scholarly journals Characteristics of Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Meteorological Drought in the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region of Northwest China

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 992 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan Fang ◽  
Hui Qian ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Han Xu
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Wavelet Coefficient ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Scientific Basis ◽  
The North ◽  
Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region ◽  
Frequency Domains ◽  
Drought Disaster ◽  
Wavelet Variance

This study focuses on the intensity, duration, and frequency of meteorological droughts in Ningxia, northwest China, from 1960 to 2016. The analysis was conducted using the interannual characteristics of droughts, which were studied by the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at different timescales. Additionally, the correlation, mutability, and periodicity of two series in both the time and frequency domains in multi-time scales were scientifically analyzed using the wavelet analysis method. The results showed that the occurrence of drought had increased at different timescales (i.e., SPEI1, SPEI3, and SPEI12) during the past 57 years. The autumn drought had the largest share; spring is the high-occurrence season of extreme drought and the overall drought intensity increases towards the north. The periodical change of droughts was described with the wavelet coefficient real part value, wavelet power spectrum, and wavelet variance. The results showed that the 13- and 8-year time scales had the strongest oscillation and energy, and they were the first and the second major periods of drought. Moreover, the drought mutational fluctuations are in better agreement with that characterized by the SPEI12 and actual conditions. The results help to understand the occurrence and evolution of droughts in Ningxia, and to provide a scientific basis to reduce and prevent the drought disaster.

scholarly journals Different trends between extreme and median surface aerosol extinction coefficients over China inferred from quality controlled visibility data

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Li ◽  
Chengcai Li ◽  
Chunsheng Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Northwest China ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Median Surface ◽  
Aerosol Extinction ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
The North ◽  
Synoptic Conditions ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean Trend ◽  
Year 2000

Abstract. Although the temporal changes of aerosol properties have been widely investigated, the majority focused on the averaged condition without much emphasis on the extremes. However, the latter can be more important in terms of human health and climate change. This study uses a previously validated, quality-controlled visibility dataset to investigate the long-term trends of extreme surface aerosol extinction coefficient (AEC) over China, and compare them with the median trends. Two methods are used to independently evaluate the trends, which arrive at consistent results. The sign of extreme and median trends are generally coherent, whereas their magnitudes show distinct spatial and temporal differences. In the 1980s, an overall positive trend is found throughout China with the extreme trend exceeding the mean trend, except for Northwest China and the North China Plain. In the 1990s, AEC over Northeast and Northwest China starts to decline while the rest of the country still exhibits an increase. The extreme trends continue to dominate in the south while it yields to the mean trend in the north. After year 2000, the extreme trend becomes weaker than the mean trend overall in terms of both the magnitude and significance level. The annual trend can be primarily attributed to winter and fall trends. The results suggest that the decadal changes of pollution in China may be governed by different mechanisms. Synoptic conditions that often result in extreme air quality changes might dominate in the 1980s, whereas emission increase might be the main factor for the 2000s.

scholarly journals How Predictable Are the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillations? Exploring the Variability and Predictability of the Northern Hemisphere

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 997-1014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela I. V. Domeisen ◽  
Gualtiero Badin ◽  
Inga M. Koszalka
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ensemble Prediction ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

ABSTRACT The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) describe the dominant part of the variability in the Northern Hemisphere extratropical troposphere. Because of the strong connection of these patterns with surface climate, recent years have shown an increased interest and an increasing skill in forecasting them. However, it is unclear what the intrinsic limits of short-term predictability for the NAO and AO patterns are. This study compares the variability and predictability of both patterns, using a range of data and index computation methods for the daily NAO and AO indices. Small deviations from Gaussianity are found along with characteristic decorrelation time scales of around one week. In the analysis of the Lyapunov spectrum it is found that predictability is not significantly different between the AO and NAO or between reanalysis products. Differences exist, however, between the indices based on EOF analysis, which exhibit predictability time scales around 12–16 days, and the station-based indices, exhibiting a longer predictability of 18–20 days. Both of these time scales indicate predictability beyond that currently obtained in ensemble prediction models for short-term predictability. Additional longer-term predictability for these patterns may be gained through local feedbacks and remote forcing mechanisms for particular atmospheric conditions.

