ANALYSIS OF UNEMPLOYMENT USING FOUR-FACTOR MODEL IN EUROPEAN UNION COUNTRIES

Author(s):  
Ľubica Hurbánková ◽  

The paper deals with the analysis of unemployment in European Union countries on the basis of data of the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed. The data are obtained from the Eurostat website. The aim of the paper is to find out how the number of unemployed in individual EU countries changed in 2018 compared to 2009, in which country the number of unemployed increased the most, in which the least. Appropriate tools of economic statistics are used for the analysis. Based on a four-factor model of the analysis of the number of unemployed, we find out how this indicator has changed depending on the change in the unemployment rate, the economic activity rate, the share of the working age population in the total population, and the total population. The application of statistical method is implemented through the programme Microsoft Office Excel.

Stanovnistvo ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marija Kolin ◽  
Lilijana Cickaric

In this paper we examine gender differences in the pattern and level of employment, main characteristics of women's employment and their participation in political institutions, public policy and decision-making process. The analysis contains comparative view pointed out on gender differences in Serbia and European Union and assessment of anti-discrimination measures and active integrative approach to gender participation. The quantitative data derived from official gender sensitive statistics from EU and UN institutions, supplemented by qualitative findings of recent surveys. The evidence presented in the paper pointed out unfavorable position of women in the labor market, characterized by low economic activity, limited access to managerial position and prestige wages, high unemployment, poverty and vulnerability. The Serbian labor market is characterized by a downward rate of activity of women and a high unemployment rate, the latter being the crucial factor of unequal position. Activity of women at the labor market amounting to 54.6% in 2006 relative to the total female population of working age is very low. Economic activity of women is considerably beneath that of men which amounts to 72.7% active men as compared to the total male population of working age. Statistics and reports on the structure of the unemployed show that women are more affected by unemployment than men. It is 1.5 times higher than that of men of the same working age. The unemployment rate in Serbia is one of the highest in Europe, ranging from 21% to 30%, depending on the methodology of calculation. The position of unemployed women is determined by poor opportunities to contract full-time employment, low and irregular payment of unemployment benefits, poor chances for prequalification and professional retraining and a high probability of engagement on unpaid jobs at home or jobs in 'gray economy'. In the second part of the article the differences and similarities in patterns of political behavior of women in Serbia and European Union are examined, considering participation in governance, decision making and public policy. The analysis emphasizes that women are still under-represented in political system and its institutions in Serbia, more then in the most EU countries. Namely, the number of women in politics in Serbia was dramatically reduced in the course of the nineties due to strengthening of nationalistic politics, ethnic conflicts, economic sanctions and isolation of the country. Relative to the socialist period, when participation of women in parliaments was 17%, women completely disappeared from the political scene in this period. After the 1992 elections, only 4.0% women were elected into the Serbian parliament, and after the elections in 2000, of the 250 members of the Serbian parliament, only 27 (10.8%) were women. Finally, participation of women at the 2008 Parliamentary Elections doubled (20,4%) following the introduction of quota for the less represented gender in the Law on Election of Members of Parliament. Representation increased to 21.3% at the local level also. But, women are still underrepresented on leading positions in governing and decision making in public policy. There are three times less women among the legislators, state agencies officials, CEOs, directors and managers. .


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Hisyam Ihsan ◽  
Wahidah Sanusi ◽  
Risna Ulfadwiyanti

Abstrak. Penelitian ini membahas tentang pembentukan model Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) dan penerapannya pada angka pengangguran bagi penduduk usia kerja di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Jenis penelitian ini adalah penelitian terapan yang menggunakan model regresi nonlinear, yaitu model regresi Poisson dan model GPR. Variabel respon yang digunakan adalah jumlah angka pengangguran pada usia kerja yang termasuk angkatan kerja di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan pada tahun 2017. Adapun variabel-variabel prediktor yang digunakan yaitu persentase angkatan kerja terhadap penduduk usia kerja, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, persentase bekerja terhadap angkatan kerja, kepadatan penduduk, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian menggunakan metode Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) untuk mengestimasikan parameter dan menghasilkan sebuah model GPR. Variabel prediktor yang memberikan pengaruh secara signifikan adalah Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan  persentase bekerja terhadap angkatan kerja.Kata kunci: Angka Pengangguran, Regresi Poisson, Overdispersi, Generalized Poisson Regression, Maximum Likelihood Estimation  Abstract. This study discusses the formation of the Generalized Poisson Regression (GPR) model and its application to the unemployment rate for the working age population in South Sulawesi Province. This type of research is applied research that uses the Poisson regression model, namely Poisson regression and GPR models. The response variabel used is the total unemployment rate at working age which includes the workforce in South Sulawesi Province in 2017. The predictor variables used are the percentage of the workforce on the working age population, the Human Development Index, the percentage of work on the labor force, population density, and economic growth. This research uses the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method to estimate parameters and produce a GPR model. The predictor variables which have a significant influence are the Human Development Index and the percentage of work on the labor force.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Poisson Regression, Overdispersion, Generalized Poisson Regression, Maximum Likelihood Estimation


