scholarly journals EFECTOS DEL GASTO PÚBLICO EN EL PIB EN LOS ESTADOS DE MÉXICO, 1999-2014

2018 ◽  
Vol 77 (305) ◽  
pp. 74
Author(s):  
Miguel Ángel Díaz Carreño ◽  
Pablo Mejía Reyes ◽  
Marlen R. Reyes Hernández ◽  
Ana Desiderio de la Cruz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
The Public ◽  
Sobre Todo

<p align="center"><strong>RESUMEN</strong></p><div>El objetivo de esta investigación es analizar el efecto del gasto público en el producto interno bruto (PIB) a nivel estatal en México. El periodo de estudio abarca de 1999 a 2014 y empleamos un modelo  de regresión cuantílica para explicar dichos efectos. Encontramos que el gasto público total ha sido relevante en la explicación del crecimiento económico estatal, sobre todo en aquellos estados más grandes del país. En estos casos el coeficiente resultó positivo y significativo. Por otra parte, el gasto público realizado en infraestructura resultó no significativo en la explicación del pib tanto en el caso de los estados grandes como en los pequeños.</div><div> </div><div><p align="center">EFFECTS OF PUBLIC SPENDING ON THE GDP IN THE STATES OF MEXICO, 1999-2014</p><p align="center"> <strong> </strong><strong>ABSTRACT</strong></p></div><p>The objective of this paper is to analyze the effects of public expenditure on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the period 1999-2014 for the Mexican states. By using a quantile regression, it is found that total public expenditure has been relevant in the explanation of economic growth, mainly in the case of the largest states with positive and significant effects. On the contrary, the public expenditure associated to infrastructure seems to have not contributed to economic growth of the states of any size.</p><p> </p>

scholarly journals Public Expenditure in Nepal: A Case of Transportation Sector

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-36
Author(s):  
Narayan Prasad Ghimire
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Investment ◽  
Transportation Sector ◽  
The Government

The rapid growth in public investment in various sectors was assumed after decades of conflict and an unstable political situation. With the declaration of the Federal Republic, Nepal is going to embark on accelerated economic growth. This has somewhat caused concerns among policymakers of its implication for economic growth. And the government investment in transportation infrastructure is one of the core strategies, called the ‘infrastructure of infrastructures’. The main aim of this study is, therefore, to explain the relationship between economic growth and public expenditure in the transportation sector in Nepal. Primarily, this study has focused on the distinction of expenditures in the five-year development plans in three systems (Panchayat, Democratic, and Republic). This study used time series data collected between 1975 and 2016. The statistical and econometric tools have been used for the study. The result shows that the trend of government investment on public expenditure has increased in the Republic system. This study reveals that the variables are stationary on the first difference. The obtained regression model is satisfactory by diagnostic tests (errors are normally distributed, no serial correlation, and homoscedastic). The data explain the positive and significant influence of Transportation Capital Expenditure on Gross Domestic Product, and, hence, it is contributing to economic growth. Furthermore, the results show short-run unidirectional causation from Transportation Capital Expenditure to Gross Domestic Product.

scholarly journals Economic Growth and the Optimal Size of the Public sector in Jordan

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 72-79
Author(s):  
Jameel A. Aljaloudi ◽  
Taleb A. Warrad
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Inverse Relationship ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Public Institutions ◽  
Optimal Size ◽  
The Public ◽  
Official Data

The relationship between the size of public sector and the rate of economic growth has been widely examined empirically in different countries. Most applied studies confirmed the validity of the inverse relationship between the increasing role of the state in the economy, measured by the ratio of public spending to gross domestic product and rates of economic growth. These studies estimated the optimum rate that would guarantee achieving the highest economic growth rates. This study aims to analyses this relationship for the case of the Jordanian economy. Using a theoretically justified econometric model, the researchers have utilized an ARDL econometric technique to quantitatively assess this relationship for the period (1970-2018). The study relied on official data related to the gross domestic product published by the Central Bank of Jordan and official data related to public spending and public revenues published by the Jordanian Ministry of Finance. The econometric results of the study confirm the existence of an inverse relationship between the size of public sector and the rate of economic growth in Jordan, which may lend support to the hypothesis of the Armey curve. The optimal size of the government (public sector) is estimated to be about 26 percent, which is much lower than the actual average government size in Jordan. The researchers recommend the need to gradually cutting down the size of public sector through adjusting the real spending structure and restructuring the independent public institutions. The restructuring of independent public institutions requires the abolition of institutions that are not economically feasible and constitute more financial burdens on society on the one hand, and the merging of a number of them into an independent public institution that provides its services to the community in an efficient and effective manner. Researchers also recommend the need to continue privatizing the public sector and activating the role of partnership between the public and private sectors. Keywords: size of public sector, government spending, economic growth, ARDL, privatization.

