scholarly journals Population Ageing, Financial Deepening and Economic Growth: Evidence from China

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4627 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shangmei Zhao ◽  
Jiang He ◽  
Haijun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Inhibitory Effect ◽  
Population Ageing ◽  
Marginal Effect ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Using a panel of 31 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2016, we investigated the impact of population ageing and financial deepening on economic growth. Based on the dynamic panel system GMM estimators, the empirical results address that both population ageing and financial deepening have a significantly positive impact on economic growth, while the interactions between them have a significantly negative effect on economic growth. From the perspective of total marginal effect, we also find that population ageing does contribute to economic growth but only when financial deepening is less than a threshold level; however, on the whole, financial deepening has an inhibitory effect on economic growth which increases with population ageing.

Factors of Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Transition to the Information Economy

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-30
Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Entire Period ◽  
Annual Growth Rate ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The study was made of the relationship between GDP growth rates and individual components of its final use by combining factor analysis using the principal component method and regression analysis. The period from 1955 to 1980 was studied using data on the average annual growth rate of components over fiveyear periods in the countries of the non-socialist world. The growth rates of the various components of the use of GDP at different stages as the fourth technical and economic structure of the fourth dominates and the development of crisis phenomena in the economy has had a variable impact on economic growth. During the crisis period, the impact of the growth of all components of using GDP on economic growth has dropped sharply. The greatest role in this period was played by the growth of current expenditures of the state. Comparison of the structure of the use of GDP using factor analysis by the method of principal components was carried out by the average annual values for the period from 1950 to 1980. As the development crisis approaches, as the models show, the influence of factors of the structure of using GDP on economic growth decreases. During the entire period, high levels of government spending had a negative effect on economic growth. The impact of exports and imports was positive for the entire period studied. Overcoming the crisis in the economies of developed countries led to a transition to a positive impact of investment on economic growth.

scholarly journals Elections, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth in Ghana’s Fourth Republic: 1993 to 2016

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been seen as an important factor influencing economic growth directly and indirectly in both developed and developing countries. This study assesses the impact of FDI on growth in Ghana since the return to constitutional rule in 1993. The study uses time series data from 1993 to 2016. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lagged model (ARDL), the study finds a positive impact of FDI on growth both in the short-run and long-run. However, there is a lag period of two. The study equally finds that Gross Saving has a positive impact on growth. On the other hand inflation has a negative effect on growth both in the short and long run. The study also discovered that FDI granger causes growth but GDP does not granger cause FDI. Post-election years with incidence of political uncertainty slow down FDI inflow into Ghana. The study recommends the adoption of stringent fiscal and monetary policies to keep inflation low. It also recommends maintaining and improving the liberal market environment to attract investors, policies to encourage saving, and improving on political transitions to avoid uncertainties for investors.

scholarly journals Impact of Population Growth on Economic Growth in Africa: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach (1980 -2015)

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amade Peter ◽  
Ibrahim H. Bakari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
System Gmm ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of population growth on the economic growth of African countries using panel data approach from 1980 -2015. The impact of population growth on economic growth is still largely controversial at national and regional levels. The study used annual secondary data of fifty three (53) African countries sourced from the World Development Indicators database. Data were collected for economic growth, proxied by GDP, population growth, fertility rate, crude death rate and inflation rate. The data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, as well as dynamic panel models of difference and system GMM. The results of the difference and system GMM suggest that population growth exerts a positive impact on economic growth of Africa while fertility has a negative impact on economic growth of Africa. The paper concludes and recommends that population growth impacts positively on economic growth and thus African countries should adopt and implement pragmatic policy measures that will enhance the productivity of its population so as to reap more demographic dividends.

The Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: A Review of Contemporary Literature

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 339-357
Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Theoretical Models ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This article provides a detailed survey of existing theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of public debt on economic growth in both developing and developed economies. The aim of the article is to add to the existing debate on the relationship between public debt and economic growth in world economies. The survey finds diverse and, in some cases, inconsistent evidence on the relative impact of public debt on economic growth. Although the majority of the surveyed literature supports the negative effect of public debt on economic growth, several other studies have found a long-run positive impact of public debt on economic growth through the fiscal multiplier effect. The article also found that a few other studies support the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis (REH), which states that the relationship between public debt and economic growth is nonexistent. On balance, the article also found that there is a growing body of empirical evidence, which supports the presence of threshold effects in the relationship between public debt and economic growth. Overall, it concludes that theoretical models and empirical studies yield inconclusive results depending on a set of heterogeneous factors, including the level of development of the sampled countries, data coverage, methodology used, and the researchers’ choice of control variables, among other factors. This literature survey differs predominantly from other earlier studies in that it provides a comprehensive review of the linkage between government debt and economic growth, in addition to disentangling public debt into two components, domestic and foreign, and expounding on their relative effects on economic growth.

scholarly journals The Heterogeneous Public Debt–Growth Relationship: The Role of the Expenditure Multiplier

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4602
Author(s):  
Mindaugas Butkus ◽  
Diana Cibulskiene ◽  
Lina Garsviene ◽  
Janina Seputiene
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Marginal Effect ◽  
Empirical Examination ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
High Expenditure ◽  
The Impact

