Models Of Forecasting Of Enterprise’s Behavior In Non-Stationary External Environment

2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena RAYEVNYEVA ◽  
TARIK TOUZANI
Keyword(s):  
Production System ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
General Integral ◽  
Development Trajectory ◽  
External Fluctuations ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
Image Component ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

In conditions of a high level of market economy instability, an enterprise's behavior is a complex phenomenon that depends on the impact of numerous external and internal factors. This determines the need to develop specific tools for modeling the behavior of the production system to support its competitiveness. The article is devoted to the construction of forecasting models of an enterprise's behavior, namely: 1) a predicting model of the production system's activities that combines the resource capabilities of the enterprise with the state and prospects of branch development; 2) a model of determining the sustainability of the enterprise's development trajectory. The first model contains the production component in the form of the Cobb-Douglas function; financial, labor, innovative and enterprise’s image components, represented by autoregressive functions. The specifically feature of the constructed model is to use capital and labor resources of the enterprise as factors that ensure the transfer and interaction of internal and external fluctuations of the production system. To using factors of the export volume and the gross value added of the branch in the enterprise’s image component allowed to have regard to the development opportunities of the enterprise in the national economy. To determine the stability of the enterprise's development trajectory, the study uses Lyapunov's theory of stability. The general integral factor proposes to use as a factor that reflects the trend of the enterprise’s behavior. Models tested on the data of two industrial enterprises in Morocco.

scholarly journals DETERMINATION OF REGULARITY OF CHANGES IN INDICATORS OF INNOVATION ACTIVITY ON DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC SECURITY OF AGRICULTURAL COMPLEX OF UKRAINE

2019 ◽  
pp. 183-191
Author(s):  
Svitlana Kushnir
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Innovation Activity ◽  
Industrial Complex ◽  
Agricultural Producers ◽  
Consistent Assessment ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this article is to investigate the current state and dynamics of technical, energy capacities, labor resources and wages in Ukrainian agricultural enterprises, the impact of these indicators on efficiency of agricultural production, indicators of development and competitiveness of products on the domestic and foreign markets. The moral and physical deterioration of the equipment available at the farms is determined, which does not contribute to the increase of labor productivity and to obtaining consistently high economic results. On the basis of the dynamics of the analyzed statistical data, the problem of providing agricultural producers with labor resources was confirmed against the background of deepening of depopulation processes in the countryside, which led to the deterioration of quantitative and qualitative characteristics of human resources. Indicators of development and production rates of the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine have been investigated, that showed a low level of innovation implementation. Mathematical formalization of the relationship between the dynamics of changes in the gross value added indicators and the volume of sales of agricultural products is carried out. Based on the analysis of innovative activity indicators in the agricultural sector of Ukraine and the consistent assessment of the adequacy of linear and nonlinear pair equations, the model specification is presented, which is presented in the form of linear pair regression, which confirms the existence of a direct link between changes in the volume of sales in the agrarian sector.

ASSESSMENT OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL TRANSFORMATION OF THE RUSSIAN MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY CONSIDERING THE DIGITAL FACTOR

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (199) ◽  
pp. 44-53
Author(s):  
M.P. Kalinichenko ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Swot Analysis ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Subsequent Development ◽  
Digital Transformation ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Technological Transformation ◽  
Manufacturing Enterprises ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the study is to assess the technological transformation of the manufacturing industry in Russia, taking into account the digital factor. The analysis of a set of methods that can be used to assess the impact of technologies on the digital transformation of economic systems (country, industry, region, industrial enterprise) is carried out; the results of a SWOT analysis of the Russian manufacturing industry for the medium term are presented (as an initial stage for the subsequent development of functional strategies of industrial enterprises-digital transformation, innovative, competitive, etc.); the results of a survey of experts on a sample of industrial enterprises of the Arkhangelsk region regarding barriers and prospects of digital transformation of manufacturing enterprises are summarized; an economic and mathematical model of the influence of production factors, including the digital factor, on the value added created by the manufacturing industry is developed. Based on the analysis and modeling of the formation of added value in the manufacturing industry, taking into account the contribution of each of the factors of production, a set of solutions is proposed, on the basis of which it is possible to give a new impetus to accelerate the digital transformation of the industry.

