scholarly journals Development of a methodology of evaluation of financial stability of commercial banks

2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 349-367 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willem Brauers ◽  
Romualdas Ginevicius ◽  
Askoldas Podviezko

The field of evaluation of financial stability of commercial banks, which emanates from persistent existence of financial crisis, induces interest of researchers for over a century. The span of prevailing methodologies stretches from over-simplified risk-return approaches to ones comprising large number of economic variables on the micro- and/or macro-economic level. Methodologies of rating agencies and current methodologies reviewed and applied by the ECB are not intended for reducing information asymmetry in the market of commercial banks. In the paper it is shown that the Lithuanian financial system is bankbased with deposits of households being its primary sources, and its stability is primarily depending on behavior of depositors. A methodology of evaluation of commercial banks with features of decreasing information asymmetry in the market of commercial banks is being developed by comparing different MCDA methods.

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 107-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Aikman ◽  
Jonathan Bridges ◽  
Anil Kashyap ◽  
Caspar Siegert

How well equipped are today’s macroprudential regimes to deal with a rerun of the factors that led to the global financial crisis? To address the factors that made the last crisis so severe, a macroprudential regulator would need to implement policies to tackle vulnerabilities from financial system leverage, fragile funding structures, and the build-up in household indebtedness. We specify and calibrate a package of policy interventions to address these vulnerabilities—policies that include implementing the countercyclical capital buffer, requiring that banks extend the maturity of their funding, and restricting mortgage lending at high loan-to-income multiples. We then assess how well placed are two prominent macroprudential regulators, set up since the crisis, to implement such a package. The US Financial Stability Oversight Council has not been designed to implement such measures and would therefore make little difference were we to experience a rerun of the factors that preceded the last crisis. A macroprudential regulator modeled on the UK’s Financial Policy Committee stands a better chance because it has many of the necessary powers. But it too would face challenges associated with spotting build-ups in risk with sufficient prescience, acting sufficiently aggressively, and maintaining political backing for its actions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 687-700 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siti Raihana Hamzah ◽  
Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha ◽  
Abbas Mirakhor ◽  
Nurhafiza Abdul Kader Malim

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent of risk shifting behavior in bonds and sukuk. The examination is significant, as economists and scholars identify risk shifting as the primary cause of the global financial crisis. Yet, the dangers of this debt-financing feature are largely ignored – one needs to only witness the record growth of global debt even after the global financial crisis. Design/methodology/approach To identify the signs of risk shifting existence in the corporations, this paper compares each corporation’s operating risk before and after issuing debt. Operating risk or risk of a firm’s activities is measured using the volatility of the operating earnings or coefficient variation of earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Using EBITDA as the variable offers one distinct advantage to using asset volatility as previous research has – EBITDA can be extracted directly from firms’ accounting data and is not model-specific. Findings Risk shifting can be found in not only the bond system but also the debt-based sukuk system – a noteworthy finding because sukuk, supposedly in a different class from bonds, have been criticized in some quarters for their apparent similarity to bonds. On the other hand, this study thus shows that equity feature, when it is embedded in bonds (as in convertible bonds) or when a financial instrument is based purely on equity (as in equity-based sukuk), the incentive to shift the risk can be mitigated. Research limitations/implications Global awareness of the dangers of debt should be increased as a means of reducing the amount of debt outstanding globally. Although some regulators suggest that sukuk replace debt, they must also be aware that imitative sukuk pose the same threat to efforts to avoid debt. In short, efforts to ensure future financial stability cannot address only debts or bonds but must also address those types of sukuk that mirror bonds in their operation. In the wake of the global financial crisis, amid the frantic search for ways of protecting against future financial shocks, this analysis aims to help create future stability by encouraging market players to avoid debt-based activities. Originality/value This paper differs from the previous literature in two important ways, viewing risk shifting behavior not only in relation to debt or bonds but also when set against debt-based sukuk, which has been subjected to similar criticism. Indeed, to the extent that debts and bonds encourage risk shifting behavior and threaten the entire financial system, so, too, can imitation sukuk or debt-based sukuk. Second, this paper is unique in exploring the ability of equity features to curb equity holders’ incentive to engage in risk shifting behavior. Such an examination is necessary for the wake of the global financial crisis, for researchers and economists now agree that risk shifting must be a controlled behavior – and that one way of controlling risk shifting is by implementing the risk sharing feature of equity-based financing into the financial system.


