10. What Would Happen to Population Aging If Life Expectancy Increase Sped Up?

2019 ◽  
pp. 168-178
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 505-505
Author(s):  
Matthew Farina ◽  
Phillip Cantu ◽  
Mark Hayward

Abstract Recent research has documented increasing education inequality in life expectancy among U.S. adults; however, much is unknown about other health status changes. The objective of study is to assess how healthy and unhealthy life expectancies, as classified by common chronic diseases, has changed for older adults across education groups. Data come from the Health and Retirement Study and National Vital Statistics. We created prevalence-based life tables using the Sullivan method to assess sex-specific life expectancies for stroke, heart disease, cancer, and arthritis by education group. In general, unhealthy life expectancy increased with each condition across education groups. However, the increases in unhealthy life expectancy varied greatly. While stroke increased by half a year across education groups, life expectancy with diabetes increased by 3 to 4 years. In contrast, the evidence for healthy life expectancy provides mixed results. Across chronic diseases, healthy life expectancy decreased by 1 to 3 years for respondents without a 4-year degree. Conversely, healthy life expectancy increased for the college educated by .5 to 3 years. While previous research shows increases in life expectancy for the most educated, trends in life expectancy with chronic conditions is less positive: not all additional years are in lived in good health. In addition to documenting life expectancy changes across education groups, research assessing health of older adults should consider the changing inequality across a variety of health conditions, which will have broad implications for population aging and policy intervention.


2011 ◽  
Vol 422 ◽  
pp. 684-687
Author(s):  
Shi Bin Song ◽  
Qi Song ◽  
Xiao Jun Xue ◽  
Yun Wan

With the coming rush of population aging and the termination of the demographic dividend, the question on the extension of the legal retirement age is becoming a hot topic in the community. This paper analyzes factors affecting retirement age,such as demographic dividend, life expectancy, years of education per capita, supply and demand situation in labor market. From these factors, reasonable quantitative reference standards can be introduced.


Author(s):  
Novi Afryanthi S. ◽  
Muhammad Arif Tiro ◽  
Ansari Saleh Ahmar

Abstract. Discriminant analysis is a method in multivariat statistic analysis that related with object which have separated into the defined group defined and see the accuracy  of the formed group. In this research, clustera analysis is used for the first grouping,  cluster  analysis is a statistical analysis which aims to classify some objects based on the characteristics similarity among the object. Data for this study is HDI (Human Development Index)  of indicator in south sulawesi in 2016. The result of this research are 1st cluster (lower  HDI indicator) which have 21 city/ distric and the 2nd cluster (higher  HDI indicator) which have 3 city/distric as the closeness value between the cluster that formed is 0.902 which shows the closeness between the cluster is high . Furthermore, the discriminant function that have formed explains that if the life expectancy increase, the HDI indicator in city/distric in south sulawesi province will decrease but if school  expectation duration in school , average of duration in school, and parity of pur hasing power is increasing, the HDI indicator in city/distric in aouth sulawesi will also increase.Keywords: Cluster analysis, Discriminant analysis , Human development index indicator.


POPULATION ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-13
Author(s):  
Valentina G. Dobrokhleb

The purpose of the research is to identify the features of demographic aging in terms of gender problems in modern Russia. The most significant demographic transformation of the current century is the process of population aging. It is established that the distinctive characteristics of the demographic dynamics in our country are: changing age structure of the population against the background of low fertility connected with the second stage of depopulation in Russia; a significant lagging behind not only economically developed but also several developing countries in life expectancy for both women and men; prevailing demographic asymmetry by gender; low indicators of healthy life expectancy, which are calculated without taking into account the gender component; burden of age-related diseases accumulated by the age of 65. It is shown that in Russia the number of elderly and old women exceeds the number of their male coevals by more than 15 million. Social, technological, and demographic transformations impact the dynamics of social roles. The most important change is the growth of women in paid work throughout the world, including in Russia. And women of retirement age have a high risk of social isolation. For many Russian pensioners with low per capita income and no savings the main strategy is that of survival. So now the most topical problem is changing the stereotype of women’s old age, associated with such concepts as lack of development, untidy appearance of a person without gender and desires that causes physical rejection.


