scholarly journals Rainfall-induced release of microbes from manure: model development, parameter estimation, and uncertainty evaluation on small plots

2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 443-459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keewook Kim ◽  
Gene Whelan ◽  
Marirosa Molina ◽  
S. Thomas Purucker ◽  
Yakov Pachepsky ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Model Development ◽  
Fecal Coliforms ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Swine Slurry ◽  
Four Seasons ◽  
Release Curve ◽  
Parameter Values ◽  
Runoff Events ◽  
Parameter Distributions

A series of simulated rainfall-runoff experiments with applications of different manure types (cattle solid pats, poultry dry litter, swine slurry) was conducted across four seasons on a field containing 36 plots (0.75 × 2 m each), resulting in 144 rainfall-runoff events. Simulating time-varying release of Escherichia coli, enterococci, and fecal coliforms from manures applied at typical agronomic rates evaluated the efficacy of the Bradford–Schijven model modified by adding terms for release efficiency and transportation loss. Two complementary, parallel approaches were used to calibrate the model and estimate microbial release parameters. The first was a four-step sequential procedure using the inverse model PEST, which provides appropriate initial parameter values. The second utilized a PEST/bootstrap procedure to estimate average parameters across plots, manure age, and microbe, and to provide parameter distributions. The experiment determined that manure age, microbe, and season had no clear relationship to the release curve. Cattle solid pats released microbes at a different, slower rate than did poultry dry litter or swine slurry, which had very similar release patterns. These findings were consistent with other published results for both bench- and field-scale, suggesting the modified Bradford–Schijven model can be applied to microbial release from manure.

scholarly journals Initial abstraction ratio and Curve Number estimation using rainfall and runoff data from a tropical watershed

RBRH ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luiz Claudio Galvão do Valle Junior ◽  
Dulce Buchala Bicca Rodrigues ◽  
Paulo Tarso Sanches de Oliveira
Keyword(s):  
Conversion Factor ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Initial Abstraction ◽  
Rainfall Depth ◽  
Standard Value ◽  
Tropical Watershed ◽  
Runoff Events

ABSTRACT The Curve Number (CN) method is extensively used for predict surface runoff from storm events. However, remain some uncertainties in the method, such as in the use of an initial abstraction (λ) standard value of 0.2 and on the choice of the most suitable CN values. Here, we compute λ and CN values using rainfall and runoff data to a rural basin located in Midwestern Brazil. We used 30 observed rainfall-runoff events with rainfall depth greater than 25 mm to derive associated CN values using five statistical methods. We noted λ values ranging from 0.005 to 0.455, with a median of 0.045, suggesting the use of λ = 0.05 instead of 0.2. We found a S0.2 to S0.05 conversion factor of 2.865. We also found negative values of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (to the estimated and observed runoff). Therefore, our findings indicated that the CN method was not suitable to estimate runoff in the studied basin. This poor performance suggests that the runoff mechanisms in the studied area are dominated by subsurface stormflow.

scholarly journals Examination of aerial diatom flushing across watersheds in Luxembourg, Oregon and Slovakia for tracing episodic hydrological connectivity

2015 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 235-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Pfister ◽  
Carlos E. Wetzel ◽  
Núria Martínez-Carreras ◽  
Jean François Iffly ◽  
Julian Klaus ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Source ◽  
Interdisciplinary Studies ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Hydrological Connectivity ◽  
Freshwater Species ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Holistic View ◽  
Preliminary Examination ◽  
Open Questions ◽  
Runoff Events

Abstract Hydrological processes research remains a field that is severely measurement limited. While conventional tracers (geochemicals, isotopes) have brought extremely valuable insights into water source and flowpaths, they nonetheless have limitations that clearly constrain their range of application. Integrating hydrology and ecology in catchment science has been repeatedly advocated as offering potential for interdisciplinary studies that are eventually to provide a holistic view of catchment functioning. In this context, aerial diatoms have been shown to have the potential for detecting of the onset/cessation of rapid water flowpaths within the hillslope-riparian zone-stream continuum. However, many open questions prevail as to aerial diatom reservoir size, depletion and recovery, as well as to their mobilisation and transport processes. Moreover, aerial diatoms remain poorly known compared to freshwater species and new species are still being discovered. Here, we ask whether aerial diatom flushing can be observed in three catchments with contrasting physiographic characteristics in Luxembourg, Oregon (USA) and Slovakia. This is a prerequisite for qualifying aerial diatoms as a robust indicator of the onset/cessation of rapid water flowpaths across a wider range of physiographical contexts. One species in particular, (Hantzschia amphioxys (Ehr.) Grunow), was found to be common to the three investigated catchments. Aerial diatom species were flushed, in different relative proportions, to the river network during rainfall-runoff events in all three catchments. Our take-away message from this preliminary examination is that aerial diatoms appear to have a potential for tracing episodic hydrological connectivity through a wider range of physiographic contexts and therefore serve as a complementary tool to conventional hydrological tracers.

