WILDFIRES FORECAST PERFORMANCE IN ALBANIA DURING SUMMER 2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Orjeta Elbasani Jaupaj ◽  
Klodian Zaimi
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Summer Season ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Forecast Performance ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
National Centre ◽  
Administrative Unit ◽  
Risk Forecast

"The Wildfire Risk Forecast (WRF) remains a daily procedure conducted by the National Centre for Forecast and Monitoring of Natural Hazards (NCFMNH), which is part of the Institute of Geosciences, Energy, Water and Environment (IGEWE) of Albania. WRF is generated on daily basis, by the country’s administrative unit (prefecture) and disseminated to the General Directorate of Civil Emergencies (GDCE) in order to help better coordinate fire-fighting activities. This study investigates the accuracy of the Wildfire Risk Forecasts during the 2020 summer season by analysing fire occurrences over each prefecture of Albania for two components of wildfire forecast Performance, i.e., The Prefecture Hit Probability (PHP) and the Average Fires per Hit (AFH). The study has revealed a “VERY GOOD” Performance for the “High Risk Level” forecast alerts, “GOOD” Performance for the “Moderate Risk Level” and “Low Risk Level” forecast alerts, and VERY GOOD” Performance for the “No Risk Level”"

scholarly journals WILD FIRE RISK MAP IN THE EASTERN STEPPE OF MONGOLIA USING SPATIAL MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS

2016 ◽  
Vol XLI-B1 ◽  
pp. 469-473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elbegjargal Nasanbat ◽  
Ochirkhuyag Lkhamjav
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Fire Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Risk Zone ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
Very High

Grassland fire is a cause of major disturbance to ecosystems and economies throughout the world. This paper investigated to identify risk zone of wildfire distributions on the Eastern Steppe of Mongolia. The study selected variables for wildfire risk assessment using a combination of data collection, including Social Economic, Climate, Geographic Information Systems, Remotely sensed imagery, and statistical yearbook information. Moreover, an evaluation of the result is used field validation data and assessment. The data evaluation resulted divided by main three group factors Environmental, Social Economic factor, Climate factor and Fire information factor into eleven input variables, which were classified into five categories by risk levels important criteria and ranks. All of the explanatory variables were integrated into spatial a model and used to estimate the wildfire risk index. Within the index, five categories were created, based on spatial statistics, to adequately assess respective fire risk: very high risk, high risk, moderate risk, low and very low. Approximately more than half, 68 percent of the study area was predicted accuracy to good within the very high, high risk and moderate risk zones. The percentages of actual fires in each fire risk zone were as follows: very high risk, 42 percent; high risk, 26 percent; moderate risk, 13 percent; low risk, 8 percent; and very low risk, 11 percent. The main overall accuracy to correct prediction from the model was 62 percent. The model and results could be support in spatial decision making support system processes and in preventative wildfire management strategies. Also it could be help to improve ecological and biodiversity conservation management.

scholarly journals Analisa Risiko Keselamatan Dan Kesehatan Kerja Menggunakan Metode HAZOPs Di Area Gas Cleaning System Di PT. RK

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Muhamad Bob Anthony
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Gas Cleaning ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Hazard Risk ◽  
Cleaning System ◽  
Extreme Risk