Author(s):  
Lucian Adrian Sala

With recent developments in the medical field and faster access to medical professional and healthcare services providers, accompanied by better education and a higher level of hygiene, life expectancy for both males and females in Romania is increasing at a steady pace. From a medical point of view, this is a remarkable accomplishment when compared with past decades when the average life expectancy was much lower than in recent times. A longer life span will automatically, for the most part, have the unwanted effect of increasing spending on medical services on behalf of the state to ensure a better quality of life for the elderly. Therefore, the public health system will be placed under additional pressure on behalf of healthcare providers to offer higher quality services to the elderly. This paper aims to explore the degree of influence that age and income have on the growing costs of medical expenditures on a per capita level. The method employed in exploring to what extent the growing share of elderly individuals and income can explain the rise in medical expenditures is a multiple linear regression model. The expected results are that as the share of elderly individuals grows within Romania’s population and similarly as income on a per capita bases rises, there will be a noticeable increase in per capita medical expenditures.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 279
Author(s):  
Mariana Mourgova

Mortality due to avoidable causes of death is one of the most often used quality and efficiency indicators for the health care system and the policies of prevention of morbidity and mortality by causes of death due to behavioural or environmental factors. The objective of the article is to study the impact of avoidable mortality including amenable and preventable mortality on the life expectancy in Bulgaria during the period 2005-2012. The classification of avoidable mortality, proposed by the Office for National Statistics of the United Kingdom in 2011, is used. The methods of decomposing the change in two life expectancies by age and the change in two life expectancies by age according to the causes of death by E. Andreev and E. Arriaga are applied to measure the impact on the change in life expectancy. The main results of the study show that during the period 2005-2012 along with the decrease in the total mortality, also the avoidable mortality has dropped – from 34. 72% to 29. 12% of the mortality due to all causes of death. The avoidable causes’ of death contribution to life expectancy increase is by 1. 20 years and it is considerably greater than those of the other causes. Mortality due to amenable and preventable causes of death is also decreasing. Greater is the effect of the amenable causes of death on the life expectancy increase.


Author(s):  
V. Yavorska ◽  

Ukraine belongs to countries with a high intensity depopulation processes which conditioned by a number of diverse factors of economic, socio-cultural, institutional character. The extensive and prolonged depopulation stands now as a part and one of the most expressive manifestation of the general crisis of the demographic situation in Ukraine. This article investigates the impact of trends in life expectancy to the indicators of the population aging. It was conducted regional analysis and determined regional differences in terms of life expectancy and the parameters of population aging. The reasons of such a stress situation were identified.


2021 ◽  
Vol 100 ◽  
pp. 05001
Author(s):  
Victoria Yavorska ◽  
Vitaliy Sych ◽  
Ihor Hevko ◽  
Inna Shorobura ◽  
Olexandra Dolynska

The presented article gives the analysis of the modern demographic indicators such as life expectancy, age structure and fertility rate of the population in Ukraine and their geographical differences. The aim of the research is a spatial analysis of the demographic situation to determine the development trends of the population of the regions of Ukraine. In the conditions of depopulation and gradual aging of labor force in Ukraine requirements to its qualitative characteristics, first of all a state of health and average life expectancy grow. Ukraine belongs to the countries with high intensity of depopulation processes that is caused by a number of various factors of economic, socio-cultural, institutional character. Large-scale and protracted depopulation is now a component and one of the most pronounced manifestations of the general crisis demographic situation in Ukraine. The tendencies of influence of average life expectancy on indicators of population aging are investigated in the work. The regional analysis is carried out and territorial differences in indicators of average life expectancy and indicators of population aging are defined. The reasons for such a tense situation have been identified. The paper emphasizes that the development of really effective measures aimed at bringing the oblasts out of the deep demographic crisis and slowing down the progressive depopulation should focus not only on reducing mortality, but mainly on improving the health of the population, which can correct high mortality. These demographic trends increase global demographic asymmetry, give a special sharpness and new "sound" to the demographic problem in the global context, and, in addition, have long-term socio-economic consequences for countries with depopulation and deepening aging. In view of this, there is now a need for a comprehensive scientific understanding of the phenomenon of depopulation and assessment of its possible prospects, the development of a strategy to influence depopulation processes by means of sociodemographic policy. In our country, the study of depopulation factors, its nature and origins, analysis of the peculiarities of the deployment of depopulation and assessment of its consequences have become particularly relevant.


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