scholarly journals Public spending mechanisms and gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector (1970–2016): Lessons for Nigeria from agricultural policy progressions in China

2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (44) ◽  
pp. 57-72
Author(s):  
Temidayo Gabriel Apata
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Economic Restructuring ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Policy Mechanisms

AbstractChina has pursued a sustainable path of development in line with reality for four decades. Economic restructuring started in its vast rural areas, focusing on reforms targeting income increase for rural farmers. These radical sustainable policies that China’s political leaders imbibed were not embraced by Nigeria’s past leaders and these resulted in the bane of underdevelopment. The study examines the level and composition of the drivers of public-spending policy mechanisms that contribute to gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector in China and Nigeria and draws up a model of Chinese development for Nigeria. Secondary data was used and were sourced from FAOSTAT and International Monetary Fund’s Government-Finance Statistics (various issues) from 1970–2016. Random-effects model results revealed that the policy of public-expenditure (PUEXP) and intervention (INTEV) variables were significant but negative, while enterprise-development (ENTDEV), drivers of development (DRIVERS) and Dummy D1t (modest public-expenditure access) were significant and positive for Nigeria. Three variables were significant and positive. The dummies D1t and D2t (macro-economic stability) were positive and significant for China. Public-expenditure and GDP growth has an inverse relationship in Nigeria, but a direct relationship in China. In Nigeria, PUEXP coefficient is ˗0.6810 and 0.8902 for China. Hence, macro-economic stability, enhanced market mechanisms and economic progress resulted in China and hereby lessons are drawn for Nigeria. Public leaders are responsible for governing the market in a manner that induces businesses to produce public value. However, if public-policy mechanisms are not well-designed to fit the economy’s needs it could significantly influence the economy in a negative way, and the society bears the costs.

Trends of Private Consumption in the Restructuring of China’s Economy

2015 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 52-64
Author(s):  
Chien-Hsun CHEN
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Decisive Role ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Domestic Consumption ◽  
Labour Income ◽  
Rapid Economic Growth ◽  
Labour Share ◽  
China’S Economy

The benefits deriving from rapid economic growth have chiefly accrued to capital returns. Consequently, the decline in the share of Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) accounted for by labour income has been most pronounced. To sustain growth, China will have to ensure robust consumption. Increasing the labour share in GDP and hence promoting domestic consumption will play a decisive role in rebalancing China’s economy.

The impacts of income inequality on the gross domestic product under direct taxation: evidence from emerging market economies

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmet Eren Yıldırım ◽  
Mete Dibo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Direct Taxation

PurposeThis study analyzes the impacts of income inequality after direct taxation on the gross domestic product as a fiscal policy tool in the development process.Design/methodology/approachThe model of the study is based on Munielo-Gallo and Roca-Sagales (2013), which examined the fiscal policy, income inequality and economic growth simultaneously. The study uses two models to analyze the relationship between income inequality and gross domestic production under direct taxation by employing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for selected emerging market economies.FindingEmpirical results reveal a negative long-run relationship between variables in some countries in line with the literature, despite a positive relationship in others. Moreover, the results exhibit the negative impact of income inequality after direct taxation on the gross domestic product decreases.Originality/valueResults of the study highlight the importance of direct taxation on income inequality concerning the reflects on economic growth. It suggests that when the income distribution is fairer, it may positively affect the gross domestic product. The study provides a new perspective to the related literature by investigating the role of income inequality under direct taxation for gross domestic product.

