scholarly journals EVALUATING THE INFLUENCE OF FRAILTY IN SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF CANCER PATIENTS IN NORTH-WESTERN NIGERIA

Author(s):  
BOYI ABUBAKAR DALATU ◽  
SHEHU LADAN ◽  
FARUK ABDULLAHI ZAGGA ◽  
ISHAQ .O. OLAWOYIN

Not much is known about the influence of frailty along side otherexplanatory variables on cancer patients’ survival in the north-western Nigeria. In this work, the impact of variables; age sex cancer type, and frailty on patient survival has been estimated using Cox proportional hazards model. Fitting the model to the cancer data obtained from Ahmadu Bello University Teaching Hospital (ABUTH) Zaria, Cancer Registry Center, the results indicate that the covariates studied are relevant prognostic factors to patients’ survival. Also, presence of frailty has impact on the estimates. Female patients were found to be slightly more prone to failure than the male patients. Key words:Cancer Survival, Covariates, Frailty, Cox Proportional Hazards

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e19268-e19268
Author(s):  
Mehrnoosh Pauls ◽  
Abdulaziz AlJassim AlShareef ◽  
Winson Y. Cheung ◽  
Rachel Anne Goodwin ◽  
Brandon M. Meyers ◽  
...  

e19268 Background: Prior studies have demonstrated that clonal cells that give rise to pancreatic peritoneal metastases (PM) are geographically and genetically distinct from clonal cells, giving rise to lung and liver metastases. The objective of this study was to assess if there is a distinct difference in prognosis and therapeutic response among patients with pancreatic cancer with (PM compared to the lung/liver. Methods: Using a retrospective cohort design, medical records from adult patients diagnosed with metastatic adenocarcinoma of the pancreas at five Canadian academic cancer centers (2014 - 2019) were reviewed. Prognostic variables including age, Charlson comorbidity index, ECOG, cigarette smoking, nodal status, sites of metastases, and first line chemotherapy were collected. Cox proportional hazards model (MVA) was used to examine the association between peritoneal involvement and survival, adjusted for measured confounders. Analyses were completed using SAS, where alpha of 0.05 was defined as the level of significance. Results: A total of 1161 patients were included. Metastatic sites included peritoneum (n = 170, 14.6%), lung (n = 145, 12.5%) and liver (n = 563, 48.5%). Patients with PM received first-line FOLFIRINOX (FFX, n = 31), Gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel (G/N, n = 20), Gemcitabine (G, n = 18), and no treatment (n = 97). In univariate analyses, worse ECOG PS was associated with PM (p = 0.002). The majority of patients died (89%), with a median overall survival (OS) of 3 vs 7 months for patients with PM and those without PM (p < 0.001), respectively. The median OS in patient whom receive first-line chemotherapy was 7 months in FFX group (95% CI 1.66-12.33), 6 months in G/N (95% CI 4.54-7.45) and 2 months in G group (95% CI 1.42-2.57). Patients had significantly better OS when treated with FFX or G/N compared to G alone (p = 0.002). Time to treatment failure was significantly shorter among patient treated with G alone compare to patients treated with FFX and G/N (P < 0.005). Conclusions: In the setting of combination chemotherapy for advanced pancreatic cancer, patients with PM continue to have a poor prognosis. This may be due to the impact of PM on PS and the inability to administer palliative chemotherapy. For eligible patients, FFX or G/N results in a higher OS than G monotherapy.


