First estimates of survival and densities of invasive alien Eastern cottontail (Sylvilagus floridanus) in Italy: a Bayesian robust design approach
The Eastern cottontail (Sylvilagus floridanus) has become invasive in Central and Northern Italy, where it affects prey-predator dynamics between native species. Although many different studies explored survival rates and the density of cottontails in North America, no information is available for its invasive range. Between December 2003 and October 2005, a capture-recapture scheme for Eastern cottontails was enforced on the Orba River, Italy. We fitted a Bayesian version of the Pollock’s Closed Robust Design to estimate the survival of adult male and female cottontails (n=258) and their density in the study area. Adult cottontails showed minor seasonal differences in survival, with no clear differences between males and females. Densities varied seasonally, with females having higher densities (min = 80 individuals/km2; max = 553 individuals/km2) than males (min = 56 individuals/km2; max = 337 individuals/km2).Eastern cottontails are characterized by high survival and high densities, at least when adults, in their invaded range in Italy. Although densities are comparable to those reported in North America, our analysis focused on adult cottontails only and overall densities are certainly higher. Moreover, our estimates, obtained through a capture-recapture approach, were higher than those reported in previous studies from Italy based on nocturnal spotlight censuses. Spotlight transects are likely to underestimate cottontail densities, due to nocturnal habitat selection of cottontails, which might decrease their detectability.