APPLICATION OF ECONOMIC AND STATISTICAL METHODS FOR ASSESSMENT OF RETAIL TRADE TURNOVER DEVELOPMENT AND FACTORS OF ITS FORMATION

Author(s):  
E.N. Vistorobskaya ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Borusiak

This chapter explains the mechanisms for the emergence of selected innovative formats based on existing format change theories. The nature of a retail format is explored and the classification both of retail formats and alternative retail formats are presented. Four groups of theories (cyclical, conflict, environmental, and integrated) explaining the emergence and evolution of retail formats are analysed. Retail formats theories are applied in explaining the emergence of two formats: pop-up store and m-commerce. The approach involved a review of literature and analysis of empirical data concerning the structure of the retail trade turnover in the chosen countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (45) ◽  
pp. 56-64
Author(s):  
O. O. Kavun-Moshkovska ◽  

The purpose of the article is to identify the structural and regional peculiarities of developing retail trade in Ukraine during 1990–2019. On the basis of the research the author has come to conclusion that the process of developing retail trade in Ukraine during the years 1990–2018 can be divided into four periods, two of which (2000–2013 and 2016–2018) show positive dynamics of changes in the industry, and the other two (1991–1999 and 2014–2016) reflect the negative consequences of the processes that took place in the country’s economy at that time. The structure of retail trade of the whole period analyzed, with the exception of 1993–2001, was dominated by non-food goods. Their share increased from 55.6 % in 1990 to 61.5 % in 2018. The turnover structure at retail trade enterprises in 2005–2013 varied from region to region: in some regions the volume of retail turnover was increasing, while in others it was shrinking. The analysis has showed that during 2005–2019, the structure of Ukraine’s retail trade turnover was dominated by consumer goods produced in the country, but their share fell from 70.5% to 52.4%. The realization of consumer goods in Ukraine during the period analyzed was carried out mainly through traditional sales channels (i.e., shops). The research has resulted in proving that the share of trade turnover made with payment cards increased from 21.3 % to 30.8 % during 2017–2019. At the same time, retail trade, carried out by way of executing bank loan agreements, accounted for a small share, ranging from 2.2 to 2.4 %. A thorough analysis of the commodity structure of retail trade and that of the regional peculiarities of Ukrainian consumers’ preferences can serve as future research perspectives in this direction.


Vestnik NSUEM ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 162-174
Author(s):  
T. G. Khramtsova ◽  
O. O. Khramtsova

The article considers some methodological issues of researching the potential of the regional consumer market, analyzes the indicators characterizing the availability and use of labor potential, infrastructure elements, commodity stocks in Novosibirsk region. Index multiplicative models of the studied indicators allowed us to obtain a quantitative assessment of the influence of factors on the consumer market potential. The development of retail trade turnover is regarded as a social and economic effect of the consumer market functioning. The author came to the conclusion that there is a lack of effective use of the regional consumer market potential and there are problems in the retail regulation system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 23-34
Author(s):  
Fahir Kanlić ◽  
Ademir Abdić

AbstractNational Statistical Institutes (NSIs) strive to produce short-term business statistics (STS) indicators with the high quality estimates in a timely manner. NSIs are usually faced with the challenges, such as differences in definitions, incompleteness of administrative data, periodicity and timeliness, coverage issues, etc. Administrative Value Added Tax (VAT) turnover data can be used to partially or completely replace survey data for the estimation of short-term business turnover indicators. In this paper, main characteristics of administrative VAT turnover data in Bosnia and Herzegovina will be examined through cleaning of VAT turnover data and matching them with survey data. Hence, the main objective of this study is to investigate the relationship between VAT turnover data and survey data in in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The Monthly Retail Trade Turnover Indices (RTI) for in Bosnia and Herzegovina will be estimated by using administrative VAT turnover data. Spearman’s correlation coefficients are used to examine the presence of a linear relationship between VAT turnover data and survey data. Results gained by using survey and administrative VAT turnover data will be compared. Based on the results of the analysis, future challenges and perspectives for expansion of using administrative VAT turnover data will be identified.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 68-79
Author(s):  
М. M. Nizamutdinov ◽  
V. V. Oreshnikov

The subject of the research is the factors influencing the attractiveness of Russian cities for the population, business and tourism. The objects of the research via economic and mathematical methods are the cities of the Russian Federation with population over 100 thousand people and the parameters of their social-economic development. The purpose of the research is economic and mathematical modeling of the attractiveness change level of Russian cities. In the course of the research a system of regressive equations has been formed, and a corresponding dispersion analysis has been conducted. As the factors influencing the attractiveness of cities for people the authors detected the following ones: the number of residents, housing, payroll rate, crime rate, and medical service density. To evaluate the attractiveness of cities for businesses the authors study the production volume, the volume of retail trade turnover, and the number of people living in the city. On the whole, the regression equations obtained meet the case and can be used henceforward with the aim of forecasting the change of indicators under study. Functional blocks of tools for monitoring and forecasting attractiveness levels of cities are proposed. The key ones are the blocks of forming the task, creating scenarios, forecasting, information analysis, regions rating forming, results visualization. It is concluded that being an integral system, models of cities’ attractiveness for people, business and tourism supplement each other and make it possible to fulfill a comprehensive approach to solving the problem. The results obtained can be used by the authorities in order to solve problems concerning integrated territorial development of the Russian Federation.


