scholarly journals Innovations in government management of the healthcare system: forecasting of covid-19 consequences in social, investment and business development

2020 ◽  
pp. 11-25
Author(s):  
Tetiana Vasylieva ◽  
Olha Kuzmenko ◽  
Naila Rashid Musayeva ◽  
Sergej Vojtovic ◽  
Maria Kascha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Fourier Series ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Innovation Policy ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Time Series Decomposition ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact

This paper summarizes the arguments and counterarguments within the scientific discussion on the issue of the need for an innovative policy in the area of health protection at the link with the transformation of the social and economic development of the country through the pandemic COVID-19. The main goal of this study is to predict two scenarios for the development of the main indicators of the country's socio-economic development: considering the pandemic COVID-19 and the possible course of events without the influence of epidemiological threats. The systematization of literary sources and approaches to innovation and the determination of the volume of negative consequences for the national economy, due to the introduction of quarantine restrictions, has shown that this issue is quite relevant around the world. The study of the transformation of the trajectory of economic development of Ukraine in the article was carried out in the following logical sequence: 1) collection of statistical information, including 118 indicators of social development, the state of capital investment and business expectations of Ukrainian enterprises and screening of multicollinear indicators among them; 2) performing a time series decomposition separately for the interval 5 years before quarantine and taking into account the impact of the pandemic; 3) forecasting the consequences of the pandemic according to the investigated indicators of economic development in 2020-2022 by turning the time series into the Fourier series. The methodological tools of the study were methods of checking for multicollinearity by Pearson coefficients, decomposition of additive models into a trend and cyclic components, selection of cyclic oscillations by fast Fourier transform, extrapolation of constructed models for subsequent years, and quality control of constructed models by F-test quarterly data for 2015-2020 are selected. The study empirically confirms and theoretically proves that among the socio-economic development factors studied, most experienced significant transformations due to the introduction of quarantine restrictions by the government. This leads to the need for innovation policy in the health sector in order to minimize such consequences in the future. Keywords: Fourier series, forecasting, COVID-19, innovation, time series decomposition, health care.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF INCOME INEQUALITY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN RUSSIAN REGIONS

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 106-110
Author(s):  
Rogneda Vasilyeva ◽  
Oleg Mariev ◽  
Elena Ignatieva ◽  
Alla Serkova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Cultural Development ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Fixed Capital Investment ◽  
The Impact

Inequality in the distribution of income of the population has a certain impact on different aspects of the economic and socio-cultural development of countries and regions. This inequality arises due to a number of factors as the current nature of the production specialization, the availability of production and economic infrastructure, the achieved level of development of the social sphere, socio-cultural, demographic, and other factors. The main objective of this study is to assess the nature and extent of the impact of income inequality in the Russian regions for the subsequent justification of the directions of socio-economic development. We conducted an econometric analysis of the impact of intraregional income inequality (the Gini coefficient), fixed capital investment per capita, and average per capita consumer spending on one of the main indicators of regional economic growth (GRP) per capita was carried out. The model is based on panel data for the period 2012-2018 for 85 regions of the Russian Federation. The results of the study confirm two of three hypotheses. As prospects for further research, it is proposed to consider the impact of inequality in the distribution of household income on economic growth for different groups of regions, including resource-type regions and regions with a predominance of manufacturing industries, as well as for leading regions and regions with a relatively low level of socio-economic development.

Transformation of the economy of Ukrainian cities of regional significance: efficiency of the impact on the socio-economic developmen

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-74
Author(s):  
Mariana Melnyk ◽  
Iryna Leshchukh
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Direct Foreign Investment ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Regional Product ◽  
The Impact

The paper proposes a methodological approach to evaluating the impact of the transformation taking place in the economies of cities of regional significance (CRSs) on the socio-economic development of regions (oblasts). The analysis is conducted for cities of regional significance in the western part of Ukraine. The article emphasizes the asymmetry of regional socio-economic development as a result of the concentration of business activity and capital in the CRSs, a higher level of reception of growing direct foreign investment in the economies of CRSs compared to capital investment; a strong impact of structural changes in the economies of CRS on the Gross Regional Product (GRP). The authors found that the development of most CRSs was based on industrial production. Only half of the oblasts in Western Ukraine analyzed in the study showed evidence indicating that economies of their CRSs are undergoing a transformation towards service economy (which should correspond to the post-industrial development of the country).

