scholarly journals Machine Learning in Football Betting: Prediction of Match Results Based on Player Characteristics

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Stübinger ◽  
Benedikt Mangold ◽  
Julian Knoll
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Home Team ◽  
Ensemble Strategy ◽  
The World ◽  
European Football ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Football Betting ◽  
Betting Odds

In recent times, football (soccer) has aroused an increasing amount of attention across continents and entered unexpected dimensions. In this course, the number of bookmakers, who offer the opportunity to bet on the outcome of football games, expanded enormously, which was further strengthened by the development of the world wide web. In this context, one could generate positive returns over time by betting based on a strategy which successfully identifies overvalued betting odds. Due to the large number of matches around the globe, football matches in particular have great potential for such a betting strategy. This paper utilizes machine learning to forecast the outcome of football games based on match and player attributes. A simulation study which includes all matches of the five greatest European football leagues and the corresponding second leagues between 2006 and 2018 revealed that an ensemble strategy achieves statistically and economically significant returns of 1.58% per match. Furthermore, the combination of different machine learning algorithms could neither be outperformed by the individual machine learning approaches nor by a linear regression model or naive betting strategies, such as always betting on the victory of the home team.

scholarly journals Detection and classification of Root and Butt-Rot (RBR) in Stumps of Norway Spruce Using RGB Images and Machine Learning

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 1579 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ostovar ◽  
Bruce Talbot ◽  
Stefano Puliti ◽  
Rasmus Astrup ◽  
Ola Ringdahl
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Timber Harvesting ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Forest Owner ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Butt Rot ◽  
Wood Processing ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Rgb Images ◽  
The Individual

Root and butt-rot (RBR) has a significant impact on both the material and economic outcome of timber harvesting, and therewith on the individual forest owner and collectively on the forest and wood processing industries. An accurate recording of the presence of RBR during timber harvesting would enable a mapping of the location and extent of the problem, providing a basis for evaluating spread in a climate anticipated to enhance pathogenic growth in the future. Therefore, a system to automatically identify and detect the presence of RBR would constitute an important contribution to addressing the problem without increasing workload complexity for the machine operator. In this study, we developed and evaluated an approach based on RGB images to automatically detect tree stumps and classify them as to the absence or presence of rot. Furthermore, since knowledge of the extent of RBR is valuable in categorizing logs, we also classify stumps into three classes of infestation; rot = 0%, 0% < rot < 50% and rot ≥ 50%. In this work we used deep-learning approaches and conventional machine-learning algorithms for detection and classification tasks. The results showed that tree stumps were detected with precision rate of 95% and recall of 80%. Using only the correct output (TP) of the stump detector, stumps without and with RBR were correctly classified with accuracy of 83.5% and 77.5%, respectively. Classifying rot into three classes resulted in 79.4%, 72.4%, and 74.1% accuracy for stumps with rot = 0%, 0% < rot < 50%, and rot ≥ 50%, respectively. With some modifications, the developed algorithm could be used either during the harvesting operation to detect RBR regions on the tree stumps or as an RBR detector for post-harvest assessment of tree stumps and logs.

scholarly journals Intelligence Algorithms for Protein Classification by Mass Spectrometry

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zichuan Fan ◽  
Fanchen Kong ◽  
Yang Zhou ◽  
Yiqing Chen ◽  
Yalan Dai
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Mass Spectrometry ◽  
Classification Performance ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Classification Methods ◽  
Classifier Selection ◽  
Ensemble Strategy ◽  
Biomarker Analysis ◽  
Data Volume

Mass spectrometry (MS) is an important technique in protein research. Effective classification methods by MS data could contribute to early and less-invasive diagnosis and also facilitate developments in the bioinformatics field. As MS data is featured by high dimension, appropriate methods which can effectively deal with the large amount of MS data have been widely studied. In this paper, the applications of methods based on intelligence algorithms have been investigated. Firstly, classification and biomarker analysis methods using typical machine learning approaches have been discussed. Then those are followed by the Ensemble strategy algorithms. Clearly, simple and basic machine learning algorithms hardly addressed the various needs of protein MS classification. Preprocessing algorithms have been also studied, as these methods are useful for feature selection or feature extraction to improve classification performance. Protein MS data growing with data volume becomes complicated and large; improvements in classification methods in terms of classifier selection and combinations of different algorithms and preprocessing algorithms are more emphasized in further work.