scholarly journals Staffing support management for regional economic growth in the context of global challenges

2021 ◽  
Vol 128 ◽  
pp. 05006
Author(s):  
Vitaly Skantsev ◽  
Tatyana Gerashchenkova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Regional Economic Growth ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
Potential Development ◽  
Formation Conditions ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
High Level ◽  
Regional Authorities

The article defines the formation conditions of regional development vectors on the basis of approved federal documents and the opinion of regional authorities on the expediency of applying efforts to certain sectors of the economy. The authors indicate the necessity of focusing on the development of the industrial sector of the economy. This is justified, first of all, by the high level of the added value of industrial products. The industrial sector is also pointed out as a factor of intellectualization of the consumer sphere and a driver of economic growth. At the same time, staff potential is highlighted as one of the most important resource components. The results of the study indicate the participants in the formation of labor resources and the problems of their interaction, the shortcomings of staffing support at modern industrial enterprises. The article contains the mechanisms that are necessary for managing the processes of staff potential development, including the ones that take into account the prospective needs in the conditions of industrial transformations and the young people’s understanding of their purpose in economic activity. The emphasis is placed on the complexity and consistency of the actions taken. At the same time, the authors provide a list of the most significant professional skills and promising professions for both large manufacturers and small and medium-sized businesses.

scholarly journals SOCIAL AND GEOGRAPHICAL FACTORS OF FORMATION AND THE USE OF LABOR POTENTIAL IN KYIV REGION

2018 ◽  
pp. 5-10
Author(s):  
Y. Oliinyk ◽  
O. Vashchenko
Keyword(s):  
Social Geography ◽  
Economic Factor ◽  
Cultural Development ◽  
Geographical Factors ◽  
Potential Development ◽  
Market Situation ◽  
Labour Potential ◽  
Labor Resources ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

The article exposes general features of labour potential development on Kyiv region in comparison with other regions of Ukraine. Focused on analysis of factors of employment of the labour potential of the region from the standpoint of social geography. Socio-geographical factors of formation and the use of labour potential of the region are revealed. Research of labour potential of Kiev region allows you to understand which socio-geographical factors most strongly influence the modern formation and the use of the labour potential of the region in comparison with other regions of Ukraine. The article proposes 23 indicators of four subsystems with six components, which determine the formation and the use of labor resources in the region. Integral indices of certain subsystems were calculated, which reflect the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of labour resources potential, which dynamically change under the influence of socio-geographical factors. The method of factor analysis has been applied, which provided for the normalization of the indicators (taking into account their stimulating and disincentive impact) of the regions of Ukraine; aggregation of indicators in indices for components of labour potential and the calculation of integral indices of educational-cultural, medical-ecological, demographic and economic subsystems. According to the results of calculations of factor scales and the integral rank of labour potential development in the regions of Ukraine, the peculiarities of the formation and the use of labour potential in Ukraine and the corresponding influence of socio-geographical factors are revealed. According to the integral ranking of the assessment of the formation and the use of labour potential, five groups of regions have been identified. The brief characterization of the selected groups of regions in relation to the role in shaping the labour potential of their regional centres is given in line with the level of diversification of the economy and the impact on the socio-cultural development of the region and the country as a whole, determined in the gender of socio-geographic factors of labour potential development. Three main aggregate socio-geographical factors of formation and development of labour potential of regions of Ukraine (medical-ecological factor, educational-cultural factor, demographic and economic factor) and their influence were revealed. Significant disproportions were found in the level of labour potential development in the regions of Ukraine. The place of the Kiev region was described in accordance with their actions. Kyiv region belongs to a group of regions with a high level of labour potential with the most significant effect of demographic and economic factors. Kyiv region is described as Hinterland, which is in close social and economic interconnection with Kyiv, which certainly affects the market situation of the labour market.

scholarly journals Globalization, fiscal policy and free competition: The impact in EU

