scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINASI INFLASI DI INDONESIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-96
Author(s):  
Ari Mulianta Ginting
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Community Needs ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Public Consumption ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Government

Inflation is one of the macroeconomic indicators of concern for the government. The high inflation rate could disrupt the economy. This study tried to analyze the factors that cause inflation in Indonesia. This study used a qualitative and quantitative approach using secondary data period 2004-2014. The results of the qualitative analysis showed that in the period 204-2014 inflation rate in Indonesia was fluctuated  While the results of the regression analysis VECM, indicating that the inflation rate in Indonesia is influenced by the variable of  exchange rate, money supply and level of consumption. While the GDP variable has a negative influence on inflation. In order to control the inflation rate the government could use macroeconomic variables such as exchange rates, the money supply well. Besides controlling public consumption at a good level and increase the production of goods and services to meet community needs.   Inflasi merupakan salah satu indikator ekonomi makro perhatian bagi pemerintah. Tingkat inflasi yang tinggi dapat mengganggu perekonomian. Penelitian ini mencoba untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang menyebabkan inflasi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dan kuantitatif dengan menggunakan periode data sekunder 2004-2014. Hasil analisis kualitatif menunjukkan bahwa tingkat inflasi periode 204-2014 di Indonesia berfluktuasi. Sementara hasil VECM menunjukkan bahwa tingkat inflasi di Indonesia dipengaruhi oleh variabel nilai tukar, uang beredar dan tingkat konsumsi. Sementara itu variabel GDP memiliki pengaruh negatif pada inflasi. Untuk mengendalikan tingkat inflasi pemerintah dapat menggunakan variabel ekonomi makro seperti nilai tukar, uang memasok baik. Selain mengendalikan konsumsi masyarakat pada tingkat yang baik dan meningkatkan produksi barang dan jasa untuk memenuhi kebutuhan masyarakat.

scholarly journals The factors affecting the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-46
Author(s):  
Nadya Carissa ◽  
Rifki Khoirudin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Multiple Regression Models ◽  
The Government

This study to determine the money supply, interest rates, inflation, and imports toward rupiah exchange rates. The analysis method in this study used a quantitative approach that applies multiple regression models. Data used secondary data in the form of time series during the period of August 2016 until June 2019. The finding's results show that jointly money supply, interest rates, inflation, and imports have a significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. While partially, the variable of money supply, interest rates, and imports has a positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. But the inflation rate has an insignificant effect on the Rupiah exchange rate. From the results of this study the government is expected to control the money supply and maintain the balance of payments by minimizing the amount of imports.

A Russian approach to ensuring economic growth

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 1234-1255
Author(s):  
Valerii V. SMIRNOV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Consumption Expenditures ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Public Consumption ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Government ◽  
And Cluster Analysis

Subject. The article investigates a Russian approach to ensuring economic growth. Objectives. The aim is to identify the basis of the Russian approach to ensuring economic growth. Methods. The study rests on the systems approach, using the methods of statistical, neural network, and cluster analysis. Results. The paper defines the structural importance of exports of goods and services, and changes in inventories. It highlights significant links with public consumption expenditures. The Russian approach to ensuring economic growth comes down to devaluation of the national currencyб resulting from the loss of the real inflationary potential of economic growth to maintain the volume of exports of goods and services in the context of maintaining public consumption expenditures. The increase in M2 forces the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to increase its foreign exchange reserves. This has a restraining effect on the growth of Russian Ruble’s monetary exchange rate. This phenomenon causes a drop in the Russian federal loan bond (OFZ) index and a replacement of strategic priorities with tactical ones. Conclusions. The basis of the Russian approach to ensuring economic growth is a reflection of the limits of the Russian economy development and the effectiveness of the Government of the Russian Federation.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Penyesuaian Harga Jual Bahan Bakar Minyak (BBM) Tehadap Konsumsi BBM dan Inflasi

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-182
Author(s):  
Aep soleh Soleh
Keyword(s):  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Mineral Resources ◽  
Substitution Effect ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Fuel Price ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of fuel price adjusment on changes in fuel consumption and inflation in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data obtained from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Trade, Bank Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and PT Pertamina (Persero) from 2006 to 2016 and analyzed by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. Research showed, if the government increases Premium Gasoline's price by 10%, in average its consumption would decrease around 2,99 %. However, if the Pertamax Gasoline's price increases, the consumption of Premium Gasoline would also increase due to substitution effect. Every 10% increase in Subsidized Diesel's price, in average its consumption would decrease around 4,80 % and vice versa. However, if the Pertamina dex's price increases, the consumption of Subsidized Diesel would also increase due to substitution effect. Moreover, IDR1.000/L increase in Premium Gasoline's Price would contribute 1,10 % to the inflation rate. On the other hand, increase in Subsidized Diesel's price does not contribute to the inflation rate.