Service and Construction Sector of Malaysia: Causality Link (1991-2013)

2014 ◽  
Vol 567 ◽  
pp. 619-624
Author(s):  
Raza Ali Khan ◽  
Mohd Shahir Liew ◽  
Zulkipli bin Ghazali
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Crucial Role ◽  
Service Sector ◽  
Construction Sector ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Two Sectors

The number of research studies has been conducted over the importance of service and construction sector in an economy and confirmed that these two sectors are always being closely associated to the aggregate economy and play crucial role in the socio economic development of a country. The objective of this study is to examine the link between the construction and service sector of Malaysia during the last two decades by using time series econometric analysis. The Granger causality approach is used to obtain the objective of the study. The results of the study suggest that there is a uni-directional (one way) association between the service and construction sector in Malaysia i.e. construction sector to service sector. The construction sector plays a significant role to motivate the economic activities of the service sector in Malaysia and the service sector take 6 months (two quarters) to absorb the impact of a shock coming from the construction sector. The results of the study are important and useful for developing future policies for the construction and services sectors of Malaysia. The results are also important and informative for interested parties of the sectors.

scholarly journals SOCIO-ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL TOURISM ARE UNDER ACT OF FACTORS OF GLOBALIZATION

2021 ◽  
pp. Olena-GOLOVNYA
Author(s):  
Olena GOLOVNYA
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Medical Tourism ◽  
International Terrorism ◽  
International Tourism ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Health Tourism ◽  
The World ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact

The impact of globalization on the socio-economic development of the world and Ukraine is traced. The negative consequences of the process of globalization have been that it has become a huge challenge for humanity. According to the author, the biggest threats to the modern world include: the flow of excessive information, which often turns into information attacks; international terrorism, which threatens international tourism and the safe socio-economic development of many countries; negative natural phenomena in the form of climatic cataclysms and others. It has been studied that, in addition to the negative economic consequences, globalization can have an antisocial character. Globalization is actually destroying space and widening distances. Today, the key factor in overcoming the epidemic is social distance, the isolation of the individual. Quarantine is diametrically opposed to the «open society» that globalization and integration advocated at the time. It is determined that international tourism is a consequence of globalization processes is a form of international movement of human resources, has a mass character and is one of the leading highly profitable and most dynamic sectors of the world economy. It is revealed that globalization provides an opportunity for the development of various types of tourism, including professional and business, cultural, sports, medical, health tourism. In particular, health tourism is one of the important factors in shaping the country’s social security by strengthening the health of the population, replenishing the state budget, and attracting foreign investment in joint medical projects. To create a positive medical image of the country, the governments of many countries develop national programs for the development of medical tourism and allocate funds for its establishment. An important goal of international tourism is professional and business travel and «business tourism», among which the leading place is occupied by trips to international fairs and exhibitions. In the process of analysis on these issues used general scientific methods: historical and logical, analysis and synthesis, comparative, grouping, etc.

Assessment of the influence of the spatial environment on the socio-economic development of the municipality

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 148-155
Author(s):  
K. N. Yusupov ◽  
V. M. Timiryanova, ◽  
Iu. S. Toktamysheva ◽  
A. F. Zimin,
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Socioeconomic Development ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Geographical Location ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
The State ◽  
Municipal District ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Spatial Environment ◽  
The Impact

The article presents a methodology for assessing the impact of spatial environment on the socioeconomic development of municipalities. It relies on existing tools for assessing the state and potential of the geographical location of municipalities. An integrated approach allows to determine the potential of the interaction of the municipality with the neighbors of the first and second order. The methodology was tested on statistical data on the Blagovarsky municipal district.

scholarly journals Challenges and Sustainability of China’s Socio-Economic Stability in the Context of Its Demographic Development

Societies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Andrea Čajková ◽  
Peter Čajka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Population Policy ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Challenges ◽  
Family Behavior ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact

Like many developed countries in the world, China currently faces many serious demographic challenges that pose a potential risk to the country’s socio-economic development and stability. The current demographic development and trend is characterized by a change in the reproductive behavior of the population, characterized by a decline in birth rates, a change in family behavior, and a shift in the value system. This paper is aimed at identifying the impact of population policy and the degree of its influence on both the economic and social system of the country. Based on a deterministic approach, the findings reveal and demonstrate the serious demographic challenges facing China, and we are noting that there is no guarantee that parametric adjustments, such as shifting the retirement age, will de facto ensure the financial health of the pension system by preventing bankruptcy. We point out the risks and prospects for the sustainability of China’s socio-economic development based on an analysis of past and current Chinese demographic policy.

