Factors of Macroeconomic Dynamics in the Transition to the Information Economy

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-30
Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Entire Period ◽  
Annual Growth Rate ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The study was made of the relationship between GDP growth rates and individual components of its final use by combining factor analysis using the principal component method and regression analysis. The period from 1955 to 1980 was studied using data on the average annual growth rate of components over fiveyear periods in the countries of the non-socialist world. The growth rates of the various components of the use of GDP at different stages as the fourth technical and economic structure of the fourth dominates and the development of crisis phenomena in the economy has had a variable impact on economic growth. During the crisis period, the impact of the growth of all components of using GDP on economic growth has dropped sharply. The greatest role in this period was played by the growth of current expenditures of the state. Comparison of the structure of the use of GDP using factor analysis by the method of principal components was carried out by the average annual values for the period from 1950 to 1980. As the development crisis approaches, as the models show, the influence of factors of the structure of using GDP on economic growth decreases. During the entire period, high levels of government spending had a negative effect on economic growth. The impact of exports and imports was positive for the entire period studied. Overcoming the crisis in the economies of developed countries led to a transition to a positive impact of investment on economic growth.

The Impact of Financial Inclusion on Poverty Reduction

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huong Thi Thanh Tran ◽  
Ha Thi Thu Le
Keyword(s):  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Global Issue ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Poverty is a global issue and a lot of attention and efforts of the international community have been made to deal with this problem. Especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, when a part of the population could fall into poverty due to rising unemployment and income deduction, identifying the factors affecting poverty becomes particularly important. Financial inclusion has been recognized as one important factor affecting poverty reduction. This research is conducted to investigate the impact of financial inclusion and other control variables on poverty reduction. The study employs Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to build a financial inclusion index. Using 2SLS and the GMM regressions for a panel data of 29 European countries during the period from 2011 to 2017, the results show that financial inclusion has a negative impact on poverty at all three poverty lines of USD1.9, 3.2, and 5.5 per day. The proportion of the population aged 15–64 and the ratio of service employment to the total number of employment also have a negative effect on all three levels of POV1.9, POV3.2, and POV5.5. In contrast, GDP per capita, trade openness and the proportion of the population aged from 25 with at least secondary school education have a positive impact on poverty at three levels of poverty. The results confirm that financial inclusion plays an important role in reducing poverty. The study provides a number of recommendations to governments to promote financial inclusion and reduce poverty in the countries.

scholarly journals Population Ageing, Financial Deepening and Economic Growth: Evidence from China

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4627 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shangmei Zhao ◽  
Jiang He ◽  
Haijun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Inhibitory Effect ◽  
Population Ageing ◽  
Marginal Effect ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Using a panel of 31 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2016, we investigated the impact of population ageing and financial deepening on economic growth. Based on the dynamic panel system GMM estimators, the empirical results address that both population ageing and financial deepening have a significantly positive impact on economic growth, while the interactions between them have a significantly negative effect on economic growth. From the perspective of total marginal effect, we also find that population ageing does contribute to economic growth but only when financial deepening is less than a threshold level; however, on the whole, financial deepening has an inhibitory effect on economic growth which increases with population ageing.

The Impact of FDI Inflows and Outflows on Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of some Developed and Developing Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-157
Author(s):  
Younis Ali Ahmed ◽  
Roshna Ramzi Ibrahim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Panel Data Estimation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Data Estimation

FDI is an investment including a long-term relationship and reflecting a lasting interest and control of a resident entity in one economy. FDI is a combination of capital, technology, marketing and management. Based on the Neoclassical, Exogenous and modern theories FDI has a positive role in accelerating economic growth and development. Many countries are improving their economy in order to attract FDI.  The main objective of this study is to examine the impact of FDI inflows and outflows on economic growth of developed countries such as (USA, UK and France) and developing countries such as (Malaysia, Turkey and Iran) from (1980 to 2017). To accomplish that, ARDL approach and panel data estimation were used. The empirical findings reveal that the FDI inflows and outflows for developed countries (US and UK) have a positive impact on economic growth (GDP), while the FDI inflows of France have a negative impact. Nevertheless, FDI inflows and outflows for developing countries of (Malaysia, Turkey, and Iran) have a positive impact on economic growth. The result of panel data estimation shows that Fixed effects model is appropriate for estimating the parameters. In conclusion, Developing countries should diversify their FDI inflows and outflows to cover all the sectors and they should benefit from the developed countries’ experiences with higher impact of FDI on economic growth.

