scholarly journals Base Oil Process Modelling Using Machine Learning

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (20) ◽  
pp. 6527
Author(s):  
Muhamad Amir Mohd Fadzil ◽  
Haslinda Zabiri ◽  
Adi Aizat Razali ◽  
Jamali Basar ◽  
Mohammad Syamzari Rafeen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Pilot Plant ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Processing Plant ◽  
Base Oil ◽  
Oil Processing ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

The quality of feedstock used in base oil processing depends on the source of the crude oil. Moreover, the refinery is fed with various blends of crude oil to meet the demand of the refining products. These circumstances have caused changes of quality of the feedstock for the base oil production. Often the feedstock properties deviate from the original properties measured during the process design phase. To recalculate and remodel using first principal approaches requires significant costs due to the detailed material characterizations and several pilot-plant runs requirements. To perform all material characterization and pilot plant runs every time the refinery receives a different blend of crude oil will simply multiply the costs. Due to economic reasons, only selected lab characterizations are performed, and the base oil processing plant is operated reactively based on the feedback of the lab analysis of the base oil product. However, this reactive method leads to loss in production for several hours because of the residence time as well as time required to perform the lab analysis. Hence in this paper, an alternative method is studied to minimize the production loss by reacting proactively utilizing machine learning algorithms. Support Vector Regression (SVR), Decision Tree Regression (DTR), Random Forest Regression (RFR) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models are developed and studied using historical data of the plant to predict the base oil product kinematic viscosity and viscosity index based on the feedstock qualities and the process operating conditions. The XGBoost model shows the most optimal and consistent performance during validation and a 6.5 months plant testing period. Subsequent deployment at our plant facility and product recovery analysis have shown that the prediction model has facilitated in reducing the production recovery period during product transition by 40%.

scholarly journals Research on dairy products detection based on machine learning algorithm

2022 ◽  
Vol 355 ◽  
pp. 03008
Author(s):  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Yabin Ma ◽  
Jinsen Guan ◽  
Zhaoxia Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Electronic Nose ◽  
Milk Fat ◽  
Dairy Products ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

In this study, an electronic nose model composed of seven kinds of metal oxide semiconductor sensors was developed to distinguish the milk source (the dairy farm to which milk belongs), estimate the content of milk fat and protein in milk, to identify the authenticity and evaluate the quality of milk. The developed electronic nose is a low-cost and non-destructive testing equipment. (1) For the identification of milk sources, this paper uses the method of combining the electronic nose odor characteristics of milk and the component characteristics to distinguish different milk sources, and uses Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Linear Discriminant Analysis , LDA) for dimensionality reduction analysis, and finally use three machine learning algorithms such as Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF) to build a milk source (cow farm) Identify the model and evaluate and compare the classification effects. The experimental results prove that the classification effect of the SVM-LDA model based on the electronic nose odor characteristics is better than other single feature models, and the accuracy of the test set reaches 91.5%. The RF-LDA and SVM-LDA models based on the fusion feature of the two have the best effect Set accuracy rate is as high as 96%. (2) The three algorithms, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF), are used to construct the electronic nose odor data for milk fat rate and protein rate. The method of estimating the model, the results show that the RF model has the best estimation performance( R2 =0.9399 for milk fat; R2=0.9301for milk protein). And it prove that the method proposed in this study can improve the estimation accuracy of milk fat and protein, which provides a technical basis for predicting the quality of dairy products.

scholarly journals Sign language dactyl recognition based on machine learning algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2(112)) ◽  
pp. 58-72
Author(s):  
Chingiz Kenshimov ◽  
Zholdas Buribayev ◽  
Yedilkhan Amirgaliyev ◽  
Aisulyu Ataniyazova ◽  
Askhat Aitimov
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Sign Language ◽  
Gesture Recognition ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

