scholarly journals A Nomogram Predicts Individual Prognosis in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma by Integrating the Extent of Resection of Non-Enhancing Tumors

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhe Zhang ◽  
Zeping Jin ◽  
Dayuan Liu ◽  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Chunzhao Li ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe extent of resection of non-contrast enhancing tumors (EOR-NCEs) has been shown to be associated with prognosis in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma (nGBM). This study aimed to develop and independently validate a nomogram integrated with EOR-NCE to assess individual prognosis.MethodsData for this nomogram were based on 301 patients hospitalized for nGBM from October 2011 to April 2019 at the Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University. These patients were randomly divided into derivation (n=181) and validation (n=120) cohorts at a ratio of 6:4. To evaluate predictive accuracy, discriminative ability, and clinical net benefit, concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were calculated for the extent of resection of contrast enhancing tumor (EOR-CE) and EOR-NCE nomograms. Comparison between these two models was performed as well.ResultsThe Cox proportional hazards model was used to establish nomograms for this study. Older age at diagnosis, Karnofsky performance status (KPS)<70, unmethylated O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) status, wild-type isocitrate dehydrogenase enzyme (IDH), and lower EOR-CE and EOR-NCE were independent factors associated with shorter survival. The EOR-NCE nomogram had a higher C-index than the EOR-CE nomogram. Its calibration curve for the probability of survival exhibited good agreement between the identical and actual probabilities. The EOR-NCE nomogram showed superior net benefits and improved performance over the EOR-CE nomogram with respect to DCA and ROC for survival probability. These results were also confirmed in the validation cohort.ConclusionsAn EOR-NCE nomogram assessing individualized survival probabilities (12-, 18-, and 24-month) for patients with nGBM could be useful to provide patients and their relatives with health care consultations on optimizing therapeutic approaches and prognosis.

Neurology ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 88 (15) ◽  
pp. 1422-1430 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorothee Gramatzki ◽  
Philipp Kickingereder ◽  
Bettina Hentschel ◽  
Jörg Felsberg ◽  
Ulrich Herrlinger ◽  
...  

Objective:To explore an association with survival of modifying the current standard of care for patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma of surgery followed by radiotherapy plus concurrent and 6 cycles of maintenance temozolomide chemotherapy (TMZ/RT → TMZ) by extending TMZ beyond 6 cycles.Methods:The German Glioma Network cohort was screened for patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma who received TMZ/RT → TMZ and completed ≥6 cycles of maintenance chemotherapy without progression. Associations of clinical patient characteristics, molecular markers, and residual tumor determined by magnetic resonance imaging after 6 cycles of TMZ with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed with the log-rank test. Multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards model were performed to assess associations of prolonged TMZ use with outcome.Results:Sixty-one of 142 identified patients received at least 7 maintenance TMZ cycles (median 11, range 7–20). Patients with extended maintenance TMZ treatment had better PFS (20.5 months, 95% confidence interval [CI] 17.7–23.3, vs 17.2 months, 95% CI 10.2–24.2, p = 0.035) but not OS (32.6 months, 95% CI 28.9–36.4, vs 33.2 months, 95% CI 25.3–41.0, p = 0.126). However, there was no significant association of prolonged TMZ chemotherapy with PFS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.8, 95% CI 0.4–1.6, p = 0.559) or OS (HR = 1.6, 95% CI 0.8–3.3, p = 0.218) adjusted for age, extent of resection, Karnofsky performance score, presence of residual tumor, O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation status, or isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status.Conclusion:These data may not support the practice of prolonging maintenance TMZ chemotherapy beyond 6 cycles.Classification of evidence:This study provides Class III evidence that in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma, prolonged TMZ chemotherapy does not significantly increase PFS or OS.


2019 ◽  
Vol 80 (04) ◽  
pp. 262-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yahya Ahmadipour ◽  
Monika Kaur ◽  
Daniela Pierscianek ◽  
Oliver Gembruch ◽  
Marvin Darkwah Oppong ◽  
...  

