scholarly journals MEAN REVERSION: AN INVESTIGATION FROM KARACHI STOCK EXCHANGE SECTORS

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 493-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jolita VVEINHARDT ◽  
Dalia STREIMIKIENE ◽  
Ahmed Raheem RIZWAN ◽  
Ahmad NAWAZ ◽  
Aniqe REHMAN

This article analyses the sectors of Karachi stock exchange in order to determine if there is any presence of mean reversion phenomenon in the stock market sectors and also an attempt to determine the pace of mean reversion. To conduct this research, secondary data is collected from the State Bank Bulletin. The frequency of the data is monthly. The variables include the individual; the data was obtained from 24 sectors returns over the period of 17 years from January 1992 to June 2008. The GARCH (1, 1) model was used to find the outcomes and the effects. In the two sectors out of 24 sectors, the GARCH and ARCH effects were significant, namely, in the Jute and Banks & Investment Companies. We studied the mean reverting process in the KSE sectors over a specific time period. Since, the mean reversion varies over different time periods. Therefore, it would be a good area for future research to study the reasons, why the market reacts differently over different time periods and to determine the reasons for such variations. The paper contributes to Stock Prices returns and investment opportunities by studying the Mean Reversion Phenomenon.

The Winners ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Meilina Pudjiani ◽  
Yusman Syaukat ◽  
Tony Irawan

The aim of the research was to identify the allocation of optimum portfolio formation in consumer goods sector at Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018 by using Black-Litterman model. This quantitative research used secondary data on stock prices of the consumer goods sector on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from January 2014 to December 2018 which was obtained from Yahoo Finance and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Four stocks formed the optimum portfolio of consumer goods sector identified by using Black-Litterman model. Those are stocks of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk, PT Kimia Farma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk, and PT HM Sampoerna Tbk. The results show that stock with the biggest proportion was ICBP’s with proportion of 68,5379%. Meanwhile the smallest proportion was INAF’s, which is 3,0277%. The mean return was calculated from this proportion, resulting in 3,678% while the risk value was 1,471%.


Author(s):  
Sudirman S ◽  
Muhammad Wahyuddin Abdullah ◽  
Muhammad Obie

This study examined the effect of current ratio and debt to asset ratio on net profit margin and stock prices of the sector basic industry and chemicals companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period 2015-2019. The object of research was the stock prices of companies in the Basic Industry and Chemicals sector, which have been published through the official website of the Indonesian capital market. It was used secondary data derived from the monthly statistics, including Current Ratio data, Net Profit Margin, Debt to Asset Ratio, and data on closing prices for the period 2015-2019. In analyzing data, it was used path analysis of secondary data obtained from the basic industry sector financial statements of 60 companies. The company's performance in this sector is considered quite good when seen from the movement of the index value in the last five years. The results show that direct current ratio had a positive and significant effect on the net profit margin, and the debt to equity ratio did not significantly influence the net profit margin. The current ratio has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, and the debt to equity ratio has a negative and not significant effect on stock prices. In contrast, the net profit margin has a significant effect on stock prices in the basic industry sector companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Indirectly the current ratio has a positive and significant effect on stock prices. In contrast, the debt to asset ratio has a negative and not significant effect on the company's stock prices in the basic industry sector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Yulia Afriani ◽  
Abdul Rakhman Laba ◽  
Andi Aswan

This study aimed to find out the effect of managerial ownership, financial performance, corporate competition on stock prices with capital structure as the intervening variable in the coal mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Managerial ownership variables by the shareholding presentation. Financial performance variables by Total Asset Turnover (TATO). Firm competition variable by Concentration Ratio (CR). Capital structure variables by Debt to Equity Ratio (DER). Stock prices variable by Price to Book Value (PBV). The population of this study was the coal mining companies listed on the IDX. This study used Purposive as the sampling technique. The data source was secondary data from financial statements published through the IDX official website. This study used descriptive statistics and inferential statistics with a quantitative approach using regression techniques with the E-Views version 10 program. The results of this study showed that the dealings of managerial ownership had a positive and significant effect on DER, TATO had a negative and not significant effect on DER, while CR had a negative and significant effect on DER. The dealings of managerial ownership, TATO, DER has a positive and significant effect on PBV, while CR has a negative and not significant. The dealings of managerial ownership influences PBV through DER, interestingly TATO has no effect on PBV through DER and CR influences PBV through DER


2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 239-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wolfgang Tschacher ◽  
Fabian Ramseyer ◽  
Claudia Bergomi

