scholarly journals AUTOMATED MODELING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 20-26
Author(s):  
A. Khariv ◽  
A. Lagun

Introduction. Mathematical methods and models are an effective tool for studying complex economic systems at different levels of enterprise management. Economic mathematical modelling is actively developing not only as a scien-tific field but also as a means of substantiating management decisions in business, in the analysis and forecasting of socio-economic processes and phenomena. In the arsenal of economic and mathematical modelling now are using- modern computing methods and computer technology. Libraries of economic and mathematical models are an integral part of the architecture of decision support systems in specific areas of the economy. The rapid development of computer technology stimulates the emergence and formation of new theoretical volumes and applied areas of modelling.Purpose. Like any large and complex field of knowledge, mathematical modelling is evolving in different direc-tions, acquiring new flexible research methods. Therefore, based on new hardware, technology and software platforms it is necessary to create new information systems using economic and mathematical models in particular for forecasting of enterprise activities.Results. The article analyses the methods of modelling and forecasting the enterprise, considers the principles of software design. Using systems analysis, the design problem was analytically divided into parts. Also were investigated the connections and relationships between these parts, in particular, were implemented the problem tree and the goal tree. Implemented business process modelling performs based on created structural-logical diagrams, namely the IDEF0 dia-gram, which helps to visually display data and information that affect software development, a server part, input data and users. Using the results of research, the authors developed an automated information system for modelling and forecasting the activities of the enterprise, which uses models of Holt, Brown, exponential smoothing and Box-Jenkins for modelling. Part of the developed system is a designed software product that implements the objectives of the research. The obtained program results allow creating a clear forecast of the future activities of the enterprise.Conclusions. Based on the built graphs of modelling and forecasting of the Cisco Systems company financial activity with using of the developed automated system, we established that the Brown model is the best for providing educational sampling and a forecast of activity. The development of the automated system in the future involves the expansion of functionality, improvement and increasing of quality, as well as the creation of powerful analytics for more detailed forecasting.

2018 ◽  
Vol 155 ◽  
pp. 01041 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Pilipenko ◽  
Sergei Petrov

In the article the authors solve a crucial objective of reducing the cost of heating services through the introduction of a system, controlling boilers and heating devices, based on modelling of the building and predicting heating systems functioning and operation. The authors describe the method of mathematical modelling of heating systems of the building and represent the developed mathematical models, pledged and installed into the developed automated system. The authors have offered an automated system of dispatch control of the boilers with the elements of computer simulation and modelling.


2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Sławomir Kocira

AbstractInterdisciplinary nature of scientific research with regard to agriculture caused a development of mathematical modelling with regard to plant growth and development. Application of mathematical sciences in agriculture suits well the area of agricultural engineering which covers the issues related to inter alia, application of mathematical sciences. This article presents mathematical models, in which the analysed system is described with mathematical formulas. The objective of the paper was to present the current state of knowledge on mathematical methods in description and prediction of plant germination. Possibilities of the use of mathematical models and new challenges occurring in the description of plant germination were presented.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 76
Author(s):  
Bowen Hou

Abstract: the rapid development of computer technology has accelerated the progress of construction technology, and the application of virtual reality technology has become more and more common, which has caused earth-shaking changes in the thinking and mode of traditional architectural design. It plays an important role in optimizing the construction design scheme and improving the science and rationality of the architectural design. In order to realize the effective application of virtual technology in the future architectural design, it is necessary to intensify the research on its application and give full play to its application value and advantages.This paper discusses and analyzes the application and realization of virtual reality technology in the future architectural design, and predicts its future application prospects.


Author(s):  
Himanshu Bansal ◽  
Rizwan Khan

The advancement in the development of computer technology has led to the idea of human computer interaction. Research experiments in human computer interaction involves the young age group of people that are educated and technically knowledgeable. This paper focuses on the mental model in Human Computer Interaction. There are various approaches of this review paper and one of them is highlighting current approach, results and the trends in the human computer interaction and the second approach is to find out the research that have been invented a long time before and are currently lagging behind. This paper also focuses on the emotional intelligence of a user to become more user like, fidelity prototyping. The development and design of an automated system that perform such task is still being accomplished.


