The Influence of Oil and Gas Exports on Russia’s Monetary Policy

2013 ◽  
pp. 4-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kudrin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Dual Task ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Foreign Markets ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Government

The article studies the problems of implementing monetary policy in the environment of a significant inflow of foreign currency revenues from exports of commodities into the country. It shows that in the conditions of strong balance of payments the Central Bank is forced to accept either the appreciation of the ruble or inflation. Only the government of Russia has at its disposal a powerful tool that allows both to prevent the appreciation of the local currency and to contain inflation at the same time. This dual task is solved by means of saving some part of oil and gas revenues in reserve funds during favorable situations on foreign markets. Such a policy lays the foundation for macroeconomic stability and ensures investment attractiveness of the Russian economy.

COMPETITIVE DEVALUATION AS AN ELEMENT OF RUSSIA'S MODERN MONETARY POLICY

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (195) ◽  
pp. 95-102
Author(s):  
K.G. Bunevich ◽  
◽  
T.A. Gorbacheva ◽  
A.N. Brodunov ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Current System ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Foreign Markets ◽  
Fundamental Factor ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The International Monetary Fund

The purpose of this article is to analyze the current system of exchange rate formation in Russia, to identify its main features. The dynamics of the exchange rate is of particular importance for Russian economy, which is among the so-called export-and resource-oriented. In such economies, the exchange rate is significantly dependent on the conditions of foreign markets, since the receipt of foreign exchange earnings from exports is the most important fundamental factor in the supply of foreign currency on the domestic market. On the other hand, the exchange rate itself is a factor in the external price competitiveness of Russian exports. The statistical databases of the Federal State Statistics Service and the Bank of Russia, as well as the statistical data of the International Monetary Fund group, the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, served as the information base for this study. The paper used critical and comparative analysis, a systematic approach to the study of information, retrospective, statistical and graphical methods, on the basis of which the prerequisites were investigated and the features of the current monetary policy and some of its individual elements were identified.

Fiscal and Monetary Policy under External Volatility

2006 ◽  
pp. 4-27
Author(s):  
E. Gurvich
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Policy Objectives ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

Specific requirements on macroeconomic policy, stemming from the impact of external volatility on trade balance and fiscal revenues are studied. Income gains or losses of the Russian economy due to variation in the commodity prices are found to range from -9 to +12% of GDP over the last decade. Contribution of the government and the Central Bank to neutralizing windfall revenues is evaluated, an approach to sharing their functions is suggested. It is demonstrated that monetary policy in the post-crisis period has been aimed rather at restraining ruble appreciation, than at smoothing the effect of external volatility. Expediency to formulate fiscal policy objectives and budget rules in terms of structural deficit (adjusted for windfall revenues) is argued.

What Does Rent Give to Federal Budget (on the Russia's Budget Dependence upon "Oil Dollars")

2004 ◽  
pp. 51-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Sharipova ◽  
I. Tcherkashin
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Strong Dependence ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Federal Budget ◽  
Oil And Gas Industry ◽  
Gas Industry ◽  
Resource Rent ◽  
Tax Legislation ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
The Government

Federal tax revenues from the main sectors of the Russian economy after the 1998 crisis are examined in the article. Authors present the structure of revenues from these sectors by main taxes for 1999-2003 and prospects for 2004. Emphasis is given to an increasing dependence of budget on revenues from oil and gas industries. The share of proceeds from these sectors has reached 1/3 of total federal revenues. To explain this fact world oil prices dynamics and changes in tax legislation in Russia are considered. Empirical results show strong dependence of budget revenues on oil prices. The analysis of changes in tax legislation in oil and gas industry shows that the government has managed to redistribute resource rent in favor of the state.

Why do the national financial and monetary policies not boost the economy?

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (7) ◽  
pp. 1496-1521
Author(s):  
N.I. Kulikov ◽  
M.A. Kulikova ◽  
A.A.S.R. Mobio
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Policy Support ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Government Contracts ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The Past ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Yearly Average ◽  
Analysis And Synthesis ◽  
The Government

Subject. This article assesses the reasons why the economic policy of the Government and Central Bank of Russia does not cause the economic advance. The article tries to find out why the two strategic programmes adopted over the past ten years have not been implemented in most indicators. Objectives. The article aims to analyze the results of financial and monetary policies in Russia over the past ten years, and establish why the Russian economy has been growing within one percent yearly average all these years, and its share in the world economy has not grown, but got reduced even. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of analysis and synthesis. Results. The article proposes certain measures and activities to move to soft financial and monetary policies of the State and corresponding changes in the structure of the Russian economy. This will help ensure six to seven percent GDP growth annually. Conclusions. High loan rates have become the main obstacle to GDP growth in Russia. It is necessary to accept concrete actions and decisions concerning the Bank of Russia key rate, expansion of the functions of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, industrial policy, support of consumer demand, long-term government contracts for the real sector enterprises, etc.