Objective Extent of resection (EOR) and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) are at odds in glioblastoma (GBM) surgery, that is, the anticipated postoperative disability limits the EOR. This study analyzes the correlation of different surgical modalities with the resulting physical status and survival of patients with GBM. Methods A total of 565 patients with primary GBM were operated on in a single institution between 2006 and 2014. Possible surgical modalities comprised supratotal resection (SLR), gross total resection (GTR; ≥ 95% by volume), tumor debulking (TDB; ≤ 95% by volume), and stereotactic biopsy (SB). Pre- and postoperative KPS before and up to 4 weeks after surgery as well as overall survival (OS) rate were determined retrospectively. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results Median postoperative KPS was ≥ 70, irrespective of surgical modality. Mean OS was 12.5 months. Multivariate analysis revealed age ≥ 70 years (HR: 1.93), preoperative KPS < 70 (HR: 2.15), and unmethylation in MGMT promoter (HR: 1.27) as independent factors for worse OS. Regarding surgical modality, SB was associated with the worst survival (HR: 2.3) followed by TDB (HR: 1.36). SLR was inferior to GTR (HR: 1.27). Conclusion Higher EOR in patients with GBM does not seem inevitably correlated with increasing functional impairment, but better survival, provided there is a balanced preoperative indication. Nevertheless, SLR does not seem to be superior to GTR. Whenever possible, maximal safe resection should be considered in patients with GBM, even if an EOR ≥ 95% is not possible.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi118-vi118
Author(s):  
Diana Shi ◽  
Mary Jane Lim-Fat ◽  
Amin Nassar ◽  
Jared Woods ◽  
Gilbert Youssef ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND We evaluated sex-based differences in clinical outcomes and tumor genomics in patients with newly-diagnosed GBM. METHODS We reviewed 665 IDH-wild type GBM patients with Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) ≥60 treated at our institution from 2010-2019 including; 585 patients with targeted exome sequencing of 447 cancer associated genes (OncoPanel). Deleterious mutations were defined as homozygous deletions or loss of function mutations of known tumor suppressors (as reported in TCGA, ≥ 3 times in the COSMIC database, or predicted as “damaging” in SIFT and/or “probably damaging” in Polyphen 2) or known oncogenic mutations in proto-oncogenes (reported in TCGA or ≥ 3 times in COSMIC). RESULTS There were 384 (57.7%) males and 281 (42.3%) females. Median OS was 22.5 months for females and 19.3 months for males (hazard ratio [HR] 0.81, 95% CI 1.03-1.48, p = 0.02). On multivariable analysis adjusted for age, KPS ≥90, extent of resection, and MGMT methylation status, female sex (adjusted hazard ratio 0.78, 95% CI [0.64-0.95], p = 0.015) was associated with improved OS. Superior OS in females was observed in MGMT-unmethylated patients (HR 0.69, 95% CI [0.54-0.90], p = 0.005) but not MGMT-methylated patients. Thirteen genes were deleteriously altered in ≥5% of our cohort: CDK4 (12.1% male vs. 7.8% female), CDKN2A (46.5% vs. 45.7%), CDKN2B (41.8% vs. 43.3%), EGFR (34.7% vs. 40.0%, MTAP (18.2% vs. 18.8%), NF1 (11.5% vs. 9.4%), PTEN (28.2% vs. 29.8%), TP53 (28.2% vs. 30.2%), RB1 (5.6% vs. 6.5%), MDM4 (6.2% vs. 5.7%), ATM (5.9% vs. 3.7%), MDM2 (7.4% vs. 4.1%), PIK3R1 (6.2% vs. 4.1%). There were no differences in frequency of mutations in these individual genes between males and females (χ 2 [1, N=585] = 0.05-2.86, p = 0.09-0.86). CONCLUSIONS Female sex is associated with improved survival. We did not identify sex-based differences in deleterious genomic alterations amongst commonly altered genes in GBM.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15733-e15733
Author(s):  
Ilya Pokataev ◽  
Igor Bazin ◽  
Mikhail Fedyanin ◽  
Alexey Tryakin ◽  
Anna Popova ◽  
...  

e15733 Background: Second line ChT is shown to improve outcome in selected patients with PC; however there are no approved models predicting its benefit. This retrospective study was aimed to evaluate prognostic factors in patients with PC who had disease progression following 1st line ChT and their value in prediction of 2nd line ChT benefit. Methods: Records of PC patients treated in N.N. Blokhin Russian Cancer Research Center since 2000 to 2015 were analyzed. Inclusion criteria for this retrospective analysis were: morphologically confirmed PC, disease progression after 1st line ChT or adjuvant / induction ChT with ChT-free interval <6 months. The most common clinical factors were evaluated for prognostic significance in the Cox proportional hazards model with overall survival (OS) as the end-point. OS was calculated from the date of progression following previous ChT. Cutoff values for quantitative variables were determined using ROC curve analyses. Results: Records of 172 patients matched the inclusion criteria. Second line ChT was administered in 110 (64%) patients (47% of them received gemcitabine- and/or platinum-based doublets). The Cox multivariate analysis identified two independent prognostic factors: Karnofsky performance status (KPS) ≤70% and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) >5 at the time of disease progression after 1st line ChT (Table). Administration of 2nd line ChT improved outcome of patients with favorable prognosis (score ≤1): median OS increased from 1.7 to 5.5 months in groups without (n=23) and with (n=90) ChT, respectively (p=0.02). In patients with poor prognosis (score>1) there were no benefit by administration of 2nd line ChT: medians OS were 2.3 and 1.7 months in groups with (n=20) and without (n=39) ChT, respectively (p=0.23). Conclusions: This novel prognostic model can potentially predict 2nd line ChT benefit in patients with PC, however it needs to be validated in further trials. [Table: see text]


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS2072-TPS2072 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Roth ◽  
Jaap C. Reijneveld ◽  
Thierry Gorlia ◽  
Frederic Dhermain ◽  
Filip Yves Francine Leon De Vos ◽  
...  

