JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUAN DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PRODUKSI DAGING SAPI BERDASARKAN PROVINSI

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Revi ◽  
Solikhun Solikhun ◽  
M Safii
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Meat Production ◽  
Beef Production ◽  
Architectural Model ◽  
Architectural Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
The Government ◽  
Target Data

Prediction is a process for estimating how many needs will be in the future. This study aims to predict the amount of beef production by province. Beef is one source of protein which is also a high value comodities. Meat production in Indonesia in general tends to increase by around 2.76% per year. But along with the increase in beef production in Indonesia, the level of meat consumption in Indonesia tends to fluctuate in recent years. Imports are the most common step taken by the government to meet domestic beef needs. By using the Artificial Neural Network and backpropagation algorithm, it will be predicted the amount of beef production based on the province in order to determine the steps to meet domestic beef demand based on the amount of beef consumption in the community. This study uses 11 input variables, namely data from 2005 to 2016 with 1 target, data of 2017. Using 5 architectural models to test the data to be used for prediction, the 11-4-1 model, 11-8-1 , 11-18-1, 11-20-1 and 11-28-1. Obtained the results of the best architectural model is the 11-28-1 architectural model with truth accuracy of 100%, the number of epochs 15 and MSE is 0.008623197. This model will be used in predicting the amount of beef production by province.Keywords : Beef production, prediction, backpropagatin, Artificial Neural Network

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Network with Backpropogation Method in Predicting Sukuk Retail State Based on Age Categories in Promoting Economic Growth

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
dedisuhendro
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Public Funds ◽  
The Public ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
The Government ◽  
Age Category

Sukuk Retail State has fixed remuneration that paid every month. The government gains equity from the useof public funds, while the public gets a profit from the investment. The contribution of this researchprovides benefits for promoting optimally on the next sukuk issuance. Referral data sourced from Ministryof Finance through website www.djppr.kemenkeu.go.id. The data are sukuk sales data series 003 - 009which are grouped into several categories namely geography, profession and age category. The method usedis Artificial Neural Network Backpropogation. The input variables used are age category <25 (X1), agecategory 25 - 40 (X2), age category 41 - 55 (X3), and age category> 55 (X4) with model of trainingarchitecture and test of 4 architecture ie 4-2-1, 4-5-1, 4-2-5-1 and 4-5-2-1. The results of this study providethe best architecture 4-2-1 with epoch 1593, MSE 0.00099950214 and 71% accuracy rate. Furthermore, thesensitivity analysis was performed to determine the best performing variables, resulting in the 41-55 (X3)age category variable with a score of 0.4089. Thus obtained the prediction of most investors on the purchaseof sukuk series 010 is the age category 41 - 55.

scholarly journals Predictive modelling of soils’ hydraulic conductivity using artificial neural network and multiple linear regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gbenga Williams ◽  
Oluwapelumi O. Ojuri
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Coarse Grained ◽  
Soil Types ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

AbstractAs a result of heterogeneity nature of soils and variation in its hydraulic conductivity over several orders of magnitude for various soil types from fine-grained to coarse-grained soils, predictive methods to estimate hydraulic conductivity of soils from properties considered more easily obtainable have now been given an appropriate consideration. This study evaluates the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) being one of the popular computational intelligence techniques in predicting hydraulic conductivity of wide range of soil types and compared with the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). ANN and MLR models were developed using six input variables. Results revealed that only three input variables were statistically significant in MLR model development. Performance evaluations of the developed models using determination coefficient and mean square error show that the prediction capability of ANN is far better than MLR. In addition, comparative study with available existing models shows that the developed ANN and MLR in this study performed relatively better.

Modeling of lime production process using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Production Process ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Rotary Kilns ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lime Production

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.

IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK IN PREDICTING BIRTH RATE IN BATAM CITY USING BACKPROPAGATION METHOD

JURTEKSI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-94
Author(s):  
Muhammad Jufri
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
The Past ◽  
Backpropagation Method ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The Government ◽  
The City

