scholarly journals The Making of the Future: Limits of and Alternatives to Forecasting in the Planning Process

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
You-tien Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
K. Nizamuddin

Town planning is a comprehensive task involving several stages that takes the city from actual state it is in to a desired state in the future through various measures taken by the concerned planning authorities. A city may be viewed as a system or a complex whole consisting of different component parts related or interacting with one another so as to form a unity. The component parts of the systenl consists of persistent human activities that have a tendency to occur or recur at specific locations that is, the activities occur within adopted spaces which include buildings, parks, water, bodies etc. The co~l~leclionasm ong these parts are communications which enable various activities to inter;ict so that necessary patterns of huinan behaviour can occur. These communications are recurrent and spatially clustered such as roads, railn~aysp, ipelines, cables etc. Implemelltation of the plan involves control of the various components of thissystenl so that the intended state as set out by the goals of the plan would depend on the existing state of the city. Therefore a thorough knowledge of the present state of the city is the first and an ilnportant step in any planning process.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1364-1384
Author(s):  
Wayne P. Webster ◽  
Rick C. Jakeman ◽  
Susan Swayze

This chapter describes how constituencies of a four-year, private liberal arts and science college perceived the effect of philanthropy on the strategic planning process. Due to their reliance upon tuition revenues and private support, liberal arts and science colleges are particularly susceptible to ebbs and flows in the economy. How these institutions plan for the future and the extent to which philanthropy factors into strategic plans provides crucial information about the future of these higher education institutions (Connell, 2006). Gaining a deep understanding of how philanthropy shapes a strategic planning process and the decision-making model that was used during the process provides insight into how philanthropy, strategic planning, and decision-making models intersect to form a new decision-making model, described as feedback and revenue.


1980 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis Tannen

Federally mandated health planning is one of the most significant responses to the cost crisis of American medicine. Portrayed as an objective and rational mechanism of determining the future, planning is a socially acceptable means of exerting third-party control over a sector of the economy long able to escape meaningful controls on its growth and development. However, far from being the neutral science which it is heralded to be, the planning process serves the interests that are able to control its use. Health planning agencies must be studied in the context of the current emphasis on cost containment and reorganization of health services. Supported and enfranchised largely by major third-party payors, planning smooths the implementation of changes in the health sector. Despite its progressive potential, planning serves the interests of these third-party payors by masking their attempts to control the future development of the health system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-106
Author(s):  
Santun R.P. Sitorus

Abstract Since the beginning, the great idea of transmigration program has actually been directed towards exploiting, processing and development of the two major potential resource, namely: (1) the potential of natural resources and (2) the potential of human resources. Since its implementation, the transmigration program has shown success in improving the living standards and welfare of the population and the development of previously untapped areas, although in some locations and regions it also shows the lack of success caused by various problems. At least there are three major domains of transmigration areas and community development in the future, namely: (1). Develop undeveloped regions into new productive and growing areas in accordance with its natural resource potential including New Transmigration Settlements (PTB) and New Integrated Self-establishment City (KTM). (2). Developing the existing transmigration area becoming the new growth centers of the region through the development of Integrated Self-establishment City (KTM). (3). Improving the welfare of smallholders and poor farm workers through the provision and control of production assets (land). Community and transmigration areas development in the future should be based on 5 basic principles, those are : (1). Development of land and human resources. (2). Development of sustainable agriculture system. (3). Development of business activities based on agribusiness range. (4). Development of private participation, cooperatives, State Owned Enterprises (BUMN) and individual farmers / transmigrants. (5). Integrated area development. Investment in physical development and institutional innovation in development of transmigration areas should be done gradually by following the stadia of regional development which generally consists of: Stadia I, II, III, IV, V, VI. There are two conditions that can be realized through development of transmigration areas in the future, namely: (1). First, to realize a more equally and equitable development. (2). Second, to realize a competitive nation. At least six policy direction in the construction and development of society and transmigration areas in the future. First, pay particular attention to the elements of the development of the competitiveness of the region. Second, strengthening the new orientation to provide support to: (a) Increased public income, (b) food security and board needs, (c) Creation of employment opportunities. Third, the mainstreaming of Integrated Self-Establishing City (KTM) from the planning process to the development of the area. Fourth, focusing and prioritizing the development of communities and transmigration areas. Fifth, enhancing cross-sectoral and local government participation in the planning and implementation of development of communities and transmigration areas. Sixth, increasing community independence in transmigration area. Keywords: Basic principles, Integrated self-establishing city, policy direction, stadia of regional development.


Author(s):  
Junior Hendri Wijaya

The condition of the people of Kulon Progo Regency, has faced problems and challenges in the future, and by taking into account the strategic and potential factors possessed by the community, stakeholders, and the Regency Government, the Vision of Kulon Progo Regency is as stated in the Regional RPJP of Kulon Progo Regency 2005-2025. . The purpose of this study was to determine whether the development planning process of the Department of Manpower and Transmigration of Kulon Progo Regency is in accordance with law no. 25 of 2004. The research method used is qualitative. These results indicate that the development planning process at the Manpower and Transmigration Office of Kulon Progo Regency is in accordance with Law No. 25 of 2004, this has been proven by the initial stage process starting from the preparation of the SKPD Renstra document compiled by referring to the 2017-2022 Kulon Progo Regency RPJMD which starts from planning preparation, planning determination, controlling plan implementation; and evaluation of the implementation of the plan. However, the concrete implementation is not evenly distributed in the Kulon Progo area.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Widya Nurcahayanty Tanjung ◽  
Tiara Juanita

