scholarly journals ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN JANGKA PENDEK DAN JANGKA PANJANG KONSUMSI ENERGI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 807
Author(s):  
Ilmanita Ilmanita ◽  
Hasdi Aimon
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
National Income ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Positive Effect

The study aims to explained the balance of short term and long term energy comsumption in Indonesia. The data used time series from 1978 to 2017. The method analysis used the Simultaneous Equation Model and Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of the study show that the long term oil production, national income and import of oil have significant positive effect to energy consumption in Indonesia. Oil price have significant negative effect to energy consumption. In the short term oil production, national income and import of oil have significant positive effect to energy comsumption in Indonesia. Oil price have significant effect to energy comsumption in Indonesia. In the long term national income have significant positif effect to import of oil in Indonesia, oil price and energy comsumption have significant positive effect to import of oil in Indonesia and exchange rate does not have significant effect to import of oil in Indonesia. In the short term national income, exchange rate and energy consumption does not have significant effect to import of oil in Indonesia, oil price have significant positive effect to import of oil in Indonesia.

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF TOURISM SECTOR AND TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tetty Tiurma Uli Sipahutar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dummy Variable ◽  
Net Exports ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Positive Effect

The results showed some conclusions: (i) in the long term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. Dummy variables and the exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (ii) in the short term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. And a dummy variable exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (iii) of the coefficient of determination (R2) showed that the variables studied could explain the long-term and short-term equal to 94.01 percent, while the remaining 5.99 percent is explained by variables out of models (which was not studied).

scholarly journals THE INFLUENCE OF TOURISM SECTOR AND TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Tetty Tiurma Uli Sipahutar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dummy Variable ◽  
Net Exports ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Positive Effect

The results showed some conclusions: (i) in the long term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. Dummy variables and the exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (ii) in the short term that the variables of tourism foreign exchange and net exports positive and significant impact. And a dummy variable exchange rate and no significant positive effect. (iii) of the coefficient of determination (R2) showed that the variables studied could explain the long-term and short-term equal to 94.01 percent, while the remaining 5.99 percent is explained by variables out of models (which was not studied).

scholarly journals The Factors Affecting Islamic Financing for Homeownership

2021 ◽  
pp. 48-54
Author(s):  
Neva Sunba Dena ◽  
◽  
Suhel Suhel ◽  
Imam Asngari ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Household Income ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Positive Effect

Indonesia has a significant and growing shortfall of housing. Existing supply is in poor condition and demand is rising for new units. Meanwhile, people's purchasing power to buy a house is still relatively low. Government overcomes added stock housing availability by collaborating with private developers to help meet the demand for housing needs. Islamic banks can provide funds to buy houses for the community. This study analyzes the effect of third-party fund (TPF), margin of homeownership financing (PPR), inflation, and household income on Islamic financing for homeownership. The analytical model used in this research is the ordinary least square with the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in this study is used to see the relationship between the short-term and long-term effects of the independent variables on the dependent variable. The analytical tool used in this research is Econometric Views (EViews 10 Standard Edition for Windows). The study results show that in the short term, the TPF, PPR margin, inflation, and household income variables have a significant positive effect on homeownership financing in Islamic banks in Indonesia. The long term TPF, inflation, and household income variables have a significant positive effect on homeownership financing in Islamic banks in Indonesia, but the variable of PPR margin has a significant negative impact on sharia financing for homeownership.

scholarly journals THE ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKET VOLATILITY: A COMPARATIVE STUDY BETWEEN IN INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA

2013 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 391-415
Author(s):  
Muhammad Syafii Antonio ◽  
Hafidhoh Hafidhoh ◽  
Hilman Fauzi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Jones Index

This study attempts to examine the short-term and long-term relationship among selected global anddomestic macroeconomic variables fromeach country (Fed rate, crude oil price, Dow Jones Index, interest rate, exchange rate and inflation) for Indonesia and Malaysia Islamic capital market (Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah Shariah Index (FHSI). The methodology used in this study is vector error correction model (VECM) for the monthly data starting from January 2006 to December 2010. The result shows that in the long-term, all selectedmacroeconomic variables except Dow Jones Index variable have significantly affect in both Islamic stock market FHSI and JII, while in the short-term there is no any selected macroeconomic variables that significantly affect FHSI and only inflation, exchange rate and crude oil price variables seem to significantly affect JII. Keywords : Islamic Stock Market, Jakarta Islamic Index, FTSE Hijrah Shariah Index, VAR/VECMJEL Classification: E52, E44

scholarly journals PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA TAHUN 2015-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 88-99
Author(s):  
Feby Kinanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables including the open unemployment rate, trade balance, inflation rate and the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar on Indonesian economic growth by using the ECM error correction model approach to see the long-term and short-term relationships that influence macro variables on economic growth. , in the long term the open unemployment rate variable, the trade balance, the inflation rate have a negative effect while the exchange rate has a positive effect, while in the short term the open unemployment rate, the inflation rate and the exchange rate have a negative effect while the trade balance has a positive effect.   Keywords: Economic Growth, Open Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, Inflation, Exchange Rate

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH GONCANGAN FAKTOR EKSTERNAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Monica Wulandari ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Mike Triani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Positive Effect