Abstract: The population growth in Indonesia is increasing rapidly every year, so to help the government control the population growth through family planning programs, especially in the city of Batam. This study explains and describes one of the Artificial Terms Network methods, namely Backpropagation, where this method can predict what will happen in the future using data and information in the past. This study aims to predict the birth rate in the city of Batam to help the government with the family planning program. The data used is the annual data on the number of births in the city of Batam in 2016-2020 at The Civil Registry Office. To facilitate the analysis of research data, the data were tested using Matlab R2015b. In this study, the training process was carried out using 3 network architectures, namely 4-10-1, 5-18-1, and 4-43-1. Of these 3 architectures, the best is the 4-43-1 architecture with an accuracy rate of 91% and an MSE value of 0.0012205. The Backpropagation method can predict the amount of population growth in the city of Batam based on existing data in the past.           Keywords: artificial neural network; backpropagation; prediction   Abstrak: Pertumbuhan jumlah penduduk diindonesia yang setiap tahun meningkat dengan pesat, maka untuk membantu pemerintah mengendalikan jumlah pertumbuhan penduduk melalui program keluarga berencana khususnya dikota Batam. Penelitian ini  menjelaskan dan memaparkan tentang salah satu metode Jaringan Syarat Tiruan yaitu Backpropagation, dimana metode ini dapat memprediksi apa yang akan terjadi masa yang akan datang dengan menggunakan data dan informasi dimasa lalu. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi tingkat kelahiran di kota Batam sehingga membatu pemerintah untuk perencanaan keluarga berencana. Data yang digunakan yaitu data tahunan jumlah kelahiran di kota Batam pada tahun 2016-2020 pada Dinas Kependudukan dan Catatan Sipil. Untuk mempermudah analisis data penelitian maka, data diuji menggunakan Matlab R2015b. Pada penelitian ini dilakukan proses pelatihan menggunakan  3 arsitektur jaringan yaitu 4-10-1, 5-18-1, dan 4-43-1. Dari ke-3 arsitektur ini yang terbaik adalah arsitektur 4-43-1 dengan tingkat akurasi sebesar 91% dan nilai MSE 0,0012205. Metode backpropagation mampu memprediksi jumlah pertumbuhan penduduk di kota Batam berdasarkan data yang ada dimasa lalu. Kata kunci: backpropagation; jaringan syaraf tiruan; prediksi 

scholarly journals A novel model for predicting fatty liver disease by means of an artificial neural network

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Shu Chen ◽  
Dan Chen ◽  
Chao Shen ◽  
Ming Chen ◽  
Chao-Hui Jin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Liver Disease ◽  
Diagnostic Accuracy ◽  
Fatty Liver ◽  
Fatty Liver Disease ◽  
Health Check ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract Background The artificial neural network (ANN) emerged recently as a potent diagnostic tool, especially for complicated systemic diseases. This study aimed to establish a diagnostic model for the recognition of fatty liver disease (FLD) by virtue of the ANN. Methods A total of 7,396 pairs of gender- and age-matched subjects who underwent health check-ups at the First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University (Hangzhou, China) were enrolled to establish the ANN model. Indices available in health check-up reports were utilized as potential input variables. The performance of our model was evaluated through a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Other outcome measures included diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Cohen’s k coefficient, Brier score, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The Fatty Liver Index (FLI) and the Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI), retrained using our training-group data with its original designated input variables, were used as comparisons in the capability of FLD diagnosis. Results Eight variables (age, gender, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, uric acid, total triglyceride, and fasting plasma glucose) were eventually adopted as input nodes of the ANN model. By applying a cut-off point of 0.51, the area under ROC curves of our ANN model in predicting FLD in the testing group was 0.908 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.901–0.915]—significantly higher (P < 0.05) than that of the FLI model (0.881, 95% CI, 0.872–0.891) and that of the HSI model (0.885; 95% CI, 0.877–0.893). Our ANN model exhibited higher diagnostic accuracy, better concordance with ultrasonography results, and superior capability of calibration than the FLI model and the HSI model. Conclusions Our ANN system showed good capability in the diagnosis of FLD. It is anticipated that our ANN model will be of both clinical and epidemiological use in the future.

scholarly journals Modeling the concentration of carbonyl of ethylene propylene diene monomer during the thermal aging using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Hadjira Maouz ◽  
◽  
Asma Adda ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Thermal Aging ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Ethylene Propylene ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The concentration of carbonyl is one of the most important properties contributing to the detection of the thermal aging of polymer ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM). In this publication, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict concentration of carbenyl during the thermal aging of EPDM using a database consisting of seven input variables. The best fitting training data was obtained with the architecture of (7 inputs neurons, 10 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron). A Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, hyperbolic tangent transfer function were used at the hidden and output layer respectively. The optimal ANN was obtained with a high correlation coefficient R= 0.995 and a very low root mean square error RMSE = 0.0148 mol/l during the generalization phase. The comparison between the experimental and calculated results show that the ANN model is able of predicted the concentration of carbonyl during the thermal aging of ethylene propylene diene monomer

scholarly journals Penerapan Algoritma Artificial Neural Network untuk Klasifikasi Opini Publik Terhadap Covid-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-118
Author(s):  
Euis Saraswati ◽  
Yuyun Umaidah ◽  
Apriade Voutama
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Text Mining ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Rapid Spread ◽  
Backpropagation Method ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The Government ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Coronavirus disease (Covid-19) or commonly called coronavirus. This virus spreads very quickly and even almost infects the whole world, including Indonesia. A large number of cases and the rapid spread of this virus make people worry and even fear the increasing spread of the Covid-19 virus. Information about this virus has also been spread on various social media, one of which is Twitter. Various public opinions regarding the Covid-19 virus are also widely expressed on Twitter. Opinions on a tweet contain positive or negative sentiments. Sentiments of sentiment contained in a tweet can be used as material for consideration and evaluation for the government in dealing with the Covid-19 virus. Based on these problems, a sentiment analysis classification is needed to find out public opinion on the Covid-19 virus. This research uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method. The results of this test get 88.62% accuracy, 91.5% precision, and 95.73% recall. The results obtained show that the ANN model is quite good for classifying text mining.