<div class="WordSection1"><p class="ListParagraph1"><em>Abstrak</em> - <strong>Optimasi keuntungan dapat dicapai melalui berbagai macam cara, salah satunya adalah dengan merencanakan dan mengendalikan anggaran penjualan. Perencanaan dan pengendalian penjualan yang dirancang dengan baik dan tepat diharapkan mampu membantu dalam mencapai target penjualan agar memperoleh laba yang optimal. Pada umumnya, anggaran penjualan disusun terlebih dahulu sebelum menyusun anggaran lainnya. Tujuan utama pembuatan anggaran ini adalah untuk mengurangi ketidakpastian dimasa depan, memasukkan pertimbangan atau keputusan manajemen dalam proses perencanaan, memberikan informasi dalam <em>profit planning control, </em>serta mempermudah pengendalian penjualan. Metode Lagrange adalah metode yang digunakan untuk menentukan titik maksimum dan minimum suatu fungsi yang diiringi dengan persyaratan atau kendala yang harus dipenuhi. Metode ini berguna untuk memperoleh nilai-nilai maksimum relatif atau minimum relatif<em> </em>dari fungsi f(x,y) yang dipengaruhi oleh fungsi persyaratan g(x,y)=0. Langkah pertama yang dilakukan dalam optimasi anggaran ini yaitu melakukan peramalan agregat permintaan dilanjutkan dengan disagregasi permintaan ke setiap <em>region</em> berdasarkan kontribusi penjualan, kemudian menyusun anggaran penjualan dengan metode <em>Lagrange Mulitplier</em> hingga diperoleh keuntungan yang optimal. Berdasarkan hasil agregasi penjualan, jumlah produk yang harus dijual yaitu sebesar 33,331 kardus. Jumlah alokasi untuk setiap region berdasarkan hasil disagregasi penjualannya yaitu sebesar 4,267 kardus untuk Jabotabek, 611 kardus untuk <em>West Java</em>, 900 kardus untuk <em>West Outer Islands</em>, 318 kardus untuk <em>Central Java</em>, 400 kardus untuk <em>East OI 2</em>, 645 kardus untuk <em>EOI</em> (<em>Dummy</em>), 25 kardus untuk <em>EAST OI 1</em>, dan 26,167 kardus untuk <em>Non XYZ Brand</em>. Dengan demikian, jumlah anggaran penjualan tahun 2014 yaitu sebesar Rp6.594.350.758,- dengan jumlah keuntungan optimal yang dapat diperoleh perusahaan sebesar Rp 4.035.316.605,- atau sama dengan 61% dari jumlah anggaran penjualan.</strong></p><p class="ListParagraph1"><strong> </strong></p><p class="ListParagraph1"><strong><em>Kata Kunci – </em></strong><em>Optimasi, Anggaran penjualan, Lagrange Multiplier, Peramalan<strong></strong></em></p></div><strong><br clear="all" /> </strong><div class="WordSection2"> </div><em><br clear="all" /> </em><p class="ListParagraph1"><em>Abstract</em> <strong>– Many ways can be cultivated to reach profit optimization, such as planning and controlling in sales budgeting can be used as a method. Good in sales planning and controlling might be help to achieve sales target as an effort to get optimize profit. In general, sales’ planning is arranged as a first step before creating another budgeting plan. The main objectives in this work are minimizing uncentanty in the future, considering management judgment in planning process, giving information in profit planning control, and simplying sales control. Lagrange method can be used to determine optimum and minimum points from a function which followed by bounderies that must be filled. This method is useful to calculate relatives maximum or relatives minimum numbers from a function f(x,y) that influenced by requirement function g(x,y)=0. To finish optimizing budgeting plan, firstly, calculating the demand aggregate planning therefore continued by demand disagregations to all region based on their sales contributions. Moreover, followed by compiling sales budgeting using Lagrange Mutliplier method’s to obtain optimum profit. Based on sales aggregation result, number of product should be sales are 33.331 cartons. Number of allocation for each regions followed by sales agregations results are 4.267 cartons for Jabotabek, 611 cartons for <em>West Java</em>, 900 cartons for <em>West Outer Islands</em>, 318 cartons for<em> Central Java</em>, 400 cartons for<em> East OI 2</em>, 645 cartons for<em> EOI</em> (<em>Dummy</em>), 25 cartons for<em> EAST OI 1</em>, and 26,167 cartons for<em> Non XYZ Brand</em>. Therefore, total sales budgeting in year 2014 is Rp 6.594.350.758,- and number of optimum profit that company earn is Rp 4.035.316.605,-  or equal by 61% from total sales budgeting.</strong></p><p class="ListParagraph1"><strong> </strong></p><strong><em>Keyword – </em></strong><em>Optimization, sales budgeting, Lagrange Multiplier, Forecasting</em>


2009 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-281
Author(s):  
Toshikazu Ota ◽  
◽  
Norio Maki ◽  
Haruo Hayashi ◽  
◽  
...  

In an analysis and evaluation of the formulation process of the “Kobe City Recovery Plan” following the 1995 Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake, we classified its process objectively into 10 individual elements based on project management framework by applying the Johari-Window concepts. The lessons reviewed in this paper can thus be referenced in making future recovery planning following large-scale disasters in the future.


2014 ◽  
Vol 926-930 ◽  
pp. 3577-3580
Author(s):  
Na Lin ◽  
Ya Lun Zhang

In recent years, as the UAVs route planning in the war becomes more and more important, many scholars pay much attention to its research both at home and abroad. Route planning of UAV is the key of successfully complete task and achieve the target of protection. In the route planning process, in order to obtain an optimal or suboptimal route, we needs to consider the terrain, threat, body performance and many other factors. In this paper, we talk the research background of route planning and research status at home and abroad. At last, we give a brief summary for the trend of route planning in the future.


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