2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 08001
Author(s):  
Maria do Rosário Anjos
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Value Added ◽  
World Order ◽  
The Political ◽  
Member States ◽  
Euro Zone ◽  
Free Competition ◽  
Tax Harmonization ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

Research background: Globalization has profoundly changed the rules of play in the international economy. A new world order, new challenges and new difficulties have arisen as well new strategies to avoid the consequences of global free competition. Fiscal policy is a crucial tool in new global competition model, in special for regions with a high level of economic integration, as EU. In this context tax harmonization is extremely important to prevent distortions of competition in European market. Purpose of the article: Study the political and institutional constraints of the tax harmonization and disclosure a small part of the initial results of a investigation project about “tax competition in EU”. Understand if and how lack of tax harmonization between the member states is one of the causes of inequity between them, in special the Euro zone countries. Methods: Comparative study about income tax’s in Euro zone countries and the relation to PIB, as well the deductive method to analyse the results we find and some reference studies on the subject. Findings & Value added: The goal is answer to the follow questions: what are the political and institutional limitations to tax harmonization in EU? Why there are no further progress in the field of tax harmonization? Can EU and Euro zone survive face a globalization challenge with the present fiscal disloyal competition between member states? What future for EU in a globalization era? Findings show that tax harmonization never was considered as a priority in EU, and maybe never will, what is a weakness in a globalization world.

scholarly journals Innovation as a determinant of the competitiveness of Polish enterprises

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karina Sachpazidu-Wójcicka
Keyword(s):  
Technology Transfer ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Innovation Activity ◽  
Competitive Position ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
Use Of Technology ◽  
Product And Process ◽  
High Level

Research background: Global competition, fast and dynamic technological change and increasingly shorter product life cycles have changed the current environment of enterprises’ functioning. In order to compete, firms are obliged to introduce new technologies, products, services or organizational systems and are forced to seek competitive advantages in innova-tiveness. Technology transfer becomes a major opportunity to enhance competitiveness and innovativeness of enterprises. The use of technology transfer and implementation of innova-tions allows companies to meet the requirements of the market and international competition. This paper discusses innovation activity occurring in industrial enterprises in Poland at present.Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to determine the level of innovativeness in gaining the competitive position of surveyed Polish enterprises. The purpose of the article is to determine the occurring innovation activity and the novelty level of innovations implemented in the group of surveyed firms.Methods: The study is based on a survey on industrial firms (n=100) located in Poland. Data was collected during 100 individual interviews with high- and medium-level managers of randomly selected companies.Findings & Value added: The research has determined the level of innovativeness in gaining the competitive position of the surveyed firms. As the survey showed, enterprises prevailed the range of implementation of material innovation - product and process. Rarely firms implement non-material innovations. The study pointed to low activity in the field of patenting and implementing innovations with a high level of novelty. According to the obtained results, there is a dominant introducing new form the companies side innovations, which causes low competitiveness of surveyed enterprises. These findings suggest that measurement of innovativeness in gaining the competitiveness should be developed. The findings support the need for Polish enterprises to participate in advanced forms of technology and knowledge procurement.

scholarly journals Effects of management commitment and organization of work teams on the benefits of Kaizen: Planning stage

DYNA ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 82 (191) ◽  
pp. 76-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Midiala Oropesa-Vento ◽  
Jorge Luis García-Alcaraz ◽  
Leonardo Rivera ◽  
Diego F. Manotas
Keyword(s):  
Success Factors ◽  
Work Teams ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Structural Equations ◽  
Organization Of Work ◽  
Planning Stage ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
Management Commitment ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

<p class="ADYNAAbstrac"><span lang="EN-US">This paper presents an analysis of the effects of management commitment and organization of work teams in the benefits of implementing Kaizen in industrial enterprises during planning stages. To gather information, 200 questionnaires were applied to 68 companies distributed in the states of Tabasco, Sinaloa and Chihuahua in Mexico and in the province of Camagüey, Cuba. We used the methodology of least partial squares with the WarpPLS 4.0 software to develop a model of structural equations that explains such effects. The results show that when there is a high level of managerial commitment, this impacts the profits and competitiveness of companies positively. We also found that the organization of work teams has positive impacts on competitive benefits and these, in turn, on economic benefits. As a result of this study, we present the impact of certain critical success factors of Kaizen on the benefits of its implementation, which is a key factor in its sustainability over time.</span></p>

scholarly journals National and Foreign-controlled Companies Operating in Development Activities in Czechia and Aspects of their Capital Structure Management