TPS2072 Background: The standard treatment for patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma comprises maximum safe surgery, radiotherapy (RT), and concomitant and up to six cycles of maintenance temozolomide (TMZ) chemotherapy (TMZ/RT→TMZ). Despite this intense therapy, the prognosis remains poor and there is an urgent need to develop new therapeutic options. Marizomib is a novel, irreversible and brain-penetrant pan-proteasome inhibitor. Following its successful assessment in phase I trials in patients with newly diagnosed as well as recurrent glioblastoma, marizomib is now being investigated in a phase III trial. Methods: EORTC 1709/CCTG CE.8 is a multicenter, randomized, controlled, open label phase III superiority trial. Eligibility criteria include histologically confirmed newly diagnosed glioblastoma and a performance status ≥70. Approximately a total of 750 patients will be enrolled and randomized 1:1. Stratification factors include institution, age, Karnofsky performance status and extent of surgery. The primary objective of this study is to compare overall survival in patients receiving marizomib in addition to standard of care (TMZ/RT→TMZ) with patients receiving standard treatment only. The testing strategy specifies the determination of this objective in both the intent-to-treat population and the subgroup of patients with tumors harboring an unmethylated MGMT promoter. Secondary endpoints include progression-free survival, safety, neurocognitive function and quality of life. The study is accompanied by a translational research program. The study will be opened at 50 EORTC sites in Europe and done as an intergroup collaboration with the Canadian Cancer Trials Group (CCTG) with 25 sites in Canada and additional sites in the US. Patient enrolment started in June 2018 and as of January 29, 2019, a total of 85 patients have been randomized. An update on the enrolment status will be provided at the ASCO conference. Clinical trial information: NCT03345095.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Helena C. W. Wahner ◽  
Malte Träger ◽  
Katja Bender ◽  
Leonille Schweizer ◽  
Julia Onken ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Current guidelines for the treatment of anaplastic astrocytoma (AA) recommend maximal safe resection followed by radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Despite this multimodal treatment approach, patients have a limited life expectancy. In the present study, we identified variables associated with overall survival (OS) and constructed a model score to predict the OS of patients with AA at the time of their primary diagnosis. Methods We retrospectively evaluated 108 patients with newly diagnosed AA. The patient and tumor characteristics were analyzed for their impact on OS. Variables significantly associated with OS on multivariable analysis were included in our score. The final algorithm was based on the 36-month survival rates corresponding to each characteristic. Results On univariate analysis, age, Karnofsky performance status, isocitrate dehydrogenase status, and extent of resection were significantly associated with OS. On multivariable analysis all four variables remained significant and were consequently incorporated in the score. The total score ranges from 20 to 33 points. We designated three prognostic groups: A (20–25), B (26–29), and C (30–33 points) with 36-month OS rates of 23%, 71%, and 100%, respectively. The OS rate at 5 years was 8% in group A, 61% in group B and 88% in group C. Conclusions Our model score predicts the OS of patients newly diagnosed with AA and distinguishes patients with a poor survival prognosis from those with a greater life expectancy. Independent and prospective validation is needed. The upcoming changes of the WHO classification of brain tumors as well as the practice changing results from the CATNON trial will most likely require adaption of the score.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6042-6042
Author(s):  
L. Koutcher ◽  
M. Fury ◽  
S. Wolden ◽  
Z. Zhang ◽  
Q. Mo ◽  
...  

