A comparative study of different prediction models in predicting human resource demands

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Bo Huang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Human Resources ◽  
Comparative Study ◽  
Human Resource ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Methods ◽  
Bpnn Model ◽  
Good Agreement

This study analyzed three prediction models: ID model, GM (1,1) model and back-propagation neural network (BPNN) model. Firstly, the principles of the three models were introduced, and the prediction methods of the three models were analyzed. Then, taking enterprise A as an example, the demand for human resources was predicted, and the prediction results of the three models were compared. The results showed that the maximum and minimum errors were 240 people and 12 people respectively in the prediction results of the ID3 model and 64 people and 37 people respectively in the prediction results of the GM (1, 1) model; the errors of the BPNN model were smaller than ten people, and the minimum value of the BPNN model was three people, which was in good agreement with the actual value. The prediction of the human resource demand of enterprise A in the future five years with the BPNN model suggested that the demand for employees would growing rapidly. The results show that the BPNN model has better reliability and can be popularized and applied in practice.

scholarly journals Stock Market Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

2012 ◽  
Vol 6-7 ◽  
pp. 1055-1060 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Bing ◽  
Jian Kun Hao ◽  
Si Chang Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
The Neural Network

In this study we apply back propagation Neural Network models to predict the daily Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index. The learning algorithm and gradient search technique are constructed in the models. We evaluate the prediction models and conclude that the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index is predictable in the short term. Empirical study shows that the Neural Network models is successfully applied to predict the daily highest, lowest, and closing value of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, but it can not predict the return rate of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index in short terms.

scholarly journals Diagnostic Prediction Models for Cardiovascular Disease Risk using Data Mining Techniques

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-121
Author(s):  
Nongyao Nai-arun ◽  
Rungruttikarn Moungmai
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease Risk ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Number Of Patients

Cardiovascular disease is the top national health problem that leads to a big number of deaths in Thailand. There is still a growing number of patients with the disease. Proactive measures of disease prevention and disease control are searching for risk groups. Therefore, people who are at risk can diagnose and manage themselves to reduce risk factors and adjust their behavior accordingly. For this reason, the idea of diagnostic prediction models for Cardiovascular was conducted. The data of patients from 126 health promoting hospitals and 12 hospitals in Saraburi Province were collected. Then, the analysis was done to establish 6 models namely logistic regression, random forest, back-propagation neural network, decision tree, naïve bayes and K-nearest neighbors. Moreover, 10-fold cross validation was applied into the process of each model. The results revealed that the logistic regression model achieved the highest accuracy rate, 99.940%, followed by the back-propagation neural network model, 98.506%. The best model should be developed as a web application to search for new patients or risk groups. It will help to prevent and control the disease quickly and also to reduce mortality.

Prediction of Surface Roughness Using Back-Propagation Neural Network in End Milling Ti-6Al-4V Alloy

2011 ◽  
Vol 325 ◽  
pp. 418-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Song Zhang ◽  
Jian Feng Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Surface Roughness ◽  
End Milling ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Cutting Speed ◽  
Cutting Parameters ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Depth Of Cut ◽  
Radial Depth ◽  
Bpnn Model

Surface roughness plays a significant role in machining industry for proper planning of process system and optimizing the cutting conditions. In this paper, a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) model has been developed for the prediction of surface roughness in end milling process. A large number of milling experiments were conducted on Ti-6Al-4V alloy using the uncoated carbide tools. Four cutting parameters including cutting speed, feed per tooth, radial depth of cut, and axial depth of cut are used as the inputs to develop the BPNN model, while surface roughness corresponding to these combinations of different cutting parameters is the output of the neural network model. The performance of the trained BPNN model has been verified with the experimental results, and it is found that the BPNN predicted and the experimental values are very close to each other.

scholarly journals Porosity Prediction of Granular Materials through Discrete Element Method and Back Propagation Neural Network Algorithm

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1693
Author(s):  
Yu Liu ◽  
Miaomiao Li ◽  
Peifeng Su ◽  
Biao Ma ◽  
Zhanping You
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Granular Material ◽  
Granular Materials ◽  
Particle Shape ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Discrete Element ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Network Algorithm ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Bpnn Model

Granular materials are used directly or as the primary ingredients of the mixtures in industrial manufacturing, agricultural production and civil engineering. It has been a challenging task to compute the porosity of a granular material which contains a wide range of particle sizes or shapes. Against this background, this paper presents a newly developed method for the porosity prediction of granular materials through Discrete Element Modeling (DEM) and the Back Propagation Neural Network algorithm (BPNN). In DEM, ball elements were used to simulate particles in granular materials. According to the Chinese specifications, a total of 400 specimens in different gradations were built and compacted under the static pressure of 600 kPa. The porosity values of those specimens were recorded and applied to train the BPNN model. The primary parameters of the BPNN model were recommended for predicting the porosity of a granular material. Verification was performed by a self-designed experimental test and it was found that the prediction accuracy could reach 98%. Meanwhile, considering the influence of particle shape, a shape reduction factor was proposed to achieve the porosity reduction from sphere to real particle shape.

scholarly journals Hybrid improved empirical mode decomposition and BP neural network model for the prediction of sea surface temperature

Ocean Science ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 349-360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiyuan Wu ◽  
Changbo Jiang ◽  
Mack Conde ◽  
Bin Deng ◽  
Jie Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
The North ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bpnn Model

Abstract. Sea surface temperature (SST) is the major factor that affects the ocean–atmosphere interaction, and in turn the accurate prediction of SST is the key to ocean dynamic prediction. In this paper, an SST-predicting method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithms and back-propagation neural network (BPNN) is proposed. Two different EMD algorithms have been applied extensively for analyzing time-series SST data and some nonlinear stochastic signals. The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) algorithm and complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) algorithm are two improved algorithms of EMD, which can effectively handle the mode-mixing problem and decompose the original data into more stationary signals with different frequencies. Each intrinsic mode function (IMF) has been taken as input data to the back-propagation neural network model. The final predicted SST data are obtained by aggregating the predicted data of individual series of IMFs (IMFi). A case study of the monthly mean SST anomaly (SSTA) in the northeastern region of the North Pacific shows that the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model is much more accurate than the hybrid EEMD-BPNN model, and the prediction accuracy based on a BP neural network is improved by the CEEMD method. Statistical analysis of the case study demonstrates that applying the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model is effective for the SST prediction. Highlights include the following: Highlights. An SST-predicting method based on the hybrid EMD algorithms and BP neural network method is proposed in this paper. SST prediction results based on the hybrid EEMD-BPNN and CEEMD-BPNN models are compared and discussed. A case study of SST in the North Pacific shows that the proposed hybrid CEEMD-BPNN model can effectively predict the time-series SST.

Prediction for Air-Bending Springback Radius of Sheet Metal Using Back Propagation Neural Network and Micro Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 219-220 ◽  
pp. 1174-1177
Author(s):  
Ze Min Fu ◽  
Guang Ming Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Sheet Metal ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Accurate Prediction ◽  
Air Bending ◽  
Micro Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Bpnn Model

Springback radius is a very important factor to influence the quality of sheet metal air-bending forming. Accurate prediction of springback radius is essential for the design of air-bending tools. In this paper, a three-layer back propagation neural network (BPNN), integrated with micro genetic algorithm (MGA), is proposed to solve the problem of springback radius. A micro genetic algorithm is used for minimizing the error between the predictive value and the experimental one. Based on air-bending experiment, the prediction model of springback radius is developed by using the integrated neural network. The results show that more accurate prediction of springback radius can be obtained with the MGA-BPNN model. It can be taken as a valuable tool for air-bending forming of sheet metal.

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