scholarly journals Market Reaction on the Announcement of Elected President

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-87
Author(s):  
Fidiana Fidiana
Keyword(s):  
Information Content ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Election Process ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Trading Activities ◽  
The Stability

Investors tend to respond to political events information because they are considered to be supporting or risking the stability of the capital market, so they must immediately make investment decisions quickly. Unlike the election process in other countries, this five-yearly election in Indonesia is not just a regularity of changing authorities but also carries an ideological gamble. The 2019 election as a necessary test for Indonesia related to the issue of communist phobia: between secular and conservative. Different from previous research on political events that focus on the electoral period, this study aims to prove the information content of the presidential announcement in 2019 by using a window period of eleven days, which is five days before and five days after the announcements. Tests were conducted on 45 companies registered as LQ-45 companies in 2019. Different samples of paired tests were done using a paired t sample tool by comparing abnormal returns and the level of stock trading activity. By using various tests, this study proves the existence of significant differences in abnormal returns and trading activities in the period before and after the 2019 presidential announcement. So, it was concluded that the 2019 presidential announcement had information content that had an impact on obtaining abnormal returns for investors. This study also proves that investors respond to information and political events as part of their investment decisions. So that daily transaction fluctuations are indicated by a trend of increasing and decreasing selling and buying actions on a spot time

scholarly journals Reaction of Sharia Capital Market toward Political Events in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
pp. 11-20
Author(s):  
Sisca Debyola Widuhung
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The Political ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Observation Period

This study aims to examine the reaction of the sharia capital market to political events in Indonesia. The political events referred to in this study are the events of the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections. The market reactions used are abnormal returns and stock trading volume. The sample in this study is stocks included in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) during the study period, which are 22 stocks. This study used an event study with an observation period of 21 trading days, namely 10 trading days before, one day of the day event, and 10 trading days after the 2014 & 2019 presidential and vice presidential elections. From the result, it can be seen that both tests are greater than 5%. Therefore, H0(1 and 2) are accepted.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DAMPAK PEMILU PRESIDEN JOKOWI TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM (Studi Kasus Saham LQ-45 di Bursa Efek Indonesia)

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 97
Author(s):  
Ayudia Hanung Diniar ◽  
Kiryanto Kiryanto
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
The Political ◽  
Average Volume ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Before And After

Election is one of the political events that influence on a country’s economy. Capital market as one of insrumen economy can not be separated from environmental influences, both economic and environmental non-economicenvironment. This study aimed to analyze the reaction of the capital market to market anomaly events in Indonesia, in this case the 2014 Presidential Election. The reaction of the stock market measured by the abnormal return and trading volume activity stock. The population in this study are the companies whose shares are included in the LQ- 45. This study using event study. The results showed that the positive reaction of investors where the 4 days before and 2 days sebelumm July 9 2014 Presidential Election investors reacted positively. These conditions indicate the existence of investor optimism that the elections will be held on July 9, 2014. And an increase in the average volume of stock trading at before and after the presidential elections July 9, 2014.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Peristiwa Politik (Pemilu Presiden dan Pengumuman Susunan Kabinet) Terhadap Saham Sektor Industri Di Bursa Efek Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 125
Author(s):  
Siti Wardani Bakri Katti
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
The Political ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Before And After

<p>ABSTRACT</p><p><br />Political events is one of the non-economic risks that may affect the investor's decision to invest in the capital market. The purpose of this article to determine the reaction and the difference of abnormal return of stock industry sector in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) between before and after the political events (the presidential elections and the announcement of the cabinet line). Selection of industrial sector companies as research objects based on the premise that the industrial sector is the main sector driving stock trading in the IDX. This article using event study method to measure the market's reaction to events of national politics. In conducting this article used the data Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) as well as daily stock trading data on the industrial sector. Based on the results of the sample selection using purposive sampling, the sample in the study of 40 companies. The results can be concluded that there are abnormal returns around the national political events, but there are no differences in Average Abnormal Return (AAR) before and after the political events. This shows the predictions and information received by the stock market participants are relatively the same.</p><p>Keywords: Political Events, Presidential Elections, Stock Market, Abnormal Return, Event Study</p>

scholarly journals Market reaction to the rights issue announcement on the Indonesia stock exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 264-269
Author(s):  
Ni Putu Linsia Dewi ◽  
Ica Rika Candraningrat
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Statistical Tests ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Parametric Statistical Test ◽  
The Right ◽  
Rights Issue