6042 Background: Both concurrent CDDP/RT and C/RT have been shown in randomized trials to yield superior disease control compared to RT alone in LAHNC, but no randomized trial has compared them. We evaluated our center's experience with these regimens. Methods: From 3/1/06 - 4/1/08, 175 patients were retrospectively identified who received definitive treatment for LAHNC with CDDP (planned total dose 100 mg/m2 Q3 weeks X 3) and RT (n = 125) or C (400 mg/m2 load; 250 mg/m2 weekly) and RT (n = 50). Patients who received prior RT, additional systemic therapy, and/or surgery to the primary site were excluded. C was given for the following reasons: auditory 30%, renal 4%, cardiac 2%, performance status 18%, patient choice 16%, neuropathy 4%, unknown 2%, and a combination of factors 24%. The median age: CDDP group 56, 6% >71; C group 66.5, 40% >71. Additional CDDP and C features: male sex, 86 v 78%; stage IV, 70 v 68%; and oropharynx, 78 v 70%. Median RT dose (70 Gy), RT length (46 days), and Karnofsky performance status (KPS) (90%) were the same; alcohol/tobacco use was similar. Results: At a median follow up of 18.7 months, with death without local failure (LF) as a competing risk, the 18 month LF incidence rate was 2.5% in the CDDP group and 43.3% in the C group (p < 0.0001), with the latest event occurring at 16.5 months. The 18 month disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 85.7 v 40.9%, and 96.8 v 73.1%, in favor of CDDP (p < 0.0001 for both). Initially, 21 variables were assessed for significance, and when Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariate analysis to address prognostic imbalances, treatment with CDDP still predicted for improved LF, DFS, and OS (p < 0.0001 for LF and DFS; p = 0.0017 for OS). For OS analysis, the concordance probability estimates were .67 for using drug choice alone and .80 for using drug choice, T stage, RT dose, and KPS. Conclusions: CDDP/RT and C/RT were used to treat somewhat different populations with LAHNC. The observed superiority of CDDP/RT compared to C/RT in LF, DFS, and OS may reflect patient selection issues. However, preliminary multivariate modeling suggests that CDDP/RT remains the preferred option for fit patients pending further analyses and prospective studies comparing these regimens. [Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Jiahua Wu ◽  
Jiaqiang Zhou ◽  
Xueyao Yin ◽  
Yixin Chen ◽  
Xihua Lin ◽  
...  

Background. To investigate indicators for prediabetes risk and construct a prediction model for prediabetes incidences in China. Methods. In this study, 551 adults aged 40–70 years had normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and normal hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels at baseline. Baseline data including demographic information, anthropometric measurements, and metabolic profile measurements were collected. The associations between possible indicators and prediabetes were assessed by the Cox proportional-hazards model. The predictive values were evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results. During an average of 3.35 years of follow-up, the incidence of prediabetes was found to be 19.96% (n = 110). In the univariate analyses, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), fasting serum insulin (FINS), 2 h plasma glucose (2hPG), HbA1c, serum uric acid (SUA), waist circumference (WC), smoking, and family history of diabetes (FHD) were found to be significantly correlated with prediabetes. In the multivariable analyses, WC (hazard ratio (HR): 1.032; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.010, 1.053; p = 0.003 ), FHD (HR: 1.824; 95% CI: 1.250, 2.661; p = 0.002 ), HbA1c (HR: 1.825; 95% CI: 1.227, 2.714; p = 0.003 ), and FPG (HR: 2.284; 95% CI: 1.556, 3.352; p < 0.001 ) were found to be independent risk factors for prediabetes. A model that encompassed WC, FHD, HbA1c, and FPG for predicting prediabetes exhibited the largest discriminative ability (AUC: 0.702). Conclusions. WC, FHD, HbA1c, and FPG are independently correlated with the risk of prediabetes. Furthermore, the combination of these predictors enhances the predictive accuracy of prediabetes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (8) ◽  
pp. 873-879
Author(s):  
Takuya Furuta ◽  
Yasuo Sugita ◽  
Satoru Komaki ◽  
Koichi Ohshima ◽  
Motohiro Morioka ◽  
...  

Abstract Leucine-rich α-2 glycoprotein 1 (LRG1) is a diagnostic marker candidate for glioblastoma. Although LRG1 has been associated with angiogenesis, it has been suggested that its biomarker role differs depending on the type of tumor. In this study, a clinicopathological examination of LRG1’s role as a biomarker for glioblastoma was performed. We used tumor tissues of 155 cases with diffuse gliomas (27 astrocytomas, 14 oligodendrogliomas, 114 glioblastomas). The immunohistochemical LRG1 intensity scoring was classified into 2 groups: low expression and high expression. Mutations of IDH1, IDH2, and TERT promoter were analyzed through the Sanger method. We examined the relationship between LRG1 expression level in glioblastoma and clinical parameters, such as age, preoperative Karnofsky performance status, tumor location, extent of resection, O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase promoter, and prognosis. LRG1 high expression rate was 41.2% in glioblastoma, 3.7% in astrocytoma, and 21.4% in oligodendroglioma. Glioblastoma showed a significantly higher LRG1 expression than lower-grade glioma (p = 0.0003). High expression of LRG1 was an independent favorable prognostic factor (p = 0.019) in IDH-wildtype glioblastoma and correlated with gross total resection (p = 0.002) and the tumor location on nonsubventricular zone (p = 0.00007). LRG1 demonstrated multiple potential as a diagnostic, prognostic, and regional biomarker for glioblastoma.


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