Crisis ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuan-Ying Lee ◽  
Chung-Yi Li ◽  
Kun-Chia Chang ◽  
Tsung-Hsueh Lu ◽  
Ying-Yeh Chen

Abstract. Background: We investigated the age at exposure to parental suicide and the risk of subsequent suicide completion in young people. The impact of parental and offspring sex was also examined. Method: Using a cohort study design, we linked Taiwan's Birth Registry (1978–1997) with Taiwan's Death Registry (1985–2009) and identified 40,249 children who had experienced maternal suicide (n = 14,431), paternal suicide (n = 26,887), or the suicide of both parents (n = 281). Each exposed child was matched to 10 children of the same sex and birth year whose parents were still alive. This yielded a total of 398,081 children for our non-exposed cohort. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare the suicide risk of the exposed and non-exposed groups. Results: Compared with the non-exposed group, offspring who were exposed to parental suicide were 3.91 times (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.10–4.92 more likely to die by suicide after adjusting for baseline characteristics. The risk of suicide seemed to be lower in older male offspring (HR = 3.94, 95% CI = 2.57–6.06), but higher in older female offspring (HR = 5.30, 95% CI = 3.05–9.22). Stratified analyses based on parental sex revealed similar patterns as the combined analysis. Limitations: As only register-­based data were used, we were not able to explore the impact of variables not contained in the data set, such as the role of mental illness. Conclusion: Our findings suggest a prominent elevation in the risk of suicide among offspring who lost their parents to suicide. The risk elevation differed according to the sex of the afflicted offspring as well as to their age at exposure.


2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Meyer-Gutbrod

Abstract The U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to grant states the authority to reject Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act without penalty threatened the implementation of this polarized health policy. While many Republican-controlled states followed their national allies and rejected Medicaid expansion, others engaged in bipartisan implementation. Why were some Republican states willing to reject the national partisan agenda and cooperate with Democrats in Washington? I focus on the role of electoral competition within states. I conclude that although electoral competition has been shown to encourage partisan polarization within the states, the combination of intergovernmental implementation and Medicaid expansion’s association with public welfare reverses this dynamic. I employ a Cox proportional-hazards model to examine the impact of state partisan ideology and competition on the likelihood of state Medicaid expansion. I find that strong inter-party competition mitigates the impact of more extreme partisan ideologies, encouraging potentially bipartisan negotiation with the federal administration.


2020 ◽  
Vol 90 (7) ◽  
pp. 1057-1086 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Cajias ◽  
Philipp Freudenreich ◽  
Anna Freudenreich

Abstract In this paper, the liquidity (inverse of time on market) of rental dwellings and its determinants for different liquidity quantiles are examined for the seven largest German cities. The determinants are estimated using censored quantile regressions in order to investigate the impact on very liquid to very illiquid dwellings. As market heterogeneity is not only observed between cities but also within a city, each of the seven cities is considered individually. Micro data for almost 500,000 observations from 2013 to 2017 is used to examine the time on market. Substantial differences in the magnitude and direction of the regression coefficients for the different liquidity quantiles are found. Furthermore, both the magnitude and direction of the impact of an explanatory variable on the liquidity, differ between the cities. To the best of the authors’ knowledge this is the first paper, to apply censored quantile regressions to liquidity analysis of the real estate rental market. The model reveals that the proportionality assumption underlying the Cox proportional hazards model cannot be confirmed for all variables across all cities, but for most of them.


2014 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 289-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jernej Pajek ◽  
Alastair J. Hutchison ◽  
Shiv Bhutani ◽  
Paul E.C. Brenchley ◽  
Helen Hurst ◽  
...  