MÜASİR ŞƏRAİTDƏ AZƏRBAYCANIN VALYUTA SİYASƏTİNİN TƏKMİLLƏŞDİRİLMƏSİ VƏZİFƏLƏRİ VƏ İSTİQAMƏTLƏRİ

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (05) ◽  
pp. 122-125
Author(s):  
Kamil Sayavush Demirli ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Key Words ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
Commodity Trade ◽  
Transit Service ◽  
Gas Balance

Key words: monetary policy, commodity trade foreign exchange reserves, balance of payments, oil and gas, balance, transportation, transit service, international, capital, perspective

scholarly journals Monetary policy change of the Central bank of Poland

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 246-259
Author(s):  
Ireneusz Kraś
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Policy Change ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Democratic Character ◽  
National Bank ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Government

Abstract The National Bank of Poland is an institution which, in conjunction with the government is responsible for the implementation of country’s economic policy reinforces its democratic character. Provisions of its operation are governed by the Constitution of The Republic of Poland and by the Act on the National Bank of Poland. To this end, the objective of the present research is to analyse the proposed amendments in the Act on the NBP. The latter concerns the amendment procedures, term of office and the rotations and numbers of Monetary Policy Council. The remaining part of the analyses is dedicated to the issue of dismissal of a MPC’s member in conjunction with the prohibition of occupying other positions, the adoption of the NBP’s financial statements and the separation of instruments of monetary policy’s instruments for stability of domestic financial system. Introduced changes in the proposed draft reduce the independence of the NBP while making it more subject to the Cabinet. Following the result of further consultations on the draft of Act on the NBP, provisions which reduce the independence of the NBP shall be partially removed.

LEGAL MECHANISMS FOR STIMULATING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE OIL AND GAS SECTOR OF THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viacheslav Olegovich Mosalygin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Significant Part ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Oil And Natural Gas ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Government ◽  
Oil And Gas Sector

For more than 15 years, a significant part of the budget revenues of the Russian Federation have been tax revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons, in particular oil and natural gas. Despite the desire of our government to minimize its dependence on oil and gas revenues, the government continues to implement measures to encourage both small and large companies by providing some tax-related benefits, thereby encouraging the fields to further develop and expand.

scholarly journals The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 174-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Ottonello ◽  
Diego J. Perez
Keyword(s):  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Quantitative Model ◽  
Currency Depreciation ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
Cyclical Behavior ◽  
The Government ◽  
Currency Composition ◽  
Shed Light

We study the currency composition of sovereign debt in emerging economies through the lens of a model in which the government lacks commitment regarding debt and monetary policy. High levels of debt in local currency give rise to incentives to dilute debt repayment through currency depreciation. Governments tilt the currency composition of debt toward foreign currency to avoid inflationary costs and real exchange rate distortions, at the expense of forgoing the hedging properties of local currency debt. Our quantitative model is used to shed light on the recent dynamics of the currency composition of debt and on its cyclical behavior. (JEL E31, E32, E52, F34, H63)

scholarly journals Ten years after the crisis in Hungary

2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (s2) ◽  
pp. 121-142
Author(s):  
György Surányi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
Foreign Exchange Reserves ◽  
The Government ◽  
Mind Set ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy ◽  
The Eu

Looking back to the global financial crisis of 2008–2009, Hungary was among the first countries to be forced to make use of financial assistance from the EU and the IMF. The government, the MNB (the central bank of Hungary) as well as the domestic and foreign analysts cited the high public debt and the volume of unsecured foreign-currency loans as the main reasons for the crises. Though these were real weaknesses, this diagnosis was false as much as the following treatment. First and foremost, it was the inadequate level of foreign exchange reserves that made Hungary to request outside financial assistance. The excessive fiscal tightening urged by the MNB only led to deepening of the crises. In general, the macropolicy – both fiscal and monetary policy – before, during and after the crises turned out to be painfully pro-cyclical. Due to the lack of sufficient reserves, the MNB became virtually powerless to intervene and could only watch from the side-lines as events unfolded. The orthodox mind-set after replenishing the forex reserves prevented it from implementing a broad scale of unconventional measures to ease the crises. The fiscal authority lost its capacity long before to reduce the severity of the crises. Thus, the excessive and incorrect structure of fiscal correction coupled with an unjustified orthodox monetary policy, the contraction of the Hungarian economy went much beyond the inevitable amount.

Mexican fiscal consolidation steady despite oil price

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Significant Drop ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government

Subject The outlook for fiscal consolidation. Significance The significant drop in oil prices should not derail the fiscal consolidation trajectory mapped by President Enrique Pena Nieto's administration, which envisages that the debt/GDP ratio should stabilise by 2017. The fiscal hole opened by reduced oil prices has been compensated with greater taxation income and one-off revenues. Impacts Defying expectations, the oil price plunge did not push the government into an overtly contractionary fiscal correction. An arguably much-needed simplification of the cumbersome taxation regime will not take place due to the government's pledge not to alter it. Loose monetary policy from the autonomous central bank has worked in tandem with the government's fiscal stance.

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