PT. RK is one of the major international steel producing companies. This study aims to determine the potential hazards and the value of the level of risk that is likely to occur in the new plant owned by PT. RK i.e. the gas cleaning system area which is currently in the process of entering 95% progress. This study uses the Hazard & Operability Study (HAZOPs) method in analyzing risks in the gas cleaning system area of PT. RK. The Hazard & Operability Study (HAZOPs) method was used in this study because this method is very suitable for a new plant to be used. Based on the identification of potential hazards and risk analysis that has been done in the area of gas cleaning system using the HAZOPs method, it was found that 11 deviations that might occur from all existing nodes, i.e. for extreme risk levels of 1 (one) deviation or 9%, level high risk of 2 (two) deviations or 18%, moderate risk level of 6 (six) deviations or 55% and low risk level of 2 (two) deviations or 18%.Keyword : Gas Cleaning System, HAZOPs, Potential of Hazard, Risk Levels PT. RK merupakan salah satu perusahaan manufaktur besar penghasil baja berskala internasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui potensi bahaya dan nilai level risiko yang kemungkinan terjadi di plant baru milik PT. RK yaitu area gas cleaning system yang saat ini proses pekerjaannya sudah memasuki progress 95%. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Hazard & Operability Study (HAZOPs) dalam menganalisa risiko di area gas cleaning system  PT. RK.  Metode Hazard & Operability Study (HAZOPs) digunakan dalam penelitian ini dikarenakan metode ini sangat cocok untuk sebuah plant baru yang akan digunakan. Berdasarkan identifikasi potensi bahaya dan analisa risiko yang telah dilakukan di area gas cleaning system dengan menggunakan metode HAZOPs, didapatkan bahwa 11 penyimpangan yang kemungkinan terjadi dari semua node yang ada yaitu untuk level risiko extreme sebanyak 1 (satu) penyimpangan atau sebesar 9%, level risiko high risk sebanyak 2 (dua) penyimpangan atau sebesar 18%, level risiko moderate sebanyak 6 (enam) penyimpangan atau sebesar 55% dan level risiko low risk sebanyak 2 (dua) penyimpangan atau sebesar 18%.Kata Kunci: Gas Cleaning System, HAZOPs, Level Risiko, Potensi Bahaya

scholarly journals ANALISIS POSTUR KERJA PADA BAGIAN GUDANG MUAT GREY DI PT SURYA PUTRA MULIA

2022 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ambang Rizki Aji Nugrahanto ◽  
Maria Puspita Sari
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Physical Activities ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Entire Body ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Loading Process ◽  
Work Posture ◽  
Rapid Entire Body Assessment ◽  
A Company

PT Surya Putra Mulia is a company that produces gray (greige) using the knitting process. This research is focused on the warehouse section on the loading process finished goods. In the warehouse section there are some excessive physical activities due to activities are carried out manually. Measurement of work posture is needed to determine whether the work posture carried out by the operator is good and ergonomic. Assessment of work posture is carried out using the Rapid Entire Body Assessment (REBA) method. Based on an assessment using the REBA (Rapid Entire Body Assessment) method, it shows that the withdrawal of finished goods includes a moderate level of risk, which means that improvements are needed. The activity of loading finished goods onto trucks (figure 3) includes a moderate risk level which means that repairs are needed, while in Figure 4 it is a high risk level which means that immediate corrective action is needed. For the preparation of finished goods on trucks, it is a moderate risk level, which means that repairs are needed. So that in the process of withdrawing finished goods, proposals are given to reduce the burden being transported. Then add a tool in the process of loading finished goods to the truck in the form of a hand stacker.

scholarly journals SPECIFICS OF ANTIHYPERTENSION THERAPY IN HYPERTENSIVES OF VARIOUS CARDIOVASCULAR RISK (BY THE REGISTRY OF CHRONIC NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES IN TYUMENSKAYA OBLAST)

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 4-10
Author(s):  
A. Yu. Efanov ◽  
Yu. A. Vyalkina ◽  
Yu. A. Petrova ◽  
Z. M. Safiullina ◽  
O. V. Abaturova ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Very High