scholarly journals Elections, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth in Ghana’s Fourth Republic: 1993 to 2016

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been seen as an important factor influencing economic growth directly and indirectly in both developed and developing countries. This study assesses the impact of FDI on growth in Ghana since the return to constitutional rule in 1993. The study uses time series data from 1993 to 2016. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lagged model (ARDL), the study finds a positive impact of FDI on growth both in the short-run and long-run. However, there is a lag period of two. The study equally finds that Gross Saving has a positive impact on growth. On the other hand inflation has a negative effect on growth both in the short and long run. The study also discovered that FDI granger causes growth but GDP does not granger cause FDI. Post-election years with incidence of political uncertainty slow down FDI inflow into Ghana. The study recommends the adoption of stringent fiscal and monetary policies to keep inflation low. It also recommends maintaining and improving the liberal market environment to attract investors, policies to encourage saving, and improving on political transitions to avoid uncertainties for investors.

scholarly journals The Impact of International Capital Flows on Economic Growth in Palestine

2020 ◽  
pp. 23-37
Author(s):  
Nemer Badwan ◽  
Mohammed Atta
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
International Capital Flows ◽  
Global Markets ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Financial Flows ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

The study aims to investigate and examine the impact of International Capital Flows and other Financial Flows on Economic Growth in Palestine during the period (2007-2018). This study also included trends and methods of forming Capital Flows and Financial Capital Flows. The study used the appropriate descriptive and analytical approach by the authors for the purposes and requirements of the research to investigate the real results and required. The researchers used the time intervals method, and the study concluded that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI), Large Loans (World Bank), Worker Remittances (WR), Foreign Affairs Borrowing and Financial Grants (GR) have a noticeable positive impact on Economic Growth in Palestine. The study made several important and useful recommendations, the most notably: That Palestinian Government must lay down and establish lighter and comfortable rules and regulations for investors to attract more investors and Foreign Investments to Palestine. Besides, the Palestinian Government must work hard side by side with the other Developed Countries for reaching better Economic Development and increasing a good rate. To achieve a good rate of Economic Growth, the government must work hard to create job opportunities for citizens to reduce the high Unemployment rate in the country. The Government should improve the standard of living and competitiveness in global markets and obtain a sufficient share in the International Financial Markets, so the Government must work to provide new opportunities for Global Markets Integration by creating a good environment to increase Economic Growth and Technology Development.

scholarly journals Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Carbon Taxes

2020 ◽  
Vol 110 ◽  
pp. 101-106
Author(s):  
Gilbert E. Metcalf ◽  
James H. Stock
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rates ◽  
Employment Growth ◽  
Carbon Tax ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Carbon Taxes ◽  
Total Employment ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Macroeconomic Impact ◽  
The Impact

Policymakers often express concern about the impact of carbon taxes on employment or GDP. Using a new dataset on carbon tax rates, we estimate the macroeconomic impacts of these taxes on GDP and employment growth rates for various specifications and samples. Our point estimates suggest a zero to modest positive impact on GDP and total employment growth rates. More importantly, we find no robust evidence of a negative effect of the tax on employment or GDP growth. For the European experience at least, we find no support for the view that carbon taxes are job or growth killers.

