The use of Catastrophe Theory to Analyse the Stability and Toppling of Icebergs
As an iceberg melts, the resulting change of shape can cause it to list gradually or to become unstable and topple over suddenly. Similarly, when an iceberg breaks up some of the individual pieces may capsize. We have used Zeeman’s analysis of the stability of ships, which is based on catastrophe theory, to examine this problem. We deal only with statical equilibrium; dynamical effects induced by water motion are important for ships, but very large icebergs have correspondingly small oscillations and therefore dynamical aspects are ignored in this first study. The advantage of the catastrophe-theory approach over the conventional stability theory used by naval architects lies in the conceptual clarity that it provides. In particular, it gives a three-dimensional geometrical picture that enables one to see all the possible equilibrium attitudes of a given iceberg, whether they are stable or unstable, whether a stable attitude is dangerously close to an unstable one, and how positions of stable equilibrium can be destroyed as the shape of the iceberg evolves with time.By making two-dimensional computations we examine the stability of two different shapes of cross-section, rectangles and trapezia, with realistic density distributions. These shapes may list gradually or topple suddenly as a single parameter is changed. For example, we find that a conversion of the vertical sides of a rectangular section into the slightly inward-sloping sides of a trapezium has a comparatively large adverse effect on stability. The main purpose of this work is to suggest how the stability characteristics of any selected iceberg may be investigated systematically.