2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 03013
Author(s):  
Dagmar Kalová ◽  
Karel Brychta
Keyword(s):  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Value Added ◽  
High Standard ◽  
Equity Capital ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Foreign Control ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

Research background: Entities operating in the field of development activities show significant specifics, including a high level of indebtedness. Given the nature of development projects, which are long-term, and their financial complexity, companies take, at the same time, high risks. Therefore, there is need of a high standard of financial management and risk management in this type of companies. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper was to provide information regarding return on equity and point out the risk factors of financial management. A partial aim of the conducted preliminary research was to identify and evaluate selected differences in financial management of national companies and foreign-controlled companies. Methods: The research was conducted as mixed research. It started with the undertaking of qualitative research focused on textual analysis of the text and collection of selected relevant quantitative data. For evaluation, we used INFA methodology, which links financial controlling and risk controlling indicators. The data under investigation were those related to the evaluation of return on equity in relation to risks taken. The indicators of the assets, self-financing ratio and debt ratio were assessed, including the assessment of the impact of these factors on return on equity and taken risks. Findings & Value added: The research provides new knowledge regarding the extent to which equity capital is used in the financial management of companies operating in the Czech Republic in development activities. The results indiciate that companies under foreign control and domestic companies show differences in financial structure and financial stability indicators, as well as in the effectiveness of using their capital.

scholarly journals The impact of Business Support Instruments on the innovation activity of medium-high and high technology manufacturers in Poland

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 ◽  
pp. 01012
Author(s):  
Piotr Dzikowski
Keyword(s):  
Positive Impact ◽  
High Technology ◽  
Innovative Activity ◽  
Innovation Activity ◽  
Business Consulting ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
Business Support ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

The article shows the impact of Business Support Instruments (BSIs) on the innovative activity of medium-high and high technology manufacturers in Poland. The analysis includes 1355 industrial enterprises representing medium-high and high-level technology based in Poland. The scope of the research concerns innovation at company-level and takes into account the diffusion to the "new for the company". The work assumes that the innovative activity of MHT & HT manufacturers grows as a result of interaction with BSIs. Technological parks and business consulting centers have the greatest positive impact on stimulating innovation activity.

scholarly journals Study of the Vision System’s Impact on Increasing the Reliability of the Production System

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 46-56
Author(s):  
Jakub Franek ◽  
Bartłomiej Nalepa
Keyword(s):  
Production System ◽  
Production Line ◽  
Vision System ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Production Plant ◽  
Communication Interface ◽  
Production Output ◽  
The Right ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The purpose of the paper is to present the validity of the investment of a production plant in the development of production automation. The optimal use of production lines is the way to achieve the right return on investment and profits. Any unplanned stops reduce profitability of production and do not allow to achieve high production output. The introduction of various types of safety devices and process automation allows to prevent unwanted events. In particular, relieving employees of their responsibility and thus avoiding breakdowns caused by operator error can lead to an effective increase in Overall Equipment Effectiveness (OEE). The publication presents a study of the impact of the use of a vision system on increasing the reliability of the production system. As a result, an effective vision system based on a 3D sensor has been developed, which protects the production line against collision of the robot’s chuck plate with final products, thus not leading to the collision and destruction of the robot’s tools. The camera has been implemented in the robot’s control system, which excludes the need to change the settings, because the necessary change of work parameters is made automatically via the communication interface, thus making the work easier for employees when retooling the production machine between orders. Increasing the Overall Equipment Effectiveness and high level of Return Of Investment (ROI) allow for an unequivocal decision on the importance of the investment decision. The financial expense allowed for increasing the efficiency and productivity of production line, which contributes to the growth of the company’s competitiveness. The predictability of lead time has been significantly improved, which led to an increase in customer satisfaction.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document