scholarly journals Calibration of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Models Using Global Optimization

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Ru-bin Wang ◽  
Qing-xiang Meng
Keyword(s):  
Global Optimization ◽  
Parameter Optimization ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Difficult Problem ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
True Parameter ◽  
Shuffled Complex Evolution ◽  
Structure Lead ◽  
Parameter Values

Parameter optimization for the conceptual rainfall-runoff (CRR) model has always been the difficult problem in hydrology since watershed hydrological model is high-dimensional and nonlinear with multimodal and nonconvex response surface and its parameters are obviously related and complementary. In the research presented here, the shuffled complex evolution (SCE-UA) global optimization method was used to calibrate the Xinanjiang (XAJ) model. We defined the ideal data and applied the method to observed data. Our results show that, in the case of ideal data, the data length did not affect the parameter optimization for the hydrological model. If the objective function was selected appropriately, the proposed method found the true parameter values. In the case of observed data, we applied the technique to different lengths of data (1, 2, and 3 years) and compared the results with ideal data. We found that errors in the data and model structure lead to significant uncertainties in the parameter optimization.

Probablistic analysis of runoff simulations in a small urban catchment

1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (8-9) ◽  
pp. 51-56
Author(s):  
F. Calomino ◽  
P. Veltri ◽  
P. Piro ◽  
J. Niemczynowicz
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Distribution ◽  
Basic Question ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Urban Catchment ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
The Common ◽  
Runoff Events ◽  
Peak Discharges ◽  
Good Agreement

In Urban Hydrology, a basic question is whether or not the common methods involving the use of design storms bring to the the some results obtained by those methods that make use of real storms. In general, one can say that different design storms give good results when used with the appropriate model, or, conversely, that good results can be achieved through careful model calibration. On the basis of 51 rainfall-runoff recordings obtained from the experimental catchment of Luzzi (Cosenza, Italy), the frequency distribution of the observed peak discharges was initially computed. Then the runoff events were simulated using Wallrus, a well known simulation model, taking as input the observed precipitations. The frequency distribution of the simulated peak discharges was compared to that of the observed ones, with the aim of calibrating the model on a statistical basis. After that, the rainfall events were analysed, obtaining the frequency distributions of the observed intensities over several durations and developing IDF curves of given frequencies and, then, the Chicago design storms. The plotting positions of the peak discharges simulated by this way show a good agreement with the distribution of both the observed peak discharges and the peak discharges simulated through the real storms.

scholarly journals Picturing and modeling catchments by representative hillslopes

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 1225-1249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Loritz ◽  
Sibylle K. Hassler ◽  
Conrad Jackisch ◽  
Niklas Allroggen ◽  
Loes van Schaik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Expert Knowledge ◽  
Water Dynamics ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Physically Based Model ◽  
Optimal Representation ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Physically Based Models ◽  
Streamflow Data ◽  
Runoff Events

Abstract. This study explores the suitability of a single hillslope as a parsimonious representation of a catchment in a physically based model. We test this hypothesis by picturing two distinctly different catchments in perceptual models and translating these pictures into parametric setups of 2-D physically based hillslope models. The model parametrizations are based on a comprehensive field data set, expert knowledge and process-based reasoning. Evaluation against streamflow data highlights that both models predicted the annual pattern of streamflow generation as well as the hydrographs acceptably. However, a look beyond performance measures revealed deficiencies in streamflow simulations during the summer season and during individual rainfall–runoff events as well as a mismatch between observed and simulated soil water dynamics. Some of these shortcomings can be related to our perception of the systems and to the chosen hydrological model, while others point to limitations of the representative hillslope concept itself. Nevertheless, our results confirm that representative hillslope models are a suitable tool to assess the importance of different data sources as well as to challenge our perception of the dominant hydrological processes we want to represent therein. Consequently, these models are a promising step forward in the search for the optimal representation of catchments in physically based models.

