scholarly journals Temperature Dependent Parameter Estimation of Electrical Vehicle Batteries

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 3755
Author(s):  
Anna I. Pózna ◽  
Katalin M. Hangos ◽  
Attila Magyar
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Thermal Behavior ◽  
Temperature Effect ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Temperature Dependent ◽  
Simulation Experiments ◽  
Temperature Coefficients ◽  
Battery Model ◽  
Electrical Vehicle ◽  
Dependent Parameter

Parameter estimation of electrical vehicle batteries in the presence of temperature effect is addressed in this work. A simple parametric temperature dependent battery model is used for this purpose where the temperature dependence is described by static relationships. A two-stepmethod is used that includes a parameter estimation step of the key parameters at differenttemperatures followed by a static optimization step that determines the temperature coefficients of thecorresponding parameters. It was found that the temperature dependent parameter characteristicscan be reliably estimated from charging profiles only. The proposed method can be used as acomputationally effective way of determining the key battery parameters at a given temperature fromtheir actual estimated values and from their previously determined static temperature dependence.The proposed parameter estimation method was verified by simulation experiments on a morecomplex battery model that also describes the detailed dynamic thermal behavior of the battery.

scholarly journals A time-dependent parameter estimation framework for crop modeling

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faezeh Akhavizadegan ◽  
Javad Ansarifar ◽  
Lizhi Wang ◽  
Isaiah Huber ◽  
Sotirios V. Archontoulis
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Bayesian Optimization ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Crop Modeling ◽  
Bayesian Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Crop Models ◽  
Dependent Parameter

AbstractThe performance of crop models in simulating various aspects of the cropping system is sensitive to parameter calibration. Parameter estimation is challenging, especially for time-dependent parameters such as cultivar parameters with 2–3 years of lifespan. Manual calibration of the parameters is time-consuming, requires expertise, and is prone to error. This research develops a new automated framework to estimate time-dependent parameters for crop models using a parallel Bayesian optimization algorithm. This approach integrates the power of optimization and machine learning with prior agronomic knowledge. To test the proposed time-dependent parameter estimation method, we simulated historical yield increase (from 1985 to 2018) in 25 environments in the US Corn Belt with APSIM. Then we compared yield simulation results and nine parameter estimates from our proposed parallel Bayesian framework, with Bayesian optimization and manual calibration. Results indicated that parameters calibrated using the proposed framework achieved an 11.6% reduction in the prediction error over Bayesian optimization and a 52.1% reduction over manual calibration. We also trained nine machine learning models for yield prediction and found that none of them was able to outperform the proposed method in terms of root mean square error and R2. The most significant contribution of the new automated framework for time-dependent parameter estimation is its capability to find close-to-optimal parameters for the crop model. The proposed approach also produced explainable insight into cultivar traits’ trends over 34 years (1985–2018).

Modeling of a magneto-rheological damper: An improved multi-state-dependent parameter estimation approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (8) ◽  
pp. 1178-1188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas-Ali Zamani ◽  
Saeed Tavakoli ◽  
Sadegh Etedali ◽  
Jafar Sadeghi
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Structural Control ◽  
Reference Model ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Training Data ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Dependent Parameter ◽  
Magneto Rheological

A magneto-rheological damper, which is controlled by a magnetic field, is an effective smart damping device in structural control. Because of the complexity of its dynamics, however, the modeling and control of magneto-rheological dampers is still a challenging problem. In this article, an improved multi-state-dependent parameter estimation method is introduced and employed for magneto-rheological damper modeling. To provide a comprehensive training data, a modified Bouc–Wen model is used as the reference model. According to various tests, the proposed multi-state-dependent parameter model can predict the magneto-rheological damper response over a wide range of operating conditions fairly accurately.

scholarly journals Novel Optimization-Based Parameter Estimation Method for the Bass Diffusion Model

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 215824402110269
Author(s):  
Lang Liang
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Weighted Least Squares ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Reference Value ◽  
Diffusion Problem ◽  
Bass Model ◽  
Weighted Least Squares Method ◽  
Estimated Parameters ◽  
Bass Diffusion Model