Currently countries are facing a new crisis caused by the COVID-19, which leads to the rise of government expenditures and additional borrowing. This situation highlights the importance of examine factors which determine the level of public debt that still sustains economic growth. A growing body of research supports the idea of a non-linear debt–growth relationship and estimates the threshold level above which debt becomes unsustainable and has a negative effect on output. The empirical evidence points out that there is no single sustainable debt threshold level that holds for all countries. This research complements scarce empirical evidence on the heterogeneous debt–growth relationship and provides some insights on the publicly available statistical indicators that might signal a relatively low/high expenditure multiplier and, at the same time, potentially unsustainable/sustainable growth stimulus through the use of borrowed funds. We test the hypothesis that the expenditure multiplier is shaping the impact of public debt on growth. Our empirical examination is based on panel data analysis in the groups of countries with expected relatively high and low expenditure multiplier. Research results show that a statistically significant negative marginal effect of debt on growth starts to manifest at a lower debt-to-GDP ratio when the expenditure multiplier is lower and vice-versa. The study shed some light on the sources of heterogeneity in a debt–growth relationship. We can conclude that countries with a high expenditure multiplier level can borrow more and sustain growth. In contrast, in countries with a lower expenditure multiplier, a relatively low debt level becomes unsustainable for growth.

scholarly journals The impact of military spendings on economic growth of Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
Sajjad ◽  
Tariq ◽  
Muhammad Tariq
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Defence Spending ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

A sound national defence is extremely essential for a country’s sovereignty. The geostrategic position of Pakistan and its deterrence policy against neighbouring India have generally been the reasons for stringent military financing. Defence spending affects all sectors of the economy directly or indirectly. This study aims to investigate the influence of government military expenditures on the economic growth of Pakistan over the period 1987-2016. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test has been used for checking the unit root in the data. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration has been applied to analyze the relationship between military spending and economic growth. The findings indicate that military expenditure has a positive impact on Pakistan's economic growth in the long-run, however it has negative effect on economic growth in the short-run.

scholarly journals Taxation and economic growth: A regression analysis based on a new classification

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 215-229
Author(s):  
Lich Hoang ◽  
Cao Tan ◽  
Le My ◽  
Dung Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Poor Countries ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Partitioning Around Medoids ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Group 3 ◽  
Rich Countries ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the impact of taxes on the economic growth based on classifying countries by GDP per capita and a tax burden. The Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM) technique is used because it is not too sensitive to outliers. Through this multicriteria classification technique, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is employed to analyze the data of the three groups consisting of 63 countries from 2003 to 2017. The results show that most taxes have a positive impact on economic growth in poor countries (Group 1). Interestingly, taxes on goods and services promote economic growth in rich countries (Group 3), rather than having a negative effect, as is concluded by some previous studies. Specially, while the property tax has a negative effect on economic growth in rich countries, its impact is significantly positive in poor countries.

scholarly journals The Impact of Financial Deepening on the Economy of Nigeria (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
pp. 12-21
Author(s):  
Udeme Okon Efanga ◽  
Chinelo Okanya Ogochukwu ◽  
Georgina Obinne Ugwuanyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Many ◽  
The Impact

This study was carried out to investigate the impact of financial deepening on the Nigerian economy between 1981 and 2018. Data employed for this study was elicited from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of 2018. This study employed real gross domestic product as proxy for economic growth in Nigeria (regress and), while ratio of money supply to gross domestic product, ratio of private sector credit to gross domestic product and ratio of market capitalization to gross domestic product were adopted as regressors. The co-integration test and Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS) Model were utilized to analyze data. Inferential results generated there from indicated that financial deepening had positive impact on the Nigerian economy within the period under review. To boost economic growth, we recommend at this time that monetary authorities implement monetary policies to increase money. In the same vein, Nigerian commercial banks should be encouraged to improve upon credit facilities made available to the private sector. Recognizing the positive impact of international capital, this study also recommends that Nigerian policy makers ease some of the many restrictions that currently limit entry of international capital. This singular act would most definitely lead to more companies being listed on the exchange. The result would be the attainment of even more depth to Nigeria’s economy.

scholarly journals Population Migration and The Challenges of Economic Growth in North Sumatera in Year (1988-2020)

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 346-355
Author(s):  
Zulkarnain Nasution ◽  
Muhammad Ali Al Ihsan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Dependency Ratio ◽  
Population Mobility ◽  
Dependency Ratios ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Population increase has the impact on demographic transition (changes in population structure). Indonesia is entering the demographic bonus period, there is the increase in the percentage of the working age population. According to theory, population can affect economic growth (in this study the effect on gross domestic product or GDP). One of the demographic components that affect population composition is population mobility or migration. This study used migration, risk migration and dependency ratios to show the latest patterns / trends of population mobility (last 20 years). The results showed that the variables in this study had a positive and negative effect on GDP growth. Of the three variables, the greatest influence is given by   percentage of dependency ratio variable. The results of this study showed that migration and risk migration had negative impact on economic growth while the dependency ratio had a positive impact on economic growth.  North Sumatra must be optimistic to increase economic growth by utilizing components that can boost the economy and one of them is the dependency ratio.

How Does Public Debt Affect the Indian Macroeconomy? A Structural VAR Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-284
Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Mohanty ◽  
Sidheswar Panda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Decomposition Analysis ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Adverse Impact ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Impact

The study investigates the macroeconomic effects of public debt in India during 1980–2017 using a structural vector autoregression framework. The objective is to examine the impact of public debt on the interest rate, investment, inflation and economic growth in India. The results of the impulse response functions show that public debt has an adverse impact on economic growth but a positive impact on the long-term interest rate in the short run and a mixed effect (both negative and positive) on investment and inflation. We also find that domestic debt has a more adverse impact on the economy than external debt. The estimated variance decomposition analysis finds that much of the variation in selected macro variables are explained by public debt and growth in India. This study suggests that public debt especially domestic debt should be controlled and channelled productively to have a favourable impact on the economy. JEL Classification: H63, O40, C40

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