In the course of our research work, the American, Russian and Turkish sign languages were analyzed. The program of recognition of the Kazakh dactylic sign language with the use of machine learning methods is implemented. A dataset of 5000 images was formed for each gesture, gesture recognition algorithms were applied, such as Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Extreme Gradient Boosting, while two data types were combined into one database, which caused a change in the architecture of the system as a whole. The quality of the algorithms was also evaluated. The research work was carried out due to the fact that scientific work in the field of developing a system for recognizing the Kazakh language of sign dactyls is currently insufficient for a complete representation of the language. There are specific letters in the Kazakh language, because of the peculiarities of the spelling of the language, problems arise when developing recognition systems for the Kazakh sign language. The results of the work showed that the Support Vector Machine and Extreme Gradient Boosting algorithms are superior in real-time performance, but the Random Forest algorithm has high recognition accuracy. As a result, the accuracy of the classification algorithms was 98.86 % for Random Forest, 98.68 % for Support Vector Machine and 98.54 % for Extreme Gradient Boosting. Also, the evaluation of the quality of the work of classical algorithms has high indicators. The practical significance of this work lies in the fact that scientific research in the field of gesture recognition with the updated alphabet of the Kazakh language has not yet been conducted and the results of this work can be used by other researchers to conduct further research related to the recognition of the Kazakh dactyl sign language, as well as by researchers, engaged in the development of the international sign language

scholarly journals Forecasting Crude Oil Market Crashes Using Machine Learning Technologies

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2440
Author(s):  
Yulian Zhang ◽  
Shigeyuki Hamori
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
The Other ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Moving Window ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Fixed Length ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting

To the best of our knowledge, this study provides new insight into the forecasting of crude oil futures price crashes in America, employing a moving window. One is the fixed-length window and the other is the expanding-length window, which has never been reported in the past. We aimed to investigate if there is any difference when historical data are discarded. As the explanatory variables, we adapted 13 variables to obtain two datasets, 16 explanatory variables for Dataset1 and 121 explanatory variables for Dataset2. We try to observe results from the different-sized sets of explanatory variables. Specifically, we leverage the merits of a series of machine learning techniques, which include random forests, logistic regression, support vector machines, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). Finally, we employ the evaluation metrics that are broadly used to assess the discriminatory power of imbalanced datasets. Our results indicate that we should occasionally discard distant historical data, and that XGBoost outperforms the other employed approaches, achieving a detection rate as high as 86% using the fixed-length moving window for Dataset2.

Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Lane-Change Maneuvers using the SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110035
Author(s):  
Anik Das ◽  
Mohamed M. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
Change Prediction

Accurate lane-change prediction information in real time is essential to safely operate Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) on the roadways, especially at the early stage of AVs deployment, where there will be an interaction between AVs and human-driven vehicles. This study proposed reliable lane-change prediction models considering features from vehicle kinematics, machine vision, driver, and roadway geometric characteristics using the trajectory-level SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study and Roadway Information Database. Several machine learning algorithms were trained, validated, tested, and comparatively analyzed including, Classification And Regression Trees (CART), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on six different sets of features. In each feature set, relevant features were extracted through a wrapper-based algorithm named Boruta. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed all other models in relation to its highest overall prediction accuracy (97%) and F1-score (95.5%) considering all features. However, the highest overall prediction accuracy of 97.3% and F1-score of 95.9% were observed in the XGBoost model based on vehicle kinematics features. Moreover, it was found that XGBoost was the only model that achieved a reliable and balanced prediction performance across all six feature sets. Furthermore, a simplified XGBoost model was developed for each feature set considering the practical implementation of the model. The proposed prediction model could help in trajectory planning for AVs and could be used to develop more reliable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in a cooperative connected and automated vehicle environment.

scholarly journals Machine learning models to identify low adherence to influenza vaccination among Korean adults with cardiovascular disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moojung Kim ◽  
Young Jae Kim ◽  
Sung Jin Park ◽  
Kwang Gi Kim ◽  
Pyung Chun Oh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.