Transport ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergejus Lebedevas ◽  
Galina Lebedeva ◽  
Kristina Bereišienė

The article considers and solves the problems of adapting the mathematical models, used in calculating operational characteristics of diesel engines burning mineral diesel oil, to engines converted to RME biofuels. The analysis of mathematical models of calculating the main technical and economic characteristics of diesel engines as well as the parameters of the in-cylinder process and the concentration of toxic substances in the exhaust gases is performed. The need for adjusting the calculation algorithms is also demonstrated. The computer programs based on single-zone thermodynamic models are used in the research. The programs of mathematical modelling are modified, i.e. supplemented with the algorithm for calculating energy characteristics of the combustion products (e.g. specific heat capacity, internal heat, the lower calorific value, etc.). Based on the computer programs, modified for examining diesel engines burning biofuels, the computer-aided mathematical modelling experiment is carried out. The results of modelling are compared with the data obtained in testing the diesel engine 1A41. The mathematical modelling performed demonstrates the accuracy acceptable for solving practical problems: the difference between the obtained calculation results and diesel engine testing data for the load range of (1.0÷0.5) Pi nom does not exceed ± 5÷7%. Higher accuracy of modelling the characteristics of diesel engines, operating in the low- and medium-load modes, may be accounted for by the adjustment of the algorithm for calculating the induction period and the on-set phase of fuel injection. Santrauka Publikacijoje pateikti dyzelio darbo proceso ir eksploatacinių rodiklių skaičiavimo matematinių modelių tobulinimo rezultatai, siekiant matematinius modelius pritaikyti dyzeliui dirbant riebiųjų rūgščių metilesterių, taip pat RME, biodegalais. Atlikta skaičiavimo algoritmų analizė ir pagrįsti pagrindiniai jų tobulinimo aspektai. Sukurtas kompiuterinis programinis modelis, skirtas darbinio kūno dyzelio cilindre energiniams parametrams skaičiuoti (specifinei šilumai, vidinei energijai), dyzeliui dirbant plačiąja elementinės cheminės sudėties biodegalų gama. Atliktas 1A41 dyzelio techninių ir ekonominių bei ekologinių rodiklių modeliavimas kompiuteriu, naudojant patobulintus matematinius modelius. Parodytas gautų rezultatų, pakankamų praktiniams uždaviniams spręsti, tikslumas: dyzeliui dirbant artimos nominaliosios apkrovos režimais (1,0÷0,5) Pi nom skirtumas tarp skaičiavimo ir dyzelio motorinių tyrimų rezultatų neviršija ±5÷7%. Dyzeliui dirbant mažos apkrovos režimu, matematinio modeliavimo rezultatų adekvatumo didinimas susijęs su kuro įpurškimo fazės bei savaiminio užsiliepsnojimo indukcijos periodo skaičiavimo algoritmo tobulinimu. Резюме Рассмотрены и решены задачи адаптации математических моделей расчета показателей дизеля при переводе их работы с минерального дизелина на биодизелины метилового эфира рапсового масла (МЭРМ). Выполнен анализ и дано обоснование направлений доработки расчетных алгоритмов ряда однозонных термодинамических математических моделей, используемых в практике исследования эксплуатационных показателей, параметров индикаторного процесса и эмиссии токсичных компонентов в выхлопных газах дизелей. В форме программного модуля составлен алгоритм расчета энергетических параметров рабочего тела в цилиндре (удельной теплоемкости, теплоты сгорания, внутренней энергии) для топлив с широким элементарным химическим составом. С использованием доработанных компьютерных программ выполнен широкий расчетный эксперимент и сопоставлены его результаты с данными моторных стендовых испытаний одноцилиндрового отсека дизеля 1А41. Показана приемлемая для решения практических задач точность математического моделирования: для нагрузочных режимов (1÷0,5) Pmi расхождения расчетных и экспериментальных значений параметров работы дизеля не превышают ±5÷7%. Повышение качества моделирования показателей дизеля на режимах средних и малых нагрузок связано с уточнением алгоритма расчета периода индукции и фазы начала видимого горения топлива в цилиндре.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 4306-4319
Author(s):  
Vadym Ryzhykov ◽  
Kira Horiacheva ◽  
Oleksandr Bondarenko ◽  
Oleg Prokhorov ◽  
Anatolii Yurkov