scholarly journals The HYDROMED model and its application to semi-arid Mediterranean catchments with hill reservoirs 2: Rainfall-runoff model applications to three Mediterranean hill reservoirs

2001 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 554-562 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Ragab ◽  
D. Moidinis ◽  
J. Albergel ◽  
J. Khouri ◽  
A. Drubi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Limited Information ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Significant Events ◽  
Reliable Parameter ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Parameter Values ◽  
Runoff Model

Abstract. The objective of this work was to assess the performance of the newly developed HYDROMED model. Three catchments with hill reservoirs were selected. They are El-Gouazine and Kamech in Tunisia and Es Sindiany in Syria. The rainfall, the spillway flow and volume of water in the reservoirs were used as input to the model. Events that generated spillway flow were preferred for calibration. The results confirmed that the HYDROMED model is capable of reproducing the runoff volume at all the three sites. In calibrating single events, the model performance was high as measured by the Nash-Sutcliffe criterion for goodness of fit. In some events this value was as high as 98%. In simulation mode, the highest Nash-Sutcliffe criterion value was close to 70% in the El-Gouazine and Kamech catchments and close to 50% in the Es Sindiany catchment. Given the limited information available, especially on the unrecorded releases in the three catchments, the hydrological impact of site geology (e.g. Kamech), the unrecorded operator intervention during the spillway flow (e.g. Es Sindiany) and other unaccounted factors (e.g siltation, evaporation, etc.), these results are by and large very encouraging. However, they could be further improved as and when more information on the unrecorded parameters becomes available. Additionally, the results of this work highlighted the need for long term records with a large number of significant events that are able to generate spillway flow to obtain more consistent and reliable parameter values. It also highlights the need for more accurately recorded releases for irrigation and other uses. As these results are encouraging, more tests on those three and other sites are planned. Keywords: HYDROMED, rainfall-runoff model, Mediterranean, conceptual model

scholarly journals Simplified Building Thermal Model Development and Parameters Evaluation Using a Stochastic Approach

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2899
Author(s):  
Abhinandana Boodi ◽  
Karim Beddiar ◽  
Yassine Amirat ◽  
Mohamed Benbouzid
Keyword(s):  
Reference Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Stochastic Approach ◽  
Simplified Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Order Model ◽  
Parameter Values ◽  
Low Order

This paper proposes an approach to develop building dynamic thermal models that are of paramount importance for controller application. In this context, controller requires a low-order, computationally efficient, and accurate models to achieve higher performance. An efficient building model is developed by having proper structural knowledge of low-order model and identifying its parameter values. Simplified low-order systems can be developed using thermal network models using thermal resistances and capacitances. In order to determine the low-order model parameter values, a specific approach is proposed using a stochastic particle swarm optimization. This method provides a significant approximation of the parameters when compared to the reference model whilst allowing low-order model to achieve 40% to 50% computational efficiency than the reference one. Additionally, extensive simulations are carried to evaluate the proposed simplified model with solar radiation and identified model parameters. The developed simplified model is afterward validated with real data from a case study building where the achieved results clearly show a high degree of accuracy compared to the actual data.

scholarly journals Preliminary Study of Computational Time Steps in a Physically Based Distributed Rainfall–Runoff Model

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Choi ◽  
Mun-Ju Shin ◽  
Kyung Kim
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Parameter ◽  
Computational Time ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Runoff Simulation ◽  
Stream Network ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Parameter Values ◽  
Runoff Model

The choice of the computational time step (dt) value and the method for setting dt can have a bearing on the accuracy and performance of a simulation, and this effect has not been comprehensively researched across different simulation conditions. In this study, the effects of the fixed time step (FTS) method and the automatic time step (ATS) method on the simulated runoff of a distributed rainfall–runoff model were compared. The results revealed that the ATS method had less peak flow variability than the FTS method for the virtual catchment. In the FTS method, the difference in time step had more impact on the runoff simulation results than the other factors such as differences in the amount of rainfall, the density of the stream network, or the spatial resolution of the input data. Different optimal parameter values according to the computational time step were found when FTS and ATS were used in a real catchment, and the changes in the optimal parameter values were smaller in ATS than in FTS. The results of our analyses can help to yield reliable runoff simulation results.

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