Rights issue or the issuance of pre-emptive rights are the rights granted by an issuer company made to its existing shareholders to buy new shares issued within a predetermined period of time. This study aims to empirically explain the differences in abnormal returns before and after the announcement of the rights issue and to determine the form of capital market efficiency in Indonesia. Data are collected from 27 listed companies in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) that conducted a rights issue in 2014-2018. The data analysis technique used is the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Normality Test and the Parametric Statistical Test with a paired sample t-test. Based on the results of hypothesis testing not found differences in abnormal returns both before and after the announcement date indicating the market does not react to the right issue event. The results of statistical tests show a downward trend of abnormal return which is proxied in the Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR), implying a market tends to react negatively to the announcement of the rights issue. Rights issue information causes a new equilibrium price adjustment in the market, thus making the form of efficiency of the Indonesian capital market a semi-strong form.

scholarly journals MARKET REACTION ON THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF SRI KEHATI INDEX IN INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGE

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anggita Langgeng Wijaya ◽  
Mia Noviyanti ◽  
Probo Mahayu
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Population Sampling ◽  
Signed Rank ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Signed Rank Test

The purpose of this study was to test the market reaction to the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population in this study is all companies included in the Sri Kehati Index from 2013 to 2016. The selection of samples was taken by the population sampling method. Hypothesis testing is done by paired t test and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The findings of this research are: 1) there is no difference in abnormal returns before and after the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. 2) There is a difference in the activity of stock trading volume before and after the announcement of the Sri Kehati index in the 5th and 6th periods, but there is no difference in the activity of stock trading volume in other periods. The Indonesia Stock Exchange did not react consistently to the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index.

scholarly journals The Phenomenon of the Month of Sela in the Indonesian Capital Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Arini Putri Helanda ◽  
Ani Wilujeng Suryani
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Market Inefficiency ◽  
New Knowledge ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Garch Model

Seasonal anomalies cause market inefficiency by affecting the mean and volatility of stock returns, and allow investors to obtain abnormal returns. In Indonesia, there is the month of Sela which is believed as an unlucky month so that many people avoid this month to hold ceremonial activities. As a result, the economy declines in the month of Sela and possibly, the return will also drop in this month. Therefore, this research aims to reveal whether the month of Sela is a seasonal anomaly. This research tested two hypotheses; the effect of the mean and volatility of price index return by using the GARCH model. To examine the effect of the month of Sela on the mean and volatility of return of price index, we collected the data on Indonesian Composite Index and 10 sectoral indices from 2009 to 2019 on three Javanese months, Sawal, Selo and Besar. In total, we collected 7.095 returns data. The month of Sela was a seasonal anomaly that the average and volatility of returns during the month of Sela were lower than those during the months of Sawal and Besar. These results also indicated that during the months of Sawal and Besar, the price index was more volatile than it was during the month of Sela. This research is useful for investors in considering their investment decisions to obtain an abnormal return. This research also contributes to the literature by adding new knowledge about seasonal anomalies that exist in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Analisis Reaksi Investor di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada Pelantikan Joko Widodo

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Komang Lia Karina ◽  
I Nyoman Sujana ◽  
M. Rudi Irwansyah
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Wilcoxon Test ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Before And After