Aim. To assess the specifics of antihypertension therapy (AHT) in hypertensives of various cardiovascular risk, in the registry of chronic non-communicable diseases in Tyumenskaya oblast.Material and methods. A random sample studied, of 1704 patients with hypertension, inhabitants of Tyumenskaya oblast (region), ascribed to dispensary follow-up. Mean age 62±7,5 y.o. Of those 31,5% (n=537) males. The prevalence and efficacy of AHT assessed according to cardiovascular risk level. The significance was evaluated with the criteria χ2.Results. AHT was characterized by the growth of the frequency of treatment approaches with cardiovascular risk consideration. Regular treatment took 33,9% patients of low and moderate risk vs 41,3% of high and very high (p<0,01). In the male group such tendency also took place. Gender specifics of AHT was characterized by that in the groups of high and very high risk females took medications significantly more commonly than males — 46,6% vs 29,1% in high risk group (p<0,01) and 47,5% vs 30% in very high risk group (p<0,01). With the increase of the risk level, there was decline of treatment efficacy — from 95% in low risk group to 32,5% in very high risk group; 53,1% of the participants were taking monotherapy, 32,9% — two drugs, 14,0% — ≥3 drugs. With the increase of risk grade there is tendency to increase of combinational AHT, however with no significant increase of efficacy. Treatment efficacy in high and very high risk patients comparing to patients with low and moderate risk was significantly lower — 33,1% vs 69,7% (p<0,01), respectively. Statins intake among the high and very high risk patients was 10,6-11,0% males and 7,8% females (p<0,05).Conclusion. AHT in hypertensives in Tymenskaya oblast, under dispensary follow-up, is characterized by insufficient usage of combinational drugs. With the raise of cardiovascular risk there is tendency to higher rate of combinational AHT. However there is no significant increase in efficacy of treatment with the increase of medications number. A very low rate of statins intake is noted. The obtained specifics witness for the necessity to optimize AHT among the high and very high risk patients — inhabitants of Tyumenskya oblast.

scholarly journals Use of Institutional Clinical Care Guidelines to Determine HA-VTE Risk Level for Consideration of Thromboprophylaxis in Hospitalized Children

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 3276-3276
Author(s):  
Natalie Laing Smith ◽  
Kelsey Fowlkes ◽  
Beth Boulden Warren ◽  
Beth Wathen ◽  
Bryce Clark ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Clinical Care ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Hospitalized Children ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Negative Numbers ◽  
Patient Level ◽  
Prior Risk

Abstract Background - Hospital-acquired venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE), comprised of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is associated with significant mortality and morbidity and the overall incidence is rising, leading to its recognition as a leading quality and patient safety concern in pediatric hospitals. Risk-based prophylactic strategies are used in adults but a paucity of high quality evidence exists regarding the safety and efficacy of these interventions in the pediatric population. Defining an objective assessment of VTE risk to guide standard approaches to the use of mechanical and/or pharmacologic prophylaxis (in the absence of contraindications) is a desirable strategy to decrease HA-VTE incidence while minimizing potential risks associated with prophylaxis. Methods- With Institutional Review Board approval, we retrospectively evaluated electronic health record data from 39 patients age 0-21 years (inclusive) who developed VTE more than 48 hours after admission to Children's Hospital Colorado (Aurora, CO, USA) from January 1, 2014 - December 31, 2014. We identified purported HA-VTE cases via ICD-9 discharge diagnosis codes, then two different reviewers cross-referenced and validated with pharmacy and radiology records. We evaluated the HA-VTE patient's VTE risk scores (high, moderate, or low) using our institutional VTE prevention clinical care guideline (CCG) at discrete time points prior to clot diagnosis, as well as whether the patient received mechanical and/or pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis. Objectives: We sought to determine the ability of our CCG to accurately assess HA-VTE risk prior to clot development and to assess the utilization and timing of thromboprophylaxis. Results: Of the 39 patients who developed a HA-VTE during the study period, CCG-based risk assessment on the day before the event had identified four (10.3%) patients as low risk, two (5.1%) as moderate risk, and 33 (84.6%) as high risk, as seen in Table 1. This distribution represents an overall increase in risk score compared to those determined on admission when 13 (33.3%) were low risk, 4 (10.3%) were moderate risk, and 22 (56.4%) were high risk. Admission risk scores tended to hold steady or increase during the hospitalization (Figure 1) and only one patient experienced a decrease in risk level prior to HA-VTE diagnosis. HA-VTE patients often had high risk scores as early as seven or even 14 days prior to the event, and 20 (51%) of the patients who developed HA-VTE were high risk during the entire admission. Of the HA-VTE patients, 19 (48.7%) were receiving thromboprophylaxis on the day prior to the event. 4 (21.1%) received pharmaceutical type only, 12 (63.2%) received mechanical type only, and 3 (15.8%) received both types. Conclusion: Institutional CCGs can be used to determine HA-VTE risk stratification in hospitalized children, thereby informing decisions regarding initiation of thromboprophylaxis as a preventative strategy in the absence of contraindications. Comparison to a group of age group- and risk level-matched control patients who did not develop HA-VTE is underway and will give appropriate context to the high risk designation as it pertains to HA-VTE incidence and the impact of thromboprophylaxis strategies. Table 1. Risk scores prior to HA-VTE diagnosis: Risk scores at various time points during hospitalization Risk Level Risk Score on Admission Risk Score 14 Days Prior Risk Score 7 Days Prior Risk Score 1 Day Prior Risk Score Day of VTE Low 13 (33.3%) 0 (0%) 2 (10.5%) 4 (10.3%) 4 (10.3%) Moderate 4 (10.3%) 1 (9.1%) 1 (5.3%) 2 (5.1%) 2 (5.1%) High 22 (56.4%) 10 (90.9%) 16 (84.2%) 33 (84.6%) 33 (84.6%) Total 39 11 19 39 39 Figure 1. Patient-level risk score tracking: Each colored line represents a unique HA-VTE patient's risk score trajectory during hospitalization. Risk scores upon admission correspond to days represented by negative numbers denoting various days prior to event (Day 0), and all patients have evaluations from 14, 7, and 1 day prior to the event, if applicable. Figure 1. Patient-level risk score tracking: Each colored line represents a unique HA-VTE patient's risk score trajectory during hospitalization. Risk scores upon admission correspond to days represented by negative numbers denoting various days prior to event (Day 0), and all patients have evaluations from 14, 7, and 1 day prior to the event, if applicable. Disclosures Off Label Use: We may discuss use of heparin (unfractionated or low molecular forms) for VTE thromboprophylaxis in children.