2020 ◽  
Vol 159 ◽  
pp. 05002
Author(s):  
Aknur Zhidebekkyzy ◽  
Rimma Sagiyeva ◽  
Zhansaya Temerbulatova

Today there is no single universally accepted method for assessing the competitiveness of the country’s regions. For this reason, the research created a methodology for assessing competitiveness at the regional level for Kazakhstan. The three-factor model of Huggins for ranking the regions of Great Britain by the level of competitiveness was used as the basis, and then the model was expanded on the example of a study assessing the competitiveness of the regions of the European Union countries. All data for assessing the competitiveness of the regions of Kazakhstan were collected from the official website of the Committee on Statistics of the Ministry of National Economy of the Republic of Kazakhstan. In the article, 14 regions and 2 cities of republican significance were ranked in terms of competitiveness. As a result, the most competitive regions of Kazakhstan were Almaty city, Atyrau region and Nur-Sultan city, the worst indicator was found for the North Kazakhstan and Zhambyl regions.


2020 ◽  
pp. 5-8
Author(s):  
Ihor TARLOPOV

The paper scrutinizes the peculiarities of organizing the international economic statistics in the context of globalization. It has been proven to be essential to rethink and reevaluate general problems of organizing the international economic statistics at the methodological level with the purpose of enhancing the reputation of Ukraine in the international arena. Ukraine’s choice of strategic direction towards the integration into the European Union actualizes the scientific discourse related to defining the conceptual foundations of state management of foreign economic activity, ensuring the implementation of customs policy of the state in accordance with the Association Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine. Notwithstanding certain achievements with regard to the implementation of provisions of the Association Agreement between the European Union and Ukraine in recent years, the country still requires a significant improvement of processes related to the activities of government authorities in the sphere of foreign economic activity, their interaction with stakeholders, improved governance over such processes. Indexes of leading ratings affirm the significance of intensifying such processes. The indicators of the «Global Competitiveness Index» and the «Index of Economic Freedom» in EU countries and Ukraine have been analyzed within the scope of the paper. It has been established that the impact of factors which serve to calculate these Indexes displays a considerable dependence on the efficient government regulation over its foreign trade and, correspondingly, state management of foreign economic activity of Ukraine in the context of European integration. The work comprises substantiation for the necessity to improve government regulation in the sphere of macroeconomic indicators which are included into international comparison ratings. According to other ratings such as the «Index of Economic Freedom», the «Corruption Perceptions Index», among all EU member states Ukraine maintains the lowest indexes, which testifies to its current condition as the one which requires the implementation into the activity of government institutions of the best practices and tools originating not only from EU countries but also from the countries with highest rating indexes and most advanced practices of reforming the system of public relations in the sphere of foreign economic activity.


2004 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 297-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marika Karanassou ◽  
Dennis J. Snower

Abstract This paper provides a critique of the ‘unemployment invariance hypothesis’, according to which the behavior of the labor market, by itself, ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity and the labor force. In the context of an endogenous growth model, we show that the labor market alone need not contain all the equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance; in particular, other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as well. By implication, policies that raise the growth path of capital or increase the effective working-age population may influence the long-run unemployment rate.