Author(s):  
Yu. N. Prokhorov ◽  
O. S. Karashchuk

The article studies trends in the development of retail internet-trade in Russia based on official statistic data. The research showed that the share of internet-trade in the total retail trade turnover is very low, the target indicators of the Strategy of Trade Development in the Russian Federation up to 2025 were not attained. Only one third of the population use the Internet to buy goods and the average cost of sale per one customer in the network makes up 10 500 rubles a year. Different factors exerted various influence on the dynamics of yearly cost of internetsales per one customer: the growth in the total volume of market (trade turnover) of internet-trade had a positive impact, while a share of the population using the Internet for purchases had an adverse affect. The impact of the corona-virus pandemic, which caused a mass temporary shift to internet buying was not studied in the work. Findings of the analysis gave a chance to ground the conditions of the further development of internet-trade. Among promising conditions the article underlined a growing cover of different regions by the Internet, as this factor is an infrastructural one for building internet-trade. Another promising line in further development of internet-trade is selling goods by mobile applications, as mobile access to the Internet is prevailing for people of the country.


Author(s):  
Tetiana Romanchenko ◽  
Anastasiya Savchenko

The article reveals the main trends in the development of retail chains in the perfume and cosmetics market of Ukraine, highlights the activities of the largest drogerie chains (market leaders in perfumes and cosmetics identified as Eva, Watsons, Prostor and Cosmo, last two merged in 2020 in one chain). The main trends that influence the formation of marketing sales marketing strategies and the main aspects of the development of retail chains of the perfume and cosmetics market were analyzed; the directions of development and use of marketing sales channels were identified. It has been found that, despite engrafted omnichannel elements, drogerie chains do not use all marketing channels, which reduces the effectiveness of marketing efforts. A comparison of development rate of the world and domestic markets of perfume and cosmetics is made. According to statistics, the growth of the Ukrainian market is steady, not ahead of world indicators. The Ukrainian cosmetics market during 2009–2020 shows an upward trend, during these years the growth rate ranges from 2% (the lowest value is observed in 2011) to 3.8% (in 2019) ergo the industry is developing, the demand for cosmetic products is growing. Starting from 2019 a significant part of the market gained by Makeup.ua, an online cosmetics store without any traditional store. None of the perfume and cosmetics chains, national or international with large chain of stores, exceeded 0.5% of the Ukrainian market in 2019 and 2020. So, the leaders are set: 2 national drogerie chains, one international and one online store. It is proposed to introduce a systematic approach in retail chain marketing channel strategy, which in contrast to the existing ones considers the specific features of the retail chain. This approach allows determining the need for the formation of new marketing channels or optimization of existing ones to increase the effectiveness of marketing sales strategy of the retail chain. Analysis of statistical data on retail trade turnover of Ukraine by regions and categories of goods allowed determining regions and cities of concentration of retail enterprises. It has been established that consumers of perfumes and cosmetics in Ukraine prefer to buy in physical stores, but channels such as online store and applications double the turnover annually due to the development of technology, mobile communication and reducing consumer distrust of virtual channels sales.


Author(s):  
K.E. Arkhipova ◽  
◽  
I.V. Sheverdjaev ◽  
◽  

The article proposes to consider the results of the spatial analysis of the municipal districts of two regions – Krasnodar Territory and the Rostov Region – with the study of the transport connectivity of the territories of 80 municipal districts. The technique used is based on calculating the distances along the length of highways connecting the centers of municipal districts. Information sources of the study are statistical data available in the database of indicators of municipalities and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical Service of the Federal State Statistics Service for 2018. Spatial analysis is carried out on the basis of the values of the following indicators of the municipal district: the volume of shipped goods of own production, works and services performed on their own by the types of activities “manufacturing” and by the types of activities “production and distribution of electricity, gas and water”; commissioning of residential buildings; retail trade turnover; investments in fixed assets; average number of employees; pollutants emitted into the atmosphere from fuel combustion (for the generation of electricity and heat), total; the length of the road between the administrative centers of the districts. Calculated on the basis of the above indicators, assessments of the effectiveness of aggregated production technologies of municipal districts, taking into account anthropogenic impact on the environment and transport connectivity, are included in the database of the geographic information system “Economic space of the region and nature”. The results obtained indicate a higher degree of transport connectivity in the southern part of the study area and a lower level of comparative efficiency of aggregated municipal production technology in comparison with the northern part of the study area.


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