scholarly journals PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN MINYAK GORENG SAWIT INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-80
Author(s):  
Khoiru Rizqy Rambe ◽  
Nunung Kusnadi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Cooking Oil ◽  
Real Price

In the last 15 years, Indonesia palm-cooking oil price tend to increase significantly. The increase of palm-cooking oil price was driven by either its demand or supply. This study aimed to determine factors affecting of demand, supply, and Indonesia palm-cooking oil price. This research used time series data from 1990 to 2014. Simultaneous equation model was performed to analyse demand and supply of palm-cooking oil. The result indicated that income and population significantly influenced demand for palm-cooking oil. These implied that palm-cooking oil is categorized as normal good and staple food in Indonesia. While the price of palm-cooking oil, palm oil production, and real price of CPO Domestic significantly influenced supply of palm-cooking oil. Indonesia palm-cooking oil price was not significantly affected by its demand and supply.

scholarly journals A Simultaneous-Equation Model of Estimating Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-186
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

Based on an extended IS-LM-AS model, this study finds that a 1% depreciation of the Malaysian ringgit tends to cause the CPI to rise by 0.1194%. Moreover, more M2 money supply, a lower government borrowing as a percent of GDP, a higher crude oil price, a higher U.S. CPI, and a higher expected consumer price index tend to raise Malaysia’s CPI. Therefore, exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to the consumer price in Malaysia is partial and incomplete.

scholarly journals SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS AFFECTING THE REDUCTION OF POVERTY IN INDONESIA IN ISLAMIC PERSPECTIVE

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Tatik Mariyanti
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Microfinance Institutions ◽  
Variable Effect ◽  
The Poor ◽  
The Government

<p>In a developing country poverty reduction programs has become the center of attention in policy at national and at international agencies and institutions. This study aims to analyze the socioeconomic factors that affect poverty reduction in the perspective of Islam in Indonesia in 1994 until 2009, the data used in this study is time series data, using the variable as a determining factor of poverty in Indonesia is economic growth, the proportion of the population informal working sector, the proportion of population consuming malnutrition, the proportion of secondary-educated population down, unemployment, investment, government policy in the form of subsidies which are: subsidy funds derived from IDT, P2KP, PNP, Independent, PPIP, in addition to data from the BMT form of funding given to the poor, as well as data zakat alms per person infak poor. Analysis tools used in this study is to use a simultaneous equation model<br />analysis using the software Eviews-4. From the analysis it can be concluded that all variables are seen in this study a significant influence on poverty reduction in Indonesia in 1994 until 2009, but subsidies and Islam is very small variable effect on poverty reduction in Indonesia.<br />Recommendation of this study is the government should help in terms of funding for development of SMEs due to the Islamic microfinance institutions in effect, reduce poverty, and economic growth can reduce poverty is economic growth and equitable quality, investment as a contributor to economic growth must be done in the form of accelerated industrialization, the accumulation of<br />human capital in the form of education, as well as development and infrastructure improvements throughout the country. With the Islamic instruments namely zakat alms infaq very influential on poverty reduction while very little influence, because in Indonesia the role of zakat institutions have not been efficient because more people believe in giving alms alms infaq directly to the poor or the foundation that manages the orphans, but if domestic policy makers This would seriously to gradually use the instruments of Islamic finance as an instrument of poverty reduction, the authors believe poverty alleviation will be accelerated as well. Our nation will have economic independence, sovereignty and dignity so that the State can be maintained.</p>

scholarly journals Policies to Increase Calves Production in East Nusa Tenggara as a National Production Center

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-104
Author(s):  
Ulrikus Romsen Lole ◽  
Arnoldus Keban
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Research Survey ◽  
Policy Interventions ◽  
Model Response ◽  
Main Production ◽  
Cultural Investment

