scholarly journals Research on investment process dynamics taking into consideration stochasticity of world and national economies’ crisis phenomena

2020 ◽  
pp. 140-146
Author(s):  
L. M Buiak ◽  
N Harmatii ◽  
I Fedyshyn
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Markov Chains ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
The State ◽  
Government Support ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The World ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The Impact

Purpose. To analyze the flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ukraine, countries of the OECD, the G-20, the EU, and the World, as well as the impact of the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic on investment activity in the World; to identify problems and threats for investment activity in modern conditions, to identify relationship between FDI in Ukraine, the level of exports and imports of goods and services in Ukraine, to forecast these indicators. Methodology. In the process of research, general logical methods and research techniques were applied: analysis, synthesis, generalization, analogy, modeling, probabilistic (statistical) methods. The materials of the official analytical reports of the OECD, the European Commission, and the State Statistics Service of Ukraine were used to achieve the tasks of the investigation. The statistical data for the period 20112019 was analyzed. Forecast of foreign direct investment in Ukraine for the period 20202023 was implemented using the theory of Markov chains. Findings. The study indicates a significant decline in investment activity since the beginning of 2020 due to the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. Almost all economies in the world witnessed the impact of the crisis. There was a drop in investment activity in Ukraine output flows tended to decrease during 20092019. Taking into account the stochasticity of the processes taking place in the world economy, on the basis of the theory of Markov chains, forecasting of FDI in Ukraine was carried out. The modeling showed that in 2023 the situation with FDI in Ukraine would stabilize. Taking into account the predicted scenarios, the authors suggested that enterprises must focus on domestic investment and government support to overcome the crisis in the economy caused by the situation with COVID-19. Originality. The scientific novelty is in the use of the theory of Markov chains, which was adapted by the authors for research and forecasting of FDI in Ukraine till 2023. This theory makes it possible to take into account the stochasticity and instability of the processes occurring in the global and national economies. Practical value. The analysis of incoming and outcoming FDI flows and the identified threats to investment activity makes it possible to assess the dynamics of world economic processes and global competitiveness in the period 20112020. Using the tools of economic and mathematical analysis based on the regression influence, the degree of influence of direct investments in Ukraine on the dynamics of the GDP of the national economy and the level of exports and imports of goods were investigated. The forecasting of the dynamics of direct investments in Ukraine in the near future was carried out using the theory of Markov chains, which will allow working out appropriate decisions on the strategic development of the state.

scholarly journals Influence of industry 4.0 on the investment activities of transnational corporations

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (10) ◽  
pp. 68-77
Author(s):  
Natalya Chernenko ◽  
Olena Korohodova ◽  
Tetiana Moiseienko ◽  
Yaroslava Hlushchenko
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Industry 4.0 ◽  
Industrial Revolution ◽  
Transnational Corporations ◽  
Business Practices ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Fourth Industrial Revolution ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

The study considers the issue of investment activity of transnational corporations – the largest representatives of world business, which acquire new features that are developed under the influence of the fourth industrial revolution. The study highlighted the increasing role of corporations in the international investment market. The authors mention the features of rhetoric that accompanies the penetration of TNCs into the economic systems of the world and reflects the impact on economic, political, and social components, highlighting the rules of foreign direct investment state regulation, founding the most liberal approaches to attracting FDI. Tracking the changes taking place under the influence of Industry 4.0 allowed to develop a list of features that are inherent in the investment activities of TNCs. Among the inherent features, the reshoring process, which has been used by United States corporations for a long time, is gaining popularity. The study reflects the course of export-import operations with foreign direct investment in the world, which is developed by analysing the data on the flow of FDI imports and exports. It is established that Industry 4.0 is described by such risks, which are developed due to the growth of instability and a high level of uncertainty of the result. Attempts to integrate achievements of the fourth industrial revolution into economic and business practices, which are rapidly taking place in the modern world, are directly related to Ukraine, which is in great need of international financial and technological aid. It is emphasised that TNCs can provide the country with the said resources as the leading investors for Ukraine, despite the fact that in Ukraine the amount of foreign investment from TNCs is currently insignificant and mainly aimed at meeting the needs of the domestic market, own consumption and not in export-oriented industries. The study also analyses the factors of direct influence on the decision of corporate management to conduct business in Ukraine. Furthermore, the study emphasised the necessity of developing and implementing effective state regulatory mechanisms that can balance the interests of leading corporations and national enterprises

scholarly journals Identification of dependencies between the imbalances of financial resources and investment flows in the eastern European economies