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
International Monetary Fund ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
The Third ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
Market Outlook ◽  
Oil Demand ◽  
The International Monetary Fund

Total global oil demand is expected to increase year-on-year (YoY) by 4.2 million barrels per day (MMb/d) in 2021 and further grow by 3.5 MMb/d in 2022, returning to 2019 levels by the third quarter (Q3) 2022. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts economic growth of around 5.4% in 2021, compared with a decline in real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 of -4.4%. However, KOMO estimates a forecast more in line with the OECD’s outlook for growth (4.2%), which presumes that GDP levels will only reach 2019 levels by the end of 2021.

scholarly journals Are Business Regulations Improving Economic Growth? Case Study between ASEAN and European Union

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-53
Author(s):  
Karuniana Dianta Arfiando Sebayang ◽  
Belinda Febrina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
European Union ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Doing Business ◽  
Ease Of Doing Business ◽  
Business Regulations ◽  
The Impact

Economic activities require a transparent regulatory and policy environment that is accessible to all levels of society. This study aims to explain the impact of ease of doing business on economic growth in both ASEAN and the European Union since doing business indicators applied globally. Gross Domestic Product is used as a proxy variable for economic growth as Gross Domestic Product is an indicator to measure economic growth. This study uses a descriptive quantitative research model and uses multiple regressions to determine the effect of ease of doing business on economic growth in ASEAN and the European Union by comparing the result of each ASEAN and European Union. In this study it was found that in ASEAN, there are four indicators of doing business have significant impact to economic growth, while in the European Union five indicators have significant impact to economic growth.  

scholarly journals Austerity in Time of Crisis: A Solution or a Dangerous Idea? Evidence from Algeria

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-24
Author(s):  
Hadjer Boulila ◽  
Mohamed Benbouziane
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Oil Crisis

Our study is aimed to investigate the effect of austerity measures on the economic growth. Besides that, this research wants to examine whether austerity is the solution of the current oil crisis in Algeria or not. To achieve this aim we have used a Non-Linear Autoregressive Lag Distributed model (NARDL) to illustrate the negative and positive changes in austerity measures and their effects on gross domestic product. The findings of our estimation provides that neither increasing taxes cuts nor reducing expenditures is a solution for the crisis, that what confirms empirically what Keynesian economists approve. Therefore, Algeria’s authorities must quickly find other solution rather than austerity policies.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v17i1.6799

scholarly journals Análisis del crecimiento económico y desarrollo humano de las entidades federativas de México en el periodo 2005 – 2010

UVserva ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
León Felipe Beltrán Guerra ◽  
Jorge Luis Arellanez Hernández ◽  
Enrique Romero Pedraza
Keyword(s):  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
The Public ◽  
Life Conditions ◽  
Calidad De Vida ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Bienestar Psicologico

El gasto público en México se orienta a crear condiciones de desarrollo humano, salud y bienestar social por parte del Estado a través de su estructura federal. Se busca identificar cuál es el comportamiento de los indicadores de crecimiento y desarrollo de las entidades federativas en México en el periodo comprendido de 2005 a 2010. Con el análisis estadístico, se concluye que la relación entre el gasto público, destinado a rubros de salud, educación, desarrollo de infraestructura social, tiene una baja correlación con los índices de desarrollo en el país. Las variaciones no son significativas pero si las diferencias entre entidades federativas. El análisis de los indicadores mencionados, pretende mostrar que el gasto público no impacta claramente en las condiciones de salud, desarrollo y bienestar social de los mexicanos, elevando su calidad de vida.Palabras clave: Gasto público; Indice de Desarrollo Humano; bienestar psicológico; calidad de vida; condiciones de vida AbstractPublic spending in Mexico aims to create conditions of human development, heal­th and social well-being by the State through its federal structure. Our target is to identify what is the behavior of the indicators of grow­th and development in Mexico in the period of 2005-2010. After the statistical analysis, it is concluded that the relationship between pu­blic spending aimed at areas of health, educa­tion, social infrastructure development, has a low correlation with development index in the country. The variations in this index are not significant in the years analysed, but the diffe­rences between states does. The proposal aims at the public spending for being reflected sig­nificantly in the conditions of health, develop­ment and welbeing of Mexican people.Keywords: Public expenditure; Human develo­pment Index; Psychological well-being; Quali­ty of life; Life conditions 

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