scholarly journals Analisis Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan untuk prediksi volume ekspor dan impor migas di Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Yuli Andriani ◽  
Hotmalina Silitonga ◽  
Anjar Wanto
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Oil Products ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Directorate General ◽  
Architectural Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Analisis pada penelitian penting dilakukan untuk tujuan mengetahui ketepatan dan keakuratan dari penelitian itu sendiri. Begitu juga dalam prediksi volume ekspor dan impor migas di Indonesia. Dilakukannya penelitian ini untuk mengetahui seberapa besar perkembangan ekspor dan impor Indonesia di bidang migas di masa yang akan datang. Penelitian ini menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan (JST) atau Artificial Neural Network (ANN) dengan algoritma Backpropagation. Data penelitian ini bersumber dari dokumen kepabeanan Ditjen Bea dan Cukai yaitu Pemberitahuan Ekspor Barang (PEB) dan Pemberitahuan Impor Barang (PIB). Berdasarkan data ini, variabel yang digunakan ada 7, antara lain: Tahun, ekspor minyak mentah, impor minyak mentah, ekspor hasil minyak, impor hasil minyak, ekspor gas dan impor gas. Ada 5 model arsitektur yang digunakan pada penelitian ini, 12-5-1, 12-7-1, 12-8-1, 12-10-1 dan 12-14-1. Dari ke 5 model yang digunakan, yang terbaik adalah 12-5-1 dengan menghasilkan tingkat akurasi 83%, MSE 0,0281641257 dengan tingkat error yang digunakan 0,001-0,05. Sehingga model ini bagus untuk memprediksi volume ekspor dan impor migas di Indonesia, karena akurasianya antara 80% hingga 90%.   Analysis of the research is Imporant used to know precision and accuracy of the research itself. It is also in the prediction of Volume Exports and Impors of Oil and Gas in Indonesia. This research is conducted to find out how much the development of Indonesia's exports and Impors in the field of oil and gas in the future. This research used Artificial Neural Network with Backpropagation algorithm. The data of this research have as a source from custom documents of the Directorate General of Customs and Excise (Declaration Form/PEB and Impor Export Declaration/PIB). Based on this data, there are 7 variables used, among others: Year, Crude oil exports, Crude oil Impors, Exports of oil products, Impored oil products, Gas exports and Gas Impors. There are 5 architectural models used in this study, 12-5-1, 12-7-1, 12-8-1, 12-10-1 and 12-14-1. Of the 5 models has used, the best models is 12-5-1 with an accuracy 83%, MSE 0.0281641257 with error rate 0.001-0.05. So this model is good to predict the Volume of Exports and Impors of Oil and Gas in Indonesia, because its accuracy between 80% to 90%.

On the Application of Machine Learning in Savonius Wind Turbine Technology: An Estimation of Turbine Performance Using Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Expression Programming

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-47
Author(s):  
Umang H. Rathod ◽  
Vinayak Kulkarni ◽  
Ujjwal K. Saha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Speed Ratio ◽  
Stream Velocity ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Genetic Expression ◽  
Genetic Expression Programming ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract This paper addresses the application of artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic expression programming (GEP), the popular artificial intelligence and machine learning methods, in order to estimate the Savonius wind rotor's performance based on different independent design variables. Savonius wind rotor is one of the competent members of the vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) due to its advantageous qualities such as direction independency, design simplicity, ability to perform at low wind speeds, potent standalone system. The available experimental data on Savonius wind rotor have been used to train the ANN and GEP using MATLAB R2020b and GeneXProTools 5.0 software, respectively. The input variables used in ANN and GEP architecture include newly proposed design shape factors, number of blades and stages, gap and overlap lengths, height and diameter of the rotor, free stream velocity, end plate diameter and tip speed ratio, besides cross-sectional area of wind tunnel test section. Based on this, the unknown governing function constituted by the aforementioned input variables is established using ANN and GEP to approximate/forecast the rotor performance as an output. The governing equation formulated by ANN is in the form of weights and biases, while GEP provides it in the form of traditional mathematical functions. The trained ANN and GEP are capable to estimate the rotor performance with R2 ≈ 0.97 and R2 ≈ 0.65, respectively, in correlation with the reported experimental rotor performance.

A Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network Method for the Prediction of Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient in Rivers

2011 ◽  
pp. 358-374
Author(s):  
Jianhua Yang ◽  
Evor L. Hines ◽  
Ian Guymer ◽  
Daciana D. Iliescu ◽  
Mark S. Leeson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network

In this chapter a novel method, the Genetic Neural Mathematical Method (GNMM), for the prediction of longitudinal dispersion coefficient is presented. This hybrid method utilizes Genetic Algorithms (GAs) to identify variables that are being input into a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which simplifies the neural network structure and makes the training process more efficient. Once input variables are determined, GNMM processes the data using an MLP with the back-propagation algorithm. The MLP is presented with a series of training examples and the internal weights are adjusted in an attempt to model the input/output relationship. GNMM is able to extract regression rules from the trained neural network. The effectiveness of GNMM is demonstrated by means of case study data, which has previously been explored by other authors using various methods. By comparing the results generated by GNMM to those presented in the literature, the effectiveness of this methodology is demonstrated.

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