scholarly journals Effect of Blood Pressure on Cardiovascular Outcomes: A 15-Year Prospective Cohort Study

Author(s):  
Qi Yu ◽  
Qing-Dong Jin

Abstract Objective The association between blood pressure(BP) and cardiovascular outcomes has not been well investigated by large prospective studies on Chinese. We aim to analyze the association of BP with cardiovascular outcomes in Chinese population. Method We included a total of 4,569 adults aged 40–90 years from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs. Restricted cubic spline analyses were used to explore linear and nonlinear relationships of BP with cardiovascular outcomes. Result With a mean follow-up of 12.1 years, a total of 4,569 individuals were enrolled in our study, of whom 403 developed cardiovascular outcomes. Multivariable adjusted Cox models showed a strong positive association between BP and cardiovascular outcomes. SBP was significantly associated with composite outcome(HR per 10 mmHg 1.23[1.16–1.29]), myocardial infarction(MI)(HR per 10 mmHg 1.17[1.07–1.27]), and stroke(HR per 10 mmHg 1.29[1.21–1.38]). DBP was significantly associated with composite outcome(HR per 10 mmHg 1.32[1.20–1.44]), MI(HR per 10 mmHg 1.26[1.10–1.44]), and stroke(HR per 10 mmHg 1.39[1.25–1.55]). Restricted cubic spline analyses showed linear relationships of either SBP or DBP with composite outcome, MI and stroke. Conclusion Either SBP or DBP is independently and linearly related to the risk of cardiovascular outcomes. These associations are steeper for stroke than for MI, and vary widely by age, use of antihypertensive treatment, and diabetes status.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Yu ◽  
Qing-Dong Jin ◽  
Yan-Qing Chen ◽  
Xin-Ru Liu ◽  
Qing-Ying Lin

Abstract Objective: Previous results on the association between blood pressure(BP) and stroke risk were controversial. We investigated the association of BP with stroke risk in China. Method: We included a total of 5,700 adults aged 40-90 years from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs. Restricted cubic spline analyses were used to explore linear and nonlinear relationships of BP and stroke. Result: With a median follow-up of 6 years, a total of 5,700 individuals were enrolled in our study, of whom 178 developed stroke. Multivariable adjusted Cox models including systolic blood pressure(SBP) and diastolic blood pressure(DBP) showed a strong positive association between SBP and overall stroke. Compared with participants with SBP 0-130 mmHg, the multivariable adjusted HRs[95% CIs] in participants with SBP 130-140, 140-160, 160-180, and ≥180 mmHg were 1.08[0.62-1.89], 2.41[1.51-3.86], 2.21[1.16-4.20], and 3.90[1.78-8.55] for overall stroke; 0.65[0.21-2.04], 3.68[1.73-7.83], 2.51[0.84-7.47], and 5.91[1.69-20.60] for ischemic stroke; 1.26[0.50-3.20], 1.19[0.47-3.04], 2.06[0.66-6.41], and 5.10[1.36-19.20] for hemorrhagic stroke. Restricted cubic spline analyses including SBP and DBP showed linear relationships of SBP with overall, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. No linear or nonlinear relationships of DBP with overall, ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke were observed.Conclusion: SBP is independently and directly related to the risk of overall and its subtypes. Besides, the risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke might be higher when SBP were more than 140 mmHg and 160 mmHg.


Circulation ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Casey M Rebholz ◽  
Elizabeth Selvin ◽  
Menglu Liang ◽  
Christie M Ballantyne ◽  
Ron C Hoogeveen ◽  
...  

Introduction: Galectin-3 is a 35 kDa β-galactoside-binding lectin which has been proposed as a novel biomarker of heart failure primarily due to its involvement in myocardial fibrosis. Elevated levels of galectin-3 may be associated with fibrosis of other organs, such as the kidney, and increase the risk of developing kidney disease. Methods: Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we prospectively analyzed Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants with measurements of plasma galectin-3 levels at baseline (visit 4, 1996-98) and without prevalent kidney disease or heart failure (N=9,647). Incident chronic kidney disease was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 accompanied by 25% eGFR decline, chronic kidney disease-related hospitalization or death, or end-stage renal disease between baseline and December 31, 2013. Results: 2,105 participants (22%) developed incident chronic kidney disease over a median follow-up of 16 years. The mean (standard deviation) plasma level of galectin-3 was 14.7 (4.4) ng/mL. At baseline, galectin-3 was cross-sectionally associated with eGFR (r = -0.31) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) (r = 0.19). After adjusting for demographics and kidney disease risk factors, there was a significant, graded, and positive association between galectin-3 and incident chronic kidney disease (quartile 4 vs. 1 HR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.62, 2.09, p for trend <0.001). The association between galectin-3 and incident chronic kidney disease was attenuated but remained significant after accounting for eGFR and UACR (quartile 4 vs. 1 HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.39, 1.80, p for trend <0.001). The association was similar by diabetes status (p for interaction = 0.33) and stronger among those with hypertension (p for interaction = 0.004). Conclusion: In this community-based population, higher plasma galectin-3 levels were associated with elevated risk of developing incident chronic kidney disease, particularly among those with hypertension.


