Effect of Blood Pressure on Cardiovascular Outcomes: A 15-Year Prospective Cohort Study
Abstract Objective The association between blood pressure(BP) and cardiovascular outcomes has not been well investigated by large prospective studies on Chinese. We aim to analyze the association of BP with cardiovascular outcomes in Chinese population. Method We included a total of 4,569 adults aged 40–90 years from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs. Restricted cubic spline analyses were used to explore linear and nonlinear relationships of BP with cardiovascular outcomes. Result With a mean follow-up of 12.1 years, a total of 4,569 individuals were enrolled in our study, of whom 403 developed cardiovascular outcomes. Multivariable adjusted Cox models showed a strong positive association between BP and cardiovascular outcomes. SBP was significantly associated with composite outcome(HR per 10 mmHg 1.23[1.16–1.29]), myocardial infarction(MI)(HR per 10 mmHg 1.17[1.07–1.27]), and stroke(HR per 10 mmHg 1.29[1.21–1.38]). DBP was significantly associated with composite outcome(HR per 10 mmHg 1.32[1.20–1.44]), MI(HR per 10 mmHg 1.26[1.10–1.44]), and stroke(HR per 10 mmHg 1.39[1.25–1.55]). Restricted cubic spline analyses showed linear relationships of either SBP or DBP with composite outcome, MI and stroke. Conclusion Either SBP or DBP is independently and linearly related to the risk of cardiovascular outcomes. These associations are steeper for stroke than for MI, and vary widely by age, use of antihypertensive treatment, and diabetes status.