scholarly journals A Review on Forecasting Agricultural Demand and Supply with Crop Price Estimation Using Machine Learning Methodologies

Author(s):  
Pallavi Shankarrao Mahore ◽  
Dr.Aashish A. Bardekar

Agriculture plays a vital role in Indian economy. It contributes 18% of total India’s GDP. In India, most of the crops are solely dependent upon weather conditions. Hence, more yield of crops can be achieved by analyzing agro-climate data using machine learning techniques. Machine learning (ML) is a crucial perspective for acquiring real-world and operative solution for crop yield issue. From a given set of predictors, ML can predict a target/outcome by using Supervised Learning. To get the desired outputs need to generate a suitable function by set of some variables which will map the input variable to the aim output. Crop yield prediction incorporates forecasting the yield of the crop from past historical data which includes factors such as temperature, humidity, ph, rainfall, crop name. It gives us an idea for the finest predicted crop which will be cultivate in the field weather conditions. These predictions can be done by a machine learning algorithm called Random Forest. It will attain the crop prediction with best accurate value. The algorithm random forest is used to give the best crop yield model by considering least number of models. It is very useful to predict the yield of the crop in agriculture sector.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 343
Author(s):  
Fabiana Tezza ◽  
Giulia Lorenzoni ◽  
Danila Azzolina ◽  
Sofia Barbar ◽  
Lucia Anna Carmela Leone ◽  
...  

The present work aims to identify the predictors of COVID-19 in-hospital mortality testing a set of Machine Learning Techniques (MLTs), comparing their ability to predict the outcome of interest. The model with the best performance will be used to identify in-hospital mortality predictors and to build an in-hospital mortality prediction tool. The study involved patients with COVID-19, proved by PCR test, admitted to the “Ospedali Riuniti Padova Sud” COVID-19 referral center in the Veneto region, Italy. The algorithms considered were the Recursive Partition Tree (RPART), the Support Vector Machine (SVM), the Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Random Forest. The resampled performances were reported for each MLT, considering the sensitivity, specificity, and the Receiving Operative Characteristic (ROC) curve measures. The study enrolled 341 patients. The median age was 74 years, and the male gender was the most prevalent. The Random Forest algorithm outperformed the other MLTs in predicting in-hospital mortality, with a ROC of 0.84 (95% C.I. 0.78–0.9). Age, together with vital signs (oxygen saturation and the quick SOFA) and lab parameters (creatinine, AST, lymphocytes, platelets, and hemoglobin), were found to be the strongest predictors of in-hospital mortality. The present work provides insights for the prediction of in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 patients using a machine-learning algorithm.


Agriculture plays vital role in every individual’s life. As the technology improves, agricultural sector has been improving by the needs of people. Basically, the idea here deals with monitoring of weather, temperature, soil moisture and other agriculture related aspects. The objective of this paper is to upgrade -growth probability. So by making use of Advance technologies good and efficient crop can be yield. Cloud (Firebase) is typically used to store the pre-computed data (data sets) and the data from the efficiency of agriculture sector. This idea comprises of Machine Learning techniques, Cloud Computation [5] and IoT. Here we will use machine learning techniques for predicting crop sensors and comparison between these. IoT includes NPK sensors, temperature sensor, and humidity sensor. The mechanism goes like this- initially the data from humidity, temperature sensor will be noted and NPK sensors will be placed in the soil, the values from the sensors will be sent to cloud by making use of any communication technology (ZigBee, IoT gateway devices). In cloud comparison of pre-computed data and data from sensors happens by making use of machine learning. The outcome from cloud may be stored in the server (Admin) or directly be notified to authorized person of the land in the form for notification. By taking all these parameters into consideration, we can predict the best suitable crop that can be grown and farmers will earn profit in a cost-effective manner.


In-season crop yield estimation has various applications such as the farmer taking corrective measures to increase the yield. We are exploring the efficient use of fertilizers. The various data mining techniques are used on data for environment. The data is related to humidity, PH. value, water, soil type and atmospheric pressure these are responsible for crop yield. This result is obtained by this algorithm are useful for farmers to take decisions about further implantation of crop yield. Crop selection method is widely used to build decision tree to overcome many problems in real time real world. One of the most important fields is decision tree. By analyzing the soil and atmosphere at particular region best crop in order to have more crop yield and the net crop yield can be predicted. This prediction will help the farmers to choose appropriate crops for their farm according to the soil type, temperature, humidity, water level, spacing depth, soil PH, season, fertilizer and months. This prediction can be carried out using Random Forest classification machine learning algorithm.