2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 403-412
Author(s):  
Arumugam Seetharaman ◽  
John Rudolph Raj ◽  
A.S. Saravanan

Applying off balance sheet financing mechanism is largely driven by its practicality, flexibility, and the most importantly it provides a platform for cheaper capital and solves many accounting related issues. Off balance sheet financing, particularly asset securitization, will continue to become the most dominant financing alternatives in view of its multi-functional capabilities in solving financing requirement and hedging needs. Asset securitization has been widely applied by the emerging economies in helping them during the economic crisis. Securitization has also been a lifesaver for banks in helping them recapitalizing during financial crisis. Securitization to a certain extent has contributed to the disintermediation of commercial banks being a major provider of capital. Despite the significant benefits and impacts, asset securitization has also its flaws or weaknesses. A flaw in structuring the deal could be one of the contributory factors of a failed deal. It could also attract excessive abuse, which consequently will be catastrophic to the financial system. Thus, proper control and regulation of off-balance sheet financing is inevitable


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Ikeafe NJANG ◽  
Eko Eko OMINI ◽  
Festus Victor BEKUN ◽  
Festus Fatai Adedoyin

Abstract This study primarily seeks to evaluate the influence of financial system stability on economic growth in Nigeria from 1986 to 2016. Employing the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA), this study constructs a Financial System Stability Index (FSSI) as measurement for financial stability. The indicators used in building the index capture three sectors of the Nigerian Financial System (NFS). The three sectors cover the banking sector, the capital market, the external sector and include a fourth component representing financial depth. The resulting index serves as a single qualitative measure for evaluating the level of stability in a nation’s financial system and proves capable of warning of an eminent financial crisis. Employing the use of four macroeconomic indicators, the index is then regressed against the Nigerian economic growth rate with an aim of discovering the short-run and long-run dynamics existing between both variables. The granger causality test, Johansson Co-integration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are the estimation techniques employed in achieving the objectives of this research. The granger causality test revealed a uni-directional causality between financial stability and economic growth in Nigeria. The Johansson Co-integration test showed that long-run co-integration relationship exists between financial stability and economic growth. Finally, the VECM results find that financial stability displays a negative relationship with economic growth and bears no significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. The findings disclose that financial stability in Nigeria may be high and has resulted in the underutilization of financial assets thus hampering sustainable economic growth in Nigeria. In conclusion, the outcome of the findings shows that while financial stability may be necessary for initiating economic growth, it is not sufficient for sustaining economic growth in Nigeria. This research work recommends that the FSSI be employed as an additional tool for measuring the condition/state of financial stability in Nigeria and in predicting the onset of a potential financial crisis. The study further recommends that financial authorities must give attention to other aspects of financial development to facilitate sustainable economic growth in Nigeria.


2021 ◽  
pp. 105-130
Author(s):  
Mats Larsson ◽  
Kristina Lilja

Since the early twentieth century, the Swedish financial system has experienced five major financial crises—both domestic and internationally generated. With three crises within 25 years, the use of memories from previous financial problems seems a little far-fetched. But so far this has not explicitly been analysed. However, with sources from official investigations, material from the Swedish central bank (the Riksbank) as well as memos from the Bank Inspection Board and larger commercial banks, it would be possible to reconstruct how experiences from earlier financial crises influenced banks risk management and business strategies. During the financial crisis of the 1990s the lack of memories from the 1920s and 1930s was noticed. It was said that knowledge of risk management had been reduced during 60 years of governmental control. This chapter explores this loss of memory using archives and interviews.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 45-54
Author(s):  
Mehdi Bouchetara ◽  
Abdelkader Nassour ◽  
Sidi Eyih

The aim of macroprudential policy is to ensure financial stability by avoiding the outbreak of banking crises, which have a dangerous effect on the economy. Is macroprudential policy effective in the face of banking crises and systemic risks? The macroprudential policy has received significant interest from policy-makers and researchers. A few developing countries were using macroprudential policy tools well before the 2008 financial crisis, but significant progress has been made thereafter in both emerging and industrialized economies to put in place specific institutional settings for macroprudential policy. The fundamental objective of macroprudential policy is to maintain the stability of the financial system by making it more resistant and preventing the risk build-up. The objective of this paper is to analyze the important role of macroprudential policy in ensuring overall financial stability. Since the financial crisis of 2008, macroprudential policy has been increasingly used across economies. These measures aim at smoothing financial cycles and thereby mitigating the impact on the real economy, thereby allowing monetary policy to focus on price stability and promote growth and full employment. Macroprudential policy instruments fall into two categories, depending on their purpose, namely, to prevent procyclicality or to enhance the resilience and soundness of the financial system against shocks. The first category of instruments is used to stop bubbles from forming and smooth cycles, i.e. to force the debt-equity of economic operators on an income basis to prevent unsustainable credit bubbles, or to require dynamic loss provisioning rules. The second category of macro-prudential policy is to improve the resilience to shocks, such as capital surcharges for systemic institutions or the requirement to hold liquid assets to cope with market panics, and to make the financial system less complex. Keywords: macroprudential policy, financial stability, tools and measures, systemic risks.