Mol2vec: Unsupervised Machine Learning Approach with Chemical Intuition

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabrina Jaeger ◽  
Simone Fulle ◽  
Samo Turk
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Language Processing ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Approach ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Unsupervised Machine Learning ◽  
Feature Representations ◽  
Machine Learning Approach ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Vector Representations

Inspired by natural language processing techniques we here introduce Mol2vec which is an unsupervised machine learning approach to learn vector representations of molecular substructures. Similarly, to the Word2vec models where vectors of closely related words are in close proximity in the vector space, Mol2vec learns vector representations of molecular substructures that are pointing in similar directions for chemically related substructures. Compounds can finally be encoded as vectors by summing up vectors of the individual substructures and, for instance, feed into supervised machine learning approaches to predict compound properties. The underlying substructure vector embeddings are obtained by training an unsupervised machine learning approach on a so-called corpus of compounds that consists of all available chemical matter. The resulting Mol2vec model is pre-trained once, yields dense vector representations and overcomes drawbacks of common compound feature representations such as sparseness and bit collisions. The prediction capabilities are demonstrated on several compound property and bioactivity data sets and compared with results obtained for Morgan fingerprints as reference compound representation. Mol2vec can be easily combined with ProtVec, which employs the same Word2vec concept on protein sequences, resulting in a proteochemometric approach that is alignment independent and can be thus also easily used for proteins with low sequence similarities.

Prediction of K562 Cells Functional Inhibitors Based on Machine Learning Approaches

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (40) ◽  
pp. 4296-4302 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Zhang ◽  
Zhenyan Han ◽  
Qian Gao ◽  
Xiaoyi Bai ◽  
Chi Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Inclusion Bodies ◽  
Cross Validation ◽  
Independent Set ◽  
K562 Cells ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Validation Test ◽  
Excess Number ◽  
Fold Cross Validation

Background: β thalassemia is a common monogenic genetic disease that is very harmful to human health. The disease arises is due to the deletion of or defects in β-globin, which reduces synthesis of the β-globin chain, resulting in a relatively excess number of α-chains. The formation of inclusion bodies deposited on the cell membrane causes a decrease in the ability of red blood cells to deform and a group of hereditary haemolytic diseases caused by massive destruction in the spleen. Methods: In this work, machine learning algorithms were employed to build a prediction model for inhibitors against K562 based on 117 inhibitors and 190 non-inhibitors. Results: The overall accuracy (ACC) of a 10-fold cross-validation test and an independent set test using Adaboost were 83.1% and 78.0%, respectively, surpassing Bayes Net, Random Forest, Random Tree, C4.5, SVM, KNN and Bagging. Conclusion: This study indicated that Adaboost could be applied to build a learning model in the prediction of inhibitors against K526 cells.

scholarly journals Searching for improvements in predicting human eye colour from DNA

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdalena Kukla-Bartoszek ◽  
Paweł Teisseyre ◽  
Ewelina Pośpiech ◽  
Joanna Karłowska-Pik ◽  
Piotr Zieliński ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Sequencing Analysis ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Human Eye ◽  
Software Analysis ◽  
Whole Exome ◽  
Eye Colour

AbstractIncreasing understanding of human genome variability allows for better use of the predictive potential of DNA. An obvious direct application is the prediction of the physical phenotypes. Significant success has been achieved, especially in predicting pigmentation characteristics, but the inference of some phenotypes is still challenging. In search of further improvements in predicting human eye colour, we conducted whole-exome (enriched in regulome) sequencing of 150 Polish samples to discover new markers. For this, we adopted quantitative characterization of eye colour phenotypes using high-resolution photographic images of the iris in combination with DIAT software analysis. An independent set of 849 samples was used for subsequent predictive modelling. Newly identified candidates and 114 additional literature-based selected SNPs, previously associated with pigmentation, and advanced machine learning algorithms were used. Whole-exome sequencing analysis found 27 previously unreported candidate SNP markers for eye colour. The highest overall prediction accuracies were achieved with LASSO-regularized and BIC-based selected regression models. A new candidate variant, rs2253104, located in the ARFIP2 gene and identified with the HyperLasso method, revealed predictive potential and was included in the best-performing regression models. Advanced machine learning approaches showed a significant increase in sensitivity of intermediate eye colour prediction (up to 39%) compared to 0% obtained for the original IrisPlex model. We identified a new potential predictor of eye colour and evaluated several widely used advanced machine learning algorithms in predictive analysis of this trait. Our results provide useful hints for developing future predictive models for eye colour in forensic and anthropological studies.

Clinical Score and Machine Learning-Based Model to Predict Diagnosis of Primary Aldosteronism in Arterial Hypertension

Hypertension ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 78 (5) ◽  
pp. 1595-1604
Author(s):  
Fabrizio Buffolo ◽  
Jacopo Burrello ◽  
Alessio Burrello ◽  
Daniel Heinrich ◽  
Christian Adolf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Arterial Hypertension ◽  
Primary Aldosteronism ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Score ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
The Individual

Primary aldosteronism (PA) is the cause of arterial hypertension in 4% to 6% of patients, and 30% of patients with PA are affected by unilateral and surgically curable forms. Current guidelines recommend screening for PA ≈50% of patients with hypertension on the basis of individual factors, while some experts suggest screening all patients with hypertension. To define the risk of PA and tailor the diagnostic workup to the individual risk of each patient, we developed a conventional scoring system and supervised machine learning algorithms using a retrospective cohort of 4059 patients with hypertension. On the basis of 6 widely available parameters, we developed a numerical score and 308 machine learning-based models, selecting the one with the highest diagnostic performance. After validation, we obtained high predictive performance with our score (optimized sensitivity of 90.7% for PA and 92.3% for unilateral PA [UPA]). The machine learning-based model provided the highest performance, with an area under the curve of 0.834 for PA and 0.905 for diagnosis of UPA, with optimized sensitivity of 96.6% for PA, and 100.0% for UPA, at validation. The application of the predicting tools allowed the identification of a subgroup of patients with very low risk of PA (0.6% for both models) and null probability of having UPA. In conclusion, this score and the machine learning algorithm can accurately predict the individual pretest probability of PA in patients with hypertension and circumvent screening in up to 32.7% of patients using a machine learning-based model, without omitting patients with surgically curable UPA.