Author(s):  
Sumeet Panjabi ◽  
Jason Swindle ◽  
Paul Buzinec ◽  
Serban Iorga ◽  
Carlos M Ferrario

To examine cardiovascular outcomes for patients medicated with renin angiotensin system (RAS) drugs/amlodipine in fixed (FDC)- and loose-dose (LDC) combinations. Retrospective claims from a large health plan (data from 01 Mar ‘07 to 31 Dec ’09) were used to identify commercial enrollees aged ≥ 18 yrs with hypertension and index claim for FDC olmesartan/amlodipine (FDC-OA), FDC benazepril/amlodipine (FDC-BA), or LDC angiotensin receptor blocker and amlodipine (LDC-AA). Absence of study drug 6 months prior to index claim, and continuous enrollment for ≥12 months post-index were required. The primary outcome of interest was a cardiovascular event (CVE) composite indicative of heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), acute ischemic heart disease excluding MI, and MI/IHD-related surgery. Outcomes were identified on the basis of a primary or secondary ICD-9 diagnosis or procedure codes or CPT codes. To ensure cohort comparability, propensity scores assessing likelihood of assignment to FDC-OA were estimated separately, relative to FDC-BA and LDC-AA, and propensity score quintiles (PSQ) were generated. Cox proportional hazards model of time to first CVE controlling for demographics and baseline characteristics were estimated for each PSQ and results aggregated to compare time to first follow-up event between FDC-OA separately with FDC-BA and LDC-AA. A total of 4,864 individuals were identified on FDC-OA, 12,051 on FDC-BA, and 7,748 on LDC-AA. Mean follow-up duration was 543, 625, and 585 days, respectively. Mean proportion of day covered with therapy was higher in FDC-OA (0.63) cohort compared to FDC-BA (0.55, P <0.001) and LDC-AA cohorts (0.34, P <0.001). The proportion of patients who experienced an incident CVE in the follow-up was lower in the FDC-OA cohort versus FDC-BA and LDC-AA cohorts (5.94% vs 7.85%, and 16.85%, respectively). Adjusted Cox models suggested that patients initiated on LDC-AA (Hazard ratio [HR] =1.35, p<.001) but not FDC-BA (HR=1.14, p=0.085) were at greater risk of having a CVE compared to FDC-OA. Hazard ratios for first CVE in every quintile were greater for the LDC-AA compared to FDC-OA. In this large, managed care population, patients initiated with FDC-OA had a lower risk of cardiovascular events versus those initiated on LDC-AA, which may be attributed to the greater adherence associated with FDC therapy.


Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joowon Lee ◽  
Tara Shrout ◽  
Emelia J Benjamin ◽  
Vasan S Ramachandran ◽  
Vanessa Xanthakis

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and a leading cause of stroke. Blood pressure (BP) responses to submaximal exercise are associated with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality. The association of BP responses to submaximal exercise with incident AF in the community is unknown. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that higher BP during and slower BP recovery after submaximal exercise are associated with a higher risk of incident AF. Methods: We evaluated Framingham Offspring Study participants who attended examination cycle 7, were free of AF, and underwent submaximal treadmill exercise testing. Systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) were obtained pre-exercise (standing), during exercise (second stage, 2.5 mph at 12% grade), and 3-minutes post-exercise (supine). ΔBP during exercise was defined as exercise BP minus pre-exercise BP. ΔBP during recovery was defined as peak exercise BP minus 3-minutes post-exercise BP. We related exercise BP variables to risk of AF using Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for age, sex, height, weight, resting heart rate, resting SBP, resting DBP, use of antihypertensive medication, current smoking status, and diabetes. Results: We studied 2,002 participants (mean age 58 years; 53% women). During a median follow-up of 15 years, 236 participants (39% women) developed AF. We observed a positive association of exercise DBP and ΔDBP during exercise with risk of AF (Hazards Ratio [HR] per standard deviation [SD] increase 1.28, 95% CI 1.12-1.47 and HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.07-1.39, respectively). There was also a positive association between 3 minutes post-exercise SBP and AF risk (HR per SD-increase 1.31, 95% CI 1.07-1.60) and an inverse relation between ΔSBP during recovery and AF risk (HR per SD-increase 0.79, 95% CI 0.66-0.94, Table ) Conclusions: BP responses to submaximal exercise during midlife may serve as a marker for AF risk in later life.


Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 269
Author(s):  
R. Taylor Pickering ◽  
M. Loring Bradlee ◽  
Martha R. Singer ◽  
Lynn L. Moore

We explored the dose-response relations of sodium, potassium, magnesium and calcium with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in the Framingham Offspring Study, as well as the combined effects of these minerals. Analyses included 2362 30–64 year-old men and women free of CVD at baseline. Cox proportional-hazards models were used estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mineral intakes and incident CVD. Cox models with restricted cubic spline functions were used to examine dose-response relations, adjusting for confounding by age, sex, body mass index, dietary fiber intake, and time-varying occurrence of hypertension. Lower sodium intake (<2500 vs. ≥3500 mg/d) was not associated with a lower risk of CVD. In contrast, potassium intake ≥3000 (vs. <2500) mg/d was associated with a 25% lower risk (95% CI: 0.59, 0.95), while magnesium intake ≥320 (vs. <240) mg/d led to a 34% lower risk (95% CI: 0.51, 0.87) of CVD. Calcium intake ≥700 (vs. <500) mg/d was associated with a non-statistically significant 19% lower risk. Restricted cubic spline curves showed inverse dose-response relations of potassium and magnesium with CVD risk, but no such associations were observed for sodium or calcium. These results highlight the importance of potassium and magnesium to cardiovascular health.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiaojiao Ren ◽  
Zhenghe Wang ◽  
Yujie Zhang ◽  
Peidong Zhang ◽  
Jianmeng Zhou ◽  
...  

Introduction: The association patterns of hemoglobin (HB) concentrations with mortality among the longevity older adults are unclear. We aimed to evaluate the relationship among older adults form Chinese longevity regions.Methods: We included 1,785 older adults aged ≥65 years (mean age, 86.7 years; 1,002 women, 783 men) from the community-based Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. We estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and Cox models with restricted cubic spline.Results: In total, 999 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 5.4 years from 2011 to 2017. Restricted cubic spline analysis found no non-linear association between HB concentrations and all-cause mortality after a full adjustment for covariates among the older adults form longevity regions (p &gt; 0.05 for non-linearity). The risk for all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the groups with HB concentration of &lt;11.0 g/dL (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.10–1.70) and 11.0–12.0 g/dL (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.01–1.54); the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly lower in the groups with HB concentration ≥14.0 g/dL (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.60–0.97) compared with the reference group (13.0–13.9 g/dL).Conclusions: Among older adults form Chinese longevity regions, HB concentrations were found to be inversely and linearly associated with all-cause mortality. Further prospective intervention trials are needed to confirm whether higher HB concentrations had a lower risk of mortality in these older adults.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1514
Author(s):  
Hilde Espnes ◽  
Jocasta Ball ◽  
Maja-Lisa Løchen ◽  
Tom Wilsgaard ◽  
Inger Njølstad ◽  
...  

The aim of this study was to explore sex-specific associations between systolic blood pressure (SBP), hypertension, and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) subtypes, including paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent AF, in a general population. A total of 13,137 women and 11,667 men who participated in the fourth survey of the Tromsø Study (1994–1995) were followed up for incident AF until the end of 2016. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted using fractional polynomials for SBP to provide sex- and AF-subtype-specific hazard ratios (HRs) for SBP. An SBP of 120 mmHg was used as the reference. Models were adjusted for other cardiovascular risk factors. Over a mean follow-up of 17.6 ± 6.6 years, incident AF occurred in 914 (7.0%) women (501 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 413 with permanent AF) and 1104 (9.5%) men (606 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 498 with permanent AF). In women, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 2.10 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60–2.76) for paroxysmal/persistent AF and an HR of 1.80 (95% CI 1.33–2.44) for permanent AF. In men, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 1.90 (95% CI 1.46–2.46) for paroxysmal/persistent AF, while there was no association with the risk of permanent AF. In conclusion, increasing SBP was associated with an increased risk of both paroxysmal/persistent AF and permanent AF in women, but only paroxysmal/persistent AF in men. Our findings highlight the importance of sex-specific risk stratification and optimizing blood pressure management for the prevention of AF subtypes in clinical practice.


2013 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 247-256 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Wanigaratne ◽  
E Holowaty ◽  
H Jiang ◽  
TA Norwood ◽  
R Pietrusiak ◽  
...  