The Impact of Public Debt on Economic Growth: A Review of Contemporary Literature

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 339-357
Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Theoretical Models ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This article provides a detailed survey of existing theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of public debt on economic growth in both developing and developed economies. The aim of the article is to add to the existing debate on the relationship between public debt and economic growth in world economies. The survey finds diverse and, in some cases, inconsistent evidence on the relative impact of public debt on economic growth. Although the majority of the surveyed literature supports the negative effect of public debt on economic growth, several other studies have found a long-run positive impact of public debt on economic growth through the fiscal multiplier effect. The article also found that a few other studies support the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis (REH), which states that the relationship between public debt and economic growth is nonexistent. On balance, the article also found that there is a growing body of empirical evidence, which supports the presence of threshold effects in the relationship between public debt and economic growth. Overall, it concludes that theoretical models and empirical studies yield inconclusive results depending on a set of heterogeneous factors, including the level of development of the sampled countries, data coverage, methodology used, and the researchers’ choice of control variables, among other factors. This literature survey differs predominantly from other earlier studies in that it provides a comprehensive review of the linkage between government debt and economic growth, in addition to disentangling public debt into two components, domestic and foreign, and expounding on their relative effects on economic growth.

scholarly journals The impact of military spendings on economic growth of Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
Sajjad ◽  
Tariq ◽  
Muhammad Tariq
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Defence Spending ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

A sound national defence is extremely essential for a country’s sovereignty. The geostrategic position of Pakistan and its deterrence policy against neighbouring India have generally been the reasons for stringent military financing. Defence spending affects all sectors of the economy directly or indirectly. This study aims to investigate the influence of government military expenditures on the economic growth of Pakistan over the period 1987-2016. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test has been used for checking the unit root in the data. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration has been applied to analyze the relationship between military spending and economic growth. The findings indicate that military expenditure has a positive impact on Pakistan's economic growth in the long-run, however it has negative effect on economic growth in the short-run.

scholarly journals Taxation and economic growth: A regression analysis based on a new classification

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 215-229
Author(s):  
Lich Hoang ◽  
Cao Tan ◽  
Le My ◽  
Dung Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Poor Countries ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Partitioning Around Medoids ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Group 3 ◽  
Rich Countries ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the impact of taxes on the economic growth based on classifying countries by GDP per capita and a tax burden. The Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM) technique is used because it is not too sensitive to outliers. Through this multicriteria classification technique, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is employed to analyze the data of the three groups consisting of 63 countries from 2003 to 2017. The results show that most taxes have a positive impact on economic growth in poor countries (Group 1). Interestingly, taxes on goods and services promote economic growth in rich countries (Group 3), rather than having a negative effect, as is concluded by some previous studies. Specially, while the property tax has a negative effect on economic growth in rich countries, its impact is significantly positive in poor countries.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF HUMAN FREEDOMS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elena Makrevska Disoska ◽  
Katerina Shapkova Kocevska
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Rights ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Economic Freedom ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
New Institutional Economics ◽  
Human Freedom ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

The impact of formal institutions, including rule of law, human rights, and civil liberties on economic growth has been in the focus of the latest research agenda of the new institutional economics due to the current pandemic of the Corona-19 virus. Some limitations are necessary to be imposed to address a pandemic, but this is a real risk of lasting deterioration in basic human freedoms. Increased surveillance, restrictions on free expression and information, and limits on public participation are becoming increasingly common. The present fear is that the authorities worldwide are using the current situation to repress human rights for political purposes. This paper aims to explore the effect of the overall institutional environment, understood as the concept of human freedom, on economic prosperity in different jurisdictions around the world. Human freedom is a general term for personal, civil, and economic freedom and therefore the interconnection with economic growth can be seen in both directions. In our analysis, we use the Human Freedom Index published by the Fraser Institute as a proxy for human freedom. Here, human freedom is understood as the absence of coercive constraint. The index is calculated based on 79 distinct indicators representing different aspects of personal and economic freedom. This analysis seeks to answer several questions. First, we are interested in examining whether there is empirical evidence about the causality between human freedoms and economic growth. Second, we are interested in whether human freedom has a positive impact on growth rates. And third, we are interested in examining the influence of other determinants on economic growth. To test the causality between human freedom and economic growth, we have conducted a Granger causality analysis. The empirical strategy for identification of the possible influence of human freedom to growth rates includes the development of ordinary least squares (OLS) panel regression models for selected economies of the world, or around 174 cross-section units (countries) in the period between 2008 and 2017.

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