The purpose of this research is to see how far the influence of external factors toward the economic growth in Indonesia and also to see any external factors that can decreasing economic growth in short and long term. The method is used in this research is Ordinary Least Square with use Error Correction Model (ECM) test and Cointegration. Based on analysis data was obtained three conclusions were; The first is based on the results of multiple regression, foreign investment and world oil prices and a significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while the exchange rate and foreign debt and no significant positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia at the 5% significance level. The second is in the short term through the Error Correction Model (ECM) test, the world oil price and foreign direct investment to boost economic growth while exchange rate USD / $ (NTR) and External Debt (ED) can shocks the economic growth in Indonesia. The third is in the long term through cointegration test, the variables included in the model and no significant negative effect on economic growth

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF MUDHARABAH, MUSHARAKA, AND IJARAH FINANCING TO RETURN ON EQUITY IN BANK BRI SHARIA PERIOD 2016-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 268-285
Author(s):  
Filia Fransiska ◽  
Asmak Ab Rahman ◽  
Shinta Maharani
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Positive Effect

Aim of this research is the phenomenon on the 2016-2020 financial statements of BRI Syariah Bank. It shows that the increase in  income is not always followed by an increase in Return On Equity (ROE) at BRI Syariah Bank, vice versa. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of mudharabah, musyaraka, and ijarah  both in the long and short term on Return On Equity (ROE). The method of this study used quantitative methods, and used secondary data. The population and sample used in this study are BRI Syariah Bank monthly reports, including mudharabah, musyaraka, and ijarah  in the 2016-2020 period. The analytical method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) with the Eviews program. The results in this study indicate that in the short term and long term, mudharabah  has a significant positive effect on return on equity (ROE), the short term results show that the t-statistic (t-count) is greater than the t-critical (2.833045>2.002247). . Meanwhile, the results of the long-term test show that the t-statistic (t-count) is more significant than t-critical (2.467613>2.002247). Musharaka  in the short term and long term affects the return on equity (ROE). The short-term results show that the t-statistic (t-count) is greater than the t-critical (2.909601>2.002247). Meanwhile, the results of the long-term test show that the t-statistic (t-count) is more significant than t-critical (2.733504>2.002247). While ijarah  in the short term and the long term does not affect the return on equity (ROE), the short term results show that the t-statistic (t-count) is greater than the t-critical (1.330407<2.002247). Meanwhile, the results of the long-term test show that the t-statistic (t-count) is more significant than t-critical (1.256261<2.002247). Simultaneously, in the short term, mudharabah, Musharaka, and ijarah  have a significant and positive effect on the return on equity (ROE) of 23.8249%. While in the long term, it has a significant effect of 28.3164%.

scholarly journals Perilaku Investasi di Indonesia: Kajian Jangka Pendek dan Jangka Panjang

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daru Wahyuni
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
National Income ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Elasticity Coefficient ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Government Investment ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Government

The purpose of this research was to know how domestic investment in Indonesia behaves both in the short term and in the long term. Data used were secondary data obtained from various sources. Those data would be analyzed by using a dynamic analysis tool consisted of a cointegration approach and an error correction model.Several findings obtained from this research were (1) ECT coefficient (4.16) significantly and  statistically influenced domestic investment in Indonesia. It indicated that the error correction model used in this research was valid. (2) In the short term, national income variables and domestic interest rates did not significantly affect domestic investment while government investment variables and rate of exchange positively and significantly influenced domestic investment. Elasticity coefficient of the government investment and the exchange rate were –1.44 and 2.34 respectively. (3) By concerning time lag factor, the estimation results showed that the national incomes, the domestic interest rates, the government investment , and  exchange rate of rupiah against US dollar in the previous 1 year significantly affected domestic investment. Their elasticity  were 2.18, -1.18, -2.18 and 1.26 respectively. (4) In the long term, the national income variables and the exchange rate of rupiah against US dollar positively and significantly influenced domestic investment  meanwhile the domestic interest rate variables and the government investment did not significantly influence domestic investment. The elasticity coefficient of the national income and  exchange rate were 3.08 and –2.19 respectively.

scholarly journals ANALISIS MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA (MELALUI PENDEKATAN MONETER)

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Novri Candra ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Selli Nelonda
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
National Income ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT MACROECONOMIC POLICY ON INDONESIA'S FISHERIES EXPORT TO THE UNITED STATES IN 1989-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Akhmad Jayadi ◽  
Tanto Firmansyah
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
The United States ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

Indonesia is a maritime country that has huge potential in fisheries sector. The average of indonesian fisheries production and export volumes always increase every year. This study aims to analyze the effect of exchange rates, government spending, inflation, interest rates, and sanitation policies to Indonesia fishery export to the United States in 1989-2019. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, UN COMTRADE, and the Indonesian Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries. This study uses the Error Coerrection Model (ECM) method to examine the effect of the independent variables on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. This study explains that in the long-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect, and interest rates have negative effect on export. In short-term, government spending and exchange rate have positive effect on export. Inflation and sanitation policy do not affect export in the long-term or short-term, while interest rates in the short-term do not affect Indonesian fishery exports. Keywords: Exports, Government Spending, Exchange Rates, Non-Tariff Barriers, Error Correction Model.JEL: F10, F13, C32

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