Author(s):  
Elzbieta Broniewicz

The main objective of the following paper is to present the Environmental Goods and Services Sector (EGSS) in European Union countries. The Environmental Goods and Services Sector is one of the modules of environmental economic accounts, as satellite accounts in relation to national accounts. The first part of the paper gives an overiew of EGSS definitions and classifications. In second part, the comparison between the EGSS variables in certain EU countries was made. The output, export and employment of the Environmental Goods and Services System were analyzed. The data is presented by environmental protection domains and natural resources managements domains, as well as by economic activity.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 294-301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gitana Dudzevičiūtė ◽  
Justinas Čekanauskas

This paper aims to investigate the causal relationship between unemployment and emigration in Lithuania using Granger – causality test. The research is based on annual data spanning the period of 2004–2012. The investigation encompasses two steps. Firstly, the authors have analyzed the Lithuanian position regarding relationship between unemployment rate and emigration in the context of the European Union countries; secondly, the causality between unemployment and emigration has been determined in the case of Lithuania. On the basis of the European Union countries statistical data, results of the research have revealed a weak correlation between unemployment rate and emigration. On the contrary, evidence has suggested the existence of a strong relationship between unemployment and emigration in Lithuania. Results of the Granger – causality test have showed that unemployment impacts on emigration in Lithuania.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-30
Author(s):  
Ikang Murapi ◽  
Dewa Ayu Oki Astarini ◽  
I Nyoman Subudiartha

This study aims to determine the increase in the unemployment rate due to Covid 19 in West Nusa Tenggara Province. This type of research is a descriptive method using secondary data which is analyzed using growth analysis at the unemployment rate. The results showed that of the 3.82 million working age population, there were 455.56 thousand people (11.93 percent) who were affected by Covid-19. Most of the working age population affected by Covid-19 experienced a reduction in working hours, namely 378.85 thousand people (83.16 percent). Meanwhile, the number of unemployed due to the impact of Covid-19 was 28.39 thousand people or around 25.03 percent of the total unemployed (113.43 thousand people) in NTB. The results of these calculations are carried out qualitatively by referring to tables and graphs during the period 2018-2020


2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-128
Author(s):  
Mateusz Jankiewicz

The purpose of this paper was to assess the impactof demographic conditions on the labor market situationin the Kujawsko-Pomorskie voivodeship, consideringthe spatial dependencies prevailing in the municipality systemin 2004–2015. The problem of reducing inequalities inthe voivodeship’s labor market was also addressed. Accordingto the Development Strategy of the Kujawsko-Pomorskievoivodeship until 2020, the main objective is to improve thecompetitiveness of the voivodeship’s economy which wouldresult in increased employment, especially in the region’srural areas. This aspect of development may be affected bydemographic processes (e.g. changes in the share of the working-age population in the total population). The labor marketand the demographic situation in the region under considerationwere assessed based on the spatial taxonomic measure ofdevelopment. Panel data models were evaluated to verify therelationships between the examined aspects of regional development.Supporting the analysis was a labor market convergencemodel developed to verify the hypothesis of inequalitiesreduction in the labor market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-38
Author(s):  
Marija Trpkova-Nestorovska

The past decade was a period that was characterized by massive migration flows in European Union countries, a situation like none other before. Different migration flows contributed to inflow of working force from conflict areas of the Middle East, countries from the Western Balkans, and also migration within the European Union. While immigration is dominant, emigration also has large impact in the migration flow in the EU. The purpose of this paper is to determine the main factors that contribute to emigration in the 28 EU countries. The panel regression model with random effects is used where seven factors were examined in order to determine their influence on the emigration. Macroeconomic determinants include GDP per capita and unemployment rate, demographic factors include total population, young male population and young female population and other factors include level of corruption and enrollment in tertiary education. Analysis includes 28 EU countries, while the analyzed period is 1999-2017 (19 periods), and the total number is 560 observations. The results confirm that emigration is driven by unemployment rate, total population, young male and young female population. When the unemployment rate increases, the emigration also increases, which is logical. If the national labor market cannot provide vacancies for the increasing supply of work force, the next option would be emigration in another country due to eligible working positions. Population, as demographic factor, also influences emigration. The bigger the population, the larger emigration is expected. Also, young female and male population have statistically significant effect on the emigration, yet the direction of the relationship is different. Increase in young male population can contribute to increase in emigration. On the other side, increase in young female population reduces the number of emigrants. From the results it would seem that demographic factors dominate over macroeconomic and other factors. Policy makers in the countries with accentuated emigration component should be concerned that young male population is leaving, and this labor force is or soon will become deficitary. Also, unemployment is another issue that should be addressed. National governments should create policies that contribute to increased economic growth that produces vacancies. Otherwise, the high unemployment rate would soon drain the country out of its working source. Other factors such as level of corruption, GDP per capita and enrollment in tertiary education seem not to have statistically significant impact on emigration in the countries of the European Union.


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