Research on military education under the rapid development and growth of armaments and equipment is booming. The field is continually gaining more key insights about this important and complex pedagogical problem. Academic interest on the systemic approach in the development of military education has consistently been a multidisciplinary effort. But perhaps systemic approach in pedagogic researchers are particularly well situated to be the leading voices on the public’s understanding of military education and many are heeding the call. With that responsibility in mind, in this paper, we offer to consider four elements of the educational process for the future of pedagogic research that we believe can help focus this line of inquiry to better ensure we address some of the most pressing problems. Based on critical assessments of the gaps in the literature, the paper cites the need to combine all elements of the educational process into a single system to achieve a focused result in the training of military personnel in educational institutions. Our list is not exhaustive, nor do we suggest that areas we do not cover are not important. Rather, we make these observations with the goal of spurring a conversation about the future of military education research, but especially a systemic approach in the development of military education.


Author(s):  
Zhenni Wu ◽  
Hengxin Chen ◽  
Bin Fang ◽  
Zihao Li ◽  
Xinrun Chen

With the rapid development of computer technology, building pose estimation combined with Augmented Reality (AR) can play a crucial role in the field of urban planning and architectural design. For example, a virtual building model can be placed into a realistic scenario acquired by a Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) to visually observe whether the building can integrate well with its surroundings, thus optimizing the design of the building. In the work, we contribute a building dataset for pose estimation named BD3D. To obtain accurate building pose, we use a physical camera which can simulate realistic cameras in Unity3D to simulate UAVs perspective and use virtual building models as objects. We propose a novel neural network that combines MultiBin module with PoseNet architecture to estimate the building pose. Sometimes, the building is symmetry and ambiguity causes its different surfaces to have similar features, making it difficult for CNNs to learn the differential features between the different surfaces. We propose a generalized world coordinate system repositioning strategy to deal with it. We evaluate our network with the strategy on BD3D, and the angle error is reduced to [Formula: see text] from [Formula: see text]. Code and dataset have been made available at: https://github.com/JellyFive/Building-pose-estimation-from-the-perspective-of-UAVs-based-on-CNNs .


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ed Rutgers Durner

Abstract Plants are studied to understand their growth and development so that their quality and productivity can be optimised. Models are developed that can be simple and descriptive, or quite complex with numerous mathematical equations; their level of complexity is linked to their purpose. This summary serves as an introduction to mathematical models in horticulture. It is not a manual for modelling itself, but rather an overview of how important mathematical models are in horticultural production. Mathematical models are used extensively in horticulture both extrinsically, i.e. when calculating chilling hour accumulations and intrinsically, i.e. when applying fertilizer to a crop. In chilling calculations, developed models are used directly. Fertilizer recommendations were probably developed using a mathematical model. The first part of this article discusses models in general and reviews general characteristics of mathematical models. The second part outlines the major uses of mathematical modelling in modern horticultural production. Presentations of specific models are limited in order to present a general discussion of models with examples that will interest most horticulturists.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1003 ◽  
pp. 230-234
Author(s):  
Feng Long Fan ◽  
Xu Li ◽  
Xu Sheng Yu ◽  
Li Wang

With the development of computer technology, especially the rapid development and extensive application of database technology and computer network technology, the data quantity increases sharply, the accumulation of a large number of data in various fields, and rising fast. Enterprise database or data warehouse has stored a large number of customer data, these data include many aspects of the information of customers, but also contains the advantages and disadvantages of the enterprise operation. If we can use these data quickly, efficiently in-depth analysis and research, to find the rules and modes, to obtain the necessary knowledge from it, will help enterprises to better decision making. The system can successfully excavate students and staff of the tendency of consumption and consumption habits, analyze their satisfaction with each restaurant. The results of system analysis to a certain role for school students and teachers to understand and analyze the condition of daily consumption, so the establishment of this system has great practical value.


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