Procesy dywestycji i dezagraryzacji w rolnictwie o rozdrobnionej strukturze agrarnej

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomasz Wojewodzic ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Agricultural Policy ◽  
Policy Development ◽  
Spatial Diversity ◽  
Theoretical Research ◽  
Small Farms ◽  
Territorial Unit ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Agrarian Structure

The turn of the 20th and 21st centuries has been a very dynamic period of change in Poland and around the world; also a period of change in thinking about the economy and agriculture. The present work is a study of the decline, divestments and development of agriculture in the areas of fragmented farming structure. The reflections presented herein, upon the processes of the remodelling of agrarian structures, of divestments in farming, and disagrarisation, are mostly anchored in the achievements of the theory of spatial economy (land management), and the microeconomic theories of choice, including the theory of an agricultural holding (farm) and land rent theories. The work focuses on the economic issues of remodelling the agrarian structure, but due to the nature of the issues discussed herein, specifically in relation to family-owned farms, the social and environmental aspects also needed to be taken into account – in response to the need for a heterogeneous approach, which is increasingly stressed in economic sciences today. The main objective of the research was to diagnose and assess the scale and scope of the mechanisms and processes that inform the decline and growth of agricultural holdings in the areas with fragmented farming structure. The study covered the area comprising four regions (provinces) of south-eastern Poland, which – according to the FADN nomenclature – form the macro region of Małopolska and Pogórze. The study of subject literature has been enriched with an analysis of available statistics; data from the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN); information obtained from the Department of Programming and Reporting at the Agency for Restructuring and Modernisation of Agriculture; and author’s own research conducted among farm owners. The information thus obtained made it possible to: • Determine the theoretical premises for the spatial diversity of agriculture, and the role of small farms in the shaping of agrarian structure. • Adapt the concept of “divestment” for the description and analysis of the phenomena occurring in agriculture. • Indicate the role and importance of the processes of divestment and disagrarisation in the restructuring of agriculture. • Assess the natural, social and economic determinants of the process of restructuring agriculture in areas with fragmented farming structure. • Assess selected aspects of economic efficiency of agriculture in areas with fragmented farming structure, with the focus on small and micro farms. • Carry out an ex ante evaluation of the impact of agricultural policy instruments on the process of restructuring of agriculture in the macro region of Małopolska and Pogórze. • Identify the indicators of decline and fall, and barriers to the liquidation of farms. • Assess the relationship between the level of socio-economic development, the structure of farming, and the quality of agricultural production space in a given territorial unit, versus the intensity of the economic and production disagrarisation processes in agricultural holdings. • Propose targeted solutions conducive to the improvement of the farming structure in areas with a high framentation of agriculture. Observation of the processes occurring in agriculture, and the scientific theories created on the basis thereof, have shown that even the smallest farms have a chance to continue in existence, provided that we are able to positively verify their adaptation to the changing conditions in the environment. Carrying out farming activity is a prerequisite for implementing the economic, social and environmental functions associated with family farms. At the same time, based on the analyses performed, we need to assume that the advanced processes of the production and economic disagrarisation of agricultural holdings are to a greater extent determined by the anatomical features of agriculture, and by the natural conditions, than by the level of socio-economic development of the given territorial unit. In the current economic climate, the remodelling of the agrarian structure is only possible with the active participation of the institutions responsible for the creation of economic growth and agricultural policy development. It is extremely important from the point of view of environmental protection, and the viability of rural areas, to support small farms engaged in agricultural activities, and to introduce such instruments that will enable the replacement of an economic collapse with divestments, carried out in a planned manner, and allowing for thus released agricultural resources to find alternative application in units with a higher development potential. The area of theoretical research requiring further exploration includes the issues such as transactional costs of the liquidation of agricultural holdings, and the assessment of the economic effectiveness of conducting divestments.