Sri Lanka in 2008: Waging War for Peace

Asian Survey ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nira Wickramasinghe
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Eastern Province ◽  
Security Forces ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The North ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
The Government ◽  
Military Campaign ◽  
Government Security

The year 2008 saw a successful military campaign by government security forces against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) in the North. Elections to the Eastern Province resulted in a break away faction of the LTTE sharing power with the government. People continued to endure high inflation in the price of essential goods and services, and the country's human rights record remained dismal.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER DALAM PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ada Tua Pardamean
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The trade-off between achieving price stability and economic growth, especially in the short term is the impact of a decision-making dilemma for the conduct of fiscal policy or monetary policy in the Indonesian economy. The problem is what lies behind this study and aimed to determine the impact of fiscal and monetary policies on the Indonesian economy. The data used are secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia and BPS variables namely GDP, Government Expenditure, Tax Revenue, Export, Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Interest Rates for time series from 2000 to 2012. Data analysis was performed using Two Stage Least Squares (TSLS) estimation with multiple linear regression models using Eviews 5.0 program assistance. The results of this study it can be concluded that the simultaneous equation model on IS to variable Interest Rate and a significant negative effect on GDP of Indonesia, while the Government Expenditure variable (G0), Export (X0) and Tax Revenue (Tx) and Exchange Rate (ER) effect positively and significantly to Indonesia's GDP, while the equation for the LM model of the Money Supply variables significantly and negatively related to Indonesia's GDP increased at a rate statistically a = 10% and for variable interest rate is not significantly to Indonesia's GDP.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINAN TINGKAT PENGELUARAN KONSUMSI PANGAN DI JAWA TIMUR

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 92
Author(s):  
Ahmad Zainuddin ◽  
Ratih Apri Utami ◽  
Nurul Dwi Novikarumsari
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Food Expenditure ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Government

East Java is a province that has a high population, household consumption expenditure is an important thing to consider. The implication is that there will be an increase in production and investment in East Java. Therefore, household consumption expenditure is one of the determinants of community welfare. This study aims to analyze the structure of household consumption expenditure and the factors that influence food expenditure in East Java. The data used were secondary data from East Java in Figures 2019. This study was analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis. The analysis showed that there has been an increase in the welfare of the people of East Java. This is indicated by an increase in the amount of non-food expenditure is higher than food expenditure. Factors affecting household food expenditure in East Java are GRDP per capita, inflation rate, rice prices, and non-food expenditure. Based on these results it is suggested that the government needs to maintain the stability of prices of goods and services to avoid inflation because inflation will reduce public consumption and have implications for the economy of East Java. Keywords: food expenditure, GDRP per capita, inflation

scholarly journals GST: A Tax Reform for Sustainability of Indian Handicrafts

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 354-359
Author(s):  
Kritika Tekwani ◽  
Rinku Raghuvanshi
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Tax Reform ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Published Data ◽  
Tax System ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Government

Purpose of the study: Taxation is one of a tool, which helps the Government for the achievement of the goal of sustainable development for every sector including handicraft. The objectives of this study are to know about Goods and Services Tax & its inferences on sustainable development of Indian handicrafts and to identify the role of GST as tax reform in the sustainable development of handicrafts sector in India. The Indian handicraft is economically important and it has more potential for exports. This sector places a major role in the Indian economy. Methodology:  The Descriptive method of research has been used to gather information about the existing conditions of GST and Handicraft sector of India. This study is based on secondary data. The data has been taken from different journals, books, magazines, websites, and published data from government institutions. This study is explanatory in nature. The collected data from different sources has been reviewed and data relevant to the handicraft sector further analyzed. The researcher concluded that how GST is helping Indian handicraft sector for sustainable development. Main Findings: GST brought transparency in the tax system and it also eliminated the multiple taxes, which ultimately increases the final prices. This study revealed that GST would make Indian handicrafts more competitive in the domestic and foreign markets. GST is fiscal tax reform which helps in the sustainable development of Indian handicrafts. This research study found that the handicraft sector of India became more organized, centralized, and regulated after the implementation of Goods and Services Tax. The implication of the study: GST implemented on July 01, 2017 with the aim of simplification of the tax system, fiscal structure, United Indian Market, and sustainable development in India. It is a comprehensive value-added tax which merged different taxes including VAT, service tax, surcharges, CST, etc. This study can be useful for future researchers, traders, and exporters to know the implication of GST in the handicraft sector. Traders and exporters can get knowledge about the GST, tax rates, and exports under LUT/ bond. This study may be benefited to the Government for further development in GST as per the findings of this study. Novelty/Originality of this study: GST is new tax reform in India, only a few studies have been done on it. As per the researcher ’ s best knowledge few studies have been carried out on GST and handicraft sector, but none of the study is carried out on this topic. This study highlights the unrevealed facts and figures about the role of GST in the sustainable development of the handicraft sector.