The determinant factors of the growth of calf cattle production in NTT Province (both technical/technological, economic, socio-cultural, investment, and related institutions) have not been specifically identified and measured. This is very important for the purpose of formulating and implementing related policies. The objectives of this study were to analyze the main factors affecting the level of calf production, and to formulate policy interventions to increase calf production. A research survey was carried out on parties related to the planning and development of cattle business. The quantitative approach is in the form of regression analysis of time series data. The economic phenomenon of calf production in Kupang Regency has been simplified into a mathematical model (response function). The result reported that the estimated value of the parameters in the total calf production equation model in NTT was: TPRAS= – 20434.1 + 0.2262 LTTSIP* – 0.0032 TLPRAns + 0.2147 TLLTP* + 0.1036 TPTRU* + 0.1877 TRKUT** + 0.2067TRDIB** + 0.1057 TRDVT** + 0.3647 LTPRAS* + 811.7645 TREND**. In conclusionl, the increased production of calves was dependent on the increase in support for the main production factors [number of productive cows, number of farmers, amount of feed, and amount of cement/vaccine] adequatly. Policy investment (through interest rates and realization farming loans), policy of productive cows control (through postponement of slaughter and the provision cash incentives), and policy of technology support (through realization AI doses of semen and livestock vaccines) significantly affect to production of calves.

scholarly journals A Simultaneous-Equation Model of Estimating the Response of the Consumer Price to Exchange Rate Movements in Thailand

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 284
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to the consumer price in Thailand based on a simultaneous-equation model consisting of the IS, LM and AS function. It employs comparative static analysis to determine the impact of a change in an exogenous variable on the equilibrium price level. The paper finds that a 1% depreciation of the Thai baht tends to cause the CPI to rise by 0.0696% and has declined since the adoption of inflation targeting in 2000. In addition, more money supply, more government deficit as a percent of GDP, a higher crude oil price, a higher U.S. CPI, and a higher expected price tends to raise Thailand’s CPI. The findings suggest that in addition to the exchange rate, other relevant variables such as fiscal policy, monetary policy, the crude oil price, U.S. price level and the expected price level are expected to impact the consumer price level.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN MAKANAN KHAS LANGKITANG DI PANTAI PADANG

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Waryono ◽  
Youmil Abrian ◽  
Hijriyantomi Suyuthie
Keyword(s):  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Equilibrium Price ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Typical Food ◽  
The Cost

Padang Beach has a typical culinary tour like Langkitang. Typical food is one of the factors supporting a region's famous. This study aims to analyze the demand and supply of typical food langkitang in Padang Beach. In particular it aims to analyze the market balance that is influenced by the price of the goods itself, the price of the substitute, the consumer's income, the number of buyers, the cost of production, and the number of producers in the market. The type of research conducted in this study is the type of descriptive quantitative research by survey method. The population of this study are visitors who buy typical food Langkitang and typical food vendors Langkitang which has a stall in the area of ​​Padang Beach. The sampling technique used is purposive sampling, the buyer is 10 people based on the number of samples from the merchant as many as 10 people, with the assumption that 1 trader 1 buyer. Data collection techniques used were observation, interview, documentation, and questionnaire. The data obtained will be analyzed and interpreted in accordance with the objectives and research hypotheses that have been proposed. The analysis was conducted using simultaneous equation model and market balance equation method. Based on the results of this study can be emphasized that the demand and supply of typical food Langkitang in Padang Beach has reached the point of market balance, which is at the equilibrium price of Rp. 4,600, - the proportion with the balance quantity of 32 servings. This means that the equilibrium price will determine the quantity of balance between demand and supply of typical food of Langkitang in Padang Beach. Break event point is on sale of 21 servings of Langkitang with revenue of Rp. 105.000, -.

Impact of exchange rate and oil price on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk: Evidence from Malaysian capital market

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Huda Arshad ◽  
Ruhaini Muda ◽  
Ismah Osman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sovereign Bond ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study analyses the impact of exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk for Malaysian capital market. This study aims to ascertain the effect of weakening Malaysian Ringgit and declining of crude oil price on the fixed income investors in the emerging capital market. This study utilises daily time series data of Malaysian exchange rate, oil price and the yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk from year 2006 until 2015. The findings show that the weakening of exchange rate and oil prices contribute different impacts in the short and long run. In the short run, the exchange rate and oil prices does not have a direct relation with the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. However, in the long run, the result reveals that there is a significant relationship between exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. It is evident that only a unidirectional causality relation is present between exchange rate and oil price towards selected yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk. This study provides numerical and empirical insights on issues relating to capital market that supports public authorities and private institutions on their decision and policymaking process.