BackgroundWe performed a review of a large incident peritoneal dialysis cohort to establish the impact of current practice and that of switching to hemodialysis.MethodsPatients starting peritoneal dialysis between 2004 and 2010 were included and clinical data at start of dialysis recorded. Competing risk analysis and Cox proportional hazards model with time-varying covariate (technique failure) were used.ResultsOf 286 patients (median age 57 years) followed for a median of 24.2 months, 76 were transplanted and 102 died. Outcome probabilities at 3 and 5 years respectively were 0.69 and 0.53 for patient survival (or transplantation) and 0.33 and 0.42 for technique failure. Peritonitis caused technique failure in 42%, but ultrafiltration failure accounted only for 6.3%. Davies comorbidity grade, creatinine and obesity (but not residual renal function or age) predicted technique failure. Due to peritonitis deaths, technique failure was an independent predictor of death hazard. When successful switch to hemodialysis (surviving more than 60 days after technique failure) and its timing were analyzed, no adverse impact on survival in adjusted analysis was found. However, hemodialysis via central venous line was associated with an elevated death hazard as compared to staying on peritoneal dialysis, or hemodialysis through a fistula (adjusted analysis hazard ratio 1.97 (1.02 – 3.80)).ConclusionsOnce the patients survive the first 60 days after technique failure, the switch to hemodialysis does not adversely affect patient outcomes. The nature of vascular access has a significant impact on outcome after peritoneal dialysis failure.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 218
Author(s):  
Po-Hung Lin ◽  
Shun-Ku Lin ◽  
Ren-Jun Hsu ◽  
See-Tong Pang ◽  
Cheng-Keng Chuang ◽  
...  

Depression is associated with higher mortality in prostate cancer. However, whether traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) for depression improves outcomes in patients with prostate cancer is unclear. This retrospective cohort study evaluated the association between TCM for depression and mortality in patients with prostate cancer. During the period 1998–2012, a total of 248 prostate cancer patients in Taiwan with depression were enrolled and divided into three groups: TCM for depression (n = 81, 32.7%), TCM for other purposes (n = 53, 21.3%), and no TCM (n = 114, 46.0%). During a median follow-up of 6.2 years, 12 (14.8%), 13 (24.5%), and 36 (31.6%) deaths occurred in the TCM for depression, TCM for other purposes, and no TCM groups, respectively. After adjusting age at diagnosis, urbanization, insured amount, comorbidity disease, and prostate cancer type, TCM for depression was associated with a significantly lower risk of overall mortality based on a multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards model (hazard ratio 0.42, 95% confidence interval: 0.21–0.85, p = 0.02) and Kaplan–Meier survival curve (log-rank test, p = 0.0055) compared to no TCM. In conclusion, TCM for depression may have a positive association with the survival of prostate cancer patients with depression.