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS FAKTOR-FAKTOR PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yondri Fadhli ◽  
Syamsul Amar B ◽  
Alpon Satrianto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Government ◽  
Causality Model ◽  
Auto Regression

The purpose of this study is to find out: How far is the Causality Relationship between the Amount of Money Supply, Investment, Savings and Economic Growth in Indonesia. This type of research is descriptive and associative. The type of data is secondary data. This study uses Time series data from 2005 Q1-2018 Q4 using the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Vector Estimation Causality Model (VECM) approaches. The results of this study show that: (1) there is a causal relationship between the money supply and economic growth. (2) There is no causal relationship between Investment and Economic Growth in Indonesia. (3) There is no causal relationship between Economic Growth Savings in Indonesia, but there is a one-way relationship namely Economic Growth affecting Savings. Based on the results of this study, the authors advise the Government to keep the national economy more stable and in a healthy financial institution. This will be able to facilitate the circulation of money in the community so that economic activity grows well.

scholarly journals PENGENDALIAN INFLASI, MONETER, DAN FISKAL DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI MAKRO ISLAM

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-210
Author(s):  
Triwahyuni Triwahyuni
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Relevant Literature ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Library Research ◽  
The Government ◽  
Development Objectives

The economic development of a country, including in Indonesia, cannot be separated from the monetary and fiscal policies adopted by each country concerned. However, the monetary and fiscal policies adopted by each country vary depending on the real economic conditions, the direction and development objectives to be achieved. In principle, the management of monetary and fiscal policies aims to maintain the inflation rate by regulating the circulation of money and interest rates which tend to increase in society. The purpose of this research is to find out how the government controls inflation, monetary and fiscal, and their impact on the economy from an Islamic macroeconomic perspective. The method used is library research method and the data used is secondary data which is in accordance with a number of relevant literature. As an effort to overcome inflation, monetary and fiscal policies, the government needs to carry out macroeconomic policies in relation to achieving the inflation target and economic growth. Thus, every country needs to maintain economic stability in accordance with the challenges it faces.

scholarly journals INCIDENCIA DE LA POLÍTICA FISCAL VENEZOLANA SOBRE EL FENÓMENO INFLACIONARIO DURANTE 1997-2013

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Armando Urdaneta
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Study Data ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Final Consumption ◽  
Need To Evaluate ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

La presente investigación tiene como objetivo analizar la incidencia de la política fiscal venezolana sobre el fenómeno inflacionario durante el periodo 1997-2013, y surge de la necesidad de evaluar los instrumentos de política económica considerando ante un posible escenario de dolarización de la economía y el impacto que las variables de política fiscal pudiesen tener en el comportamiento del nivel de precios, según los planteamientos de Mochón (2008) y Guerra (2013) entre otros. La metodología es de tipo analítica y retrospectiva; en el diseño bibliográfico se utilizaron datos secundarios, tales como los informes económicos del Banco Central de Venezuela (BCV), atendiendo con especial detalle series de tiempo y suavización exponencial de las variables estudiadas en periodos trimestrales. De esta manera se concluye una baja y mediana correlación entre las variables sujetas a estudio, que da como resultado una correlación de 0,25 entre la tasa de inflación y el gasto de consumo final del Gobierno y de 0,61 entre los impuestos netos sobre sus propios productos del Gobierno y su gasto de consumo final; se termina obteniendo una nula correlación de 0,002 entre los impuestos netos sobre los productos del Gobierno y la tasa de inflación.AbstractThis research aims to analyze the impact of Venezuela's fiscal policy on the inflation phenomena during the period 1997-2013; the study arises from the need to evaluate policy instruments to be considered before a possible scenario of dollarization of the economy, and the impact that fiscal policy variables could have on the behavior of the price level. Such approach is supported in Mochon (2008) and War (2013) among others. The type of methodology is analytical and retrospective; on the bibliographic design side secondary data was used, such as the economic reports of the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV), making a detailed study using time series and exponential smoothing of the variables under study data were used in Quarterly periods. A low and medium correlation between the variables subject to study was concluded, resulting in a correlation of 0.25 between the inflation rate and the final consumption expenditure of government and 0.61 between net taxes on products and government final consumption expenditure of government; to finally obtain a zero correlation of 0.002 between the net taxes on products of the government and the inflation rate.

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