This study aimed to analyze the reaction of investors on Indonesia Stock Exchange to the inauguration of the 8th President by observing whether there were any significant differences in abnormal returns and stock trading volume activities before and after the event. The observation period used in this study was 10 days, with details of each 5 days before and after the President's inauguration event that occurred on 20 October 2019. This research was quantitative research and used daily transaction data on the market capital as a secondary data source. The samples used were companies that were included in the LQ45 stock index for the period August 2019 - January 2020. A non-parametric test in the form of Wilcoxon test was used to test the hypothesis. The results of this study showed that there were no significant difference in abnormal return and stock trading volume activity in the period before and after the event. This was evidenced by the probability value above the significance level of 5%. Thus, the results of this study were stated that there was no reaction from the investor related to the event of the inauguration of the 8th President in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Do Regional Election and Presidential Election Affect Stock Exchange? An Event Study in the Indonesian Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Khanifah Khanifah ◽  
Agus Triyani ◽  
Suhita Whini Setyahuni
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Democratic Politics ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Regional Elections

The 2018 simultaneous regional election in Indonesia is something new in the events of democratic politics in Indonesia. The events of the 2018 simultaneous regional election is one of the important events in 2018 that can cause a reaction of capital market to these events. This study aims to examine how the capital market reacts to the simultaneous regional elections in 2018 and presidential elections in 2019, by looking at the differences in the preceding and following periods based on 2 variables, namely abnormal return and trading volume activity. The sample in this study were 30 companies listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange during 30 periods from February through July 2018. Research Methode This study used an event study. One paired samples T test was used as a technique analysis. The means of each variable within eleven days period was compared. The period of observation is five days before the event, five days after the event, and one day on event day. Based on the results of the parametric statistical calculations, the paired sample t-test showed that there was no difference between the level of abnormal returns before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections. On the other hand, there was a difference between trading volume of activity before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections.

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF ABNORMAL RETURNS AND TRADING VOLUME ACTIVITY BEFORE AND AFTER SIMULTANEOUS GENERAL ELECTION IN THE YEAR 2019 (STUDY OF STOCKS THAT ARE INCLUDED IN THE JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX)

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 107-116
Author(s):  
Niki Aulia Dewi ◽  
Lukman Effendy ◽  
Indria Puspitasari Lenap
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
General Election ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Statistical Analysis Method ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Economic Instrument

Political events are one of the factors that influence a country’s economic conditions. The capital market as an economic instrument cannot be separated from various environmental influences, both economic and non economic environment. The aim of the research is to find out the difference of abnormal return and trading volume activity between 10 days before and 10 days after Simultaneous General Election 2019 on the stocks included in the Jakarta Islamic Index. The sampling method in this study was conducted using saturated samples of 30 companies. Statistical analysis method used is Paired Sample T-Test and Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test. The result of statistical test shows that variabel abnormal return and trading volume activity produce the conclution that there is no difference in abnormal return and trading volume activity between 10 days before and 10 days after Simultaneous General Election 2019 on the stocks included in the Jakarta Islamic Index. The implications of this study for issuers do not need to worry about Simultaneous General Election information because the event does not significantly influence on abnormal return and trading volume activity.

scholarly journals The Impact of Political Events - “Name Issue” on an Emerging Macedonian Stock Market

2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julijana Angelovska
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Candidate Country ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Political Events ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Status ◽  
The Impact

The objective of the research is to investigate the impact of political events – “name issue” on the Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE). Structural changes in volatility of Macedonian capital market seems to be more a consequence of political changes, especially from the perspective of international politics and the association of the country into NATO and the European Union. The research analyzes the response of capital markets to political events. Such an event is the summit in Bucharest as the day D (03/04/2008) which certainly had an impact because of prolonged unresolved problem of the name imposed by Greece. Visa liberalization and the day of solving the status of candidate country for accession to the European Union will be discussed too. An event methodology is employed, and the results suggest that the market respond to all political events connected “name issue”. The results also indicate that there is no difference between the means of abnormal returns before and after the event. Sensitivity of the Macedonian investor related to any information connected to the word "name" is enormous. The Macedonian investor belief is that if “name” issue would be solved, regardless of possible negative real economic flows stock exchange will increase. The paper provides information regarding the effects of solving this name issue on Macedonian investor, and his expectation on this issue. But even if it is solved, the global economic crises and difficult economic situation in Macedonia especially this situation will be temporary and due to low liquidity, foreigners may use local optimism to sell their shares.

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