose an individual’s genetic risk for a trait across DeGAs components, highlighting specific results for body mass index (BMI), myocardial infarction (heart attack), and gout in 337,151 white British individuals, with replication in a further set of 25,486 non-British white individuals from the Biobank. We find that BMI polygenic risk factorizes into components relating to fat-free mass, fat mass, and overall health indicators like physical activity measures. Most individuals with high dPRS for BMI have strong contributions from both a fat mass component and a fat-free mass component, whereas a few ‘outlier’ individuals have strong contributions from only one of the two components. Overall, our method enables fine-scale interpretation of the drivers of genetic risk for complex traits.

scholarly journals Comparisons of Polyexposure, Polygenic, and Clinical Risk Scores in Risk Prediction of Type 2 Diabetes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yixuan He ◽  
Chirag M Lakhani ◽  
Danielle Rasooly ◽  
Arjun K Manrai ◽  
Ioanna Tzoulaki ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Clinical Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Clinical Risk

OBJECTIVE: <p>Establish a polyexposure score for T2D incorporating 12 non-genetic exposure and examine whether a polyexposure and/or a polygenic risk score improves diabetes prediction beyond traditional clinical risk factors.</p> <h2><a></a>RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS:</h2> <p>We identified 356,621 unrelated individuals from the UK Biobank of white British ancestry with no prior diagnosis of T2D and normal HbA1c levels. Using self-reported and hospital admission information, we deployed a machine learning procedure to select the most predictive and robust factors out of 111 non-genetically ascertained exposure and lifestyle variables for the polyexposure risk score (PXS) in prospective T2D. We computed the clinical risk score (CRS) and polygenic risk score (PGS) by taking a weighted sum of eight established clinical risk factors and over six million SNPs, respectively.</p> <h2><a></a>RESULTS:</h2> <p>In the study population, 7,513 had incident T2D. The C-statistics for the PGS, PXS, and CRS models were 0.709, 0.762, and 0.839, respectively. Hazard ratios (HR) associated with risk score values in the top 10% percentile versus the remaining population is 2.00, 5.90, and 9.97 for PGS, PXS, and CRS respectively. Addition of PGS and PXS to CRS improves T2D classification accuracy with a continuous net reclassification index of 15.2% and 30.1% for cases, respectively, and 7.3% and 16.9% for controls, respectively. </p> <h2><a></a>CONCLUSIONS:</h2> <p>For T2D, the PXS provides modest incremental predictive value over established clinical risk factors. The concept of PXS merits further consideration in T2D risk stratification and is likely to be useful in other chronic disease risk prediction models.</p>

scholarly journals Diet quality indices, genetic risk and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality: a longitudinal analysis of 77 004 UK Biobank participants

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. e045362
Author(s):  
Katherine M Livingstone ◽  
Gavin Abbott ◽  
Steven J Bowe ◽  
Joey Ward ◽  
Catherine Milte ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Score ◽  
Diet Quality ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Quality Indices ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Cvd Mortality

ObjectivesTo examine associations of three diet quality indices and a polygenic risk score with incidence of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingUK Biobank, UK.Participants77 004 men and women (40–70 years) recruited between 2006 and 2010.Main outcome measuresA polygenic risk score was created from 300 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with CVD. Cox proportional HRs were used to estimate independent effects of diet quality and genetic risk on all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, MI and stroke risk. Dietary intake (Oxford WebQ) was used to calculate Recommended Food Score (RFS), Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) and Mediterranean Diet Score (MDS).ResultsNew all-cause (n=2409) and CVD (n=364) deaths and MI (n=1141) and stroke (n=748) events were identified during mean follow-ups of 7.9 and 7.8 years, respectively. The adjusted HR associated with one-point higher RFS for all-cause mortality was 0.96 (95% CI: 0.94 to 0.98), CVD mortality was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.90 to 0.98), MI was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.95 to 1.00) and stroke was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.98). The adjusted HR for all-cause mortality associated with one-point higher HDI and MDS was 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93 to 0.99) and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91 to 0.98), respectively. The adjusted HR associated with one-point higher MDS for stroke was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87 to 1.00). There was little evidence of associations between HDI and risk of CVD mortality, MI or stroke. There was evidence of an interaction between diet quality and genetic risk score for MI.ConclusionHigher diet quality predicted lower risk of all-cause mortality, independent of genetic risk. Higher RFS was also associated with lower risk of CVD mortality and MI. These findings demonstrate the benefit of following a healthy diet, regardless of genetic risk.

scholarly journals Insights into non-autoimmune type 1 diabetes with 13 novel loci in low polygenic risk score patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingchun Qu ◽  
Hui-Qi Qu ◽  
Jonathan P. Bradfield ◽  
Joseph T. Glessner ◽  
Xiao Chang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Type 1 Diabetes ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Quality Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Protein Coding ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Rare Genetic Variants ◽  
Gwa Studies

