scholarly journals Rational Migration Policy Should Tolerate Non-zero Illegal Migration Flows: Lessons from Modelling the Market for Illegal Migration

2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Horst Entorf
2020 ◽  
pp. 72-77
Author(s):  
V.Yu. Ledenev ◽  
◽  

Analyzed is systemic interaction of regional and municipal authorities and public organizations in work of social adaptation and integration of migrants. Socio-demographic demand for migrants and, at the same time, the need for their adaptation and integration is emphasized, since migrants bring their own culture of behavior, traditions and customs, that often contradict values of host societies. At present, issues of adaptation and integration of migrants are coming to the fore in migration policy of the RF in connection with increased migration flows, high risks of extremism and terrorism in migration processes and the growth of illegal migration. In addressing these issues, constructive activity of national-cultural autonomies and other public organizations, that promote adaptation and integration of migrants, could be of significant help. The author identifies the main factors that negatively affect the nature of interaction between local self-government bodies and public organizations, emphasizes the lack of regulatory framework, governing distribution of powers between the federal center and constituent entities, the lack of unified understanding of categories of migrants, who need integration and adaptation. Due to these problems, regional authorities, municipalities and public organizations have different views on tasks of adaptation and integration of migrants and act in accordance with their own ideas about these processes. The article examines experience of the most successful social practices of public organizations in regions of Russia, that might be of interest to federal and regional executive bodies, and results could be used in developing unified approach and methodological support for activities of executive bodies of constituent entities of the RF to improve efficiency of state regulation in this direction.


Author(s):  
Yulia V. Paukova ◽  
◽  
Konstantin V. Popov ◽  

The present article considers the need to predict migration flows using Predictive Analytics. The Russian Federation is a center of migration activity. The modern world is changing rapidly. An effective migration policy requires effective monitoring of migration flows, assessing the current situation in our and other countries and forecasting migration processes. There are information systems in Russia that contain a wide range of information about foreign citizens and stateless persons that provide the requested information about specific foreign citizens, including grouping it on various grounds. However, it is not possible to analyze and predict it automatically using thousands of parameters. Special attention in Russia is paid to digitalization. Using information technologies (artificial intelligence, machine learning and big data analysis) to forecast migration flows in conditions of variability of future events will allow to take into account a number of events and most accurately predict the quantitative and so-called "qualitative" structure of arrivals. The received information will help to develop state policy and to take appropriate measures in the field of migration regulation. The authors come to the conclusion that it is necessary to amend existing legal acts in order to implement information technologies of Predictive Analytics into the practice of migration authorities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (5) ◽  
pp. 110-118
Author(s):  
M. Shkurat ◽  
K. Pavlotska

Analysis of the migration process of the Ukrainian population, which takes place within the state and at the international level during 2014–2019 is carried out in this paper. On the basis of scientific works of domestic scientists and institutes the problems which have not been investigated, and also aspects which have been solved partially are defined. The negative consequences of the Ukrainian migration process on the state of the country are identified. The classification of migration flows of the Ukrainian population according to the reasons of movement is carried out. The main regions and countries which, as of the beginning of 2021, are more attractive to compatriots and are characterized by significant influxes of Ukrainians are identified. The main centers of departure – regions and countries – which are characterized by high level of outflow of Ukrainians are determined, the main problems and reasons that motivate the outflow of Ukrainians are highlighted in this paper. The level of growth of the Ukrainian population in terms of migration flows is defined. The investigation of Ukrainian diasporas, territorial location and analysis of their share in comparison is carried out. The main factors that force the Ukrainian population to move, which affects the demographic situation in Ukraine, the level of employment, as well as the amount of cash flows to the country and the state of the economy as a whole are identified. The main regulations and identified solutions to the migration flows of the domestic population, which were approved and implemented in the period from 2001 to 2019 are compared in this paper. On the basis of current and newly introduced strategies, critical analysis of the ways of regulating the migration process of the Ukrainian population is carried out, the main aspects and problems of the implemented migration policy of Ukraine are determined. The results of the work are to identify the main ways to reduce the negative impact of the migration process on the country's economy and related processes, and strategies to benefit from the movement of citizens of Ukraine, namely: introduction of intellectual security, revision of wages by region, stimulating the process of attracting technology in all spheres of activity and formation of the social protection system.