Author(s):  
Joseph G. Haubrich

As the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic fallout continue, policymakers keep a watchful eye on the stability of the financial system. Having learned many lessons from the financial crisis of 2007–2009, they may again turn to that crisis for insights into potential vulnerabilities emerging in the financial sector and ways to make financial markets and institutions more resilient to shocks. At a recent conference on financial stability, 12 papers and two keynotes explored this ground. This Commentary summarizes the papers’ findings and the keynotes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-179
Author(s):  
Dariusz Prokopowicz

The global financial crisis in 2008 was the reason for increasing the scale of interventionist economic policies in developed countries. The main instrument of this policy was the significant development of a mild monetary policy and interventionist measures aimed at forcing the restructuring processes of heavily indebted enterprises and stopping the decline in lending by commercial banks. As part of the pro-development activities of the state intervention, the Federal Reserve Bank applied a mild monetary policy of low interest rates and a program for activating lending and maintaining liquidity in the financial system by financing the purchase from commercial banks of the most endangered assets. A few years later, the European Central Bank applied the same activities of activation monetary policy. The functioning of the financial system will not be fully corrected as long as there will be a message in the media encouraging the banks that the global financial crisis is primarily attributable to the Federal Reserve Bank in the USA. In many para-documentary films, which, as a para-scientific explanation and education of citizens, promote the philosophy of combining deregulation of financial markets with the development of a free market, and attempts to regulate markets are trying to implement the principles of real socialism, a system quite different from that considered an ultramarine US economy.


Author(s):  
Rashmi Umesh Arora

Financial inclusion has become an important policy objective in recent years in a number of developing and developed countries. It is increasingly viewed as a tool of poverty alleviation, enables the poor to be risk averse and allows investment in health and education. However, including a large number of different groups of the population within the financial system if not accompanied by the appropriate regulatory measures could pose a risk to the country’s financial stability. Financial stability too has assumed increased importance in recent years especially since the financial crisis. A dilemma among policymakers is how to achieve a balance between the two and how to promote financial inclusion without destabilizing the financial system. In this study we explore the state of financial inclusion and financial stability in the context of BRICS.


Author(s):  
David Adugh Kuhe ◽  
Moses Abanyam Chiawa ◽  
Sylvester Chigozie Nwaosu ◽  
Jonathan Atsua Ikughur

Volatility and the trade-off between risk and return in stock markets is an important subject in financial theory which play significant role in investment decision making, portfolio selection, options pricing, financial stability, hedging and pair trading strategy among others. This study estimates stock return volatility and analyses the risk-return trade-off in the Nigerian stock market using symmetric GARCH (1,1)-in-mean, asymmetric CGARCH (1,1)-in-mean and EGARCH (1,1)-in-mean models with Generalized Error Distribution and Student-t innovation. Data on daily closing all share prices of the Nigerian stock exchange for the period 2nd January, 1998 to 9th January, 2018 are utilised. The data is further divided into three sub-periods of pre-crisis, global financial crisis and post crisis periods to allow volatility behaviour and the risk-return trade-off to be investigated across the sub-periods. Results showed evidence of volatility clustering, leptokurtosis, high persistence of shocks to volatility and asymmetry without leverage effects across the study periods. The persistence of shocks to volatility increased during the global financial crisis period with delayed reactions of volatility to market changes. However, by incorporating the exogenous breaks into the volatility models for the full study period, the shock persistence drastically reduced with faster reactions of volatility to market changes. The results of this study also found supportive evidence for a significant positive risk-return relationship in Nigerian stock market across various study sub-periods and model specifications meaning that investors in Nigerian stock market should be compensated for holding risky assets. The empirical findings of this study further suggest that the recent global financial crisis have not altered the market dynamics to distort the risk-return trade-off in Nigerian stock market indicating that expected returns are not driven by changes in the stock market volatility. The study provides some policy recommendations for investors and policy makers in the Nigerian stock market.


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