The Bass model is the most popular model for forecasting the diffusion process of a new product. However, the controlling parameters in it are unknown in practice and need to be determined in advance. Currently, the estimation of the controlling parameters has been approached by various techniques. In this case, a novel optimization-based parameter estimation (OPE) method for the Bass model is proposed in the theoretical framework of system dynamics ( SD). To do this, the SD model of the Bass differential equation is first established and then the corresponding optimization mathematical model is formulated by introducing the controlling parameters as design variable and the discrepancy of the adopter function to the reference value as objective function. Using the VENSIM software, the present SD optimization model is solved, and its effectiveness and accuracy are demonstrated by two examples: one involves the exact solution and another is related to the actual user diffusion problem from Chinese Mobile. The results show that the present OPE method can produce higher predicting accuracy of the controlling parameters than the nonlinear weighted least squares method and the genetic algorithms. Moreover, the reliability interval of the estimated parameters and the goodness of fitting of the optimal results are given as well to further demonstrate the accuracy of the present OPE method.

scholarly journals MLE-Based Parameter Estimation for Four-Parameter Exponential Gamma Distribution and Asymptotic Variance of Its Quantiles

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2092
Author(s):  
Songbai Song ◽  
Yan Kang ◽  
Xiaoyan Song ◽  
Vijay P. Singh
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Asymptotic Variance ◽  
Information Matrix ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Flood Frequency Analysis ◽  
Annual Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Data ◽  
Marquardt Algorithm ◽  
Design Values

The choice of a probability distribution function and confidence interval of estimated design values have long been of interest in flood frequency analysis. Although the four-parameter exponential gamma (FPEG) distribution has been developed for application in hydrology, its maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)-based parameter estimation method and asymptotic variance of its quantiles have not been well documented. In this study, the MLE method was used to estimate the parameters and confidence intervals of quantiles of the FPEG distribution. This method entails parameter estimation and asymptotic variances of quantile estimators. The parameter estimation consisted of a set of four equations which, after algebraic simplification, were solved using a three dimensional Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. Based on sample information matrix and Fisher’s expected information matrix, derivatives of the design quantile with respect to the parameters were derived. The method of estimation was applied to annual precipitation data from the Weihe watershed, China and confidence intervals for quantiles were determined. Results showed that the FPEG was a good candidate to model annual precipitation data and can provide guidance for estimating design values

scholarly journals Modeling and Fault Diagnosis of Interturn Short Circuit for Five-Phase Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian-wei Yang ◽  
Man-feng Dou ◽  
Zhi-yong Dai
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Permanent Magnet ◽  
Fault Tolerant ◽  
Short Circuit ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Trust Region ◽  
Fault Tolerant Control ◽  
Trust Region Algorithm ◽  
Parameter Estimation Method

Taking advantage of the high reliability, multiphase permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs), such as five-phase PMSM and six-phase PMSM, are widely used in fault-tolerant control applications. And one of the important fault-tolerant control problems is fault diagnosis. In most existing literatures, the fault diagnosis problem focuses on the three-phase PMSM. In this paper, compared to the most existing fault diagnosis approaches, a fault diagnosis method for Interturn short circuit (ITSC) fault of five-phase PMSM based on the trust region algorithm is presented. This paper has two contributions. (1) Analyzing the physical parameters of the motor, such as resistances and inductances, a novel mathematic model for ITSC fault of five-phase PMSM is established. (2) Introducing an object function related to the Interturn short circuit ratio, the fault parameters identification problem is reformulated as the extreme seeking problem. A trust region algorithm based parameter estimation method is proposed for tracking the actual Interturn short circuit ratio. The simulation and experimental results have validated the effectiveness of the proposed parameter estimation method.

Estimation of Failure Probability and its Applications in Reliability Data Analysis

2010 ◽  
Vol 118-120 ◽  
pp. 601-605
Author(s):  
Han Ming
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
New Method ◽  
Reliability Parameter ◽  
Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Definition Of

Evaluation method of reliability parameter estimation needs to be improved effectively with the advance of science and technology. This paper develops a new method of parameter estimation, which is named E-Bayesian estimation method. In the case one hyper-parameter, the definition of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability is provided, moreover, the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation, and the property of E-Bayesian estimation of the failure probability are also provided. Finally, calculation on practical problems shows that the provided method is feasible and easy to perform.

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