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Maxim Korneyev
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Financial Resources ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The World ◽  
Eastern European Countries ◽  
European Economies ◽  
The Impact

Strengthening financial and economic stability in certain countries of the world requires the modification of tools for assessing the imbalances in the flow of financial resources that arise and spread as a result of the economy financialization and their consequences for the functioning of markets, especially investment ones. The purpose of the study is to develop a methodological approach to identifying the dependencies between financial resources imbalances resulting from financialization and investment flows. The following research methods were used: science-based abstraction, analysis and synthesis, economic and mathematical methods (to identify the dependencies between the imbalances in the movement of financial resources and investment flows in the economy); comparison and analogy (to study the world experience in identifying the links between financialization and investment flows in the economy). The aspects of the influence of imbalances in financial resources movement as a result of the economy financialization on investment flows are systematized. Various consequences of these imbalances for the functioning of the investment market are determined. The algorithm of identification of special aspects of investment flows influenced by financial resources imbalances was modified. The hypothesis of the strong correlation between the dynamics of foreign direct investment in the Eastern European countries and the level of imbalances in the flow of financial resources has been confirmed. The hypothesis of the significant influence of financialization processes on investment activity in the real sector of the economy, including infrastructure investments, has been refuted. It has been established that imbalances in the flow of financial resources as a result of financialization do not contribute to the development of investment markets of Eastern European countries, and only intensify disparities by directing foreign direct investment in the financial sectors of these countries and increasing the volatility of their market conditions.It has been determined that the approach to identifying the dependencies between financial resources imbalances as a result of financialization and investment flows in Eastern European economies has allowed to substantiate the impact of such imbalances on investment amounts and on the capital formation dynamics.

ANALISIS DETERMINAN KUALITAS LINGKUNGAN PERIODE 1999-2013

2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-20
Author(s):  
Ersalina Tang
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Meat Consumption ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
World Data ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Energy Consumption, Electric Consumption, and Meat Consumption on CO2 emissions of 41 countries in the world using panel data from 1999 to 2013. After analyzing 41 countries in the world data, furthermore 17 countries in Asia was analyzed with the same period. This study utilized quantitative approach with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method. The results of 41 countries in the world data indicates that Foreign Direct Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Energy Consumption, and Meat Consumption significantlyaffect Environmental Qualities which measured by CO2 emissions. Whilst the results of 17 countries in Asia data implies that Foreign Direct Investment, Energy Consumption, and Electric Consumption significantlyaffect Environmental Qualities. However, Gross Domestic Product and Meat Consumption does not affect Environmental Qualities.

scholarly journals INVESTMENT SECURITY IN THE SYSTEM OF ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE STATE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nataliia Sytnyk ◽  
Veronika Ishchenko
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
The State ◽  
Fixed Capital ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Important Place ◽  
Doing Business ◽  
The World ◽  
The Government

