scholarly journals Change point detection and Trend analysis of observed streamflow in the Upper Mekong Basin during the period 1960--2020

Author(s):  
Tien Giang Nguyen ◽  
Huu Duy Nguyen ◽  
Thu Thao Hoang ◽  
Duy Huy Binh Pham ◽  
Ngoc Anh Tran ◽  
...  

The Langcang-Mekong River Basin is the most important transboundary river basin in Asia. However, over the recent decades, dam construction has been increasingly recognized as having profound effects on hydrological processes, aquatic and riparian ecosystems. Understanding these impacts is critical for the foundation of sustainable runoff surface management. In this study, different methods based on both graphical and numerical techniques were applied to assess the effects of the dams on annual, seasonal, and monthly runoff and to detect hydroclimatic trends in the Upper Mekong Basin during the period 1960–2020. The results reveal two change points with respect to seasonal and annual flow regimes; that is 2003 for the flood season and annual flows, and 2013 for the dry season flow. The duration of the flood season and the volume of annual discharges have both significantly decreased since 2003 and the dry season discharge has significantly increased since 2013 (with both p-values < 0.05). The quantitative assessment suggests that, due to the effect of dams, the monthly discharges increased around 10–450 m3/s during the dry season (December to May), while the flood season’s monthly flows decreased significantly, approximately 1028–2150 m3/s from July to October at Chiang Saen station. The study of hydrological changes in the Mekong watershed is expected to be a significant contribution towards a better understanding of large watersheds in which the hydrological responses are influenced not only by climate change at large spatial and temporal scales but also by changes in the physical environment due to the construction of dams.

2013 ◽  
Vol 684 ◽  
pp. 246-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuai Wang ◽  
Xiao Hui Lei ◽  
Feng Zhang

By using linear regression, moving average, Mann-Kendall test and Morlet wavelet analysis method, the annual, flood seasonal and dry seasonal precipitation series during 1954~2008 in Weihe River basin are analyzed. The results indicate that: ①Annual precipitation and precipitation in flood season and dry season present decreasing trends during the past 55 years, and the variation trends are not significant. ②There is an irregular spatial distribution of mean annual precipitation, which shows a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest. ③Annual precipitation exists principal periods of about 2, 10, 17 and 50 years, and the phase changes of 2 and 50 years period are most obvious. Time scales of phase change of precipitation series in flood season and dry season are roughly consistent with those in annual. The research results will provide reference for climate analysis and future weather forecasting in Weihe River basin.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4926
Author(s):  
Nguyen Duc Luong ◽  
Nguyen Hoang Hiep ◽  
Thi Hieu Bui

The increasing serious droughts recently might have significant impacts on socioeconomic development in the Red River basin (RRB). This study applied the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model to investigate spatio-temporal dynamics of soil moisture in the northeast, northwest, and Red River Delta (RRD) regions of the RRB part belongs to territory of Vietnam. The soil moisture dataset simulated for 10 years (2005–2014) was utilized to establish the soil moisture anomaly percentage index (SMAPI) for assessing intensity of agricultural drought. Soil moisture appeared to co-vary with precipitation, air temperature, evapotranspiration, and various features of land cover, topography, and soil type in three regions of the RRB. SMAPI analysis revealed that more areas in the northeast experienced severe droughts compared to those in other regions, especially in the dry season and transitional months. Meanwhile, the northwest mainly suffered from mild drought and a slightly wet condition during the dry season. Different from that, the RRD mainly had moderately to very wet conditions throughout the year. The areas of both agricultural and forested lands associated with severe drought in the dry season were larger than those in the wet season. Generally, VIC-based soil moisture approach offered a feasible solution for improving soil moisture and agricultural drought monitoring capabilities at the regional scale.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Krisdianto Krisdianto

<p class="Abstract"><strong>Abstract. </strong>Historically, Banjarese is living in lowland around the Barito riverbank, in the southern part of Borneo Island, from about around the 12th century. The first part of Banjarese history is a legend, but about the last three hundred years, there are data about Banjarese as a civilization with a kingdom involved in western colonialism history in Indonesia, as the pepper producer in the 17th century. They have settled almost in all Barito river tributaries and its basin and have been a part of the Barito freshwater wetland community, together with other Kalimantan ethnics such as Dayak hinterland or Malay in the coastal. This research aims to elucidate how far Banjarese is involved in managing wetlands, especially in managing Snakehead's population, enjoying its benefit and sustainability. We observe the fishers' activity on the field and village along Barito river and its basin and tributaries, visit their villages and interview them, and collect data from forum group discussion. About 60 participative respondents involve in our research. They are pleased to answer our question, explain how to cat the fish, and accompany us to evaluate Beje, ditches, or little ponds positioned lower than the land surface for placed sustainable fishes in a long dry season.  The result shows that Banjarese are traditionally managing the population of Snakehead and as a symbol of prosperity and conserve them for sustainability.</p>


2022 ◽  
Vol 194 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zia Ahmed ◽  
Rafiul Alam ◽  
Mufti Nadimul Quamar Ahmed ◽  
Shrinidhi Ambinakudige ◽  
Mansour Almazroui ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 1046-1058
Author(s):  
Fan Gao ◽  
Bing He ◽  
Songsong Xue ◽  
Yizhen Li

Abstract Based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, the monthly runoff processes of two land-use types in 2000 and 2015 were simulated in this paper. The relationship between runoff and landscape pattern was analyzed, and the spatial correlation between runoff and landscape pattern analyzed using the geographic weighted regression model combined with the change of landscape pattern in the study area from 2000 to 2015. The results show the following. (1) The SWAT model can simulate the monthly runoff processes in the catchment area of the Ulungur River Basin (URB) under different land-use types for 2000 and 2015, but the simulation effect in 2000 was found to be better than that in 2015. (2) From 2000 to 2015, the area of woodland and grassland decreased. Runoff was positively correlated with woodland, grassland, largest patch index, mean patch area (AREA_MN), and contagion index, and negatively correlated with others. This indicates that the landscape fragmentation of URB was aggravated in 2000–2015, the landscape balance was destroyed, and the ability of rainfall interception and water conservation was weakened. (3) Landscape pattern indicators of grassland had a negative spatial impact on URB runoff, and the northern region of URB was more severely affected in 2015 than in 2000. AREA_MN landscape pattern index had a positive impact on runoff in the northern part of URB, and the positive impact in northern URB in 2000 was better than that in 2015.


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