AbstractWith polygenic risk score (PRS) for autoimmune type 1 diabetes (T1D), this study identified T1D cases with low T1D PRS and searched for susceptibility loci in these cases. Our hypothesis is that genetic effects (likely mediated by relatively rare genetic variants) of non-mainstream (or non-autoimmune) T1D might have been diluted in the previous studies on T1D cases in general. Two cohorts for the PRS modeling and testing respectively were included. The first cohort consisted of 3302 T1D cases and 6181 controls, and the independent second cohort consisted of 3297 T1D cases and 6169 controls. Cases with low T1D PRS were identified using PRSice-2 and compared to controls with low T1D PRS by genome-wide association (GWA) test. Thirteen novel genetic loci with high imputation quality (Quality Score r2 > 0.91) were identified of SNPs/SNVs associated with low PRS T1D at genome-wide significance (P ≤ 5.0 × E−08), in addition to 4 established T1D loci, 3 reported loci by our previous study, as well as 9 potential novel loci represented by rare SNVs, but with relatively low imputation quality (Quality Score r2 < 0.90). For the 13 novel loci, 9 regions have been reported of association with obesity related traits by previous GWA studies. Three loci encoding long intergenic non-protein coding RNAs (lncRNA), and 2 loci involved in N-linked glycosylation are also highlighted in this study.

scholarly journals Inclusion of Variants Discovered from Diverse Populations Improves Polygenic Risk Score Transferability

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taylor B. Cavazos ◽  
John S. Witte
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Risk ◽  
African Ancestry ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Genetic Risk Prediction ◽  
Causal Variants ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Relationship

ABSTRACTThe majority of polygenic risk scores (PRS) have been developed and optimized in individuals of European ancestry and may have limited generalizability across other ancestral populations. Understanding aspects of PRS that contribute to this issue and determining solutions is complicated by disease-specific genetic architecture and limited knowledge of sharing of causal variants and effect sizes across populations. Motivated by these challenges, we undertook a simulation study to assess the relationship between ancestry and the potential bias in PRS developed in European ancestry populations. Our simulations show that the magnitude of this bias increases with increasing divergence from European ancestry, and this is attributed to population differences in linkage disequilibrium and allele frequencies of European discovered variants, likely as a result of genetic drift. Importantly, we find that including into the PRS variants discovered in African ancestry individuals has the potential to achieve unbiased estimates of genetic risk across global populations and admixed individuals. We confirm our simulation findings in an analysis of HbA1c, asthma, and prostate cancer in the UK Biobank. Given the demonstrated improvement in PRS prediction accuracy, recruiting larger diverse cohorts will be crucial—and potentially even necessary—for enabling accurate and equitable genetic risk prediction across populations.

scholarly journals Capturing additional genetic risk from family history for improved polygenic risk prediction

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianyuan Lu ◽  
Vincenzo Forgetta ◽  
J Brent Richards ◽  
Celia MT Greenwood
Keyword(s):  
Family History ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Risk ◽  
Adult Height ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Parental History ◽  
Polygenic Risk

Family history of complex traits may reflect transmitted rare pathogenic variants, intrafamilial shared exposures to environmental and lifestyle factors, as well as a common genetic predisposition. We developed a latent factor model to quantify trait heritability in excess of that captured by a common variant-based polygenic risk score, but inferable from family history. We applied our model to predict adult height for 941 children in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children cohort as well as 11 complex diseases for ~400,000 European ancestry participants in the UK Biobank. Parental history brought consistent significant improvements in the predictive power of polygenic risk prediction. For instance, a joint predictor was able to explain ~55% of the total variance in sex-adjusted adult height z-scores, close to the estimated heritability. Our work showcases an innovative paradigm for risk calculation, and supports incorporation of family history into polygenic risk score-based genetic risk prediction models.

scholarly journals Transforming summary statistics from logistic regression to the liability scale: application to genetic and environmental risk scores

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra C. Gillett ◽  
Evangelos Vassos ◽  
Cathryn M. Lewis
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Environmental Risk ◽  
Effect Size ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Size Estimates

1.Abstract1.1.ObjectiveStratified medicine requires models of disease risk incorporating genetic and environmental factors. These may combine estimates from different studies and models must be easily updatable when new estimates become available. The logit scale is often used in genetic and environmental association studies however the liability scale is used for polygenic risk scores and measures of heritability, but combining parameters across studies requires a common scale for the estimates.1.2.MethodsWe present equations to approximate the relationship between univariate effect size estimates on the logit scale and the liability scale, allowing model parameters to be translated between scales.1.3.ResultsThese equations are used to build a risk score on the liability scale, using effect size estimates originally estimated on the logit scale. Such a score can then be used in a joint effects model to estimate the risk of disease, and this is demonstrated for schizophrenia using a polygenic risk score and environmental risk factors.1.4.ConclusionThis straightforward method allows conversion of model parameters between the logit and liability scales, and may be a key tool to integrate risk estimates into a comprehensive risk model, particularly for joint models with environmental and genetic risk factors.

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