Comparison of fall risk assessment scales in the triage of an Italian emergency department

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
I Piras ◽  
G Murenu ◽  
G Piras ◽  
G Pia ◽  
A Azara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
At Risk ◽  
Emergency Department ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Fall Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Fall Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Levels

Abstract Background Falls in hospital are adverse events with serious consequences for the patient. Fall risk assessment requires easy tools that are suitable for the specific clinical context. This is important to quickly identify preventing measures. The aim of the study is to identify an appropriate scale for assessing fall risk in patients from an emergency department. Methods For the fall risk assessment in the emergency department, three scales were identified in literature: Kinder 1, MEDFRAT, and Morse. MEDFRAT and Morse classify the patient in high, moderate, and low risk; Kinder 1 split patients “at risk” (also when there is only one positive item) and “non-risk” (in which all items are negative). The study was carried out in July 2019 in an Italian emergency department. Patients who arrived in triage were assessed for the fall risk using the three scales. Results On a sample of 318 patients, the used scales show different levels of fall risk. For Kinder 1, 83.02% is at risk and 16.98% is not at risk; for MEDFRAT, 14.78% is at high risk, 15.09% moderate, and 70.13% low risk; for Morse, 8.81% is at high risk, 35.53% moderate, and 56.66% low risk. As Kinder 1 implies as “high risk” that all items of the questionnaire are positive, to compare Kinder 1 to the other scales with three measurements, we assumed only one positive response as “moderate risk”, all negative responses as “low risk”. Thus, Kinder 1 shows no cases at high risk, 83.02% moderate risk, and 16.98% low risk. All the scales show that the moderate-high risk increases with age. MEDFRAT and Morse have concordant percentages for young (13.6%), elderly (61.2%), and long-lived (66.6%) people. Kinder 1, 59%, 96.7%, and 100%, respectively. Conclusions The comparison between scales shows inhomogeneity in identifying the level of risk. MEDFRAT and Morse appear more reliable and consistent. Key messages An appropriate assessment scale is important to identify the fall risk level. Identifying accurate fall risk levels allows for implementing specific prevention actions.

scholarly journals The Multi-Risk Analysis of Various Disasters in Karanganyar Regency

2021 ◽  
Vol 884 (1) ◽  
pp. 012023
Author(s):  
R Noviani ◽  
P Wijayanti ◽  
C Muryani ◽  
Ahmad ◽  
Sarwono ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Matrix Multiplication ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Central Java