Remittances, Economic Growth and Poverty: A Case of African OIC Member Countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-143
Author(s):  
Nasim Shah Shirazi ◽  
Sajid Amin Javed ◽  
Dawood Ashraf
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Alternative Source ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of remittance inflows on economic growth and poverty reduction for seven African countries using annual data from 1992-2010. By using the depth of hunger as a proxy for poverty in a Simultaneous Equation Model (SEM), we find that remittances have statistically significant growth enhancing and poverty reducing impact. Drawing on our estimates, we conclude that financial development level significantly increases the remittances inflows and strengthens poverty alleviating impact of remittances. Results of our study further show a signficant interactive imapct of remittances and finacial develpment on economic growth, suggesting the substitutability between remittance inflows and financial development. We further find that 3 percentage point increase in credit provision to the private sector (financial development) can help eliminate the severe depth of hunger in the region. Remittances, serving an alternative source of private credit, can be effective in this regard. Keywords: Remittance Inflow, Poverty Alleviation, Financial Development, Simultaneous Equation Model

The Effects of Oil Prices Changes on Output Growth and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
pp. 730-739 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pelin ÖGE GÜNEY
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the effects of oil price changes on output and inflation for the case of Turkey using monthly time series data for the period 1990:1–2012:3. Recent studies suggest that oil price changes may have asymmetric effects on the macroeconomic variables. To account for asymmetric effects, we decompose oil price changes into positive and negative parts following Hamilton (1996). Our results show that while oil price increases have clear negative effects on output growth, the impact of oil price decline is insignificant. Similarly, oil price increases have positive and significant effects on inflation. However, oil price declines have not a significant effect on inflation. The Granger causality tests also support these results.

Oil and Methanol Price volatility

2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (08) ◽  
pp. 01-10
Author(s):  
Majid Delavari ◽  
Nadiya Gandali Ali khani ◽  
Esmaeil Naderi
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
High Sensitivity ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Cultural Issues ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
The One

Crude oil as one of the main sources of energy is also the main source of income for members of OPEC. So, the volatility of crude oil price is one of the main economic variables in the world and analysis of the effect of its changes on key economic factors has been always considered as significant. The reason might be the high sensitivity of oil price to political, economic and cultural issues worldwide and consequently its volatility on the one hand, and the high influence of the volatile prices on macroeconomic variables. On the other hand, for different reasons such as oil price volatilities and income from oil export, economic planners and policy makers in Iran have been mainly focused on the promotion of non-oil exports especially during the last few decades. Therefore, methanol as one of the most commonly used petrochemical products has a high potential for production and export of non-oil products in Iran. For this reason, in the present study there was an attempt to examine the relationship between the prices of Iran’s crude oil and methanol using FIGARCH model and based on the weekly time series data related to the research variables. The results of the study showed that the long memory parameter is equal to 0.32 which is meaning the shocks caused by volatility of methanol market and crude oil price to the methanol price were lasting and meaningful and were revealed in the long term.

scholarly journals Pemodelan Kasus DBD di Provinsi Jawa Timur dengan Metode Data Panel

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 101
Author(s):  
Annisa Dwinda Shafira
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Population Density ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Panel Regression ◽  
Affecting Factors ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression

The combination of panel data regression consist of time series data, it was collected based on a characteristic at a certain time (cross section). This research aimed to analyze the affecting factors and dominant factors of Dengue Hemoragic Fever (DHF) cases in East Java using panel data regression. This research uses secondary data published by the East Java Provincial Health Office, namely the Health Profile and the East Java Provincial Statistics Agency such as documents of each Districts/City in Numbers of East Java on 2014––2017 using total research population that were collected in all districts/cities in East Java Province. The data of new cases of DHF and factors affecting the incidence of DHF including clean and healthy living behavior in the household, poverty, population density, rainfall in East Java on 2014––2017. Panel regression analysis is used to determine the best model of the CEM, FEM and REM using Chow test, Hausman test and Langrange Multiplier test. Based on the results, the best model of panel regression is FEM with affecting variables such as poverty, population density, and rainfall.

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