scholarly journals Change-Point Analysis of Precipitation and Drought Extremes in China over the Past 50 Years

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Min Liu ◽  
Pengfei Liu ◽  
Ying Guo ◽  
Yanfang Wang ◽  
Xinxin Geng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Change Point ◽  
Climate Extremes ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Change Point Analysis ◽  
Human Society ◽  
The North ◽  
Point Analysis ◽  
Yangzi River ◽  
Increasing Trends ◽  
Cumulative Deviation

Increases in climate extremes and their impacts have attracted global attention recently. In this study, the change-point years of precipitation extremes (PEs) and drought extremes (DEs) were investigated by Moving t-Test at 500 stations across the six regions in China. The detailed temporal change processes of them were demonstrated by the cumulative deviation method based on the data from nine typical stations. The results showed that: 1) DEs were more significantly and widely increased than PEs, the stations with increasing trends of PEs and DEs accounted for greater than 52.6% and 61.6% of the total, respectively; 2) increasing trends of DEs were mainly distributed in the east of Hu Huanyong Line. In this area, the increasing change-point years of DEs often occurred in the early 1980s in the south of the Yangzi River, while occurred in the 1990s in the north of the Yangzi River; 3) increasing trends of PEs were mainly distributed in Qing-Tibet Platen, Northwest China, and the southeastern area of Hu Huanyong Line. In these areas, the increasing change-point years of PEs often occurred around 1990 in the southeast of Hu Huanyong Line, while often occurred in the early 1980s in Qing-Tibet Platen. The results indicated that the area in the southeast of Hu Huanyong Line was under the threats of both PEs and DEs, this may produce severe impacts on agriculture, environment, water resources management, human society, etc.

scholarly journals Meteorological Drought Changes and Related Circulation Characteristics in Yulin City of the Northern Shaanxi from 1961 to 2015

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1196
Author(s):  
Yixing Yin ◽  
Lijuan Zhang ◽  
Xiaojun Wang ◽  
Wucheng Xu ◽  
Wenjun Yu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Precipitation Process ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
The South ◽  
Vapor Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Northern Shaanxi ◽  
Yulin City

This study explored the spatio-temporal patterns of meteorological drought change and the mechanisms of drought occurrence in Yulin City of the northern Shaanxi by using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis and composite analysis based on the meteorological observation data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from 1961 to 2015. The main findings of the research are as follows: (1) In the annual and seasonal drought series, there is a non-significant trend toward drought in summer, while there are non-significant trends toward wetness for the other series. Overall, the frequency of drought is low in the southeast and high in the west and the north of the study area. (2) EOF1 is characterized by a uniform pattern in the whole region, i.e., there is a feature of consistent drought or flood in Yulin City. EOF2, EOF3 and EOF4 mainly indicate opposite characteristics of the changes of floods and droughts in the eastern/western parts and the southeast/other parts in the study area. (3) In the summer of the typical drought (flood) years, the study area is controlled by the northwest airflow behind the trough (zonal airflow at the bottom of low-pressure trough), and the meridional circulation (zonal circulation) is distributed in the mid-latitudes, which is conducive to the intrusion of cold air into the south (north) of China. The cold and warm air intersection area is to the south (to the north). The water vapor flux is weak (strong) and the water vapor divergence (convergence) prohibits (enhances) the precipitation process in the study area.

scholarly journals Trace Elements in Soils of a Typical Industrial District in Ningxia, Northwest China: Pollution, Source, and Risk Evaluation

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Songlin Zhang ◽  
Yuan Liu ◽  
Yujing Yang ◽  
Xilu Ni ◽  
Muhammad Arif ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Trace Elements ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Terrestrial Ecosystems ◽  
Industrial Area ◽  
Northwest China ◽  
Pollution Source ◽  
National Standard ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
The North ◽  
Anthropogenic Inputs