The impact of the regional capital on center-periphery interactions – the case of Lviv and its surrounding region

2021 ◽  
Vol 93 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-43
Author(s):  
Iryna Leshchukh ◽  
Olha Mulska
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
General Pattern ◽  
Development Index ◽  
Regional Center ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The One ◽  
Index Value ◽  
Regional Capital ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Strong Inverse Relationship

o analyse the impact of Lviv on centre-periphery interactions the authors calculated the Socio-Economic Development Index for different districts of the region and considered the distance of each district from the regional capital. The Socio-Economic Development Index (Іr) of each district was calculated as the arithmetic mean of indices of its economic (Іе) and social (Іs) development. A strong inverse relationship was found between districts’ indices and their distances from the regional capital (R = –0.69). The indices were used to classify districts into three categories: central, semi-peripheral, and peripheral. The central category includes districts located within a 50-km radius of Lviv and their indices range from 0.5 to 0.7. Semi-peripheral districts are located within the radius of 50-75 km and their Іr values range from 0.3 to 0.5. Peripheral districts are located at the furthest distance from the regional centre, and their Іr values are below 0.3. Because the correlation between the distance from the regional center and index value for some districts was not consistent with the general pattern, two subtypes of districts were also added – core and ancillary. The authors demonstrate that the impact of the regional capital on the socio-economic development of administrative districts decreases with their increasing distance from the regional center. The level of socio-economic development in districts depends, on the one hand, on the strength of impulses generated by the regional center, and on the other hand, is determined by the local economic capacity and ability to absorb the impacts of the regional center and other local growth poles.

scholarly journals Landscapes with different logics: A physicalistic approach to semantic conflicts in spatial planning

2017 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 29-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Krzysztofik ◽  
Mirek Dymitrow ◽  
Jadwiga Biegańska ◽  
Adam Senetra ◽  
Eleftheria Gavriilidou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Spatial Planning ◽  
Centrifugal Forces ◽  
Complicated Structure ◽  
Anthropogenic Landscapes ◽  
Semantic Conflicts ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Geographical Space ◽  
Special Meaning

Abstract This paper deals with the ways of categorising landscapes as ‘urban’ and ‘rural’ using a physicalist approach, where these terms have special meaning. The aim of this paper is to elaborate on the question whether such a division is still meaningful with regard to anthropogenic landscapes, not least in spatial planning. The concerns raised in this paper depart from the increasingly complicated structure of geographical space, including that of anthropogenic landscapes. Our standpoint is illustrated using cases of landscape ambiguities from Poland, Germany, Romania and Greece. Leaning on frameworks of physicalist (mechanicistic) theory, this paper suggests an explanation to the outlined semantic conflicts. This is done by pointing to the relationality between the impact of centripetal and centrifugal forces, the specifics of socio-economic development, as well as the varying landscape forms that emerge from the differences within that development.

scholarly journals Effectiveness of Micro-Credit Programs in Socio-Economic Development: A Study on Selected NGOs in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
pp. 49-61
Author(s):  
Touhidul Islam ◽  
Dr. Razu Ahmed ◽  
Kohinur Aktar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Occupational Status ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Non Governmental Organizations ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Micro Credit

Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs) evolved in Bangladesh with the commitment of bringing positive social change and attaining balanced socio-economic development through the disbursement of micro-credit among the marginal people in society. The main intention of the study is to assess the impact of micro-credit on the overall socio-economic development of micro-credit receivers. The Chi-square (χ2) and Multinomial Logistic Regression techniques have applied on primary data collected from 260 beneficiaries of micro-credit of ASA and BRAC NGOs in the Mymensingh district of Bangladesh. The χ2 analysis shows that the amount of micro-credit taken has a significant positive impact on respondents’ type of home, sanitation facilities, ownership of other household assets, health service received, yearly income, expenditure, and savings, and participation in family’s decision making, whereas an insignificant relationship is observed for occupational status, children education, ownership of land and livestock, sources of drinking water, economic solvency, and social status of the respondents.

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