Application of the Risk Theory to Management Reliability of the Pipeline

2014 ◽  
Vol 635-637 ◽  
pp. 434-438 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liudmila Muravyeva ◽  
Nikolai Vatin

The leak less distant transportation of large amounts of hazardous matters (for example natural gas) through a pressurized pipelines is a serious challenge. The pipeline should be able to withstand the full range of ambient conditions as well as the Earth’s crust movements, varying soil chemical state at present and after months or years of exploitation. During the previous years the formal risk assessments were carried out on the base of the failure intensity. Since that time the procedure of the risk assessment has become more sophisticated. At present risk management is being more and more mandated by regulations.

Author(s):  
Kevin Cicansky ◽  
Glenn Yuen

This Paper presents the method TransCanada PipeLines uses to assess the integrity risks with respect to operating its high pressure natural gas pipelines. TransCanada PipeLines’ experiences, results and successes gained through the implementation of its risk program, TRPRAM (TransCanada Pipelines Risk Assessment Model) are highlighted.


2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 95-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anders Persson ◽  
Kerstin Svensson

The Swedish Prison and Probation Service has been influenced by the ‘What Works’ agenda since the late 1990's and an orientation towards risk and risk management has gradually become visible in the organization. But there is, within the probation service, a discrepancy between two types of logics — an organizational logic and a professional logic. Although guidelines prescribe the use of risk-assessment tools, they are in reality seldom used by practitioners. Through an examination of the reasons given by the probation officers who expressed doubts or concerns about the risk-concept, we question whether this could be seen as signs of resistance based on professional logic.


2007 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 291-297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy Undrill

Risk assessment has become a large and anxiety-provoking part of the work of many psychiatrists. This article unpicks the different meanings of the word ‘risk’ to seek out the source of that anxiety, looking at both statistical and sociological ideas about risk. A risk assessment is often a subjective, plastic and context-dependent statement about a patient that carries strong moral overtones. Risk management is also highly anxiogenic for those charged with carrying it out, because uncertainty about the future is impossible to eliminate and the consequences of an adverse outcome in the patient may also carry hazards to the doctor making the risk assessment. This leads to behaviour change in people carrying out risk assessments as they attempt to minimise their anxiety in a rationally selfish way, often with unintended negative consequences for patients, doctors and health service providers generally. Some possible strategies for minimising this effect are considered.


2004 ◽  
Vol 67 (9) ◽  
pp. 2058-2062 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROBERT L. BUCHANAN ◽  
SHERRI DENNIS ◽  
MARIANNE MILIOTIS

Management of risk analysis involves the integration and coordination of activities associated with risk assessment, risk management, and risk communication. Risk analysis is used to guide regulatory decision making, including trade decisions at national and international levels. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration Center for Food Safety and Applied Nutrition (CFSAN) formed a working group to evaluate and improve the quality and consistency of major risk assessments conducted by the Center. Drawing on risk analysis experiences, CFSAN developed a practical framework for initiating and managing risk assessments, including addressing issues related to (i) commissioning a risk assessment, (ii) interactions between risk managers and risk assessors, and (iii) peer review.


Author(s):  
Jose L. Martinez ◽  
Enrique Rodriguez

After completing an extensive risk assessment stage, PGPB’s Risk Management Team was ready to move towards Risk Management philosophy. Comparing PEMEX’s algorithm with the typical values of the industry enabled the risk assessment approach adopted in PGPB. As a result of a comprehensive study that gathered several of the users of the same analysis tool, an optimised and normalised algorithm was obtained to support the risk assessment programme and comply with the company’s policies. The risk assessment stage included more than 1,700 kilometres of LPG pipelines and 3,500 kilometres of natural gas. This stage was granted as final until consistent risk values were achieved in every segment section. To move into the Risk Management stage a comprehensive study was performed to define tolerable risk criteria for PGPB pipeline network.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Kušić ◽  
A. Lončarić Božić

Abstract The chapter introduces risk assessment and examines the basic concepts of risk and hazard, their causes, consequences and probabilities. The methodology of environmental risk assessment including effect assessment, exposure assessment and risk estimation/characterisation is overviewed. Application of risk assessment for chemicals is described with regard to human health and the environment. Some of the commonly used techniques in risk assessments are introduced and illustrated by examples. Environmental risk assessment should provide input to the risk management so well-informed decisions can be made, to protect human health and the environment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-117
Author(s):  
Wita Susilowaty

Topic about Data Center crisis highlighted that significant risk failures persist despite the investments in the disciplines of risk assessment and risk management. Although isolated incidents of one-time governance failure are reduced, the systemic ruin are more than just a stray differensiation. Various experts and professional institutions dealing with risk management have come to the judgement that the failures may be caused by a confusion in the risk information due to diverse risk assessments from different point of view [3][6]. The Data Center crisis and the resulting regulatory pressure forced the chief data center officers and high ranked management of Indonesia Traffic Police Corps to focus more on assessment, mitigation and reporting of risk. The process of organizing these risk assessments to provide the Indonesia Traffic Police Corps with a more holistic view of the enterprise risk is fundamental to mastering risk assessment.


1988 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 543-549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard D. Goldstein

The purpose of this article is to focus on the appropriate use and development of risk assessment and to point out that many of the perceived shortcomings, in fact, represent limitations imposed by the framework in which it is being used and failure to understand the situations for which risk assessment is suited. Risk assessment/risk management is really a three-step not a two-step process. The first step, preceding risk assessment, is science policy, in which the guidelines for the generic performance of risk assessments are established. The benefits of risk assessment to appropriate environmental regulation not only are direct, in terms of improved decision making and priority setting, but also they have the major indirect value of focusing research efforts on crucial uncertainties in a manner that has not been possible in the past.


Aerospace ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Jonas Aust ◽  
Dirk Pons

Background—Bowtie analysis is a broadly used tool in risk management to identify root causes and consequences of hazards and show barriers that can prevent or mitigate the events to happen. Limitations of the method are reliance on judgement and an ad hoc development process. Purpose—Systematic approaches are needed to identify threats and consequences, and to ascertain mitigation and prevention barriers. Results—A new conceptual framework is introduced by combining the Bowtie method with the 6M structure of Ishikawa to categorise the threats, consequences and barriers. The method is developed for visual inspection of gas turbine components, for which an example is provided. Originality—Provision of a more systematic methodology has the potential to result in more comprehensive Bowtie risk assessments, with less chance of serious omissions. The method is expected to find application in the broader industry, and to support operators who are non-risk experts but have application-specific knowledge, when performing Bowtie risk assessment.


2005 ◽  
Vol 52 (6) ◽  
pp. 227-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.A.M. Verdonck ◽  
P.A. Van Sprang ◽  
P.A. Vanrolleghem

It is recognised that there is a need for a proper treatment and transparency of uncertainty in risk assessment and management, especially in view of the upcoming proposed new chemical policy REACH, which delegates the responsibility for conducting risk assessments to industry. The current EU risk assessment for new and existing substances is largely deterministic and prudential measures are implicitly embedded in calculation schemes and rules. In this paper, a more probabilistic approach to risk assessment is advocated. The advantage is twofold: 1) inherent variability and other uncertainty pertaining to exposure and effects are transparently taken into account, while at the same time 2) issues of caution are explicitly transferred to the risk management phase. The result of a probabilistic risk assessment as suggested is improved transparency with quantitative and qualitative uncertainty estimates. Such uncertainty information can be used to discuss precautionary measures in the context of risk management.


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