scholarly journals Prediction of Hanwoo Cattle Phenotypes from Genotypes Using Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 2066
Author(s):  
Swati Srivastava ◽  
Bryan Irvine Lopez ◽  
Himansu Kumar ◽  
Myoungjin Jang ◽  
Han-Ha Chai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Eye Muscle ◽  
Important Species ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Boosting Method ◽  
Predictive Correlation ◽  
Hanwoo Cattle

Hanwoo was originally raised for draft purposes, but the increase in local demand for red meat turned that purpose into full-scale meat-type cattle rearing; it is now considered one of the most economically important species and a vital food source for Koreans. The application of genomic selection in Hanwoo breeding programs in recent years was expected to lead to higher genetic progress. However, better statistical methods that can improve the genomic prediction accuracy are required. Hence, this study aimed to compare the predictive performance of three machine learning methods, namely, random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting method (XGB), and support vector machine (SVM), when predicting the carcass weight (CWT), marbling score (MS), backfat thickness (BFT) and eye muscle area (EMA). Phenotypic and genotypic data (53,866 SNPs) from 7324 commercial Hanwoo cattle that were slaughtered at the age of around 30 months were used. The results showed that the boosting method XGB showed the highest predictive correlation for CWT and MS, followed by GBLUP, SVM, and RF. Meanwhile, the best predictive correlation for BFT and EMA was delivered by GBLUP, followed by SVM, RF, and XGB. Although XGB presented the highest predictive correlations for some traits, we did not find an advantage of XGB or any machine learning methods over GBLUP according to the mean squared error of prediction. Thus, we still recommend the use of GBLUP in the prediction of genomic breeding values for carcass traits in Hanwoo cattle.

scholarly journals Explainable machine learning can outperform Cox regression predictions and provide insights in breast cancer survival

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Moncada-Torres ◽  
Marissa C. van Maaren ◽  
Mathijs P. Hendriks ◽  
Sabine Siesling ◽  
Gijs Geleijnse
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Explicit Knowledge ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Metastatic Breast ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Netherlands Cancer Registry ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The Impact

AbstractCox Proportional Hazards (CPH) analysis is the standard for survival analysis in oncology. Recently, several machine learning (ML) techniques have been adapted for this task. Although they have shown to yield results at least as good as classical methods, they are often disregarded because of their lack of transparency and little to no explainability, which are key for their adoption in clinical settings. In this paper, we used data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry of 36,658 non-metastatic breast cancer patients to compare the performance of CPH with ML techniques (Random Survival Forests, Survival Support Vector Machines, and Extreme Gradient Boosting [XGB]) in predicting survival using the $$c$$ c -index. We demonstrated that in our dataset, ML-based models can perform at least as good as the classical CPH regression ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim \,0.63$$ ∼ 0.63 ), and in the case of XGB even better ($$c$$ c -index $$\sim 0.73$$ ∼ 0.73 ). Furthermore, we used Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values to explain the models’ predictions. We concluded that the difference in performance can be attributed to XGB’s ability to model nonlinearities and complex interactions. We also investigated the impact of specific features on the models’ predictions as well as their corresponding insights. Lastly, we showed that explainable ML can generate explicit knowledge of how models make their predictions, which is crucial in increasing the trust and adoption of innovative ML techniques in oncology and healthcare overall.

Studying demulsifier reactants for crude oil processing facilities

2021 ◽  
pp. 90-104
Author(s):  
L. V. Taranova ◽  
A. G. Mozyrev ◽  
V. G. Gabdrakipova ◽  
A. M. Glazunov
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Oil Content ◽  
Optimal Consumption ◽  
Residual Oil ◽  
Well Production ◽  
Oil Processing ◽  
Water Cut ◽  
Required Quality

The article deals with the issues of improving the quality of highly watered well production fluid processing using chemical demulsifier reactants at crude oil processing facilities; the analysis of the use of the reactants at the Samotlor field has been made. The article presents the results of the study of the effectiveness of the "Hercules 2202 grade A" and "SNPH-4460-2" demulsifiers in comparison with the indicators of oil and bottom water processing achieved in the presence of the reactants used at existing facilities; their optimal consumption has been determined. The study has shown that the selected demulsifiers provide the required quality of the oil and water under processing at the considered oil processing facilities and can be used along with the basic reactants for these facilities. On the basis of total indicators, the best results have been achieved using "Hercules 2202 grade A" with the improved indicators of water cut and residual oil content in water by 33.9 % and 2.8 % while reducing the reactant consumption by 9.7 % compared to the basic demulsifier.