Time is a basic dimension in psychology, underlying behavior and experience. Timing and time perception constitute implicit processes that are often inaccessible to the individual person. Research in this field has shown that timing is involved in many areas of clinical significance. In the projects presented here, we combine timing with seemingly different fields of research, such as psychopathology, perceptual grouping, and embodied cognition. Focusing on the time scale of the subjective present, we report findings from three different clinical studies: (1) We studied perceived causality in schizophrenia patients, finding that perceptual grouping (‘binding’, ‘Gestalt formation’), which leads to visual causality perceptions, did not distinguish between patients and healthy controls. Patients however did integrate context (provided by the temporal distribution of auditory context stimuli) less into perceptions, in significant contrast to controls. This is consistent with reports of higher inaccuracy in schizophrenia patients’ temporal processing. (2) In a project on auditory Gestalt perception we investigated auditory perceptual grouping in schizophrenia patients. The mean dwell time was positively related to how much patients were prone to auditory hallucinations. Dwell times of auditory Gestalts may be regarded as operationalizations of the subjective present; findings thus suggested that patients with hallucinations had a shorter present. (3) The movement correlations of interacting individuals were used to study the non-verbal synchrony between therapist and patient in psychotherapy sessions. We operationalized the duration of an embodied ‘social present’ by the statistical significance of such associations, finding a window of roughly 5.7 seconds in conversing dyads. We discuss that temporal scales of nowness may be modifiable, e.g., by mindfulness. This yields promising goals for future research on timing in the clinical context: psychotherapeutic techniques may alter binding processes, hence the subjective present of individuals, and may affect the social present in therapeutic interactions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-38
Author(s):  
Neni Nur'aeni ◽  
Gusganda Suria Manda

This research was conducted at manufacturing companies in the consumer goods industry sector. This research focus is on the pharmaceutical company sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in 2014-2018. The population in this study was 11 companies. This study used a purposive sampling method, and then, based on the predetermined CRiteria, obtained eight samples of companies that will be tested in this study. The type of data in this research is quantitative data. The data source used is secondary data sourced from the official website of the IDX, BI, and their respective companies. This study's results indicate that only the Current Ratio and Return On Assets partially have a significant effect on stock prices. However, simultaneously Current Ratio, Return On Assets, and Rupiah Exchange Rate have a significant influence on stock prices.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 381-390
Author(s):  
Annisa Nauli Sinaga ◽  
Citra William ◽  
Tiffanny Meiluartha ◽  
Alviana Celia Jansen

The development of companies nowadays have been growing rapidly and causing intense competition in the market.  Trade, service, and investment sector companies are emerging in Indonesia. Thus, this study aims to identify the impact of current ratio, inventory turnover, debt to asset ratio, growth and size  towards firm’s profitability in Trade, Service, and Investment Companies Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from year 2016-2019. The research type of this study is quantitative method.  The data is classified as quantitative and ratio scale. This study uses secondary data. The population for this study is 154 trade, service, and investment sector companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from year 2016-2019. The sample for this study is 65 trade, service, and investment sector companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from year 2016-2019 using observational sampling method. The model of this study is multiple linear regression.  The result of this study shows that current ratio, inventory turnover, debt to asset ratio, growth and size partially and simulteneously do not affect firm’s profitability in Trade, Service, and Investment Companies Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from year 2016-2019. Keywords : Current Ratio, Inventory Turnover, Debt To Asset Ratio, Growth, Size dan Profitability


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 22-29
Author(s):  
Van hyung Shih ◽  
Chien Hoang

The aim of this research is to ascertain if accounting fundamentals and macroeconomic indicators have an effect on stock prices. In this research, a quantitative method was used. The population of this research includes manufacturing firms listed on the Stock Exchange, with a sample size of ten companies collected through secondary data during the 2019-2020 quarter. Scale of data measurement using a ratio scale. The findings indicated that inflation and interest rate macroeconomic variables had little impact on stock values. Fundamentals of Accounting The return on equity and the price-earnings ratio both have a substantial beneficial impact on company prices


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Sari Gabe Sagala ◽  
Mochamad Muslih

This study aims to determine the effect of liquidity, funding policies, and financial performance on the stock prices of pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) for the 2009-2018 period. The theory tested in this research is signaling theory. This research uses quantitative methods. The research variables are stock price, company liquidity, funding policy, and financial performance. The data used are secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The population in this study is pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research sample is 7 (seven) pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2009-2018. The results showed that company liquidity had no significant effect on stock prices, funding policies had no significant effect on stock prices, and financial performance had no significant effect on stock prices. The results of this study add to the outer layer of knowledge building according to Imre Lakatos. The implication of this research is that the company's fundamental conditions do not necessarily affect stock prices, depending on the type of stock market. It is recommended to investors to be more careful in observing the factors that influence stock prices in the 4.0 industrial revolution era. Next researchers are advised to use other fundamental aspects as their independent variables so that more fundamental elements of the company are examined in relation to stock prices in the 4.0 industrial revolution era.


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