Author(s):  
Galina Voronenkova ◽  
Julia Islanova

Starting from 2013, the authors of “Der Spiegel” have been actively criticizing the policy of the Chancellor Merkel for inaction in the conditions of an increasing number of migrants from Middle Eastern countries. At the same time, the main opponents of the Chancellor were also criticized for their trying to pull away from the increasing migration problem and to absolve themselves of responsibility for migrants rushing deep into Europe, recalling the terms of the Dublin Regulation. The situation changed in 2015 when Angela Merkel not only recognized the ongoing crisis, but opened the borders of Germany for hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants. Unlike Merkel`s political opponents and even many party fellows, “Der Spiegel” supported the Chancellor for her readiness to jeopardize her political career to save European humanistic values. However, it soon became obvious that the Chancellor`s magnanimity wasn`t based on a precise plan for integration. Despite the authors of “Der Spiegel” who like Merkel considered Germany to be the heart of human and hospitable Europe, the center of tolerance, they had to admit that the uncontrolled stream of refugees turned to be a serious threat for the economy, social peace and national security. In 2017, it became obvious that Merkel changed the direction of her migration policy for a more pragmatic one aimed to control the illegal migration, to limit the migration stream from Middle Eastern countries, to develop the system of revealing and deporting illegal migrants. “Der Spiegel” regarded this as her readiness to change her own position according to the political circumstances in favor of the political rating. This led to disappointment and a new wave of criticism.


2020 ◽  
Vol 74 ◽  
pp. 05012
Author(s):  
Emília Krajňáková ◽  
Sergej Vojtovič

The study deals with the analysis of global labor market trends in the European Union countries under the influence of free movement and labor migration within the European Union. Named analyzes include defining trends in the emigration and immigration flows of the workforce among the countries of the European Union that apply the policy of migration and countries that are the source of labor emigration. On this basis, labor migration losses and benefits are assessed and their impact on GDP creation on the labor market, the state budget and other economic and social indicators for countries with a migration policy and for countries with a strong majority of labor migration flows abroad are examined. On this basis, the processes of creating imbalances in the European labor market, which are affected by the absence of balance sheets in the benefits and losses of labor migration for individual countries, are examined. The analyzes and investigations carried out have resulted in the definition and justification of the shift in the balance of losses and benefits of labor migration towards a predominance of benefits for countries with a migration policy and a prevalence of losses for countries with a strong dominance of labor migration flows abroad.


2011 ◽  
Vol 161 (3) ◽  
pp. 97-122
Author(s):  
Halina ŁACH

After the collapse of communism, the countries of Central Europe, including Poland, be-came a “buffer zone” for the European Union. This was not the result of a deliberate policy by the EU; Poland and the other countries in Central Europe wanted to begin cooperation with the EU as soon as possible, hoping to become its members.Future membership in the Union required Poland to adopt and implement the regulations of the Schengen legal order, which included control on its external borders, a common visa regime, combating cross-border crime, migration policy, infrastructure for border protection, as well as cooperation of border, customs and police services. Adopting the EU standards formed the basis for drawing up and implementing strategic governmental projects: The Action Plan for the Implementation of the Schengen Legal Heritage in Poland as well as the Strategy for the Integrated Border Management.Membership in the EU entailed a wide range of legal, institutional and infrastructural adjustments along the Polish and Russian border, as Poland came to be responsible for the safety of each specific section of the external border. In order to meet the Schengen regulations on the Polish and Russian border, the authorities of the Province of Warmia and Mazury began implementing projects and plans for managing the national border with respect to modernising its infrastructure and construction of border crossings. On the other hand, The Warmia and Mazury Division of the Border Guard took action in border protection consisting in adjusting border protection standards to the border crime threats, illegal migration as well as the intro-duction of regulations to allow for free transfer of persons and objects across the border.


2015 ◽  
Vol 105 (5) ◽  
pp. 205-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Pinotti

Immigration enforcement has ambiguous implications for the crime rate of undocumented immigrants. On the one hand, expulsions reduce the pool of immigrants at risk of committing crimes, on the other they lower the opportunity cost of crime for those who are not expelled. We estimate the effect of expulsions on the crime rate of undocumented immigrants in Italy exploiting variation in enforcement toward immigrants of different nationality, due to the existence of bilateral agreements for the control of illegal migration. We find that stricter enforcement of migration policy reduces the crime rate of undocumented immigrants.


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