Using Machine Learning to Identify Metabolomic Signatures of Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease Etiology

2022 ◽  
pp. ASN.2021040538
Author(s):  
Arthur M. Lee ◽  
Jian Hu ◽  
Yunwen Xu ◽  
Alison G. Abraham ◽  
Rui Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Gut Microbiome ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Pathway Enrichment Analysis ◽  
Disease Etiology ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Pediatric Ckd

BackgroundUntargeted plasma metabolomic profiling combined with machine learning (ML) may lead to discovery of metabolic profiles that inform our understanding of pediatric CKD causes. We sought to identify metabolomic signatures in pediatric CKD based on diagnosis: FSGS, obstructive uropathy (OU), aplasia/dysplasia/hypoplasia (A/D/H), and reflux nephropathy (RN).MethodsUntargeted metabolomic quantification (GC-MS/LC-MS, Metabolon) was performed on plasma from 702 Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study participants (n: FSGS=63, OU=122, A/D/H=109, and RN=86). Lasso regression was used for feature selection, adjusting for clinical covariates. Four methods were then applied to stratify significance: logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting. ML training was performed on 80% total cohort subsets and validated on 20% holdout subsets. Important features were selected based on being significant in at least two of the four modeling approaches. We additionally performed pathway enrichment analysis to identify metabolic subpathways associated with CKD cause.ResultsML models were evaluated on holdout subsets with receiver-operator and precision-recall area-under-the-curve, F1 score, and Matthews correlation coefficient. ML models outperformed no-skill prediction. Metabolomic profiles were identified based on cause. FSGS was associated with the sphingomyelin-ceramide axis. FSGS was also associated with individual plasmalogen metabolites and the subpathway. OU was associated with gut microbiome–derived histidine metabolites.ConclusionML models identified metabolomic signatures based on CKD cause. Using ML techniques in conjunction with traditional biostatistics, we demonstrated that sphingomyelin-ceramide and plasmalogen dysmetabolism are associated with FSGS and that gut microbiome–derived histidine metabolites are associated with OU.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Models for Sarcopenia Identification Based on Radiomic Features of Muscles in Computed Tomography

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (16) ◽  
pp. 8710
Author(s):  
Young Jae Kim
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Computed Tomography ◽  
Ct Images ◽  
Erector Spinae ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Gray Level ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Nsclc Patients ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The diagnosis of sarcopenia requires accurate muscle quantification. As an alternative to manual muscle mass measurement through computed tomography (CT), artificial intelligence can be leveraged for the automation of these measurements. Although generally difficult to identify with the naked eye, the radiomic features in CT images are informative. In this study, the radiomic features were extracted from L3 CT images of the entire muscle area and partial areas of the erector spinae collected from non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) patients. The first-order statistics and gray-level co-occurrence, gray-level size zone, gray-level run length, neighboring gray-tone difference, and gray-level dependence matrices were the radiomic features analyzed. The identification performances of the following machine learning models were evaluated: logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB). Sex, coarseness, skewness, and cluster prominence were selected as the relevant features effectively identifying sarcopenia. The XGB model demonstrated the best performance for the entire muscle, whereas the SVM was the worst-performing model. Overall, the models demonstrated improved performance for the entire muscle compared to the erector spinae. Although further validation is required, the radiomic features presented here could become reliable indicators for quantifying the phenomena observed in the muscles of NSCLC patients, thus facilitating the diagnosis of sarcopenia.

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