Blood ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 114 (22) ◽  
pp. 2789-2789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kiran Naqvi ◽  
Guillermo Garcia-Manero ◽  
Sagar Sardesai ◽  
Jeong Oh ◽  
Sherry Pierce ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2789 Poster Board II-765 Background: Cancer patients often experience comorbidities that may affect their therapeutic options, prognosis, and outcome (1). Limited studies have evaluated the characteristics and impact of comorbidities in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). The aim of this study was to determine the effect of comorbidities on the survival of patients with MDS. Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 500 consecutive MDS patients who presented to MD Anderson Cancer Center from January 2002 to June 2004. The Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27), a validated 27-item comorbidity index for cancer patients (2), was used to assess the severity of comorbid conditions. For each patient, we obtained demographic data and specific staging information based on the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS). We also collected information on stem cell transplantation (SCT), mortality and survival. Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests were used to assess survival. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox Proportional Hazards Model. Results: Of the 500 patients included in this study, 327 (65.4%) were male, and 436 (87.9%) were white; median age at presentation was 66.6 years (17.7, 93.5); mean duration of follow-up was 23.5 months (0, 88). A total of 49% of patients had IPSS intermediate-1 or lower risk. The ACE-27 comorbidity scores were as follows: none, 106 patients (21.2%); mild, 213 (42.6%); moderate, 108 (21.6%); and severe, 73 (14.6%). Three hundred and eighty one (76.2%) patients died, and 44 (8.8%) patients underwent SCT. Overall median survival using the Kaplan-Meier method was 17.6 months. Median survival according to ACE-27 scores was: 27.9 months for no comorbidity, 18.9 months for mild comorbidity, 15.2 months for moderate comorbidity, and 9.7 months for severe comorbidity. This trend reached statistical significance (p < 0.0001). The median survival by IPSS ranged from 40.9 months for patients in the low risk group versus 8.1 months for those in the high risk category (p < 0.0001). The hazards ratio obtained from the multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model was 1.5 and 2.0 for moderate and severe comorbidity scores when adjusted for age and IPSS (p < 0.0001). A linear trend was also observed between the severity of comorbidity and having received SCT (p = 0.001). Of the 44 patients who had SCT, 21 (47.7%) died. The median survival of patients who did not undergo stem cell transplantation ranged from 22.7 months for patients with no comorbidity to 9.3 months for patients with severe comorbidity (p = 0.0002). Conclusion: Comorbidities had a significant impact on the survival of patients with myelodysplastic syndrome. Patients with higher ACE-27 comorbidity scores had a shorter survival than those with no comorbidity, independent of their age and the IPSS risk group. Also patients with comorbid conditions received SCT less often than those without comorbidity. A comprehensive assessment of comorbidity is therefore needed to determine the prognosis in patients with MDS. References: (1) Extermann M. Measurement and impact of comorbidity in older cancer patients. Crit Rev Oncol Hematol. 2000;35:181-200. (1) Piccirillo JF, Tierney RM, Costas I, et al. Prognostic importance of comorbidity in a hospital-based cancer registry. JAMA. 2004;291:2441-47. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2015 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 1023-1030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Alejandro Rauh-Hain ◽  
Sarah C. Connor ◽  
Joel T. Clemmer ◽  
Olivia W. Foley ◽  
Rachel M. Clark ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThe objectives of this study were to evaluate the rates of chemotherapy and radiotherapy delivery in the treatment of uterine serous carcinoma in the Medicare population and to compare clinical outcomes in treated and untreated patients.MethodsThe linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results and Medicare databases were queried to identify patients with a diagnosis of uterine serous carcinoma between 1992 and 2009. The impact of chemotherapy on survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Factors predictive of outcome were compared using the Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsA total of 2188 patients met study eligibility criteria. Stages I, II, III, and IV diseases accounted for 890 (41%), 174 (8%), 470 (21%), and 654 (30%) of the study population, respectively. Chemotherapy, radiotherapy, both, or none, were administered as adjuvant therapy in 635 (29%), 536 (24%), 308 (14%), and 709 (32%) of the study population, respectively. Use of chemotherapy became more frequent over time. Over the study period, and after adjusting for race, time of diagnosis, SEER registry, marital status, stage, age, surgery, lymph node dissection, socioeconomic status, and comorbidity index, there was an association between receipt of radiotherapy alone (hazard ratio [HR], 1.3; 95% CI, 1.04–1.67) and not receiving any treatment (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2–2.01) and worst survival. Survival was not improved over time.ConclusionAlthough adjuvant chemotherapy and combination treatment with chemotherapy and radiation were associated with improved survival in our model, there was no significant improvement in survival over time.


Author(s):  
Keiichi Shimatani ◽  
Mayuko T. Komada ◽  
Jun Sato

Previous studies have shown that more frequent social participation was associated with a reduced risk of mortality. However, limited studies have explored the changes in the frequency of social participation in older adults. We investigated the impact of the changes in the frequency of social participation on all-cause mortality in Japanese older adults aged 60 years and older. The current study, conducted as a secondary analysis, was a retrospective cohort study using open available data. The participants were 2240 older adults (45.4% male and 54.6% female) sampled nationwide from Japan who responded to the interview survey. Changes in the frequency of social participation were categorized into four groups (none, initiated, decreased, and continued pattern) based on the responses in the baseline and last surveys. The Cox proportional-hazards model showed a decreased risk of all-cause mortality in decreased and continued patterns of social participation. Stratified analysis by sex showed a decreased risk of mortality in the continued pattern only among males. The results of the current study suggest that the initiation of social participation at an earlier phase of life transition, such as retirement, may be beneficial for individuals.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research. Method The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not. Results A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However, adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036). Conclusions Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


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