Intense industrial activities could result in massive accumulations of trace elements in the soil and risk the terrestrial ecosystems and human health. A total of 119 topsoil samples from a typical industrial area, Huinong District, Ningxia, Northwest China, were collected, and the contents of six trace elements (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Pb, and Zn) were determined. The results indicated that the mean concentrations of Cr, Cu, Pb, and Zn were lower than the national standard values of class II, while As and Cd were 2.77 and 3.92 times the corresponding threshold values. Multivariate analyses revealed six metals can be categorized into three principal components (PC). PC1 was As, Cd, and Pb, which originated from anthropogenic inputs. PC2 consisted of Cr and Cu, which originated from the natural geological background. PC3 only included Zn and was mainly due to agricultural impacts. The spatial distribution of six metals greatly varied from local anthropic inputs. For As and Cd, the most heavily polluted area was located in the north and southwest parts of the study area, whereas most Zn was enriched in the southern part, which was mainly agricultural land. The topsoil in this area displayed a moderate environmental risk with the metal pollution order of Cd > As > Zn ≈ Cr ≈ Pb ≈ Cu. Moreover, the contents of trace elements in the industrial land and water were relatively higher than those in other land-use types, indicating a considerable risk of metal migration and accumulation to rivers and the groundwater. It is suggested that effective remediation measures for Cd and As, in particular, should be properly employed for the sustainable development of the soil and groundwater, while reducing the risk of elements to the local residents in Huinong District.

Variability of the Meridional Overturning in the North Atlantic from the 50-Year GECCO State Estimation

2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1913-1930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Köhl ◽  
Detlef Stammer
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Special Focus ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Consistent Estimate ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract The German partner of the consortium for Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (GECCO) provided a dynamically consistent estimate of the time-varying ocean circulation over the 50-yr period 1952–2001. The GECCO synthesis combines most of the data available during the entire estimation period with the ECCO–Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ocean circulation model using its adjoint. This GECCO estimate is analyzed here for the period 1962–2001 with respect to decadal and longer-term changes of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) of the North Atlantic. A special focus is on the maximum MOC values at 25°N. Over this period, the dynamically self-consistent synthesis stays within the error bars of H. L. Bryden et al., but reveals a general increase of the MOC strength. The variability on decadal and longer time scales is decomposed into contributions from different processes. Changes in the model’s MOC strength are strongly influenced by the southward communication of density anomalies along the western boundary originating from the subpolar North Atlantic, which are related to changes in the Denmark Strait overflow but are only marginally influenced by water mass formation in the Labrador Sea. The influence of density anomalies propagating along the southern edge of the subtropical gyre associated with baroclinically unstable Rossby waves is found to be equally important. Wind-driven processes such as local Ekman transport explain a smaller fraction of the variability on those long time scales.

scholarly journals Dynamical Response of the Oceanic Eddy Field to the North Atlantic Oscillation: A Model–Data Comparison

2004 ◽  
Vol 34 (12) ◽  
pp. 2615-2629 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thierry Penduff ◽  
Bernard Barnier ◽  
W. K. Dewar ◽  
James J. O'Brien
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Altimeter Data ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

Abstract Observational studies have shown that in many regions of the World Ocean the eddy kinetic energy (EKE) significantly varies on interannual time scales. Comparing altimeter-derived EKE maps for 1993 and 1996, Stammer and Wunsch have mentioned a significant meridional redistribution of EKE in the North Atlantic Ocean and suggested the possible influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) cycle. This hypothesis is examined using 7 yr of Ocean Topography Experiment (TOPEX)/Poseidon altimeter data and three ⅙°-resolution Atlantic Ocean model simulations performed over the period 1979–2000 during the French “CLIPPER” experiment. The subpolar–subtropical meridional contrast of EKE in the real ocean appears to vary on interannual time scales, and the model reproduces it realistically. The NAO cycle forces the meridional contrast of energy input by the wind. The analysis in this paper suggests that after 1993 the large amplitude of the NAO cycle induces changes in the transport of the baroclinically unstable large-scale circulation (Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Current) and, thus, changes in the EKE distribution. Model results suggest that NAO-like fluctuations were not followed by EKE redistributions before 1994, probably because NAO oscillations were weaker. Strong NAO events after 1994 were followed by gyre-scale EKE fluctuations with a 4–12-month lag, suggesting that complex, nonlinear adjustment processes are involved in this oceanic adjustment.

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