In modern conditions of functioning of the market economy, in the era of development of globalization and globalization processes, the prevalence of international relations, the spread of various forms of international capital movement, in particular foreign direct investment, an important place is occupied by investment activities and policies implemented by the state within the framework of the latter. It is difficult to overestimate the importance and role of investment, because world experience shows that the effective development of business entities, and therefore the country's economy as a whole, cannot be imagined without making investments. Therefore, the government of almost any country in the world is focused on creating a favorable investment climate. The article defines the theoretical foundations of investment security of the state: the essence of the concept is outlined, the principles on which investment security is based, its place and role in the state's economic security system are justified. Qualitative and quantitative criteria for a comprehensive assessment of the state's investment security are presented. The calculation and analysis of the main indicators – quantitative criteria of investment security: gross accumulation of fixed capital; the degree of accumulation of fixed capital; the ratio of the cost of newly introduced fixed assets to the volume of capital investments is carried out; the ratio of net growth of foreign direct investment to GDP; the size of the Ukrainian economy as a percentage of global GDP. The dynamics of the total volume of foreign direct investment in the Ukrainian economy in the context of world countries is analyzed. The main investor countries that ensure the receipt of the largest volumes of investment flows to the Ukrainian economy are identified. Ukraine's place in the World Bank's “Doing Business” rating over the past ten years has been demonstrated. The positive dynamics regarding Ukraine's place in the World Bank's “Doing Business” rating and the main factors that influenced such positive changes were noted. The investment climate of the state is assessed and possible measures are proposed to improve the mechanism of managing the state's investment security.

scholarly journals FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND THE PERFORMANCE OF INDONESIAN MARKETPLACE E-COMMERCE CORPORATION: AN APPLICATION OF NETWORK, OWNERSHIP, LOCATION AND INTERNALISATION FRAMEWORK

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
Author(s):  
‪M. Elfan Kaukab ◽  
Vincent Didiek Wiet Aryanto
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Sharp Increase ◽  
Small And Medium Enterprises ◽  
The Other ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Marketing Performance ◽  
Medium Enterprises ◽  
The Impact

Data on real-time marketing performance from micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) selling their products in marketplace e-commerce corporations (MECCs) is a big challenge for researchers studying the performance of MECCs capital structure. This article explores the use of Google Trends to determine the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on MECCs’ performance. The findings of the trend analysis are explained using the N-OLI framework. It is found that there was a sharp trend decrease in MECCs with partial FDI (Tokopedia and Bukalapak) and full domestic investment (Blibli).On the other hand, there was a sharp increase in MECCs full FDI (Shopee). Other MECCs with full FDI, namely Lazada, has experienced a decrease but it is not as consistent as that of partial FDI. An increase trend in Shopee has negative correlation with a decline trend in Bukalapak. However, after being grouped, partial FDI has a significantly higher mean score compared to full FDI, and MECCs without FDI has the lowest mean score. This finding shows that in the case of Indonesia, FDI plays a role in encouraging the success of MSMEs, especially in MECCs, which have a combination of FDI and domestic investment.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Domestic Investment in Developing Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 256-266
Author(s):  
A. Mamatkulov
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Total Investment ◽  
The Impact

Author analyzes the impact of foreign direct investment on domestic investment in host developing countries and checks whether a foreign direct investment has a “positive” or “negative” impact on domestic investment, as well as evaluating the impact of selected variables on this relationship. Using a full sample, the main conclusion of this study is that FDI does have a positive (crowding out) effect on domestic investment in this sample of developing economies. In the short term, an increase in FDI by one percentage point as a percentage of GDP leads to an increase in total investment as a percentage of the host country’s GDP of about 10.7%, while in the long term this effect is about 31% dollar terms, one US dollar represents us 1.7$ of total investment in the short term and us 3.1$ in the long term. Based on the results of this study, it was once again proved that inflation hinders domestic investment in host countries by 0.04% and 0.12% in the short and long term, respectively.

scholarly journals FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT OF TNCS AS A FACTOR OF INNOVATION DEVELOPMENT

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Mergers And Acquisitions ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Production Systems ◽  
Cumulative Effect ◽  
Business Culture ◽  
The World ◽  
Knowledge Intensive ◽  
The Impact