scholarly journals Attack and Anomaly Detection in IoT Networks Using Supervised Machine Learning Approaches

2021 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-21
Author(s):  
Himani Tyagi ◽  
Rajendra Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Feature Reduction ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Testing Time ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Reduction Techniques ◽  
Share Data

IoT is characterized by communication between things (devices) that constantly share data, analyze, and make decisions while connected to the internet. This interconnected architecture is attracting cyber criminals to expose the IoT system to failure. Therefore, it becomes imperative to develop a system that can accurately and automatically detect anomalies and attacks occurring in IoT networks. Therefore, in this paper, an Intrsuion Detection System (IDS) based on extracted novel feature set synthesizing BoT-IoT dataset is developed that can swiftly, accurately and automatically differentiate benign and malicious traffic. Instead of using available feature reduction techniques like PCA that can change the core meaning of variables, a unique feature set consisting of only seven lightweight features is developed that is also IoT specific and attack traffic independent. Also, the results shown in the study demonstrates the effectiveness of fabricated seven features in detecting four wide variety of attacks namely DDoS, DoS, Reconnaissance, and Information Theft. Furthermore, this study also proves the applicability and efficiency of supervised machine learning algorithms (KNN, LR, SVM, MLP, DT, RF) in IoT security. The performance of the proposed system is validated using performance Metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F-Score and ROC. Though the accuracy of Decision Tree (99.9%) and Randon Forest (99.9%) Classifiers are same but other metrics like training and testing time shows Random Forest comparatively better.

scholarly journals Analysis of Residual Current Flows in Inverter Based Energy Systems Using Machine Learning Approaches

Energies ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 582
Author(s):  
Holger Behrends ◽  
Dietmar Millinger ◽  
Werner Weihs-Sedivy ◽  
Anže Javornik ◽  
Gerold Roolfs ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Residual Current ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Photovoltaic System ◽  
Detection Methods ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Residual Currents ◽  
Current Flows

Faults and unintended conditions in grid-connected photovoltaic systems often cause a change of the residual current. This article describes a novel machine learning based approach to detecting anomalies in the residual current of a photovoltaic system. It can be used to detect faults or critical states at an early stage and extends conventional threshold-based detection methods. For this study, a power-hardware-in-the-loop approach was carried out, in which typical faults have been injected under ideal and realistic operating conditions. The investigation shows that faults in a photovoltaic converter system cause a unique behaviour of the residual current and fault patterns can be detected and identified by using pattern recognition and variational autoencoder machine learning algorithms. In this context, it was found that the residual current is not only affected by malfunctions of the system, but also by volatile external influences. One of the main challenges here is to separate the regular residual currents caused by the interferences from those caused by faults. Compared to conventional methods, which respond to absolute changes in residual current, the two machine learning models detect faults that do not affect the absolute value of the residual current.

scholarly journals Machine learning approaches to predict the Plant-associated phenotype of Xanthomonas strains

BMC Genomics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dennie te Molder ◽  
Wasin Poncheewin ◽  
Peter J. Schaap ◽  
Jasper J. Koehorst
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Plant Pathogens ◽  
De Novo ◽  
Classification Algorithms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Enabling Factors ◽  
Essential Step ◽  
The World ◽  
Genome Content

Abstract Background The genus Xanthomonas has long been considered to consist predominantly of plant pathogens, but over the last decade there has been an increasing number of reports on non-pathogenic and endophytic members. As Xanthomonas species are prevalent pathogens on a wide variety of important crops around the world, there is a need to distinguish between these plant-associated phenotypes. To date a large number of Xanthomonas genomes have been sequenced, which enables the application of machine learning (ML) approaches on the genome content to predict this phenotype. Until now such approaches to the pathogenomics of Xanthomonas strains have been hampered by the fragmentation of information regarding pathogenicity of individual strains over many studies. Unification of this information into a single resource was therefore considered to be an essential step. Results Mining of 39 papers considering both plant-associated phenotypes, allowed for a phenotypic classification of 578 Xanthomonas strains. For 65 plant-pathogenic and 53 non-pathogenic strains the corresponding genomes were available and de novo annotated for the presence of Pfam protein domains used as features to train and compare three ML classification algorithms; CART, Lasso and Random Forest. Conclusion The literature resource in combination with recursive feature extraction used in the ML classification algorithms provided further insights into the virulence enabling factors, but also highlighted domains linked to traits not present in pathogenic strains.

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