Introduction Evidence suggests that current levels of tritium emissions from CANDU reactors in Canada are not related to adverse health effects. However, these studies lack tritium-specific dose data and have small numbers of cases. The purpose of our study was to determine whether tritium emitted from a nuclear-generating station during routine operation is associated with risk of cancer in Pickering, Ontario. Methods A retrospective cohort was formed through linkage of Pickering and north Oshawa residents (1985) to incident cancer cases (1985–2005). We examined all sites combined, leukemia, lung, thyroid and childhood cancers (6–19 years) for males and females as well as female breast cancer. Tritium estimates were based on an atmospheric dispersion model, incorporating characteristics of annual tritium emissions and meteorology. Tritium concentration estimates were assigned to each cohort member based on exact location of residence. Person-years analysis was used to determine whether observed cancer cases were higher than expected. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine whether tritium was associated with radiation-sensitive cancers in Pickering. Results Person-years analysis showed female childhood cancer cases to be significantly higher than expected (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] = 1.99, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08–3.38). The issue of multiple comparisons is the most likely explanation for this finding. Cox models revealed that female lung cancer was significantly higher in Pickering versus north Oshawa (HR = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.23–4.46) and that tritium was not associated with increased risk. The improved methodology used in this study adds to our understanding of cancer risks associated with low-dose tritium exposure. Conclusion Tritium estimates were not associated with increased risk of radiation-sensitive cancers in Pickering.


Author(s):  
Dong Liu ◽  
Ya Zhang ◽  
Cui-Cui Wang ◽  
Xiao-Hong E ◽  
Hui Zuo

Background: The association of iron metabolism or status with the stroke risk remains unclear. We aimed to examine the associations between markers of iron metabolism or status and stroke risk using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Methods: Overall, 8589 in the CHNS in 2009, and 7290 participants between 2009 and 2015 were included in the cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, respectively. Markers included hemoglobin, ferritin (FET), transferrin (TRF), soluble transferrin receptor (sTRF-R), and ratio of sTRF-R/log FET (sTfR-F index). Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the associations between those markers and risk of stroke. Age, gender, high-sensitivity CRP (hsCRP), body mass index (BMI), current smoking, drinking status, diabetes and hypertension were included as potential confounding factors. Results: We observed longitudinal associations of hemoglobin (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.15 – 2.06, P = 0.004), and sTfR-F index (HR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.46 – 0.99, P = 0.044) with stroke risk among the participants whose BMI ≤ 23 kg/m2. In addition, FET levels were significantly associated with stroke risk among female (HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.00 – 2.09, P = 0.049) after a median of 6.1 years follow-up. Hemoglobin, FET, TRF, sTRF-R, and sTfR-F index were not associated with the risk of stroke in overall analyses. Conclusion: FET among female, hemoglobin and sTfR-F index among those BMI ≤ 23 kg/m2 may be contributing factors for stroke.


Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tara A Shrout ◽  
Vasan S Ramachandran ◽  
Vanessa Xanthakis

Introduction: Orthostatic hypotension (OH) and hypertension (OHT) are associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality. The relation of OH and OHT with heart failure (HF) in the community is not well explored, particularly among the elderly and those with hypertension. Moreover, there remains a paucity of longitudinal data on the development of HF subtypes (HF with reduced ejection fraction [HFrEF] and HF with preserved ejection fraction [HFpEF]) in those with OH and OHT. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that OH and OHT are associated with a higher risk of HF. Methods: We evaluated 1914 Framingham Heart Study participants (mean age 72 years, 1159 women [61%]), with available orthostatic blood pressure (BP) measurements. OH was defined as a decrease and OHT as an increase of 20/10 mmHg in systolic/diastolic BP from supine to standing position, respectively. We used a categorical variable (OH, OHT, absence of OH and OHT [referent]). Using Cox proportional hazards regression, we related OH and OHT to risk of HF and its subtypes (HFrEF, HFpEF), compared to the referent group, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, systolic BP, diastolic BP, hypertension treatment, smoking, and diabetes. Results: There were 275 participants with OH (181 women, 66%) and 411 with OHT (236 women, 57%). On median follow-up of 13 years, 492 developed HF (292 women, 59%). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, OH was associated with higher risk of HF (Hazards Ratio [HR] 1.47; 95% CI, 1.13-1.92; Figure ) compared to referent. Further, OH was associated with higher risk of HFrEF (HR 2.56; 95% CI, 1.46-4.48), but not HFpEF. OHT was not associated with incident HF. Conclusions: Assessment of orthostatic BP response in the elderly may identify future HF risk. Further studies are warranted to investigate mechanisms underlying the observed associations.


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