This article considers modern approaches to the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) of TNCs (transnational corporations) on innovative development, examines the cumulative effect of technology transfer, and highlights the main factors stimulating economic growth. The technological effect has been studied on the example of creating branches of foreign companies, intensifying competition with national companies, which stimulates productivity, as well as promotes the transfer of new forms and methods of management, skills in production, and business culture by national producers.Based on the analysis of innovative projects, statistical data from UNCTAD and other international organizations, the trend of declining FDI inflows in the world as a whole and individual countries, reducing the number of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) of TNCs in the COVID-19 pandemic investigated. Research and new technologies are considered as the basis for the success of the Top 50 – the most innovative companies that give impetus to the development of knowledge-intensive industries. The application of a comprehensive integration strategy of TNCs through the transformation of a fragmented production system in the production and distribution network is determined. The strategy is implemented at the global or regional levels. The tendencies of development of innovative TNCs at the expense of increase of knowledge-intensive technologies creation, an increase of their efficiency because of the use of advantages of the international movement of the capital, and placement of new innovative branches are defined. The importance of development research and development work (R&D) is the main factor in the progress of radical innovations that underlie the success of innovative companies around the world. The advantages of using knowledge-intensive technologies to increase the efficiency of TNC production and taking advantages of global value chains are noted. Cross-border mergers and acquisitions applied in the strategy of TNCs to develop international markets and achieve technological leadership through the effective use of global production systems are considered.

scholarly journals The impact of the sanctions regime on foreign direct investments in Russia

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 760-772
Author(s):  
Yury K Zaytsev
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Qualitative Level ◽  
European Economies ◽  
The Impact

The economic and political sanctions had a significant impact on the behavior of foreign investors in the real sector of the Russian economy in the period 2014-2017. Despite a significant outflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2015, in 2016-2017, there was an increase in investment activity associated with a steady inflow of FDI, which could be explained by the change in investment strategies of foreign business in Russia. The purpose of the study. The article assesses the impact of Western sanctions and Russian countersanctions on the influx of foreign direct investment into Russia. Methods. The work is based on methods of statistical analysis of the behavior of foreign investors in Russia on the basis of macroeconomic data of the Central Bank of Russia and microeconomic data of the “Ruslana” database. Results. The author gives various assessments of sanctions and counter-sanctions impact on the Russian and European economies, and compares the effects of sanctions policies in Russia and Iran. The stylized facts, identified by the author at the micro level, allow to interpret the macro statistics provided by the Central Bank of Russia at a qualitative level. The conclusion . In conclusion, the author gives recommendations on the possibilities of using new mechanisms of interaction with international institutions to overcome the investment crisis as a consequence of the sanctions regime.

scholarly journals THEORETICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF DETERMINING THE INFLUENCE OF GLOBALIZATION PROCESSES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ECONOMY OF UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Svitlana Bestuzheva ◽  
Viktoria Kozub
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Modern Trend ◽  
Tax Rate ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The World ◽  
World Economic ◽  
The Impact

The paper proposes a scientific approach to determining the impact of globalization processes on the development of Ukraine’s economy based on the analysis of the dynamics and modeling of indicators of the degree of integration of Ukraine’s economy into the system of world economic relations. Globalization is seen as a modern trend in the world economy as a system of interconnected and interdependent economic entities, among which a significant place is occupied by countries. The authors determine the degree of Ukraine's integration into the world economic space by its place in the ratings of globalization and economic openness. Analysis of the dynamics of the degree of integration of Ukraine's economy into the global economy is based on GDP, export and import quotas during 2006 – 2020. Based on the results of the analysis, the authors developed an econometric model for assessing the impact of factors on the globalization index of Ukraine, identified the most significant positive factors, namely the volume of exports of goods and services as a percentage of GDP, GDP, the ratio of foreign direct investment to GDP, the share of innovative exports export of goods and services of the country. The import quota and the corporate income tax rate have been identified as negative factors. Based on the results obtained during the modeling, the authors have developed and proposed a sequence of measures to increase the level of openness of Ukraine's economy in the context of its globalization. Perspective forms of globalization in the context of forming a new perspective of the international community on changing the vector of world economy - from globalization to regionalization and nationalization which have materialized in increasing the volume and diversification of the structure of international trade, intensification of international financial transactions, the emergence of transnational business, a sharp increase in foreign direct investment and intensification of international labor migration.

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