Abstract Karanganyar Regency is one of the districts in Central Java which prone of the natural disasters. Based on data Posdes 2018, it is known that the types of disasters that often occurred in Karanganyar Regency during the last three years, from 2015 to 2017 were landslides, floods, and drought. Therefore, it is important to know the multi-risk level of the three types of disasters. The method used in this research is scoring and weighting, as well as overlay between constituent parameters. Based on the results of research using the VCA matrix multiplication method, it is known that the high risk level covers 3,589.67 Ha or 4.46% areas that spread in 15 districts (except Jatipuro and Jumapolo); moderate risk level covers 34,624.94 Ha or 43.04% areas that spread in 16 districts (except Tasikmadu); The low risk level covers 42,254.98 Ha or 52.53% areas that spread in 7 districts (Colomadu, Gondangrejo, Tasikmadu, Matesih, Tawangmangu, Jumapolo, Jatiyoso).

scholarly journals RISK ASSESSMENT OF OVERHEAD CRANE (OHC) DOUBLE GIRDER OPERATION IN THE KAPAL NIAGA DIVISION IN PT PAL INDONESIA (PERSERO

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Lenny Novita ◽  
Erwin Dyah Nawawinetu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Occupational Injury ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Overhead Crane ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Prevention Measure ◽  
Risk Rate ◽  
Operation Phase ◽  
Check Compliance

Background: PT PAL Indonesia (Persero) operates Overhead Crane Double Girder tool everyday. The operation of the device have some risk of material hazard, material pinched, material scratched, fracture and passed away. Purpose: The purpose of this research was to assess the level of risk of occupational injury on the operation of Overhead Crane Double Girder. Methods: This research was a descriptive observational one. This study focuses on the operation of Overhead Crane Double Girder in the Kapal Niaga division PT PAL Indonesia (Persero) which consist of the preparation and operation phase. Result: The initial risk level categorized as high-risk level of 44% and a moderate risk level of 56%. The most frequently prevention measure ware routine check, compliance of SOP and PPE usage on workers. Implementation of control efforts resulted in a moderate risk rate of 44% and a low risk level of 56%. Conclusion: Recommendation of control for PT PAL Indonesia (Persero) performs routine maintenance both on equipment and overhead crane function double girder, application and compliance of operating SOP, and operator must have driving license of overhead crane double girder and experience in the field, if applied properly then final risk level to be 100% low.

scholarly journals WILD FIRE RISK MAP IN THE EASTERN STEPPE OF MONGOLIA USING SPATIAL MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS

2016 ◽  
Vol XLI-B1 ◽  
pp. 469-473
Author(s):  
Elbegjargal Nasanbat ◽  
Ochirkhuyag Lkhamjav
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Fire Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Risk Zone ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
Very High

Grassland fire is a cause of major disturbance to ecosystems and economies throughout the world. This paper investigated to identify risk zone of wildfire distributions on the Eastern Steppe of Mongolia. The study selected variables for wildfire risk assessment using a combination of data collection, including Social Economic, Climate, Geographic Information Systems, Remotely sensed imagery, and statistical yearbook information. Moreover, an evaluation of the result is used field validation data and assessment. The data evaluation resulted divided by main three group factors Environmental, Social Economic factor, Climate factor and Fire information factor into eleven input variables, which were classified into five categories by risk levels important criteria and ranks. All of the explanatory variables were integrated into spatial a model and used to estimate the wildfire risk index. Within the index, five categories were created, based on spatial statistics, to adequately assess respective fire risk: very high risk, high risk, moderate risk, low and very low. Approximately more than half, 68 percent of the study area was predicted accuracy to good within the very high, high risk and moderate risk zones. The percentages of actual fires in each fire risk zone were as follows: very high risk, 42 percent; high risk, 26 percent; moderate risk, 13 percent; low risk, 8 percent; and very low risk, 11 percent. The main overall accuracy to correct prediction from the model was 62 percent. The model and results could be support in spatial decision making support system processes and in preventative wildfire management strategies. Also it could be help to improve ecological and biodiversity conservation management.