2022 ◽  
Vol 19 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Nikhil Bora ◽  
Sreedevi Gutta ◽  
Ahmad Hadaegh

Heart Disease has become one of the most leading cause of the death on the planet and it has become most life-threatening disease. The early prediction of the heart disease will help in reducing death rate. Predicting Heart Disease has become one of the most difficult challenges in the medical sector in recent years. As per recent statistics, about one person dies from heart disease every minute. In the realm of healthcare, a massive amount of data was discovered for which the data-science is critical for analyzing this massive amount of data. This paper proposes heart disease prediction using different machine-learning algorithms like logistic regression, naïve bayes, support vector machine, k nearest neighbor (KNN), random forest, extreme gradient boost, etc. These machine learning algorithm techniques we used to predict likelihood of person getting heart disease on the basis of features (such as cholesterol, blood pressure, age, sex, etc. which were extracted from the datasets. In our research we used two separate datasets. The first heart disease dataset we used was collected from very famous UCI machine learning repository which has 303 record instances with 14 different attributes (13 features and one target) and the second dataset that we used was collected from Kaggle website which contained 1190 patient’s record instances with 11 features and one target. This dataset is a combination of 5 popular datasets for heart disease. This study compares the accuracy of various machine learning techniques. In our research, for the first dataset we got the highest accuracy of 92% by Support Vector Machine (SVM). And for the second dataset, Random Forest gave us the highest accuracy of 94.12%. Then, we combined both the datasets which we used in our research for which we got the highest accuracy of 93.31% using Random Forest.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 858-880
Author(s):  
Valentina Sessa ◽  
Edi Assoumou ◽  
Mireille Bossy ◽  
Sofia G. Simões

Analyzing the impact of climate variables into the operational planning processes is essential for the robust implementation of a sustainable power system. This paper deals with the modeling of the run-of-river hydropower production based on climate variables on the European scale. A better understanding of future run-of-river generation patterns has important implications for power systems with increasing shares of solar and wind power. Run-of-river plants are less intermittent than solar or wind but also less dispatchable than dams with storage capacity. However, translating time series of climate data (precipitation and air temperature) into time series of run-of-river-based hydropower generation is not an easy task as it is necessary to capture the complex relationship between the availability of water and the generation of electricity. This task is also more complex when performed for a large interconnected area. In this work, a model is built for several European countries by using machine learning techniques. In particular, we compare the accuracy of models based on the Random Forest algorithm and show that a more accurate model is obtained when a finer spatial resolution of climate data is introduced. We then discuss the practical applicability of a machine learning model for the medium term forecasts and show that some very context specific but influential events are hard to capture.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shikha N. Khera ◽  
Divya

Information technology (IT) industry in India has been facing a systemic issue of high attrition in the past few years, resulting in monetary and knowledge-based loses to the companies. The aim of this research is to develop a model to predict employee attrition and provide the organizations opportunities to address any issue and improve retention. Predictive model was developed based on supervised machine learning algorithm, support vector machine (SVM). Archival employee data (consisting of 22 input features) were collected from Human Resource databases of three IT companies in India, including their employment status (response variable) at the time of collection. Accuracy results from the confusion matrix for the SVM model showed that the model has an accuracy of 85 per cent. Also, results show that the model performs better in predicting who will leave the firm as compared to predicting who will not leave the company.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Ahmed Al-Tarawneh ◽  
Ja’afer Al-Saraireh

Twitter is one of the most popular platforms used to share and post ideas. Hackers and anonymous attackers use these platforms maliciously, and their behavior can be used to predict the risk of future attacks, by gathering and classifying hackers’ tweets using machine-learning techniques. Previous approaches for detecting infected tweets are based on human efforts or text analysis, thus they are limited to capturing the hidden text between tweet lines. The main aim of this research paper is to enhance the efficiency of hacker detection for the Twitter platform using the complex networks technique with adapted machine learning algorithms. This work presents a methodology that collects a list of users with their followers who are sharing their posts that have similar interests from a hackers’ community on Twitter. The list is built based on a set of suggested keywords that are the commonly used terms by hackers in their tweets. After that, a complex network is generated for all users to find relations among them in terms of network centrality, closeness, and betweenness. After extracting these values, a dataset of the most influential users in the hacker community is assembled. Subsequently, tweets belonging to users in the extracted dataset are gathered and classified into positive and negative classes. The output of this process is utilized with a machine learning process by applying different algorithms. This research build and investigate an accurate dataset containing real users who belong to a hackers’ community. Correctly, classified instances were measured for accuracy using the average values of K-nearest neighbor, Naive Bayes, Random Tree, and the support vector machine techniques, demonstrating about 90% and 88% accuracy for cross-validation and percentage split respectively. Consequently, the proposed network cyber Twitter model is able to detect hackers, and determine if tweets pose a risk to future institutions and individuals to provide early warning of possible attacks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunhae Kim ◽  
Hye-Kyung Lee ◽  
Kounseok Lee

AbstractMinnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory-2 (MMPI-2) is a widely used tool for early detection of psychological maladjustment and assessing the level of adaptation for a large group in clinical settings, schools, and corporations. This study aims to evaluate the utility of MMPI-2 in assessing suicidal risk using the results of MMPI-2 and suicidal risk evaluation. A total of 7,824 datasets collected from college students were analyzed. The MMPI-2-Resturcutred Clinical Scales (MMPI-2-RF) and the response results for each question of the Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI) suicidality module were used. For statistical analysis, random forest and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) techniques were used with suicidal ideation and suicide attempt as dependent variables and 50 MMPI-2 scale scores as predictors. On applying the random forest method to suicidal ideation and suicidal attempts, the accuracy was 92.9% and 95%, respectively, and the Area Under the Curves (AUCs) were 0.844 and 0.851, respectively. When the KNN method was applied, the accuracy was 91.6% and 94.7%, respectively, and the AUCs were 0.722 and 0.639, respectively. The study confirmed that machine learning using MMPI-2 for a large group provides reliable accuracy in classifying and predicting the subject's suicidal ideation and past suicidal attempts.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 2704
Author(s):  
Andi Nur Nilamyani ◽  
Firda Nurul Auliah ◽  
Mohammad Ali Moni ◽  
Watshara Shoombuatong ◽  
Md Mehedi Hasan ◽  
...  

Nitrotyrosine, which is generated by numerous reactive nitrogen species, is a type of protein post-translational modification. Identification of site-specific nitration modification on tyrosine is a prerequisite to understanding the molecular function of nitrated proteins. Thanks to the progress of machine learning, computational prediction can play a vital role before the biological experimentation. Herein, we developed a computational predictor PredNTS by integrating multiple sequence features including K-mer, composition of k-spaced amino acid pairs (CKSAAP), AAindex, and binary encoding schemes. The important features were selected by the recursive feature elimination approach using a random forest classifier. Finally, we linearly combined the successive random forest (RF) probability scores generated by the different, single encoding-employing RF models. The resultant PredNTS predictor achieved an area under a curve (AUC) of 0.910 using five-fold cross validation. It outperformed the existing predictors on a comprehensive and independent dataset. Furthermore, we investigated several machine learning algorithms to demonstrate the superiority of the employed RF algorithm. The PredNTS is a useful computational resource for the prediction of nitrotyrosine sites. The web-application with the curated datasets of the PredNTS is publicly available.


2017 ◽  
Vol 107 (10) ◽  
pp. 1187-1198 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Wen ◽  
C. R. Bowen ◽  
G. L. Hartman

Dispersal of urediniospores by wind is the primary means of spread for Phakopsora pachyrhizi, the cause of soybean rust. Our research focused on the short-distance movement of urediniospores from within the soybean canopy and up to 61 m from field-grown rust-infected soybean plants. Environmental variables were used to develop and compare models including the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, zero-inflated Poisson/regular Poisson regression, random forest, and neural network to describe deposition of urediniospores collected in passive and active traps. All four models identified distance of trap from source, humidity, temperature, wind direction, and wind speed as the five most important variables influencing short-distance movement of urediniospores. The random forest model provided the best predictions, explaining 76.1 and 86.8% of the total variation in the passive- and active-trap datasets, respectively. The prediction accuracy based on the correlation coefficient (r) between predicted values and the true values were 0.83 (P < 0.0001) and 0.94 (P < 0.0001) for the passive and active trap datasets, respectively. Overall, multiple machine learning techniques identified the most important variables to make the most accurate predictions of movement of P. pachyrhizi urediniospores short-distance.


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