scholarly journals Tingkat Risiko Kejadian Kardiovaskular pada Penyandang Diabetes Melitus Tipe 2

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 182
Author(s):  
Fiska Nur Aini ◽  
Anggi Lukman Wicaksana ◽  
Heny Suseani Pangastuti
Keyword(s):  
Type 2 Diabetes ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Cardiovascular Event ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Diabetes Melitus

ABSTRAKIndividu dengan diabetes melitus tipe 2 memiliki risiko dua hingga tiga kali lipat terjadinya risiko kejadian kardiovaskular, yaitu serangan jantung atau stroke. Organisasi kesehatan dunia dan masyarakat international hipertensi mengembangkan alat untuk memprediksi tingkat risiko kejadian kardiovaskular dalam kurun waktu sepuluh tahun yang akan datang. Tujuan: Penelitian bertujuan untuk mengetahui tingkatan risiko kardiovaskular pada penyandang diabetes tipe 2 dalam sepuluh tahun mendatang di Yogyakarta. Metode: Penelitian cross-sectional dilakukan di Puskesmas Depok, Yogyakarta dengan menggunakan teknik proportional sampling pada tiga Puskesmas Depok. Responden penelitian yaitu pasien terdiagnosis diabetes tipe 2, berusia 40-79 tahun, dan tidak memiliki komplikasi atau penyakit lain. Instrumen yang digunakan yaitu WHO/ISH risk prediction charts wilayah Indonesia (SEAR B) untuk menilai tingkatan risiko kejadian kardiovaskular. Data diklasifikasikan berdasarkan tingkat risiko kejadian kardiovaskuler yang dimiliki. Data dianalisis secara univariat. Hasil: Sejumlah 66 responden terlibat dengan mayoritas responden adalah perempuan, tidak bekerja, menikah dan rerata usia 61,02 ± 8,86. Tingkat risiko kejadian kardiovaskular penyandang diabetes tipe 2 di Puskesmas Depok, Yogyakarta dalam kurun waktu sepuluh tahun mendatang yaitu risiko rendah 56,1%; risiko sedang 30,3%; risiko tinggi 9,1%; dan risiko sangat tinggi 4,5%. Lebih dari separuh responden memiliki risiko rendah (<10%) terkena serangan jantung atau stroke dalam waktu sepuluh tahun mendatang. Selain itu, satu dari tiga responden memiliki risiko sedang (10-20%) terjadi serangan jantung atau stroke. Kesimpulan: Separuh dari responden penyandang diabetes memiliki risiko non-fatal kejadian kardiovaskular.Kata Kunci: diabetes tipe 2, penyakit kardiovaskular, insidenRisk Level of Cardiovascular Event Among Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus ABSTRACTIndividuals with type 2 diabetes have two to three times risk of cardiovascular event, as heart and stroke attack. World Health Organization and International Society of Hypertension had developed a prediction method of the risk level of cardiovascular event for the following ten years. Objective: This study aimed to identify the risk level of cardiovascular event over the next ten years on people with type 2 diabetes in Yogyakarta. Method: The study used a cross-sectional design in three Public Health Centers Depok, Yogyakarta using proportional sampling technique. The respondents were patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes, age of 40-79 years, and no comorbidity. The WHO/ISH risk prediction charts for diabetes population in Indonesian (SEAR B) was used to assess the risk level of cardiovascular event. Data was analyzed with univariae analysis. Results: A total of 66 respondents were recruited after reviewing eligibility criteria. The majority of the respondents were women, unemployed, married, and the average age was 61.02 ± 8.86. The risk levels of cardiovascular event among participants in the next ten years were gradually low risk (56.1%); moderate risk (30.3%); high risk (9.1%); and very high risk (4.5%). More than a half of participants had low risk or less than 10% for being cardiovascular event in the following ten years. Furthermore, one third of participants had moderate risk or 10-20% developing cardiac arrest or stroke attack. Conclusion: A half of diabetes participants had non-fatal risk of cardiovascular event.Keywords: type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, incidence

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