scholarly journals A study of turbulent fluxes and their measurement errors for different wind regimes over the tropical Zongo Glacier (16° S) during the dry season

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 3229-3250 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Litt ◽  
J.-E. Sicart ◽  
W. Helgason

Abstract. Over glaciers in the outer tropics, during the dry winter season, turbulent fluxes are an important sink of melt energy due to high sublimation rates, but measurements in stable surface layers in remote and complex terrains remain challenging. Eddy-covariance (EC) and bulk-aerodynamic (BA) methods were used to estimate surface turbulent heat fluxes of sensible (H) and latent heat (LE) in the ablation zone of the tropical Zongo Glacier, Bolivia (16° S, 5080 m a.s.l.), from 22 July to 1 September 2007. We studied the turbulent fluxes and their associated random and systematic measurement errors under the three most frequent wind regimes. For nightly, density-driven katabatic flows, and for strong downslope flows related to large-scale forcing, H generally heats the surface (i.e. is positive), while LE cools it down (i.e. is negative). On average, both fluxes exhibit similar magnitudes and cancel each other out. Most energy losses through turbulence occur for daytime upslope flows, when H is weak due to small temperature gradients and LE is strongly negative due to very dry air. Mean random errors of the BA method (6 % on net H + LE fluxes) originated mainly from large uncertainties in roughness lengths. For EC fluxes, mean random errors were due mainly to poor statistical sampling of large-scale outer-layer eddies (12 %). The BA method is highly sensitive to the method used to derive surface temperature from longwave radiation measurements and underestimates fluxes due to vertical flux divergence at low heights and nonstationarity of turbulent flow. The EC method also probably underestimates the fluxes, albeit to a lesser extent, due to underestimation of vertical wind speed and to vertical flux divergence. For both methods, when H and LE compensate each other in downslope fluxes, biases tend to cancel each other out or remain small. When the net turbulent fluxes (H + LE) are the largest in upslope flows, nonstationarity effects and underestimations of the vertical wind speed do not compensate, and surface temperature errors are important, so that large biases on H + LE are expected when using both the EC and the BA method.

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1055-1108 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Litt ◽  
J.-E. Sicart ◽  
W. Helgason

Abstract. Over glaciers in the outer tropics, during the dry winter season, turbulent fluxes are an important sink of melt energy due to high sublimation rates, but measurements in stable surface layers, in remote and complex terrains remain challenging. Eddy-covariance (EC) and bulk-aerodynamic (BA) methods were used to estimate surface turbulent heat fluxes of sensible (H) and latent heat (LE) in the ablation zone of the tropical Zongo glacier, Bolivia (16° S, 5080 m a.s.l.), from 22 July to 1 September 2007. We studied the turbulent fluxes and their associated random and systematic measurement errors under the three most frequent wind regimes. For nightly, density-driven katabatic flows, and for strong downslope flows related to large-scale forcing, H generally heats the surface (i.e., is positive), while LE cools it down (i.e., is negative). On average, both fluxes exhibit similar magnitudes and cancel each other out. Most energy losses through turbulence occur for daytime upslope flows, when H is weak due to small temperature gradients and LE is strongly negative due to very dry air. Mean random errors of the BA method (6% on net H + LE fluxes) originated mainly from large uncertainties in roughness lengths. For EC fluxes, mean random errors were due mainly to poor statistical sampling of large-scale outer-layer eddies (12%). The BA method is highly sensitive to the method used to derive surface temperature from long-wave radiation measurements and underestimates fluxes due to vertical flux divergence at low heights and nonstationarity of turbulent flow. The EC method also probably underestimates the fluxes, but to a lesser extent, due to underestimation of vertical wind speed and to vertical flux divergence. For both methods, when H and LE compensate each other in downslope fluxes, biases tend to cancel each other out or remain small. When the net turbulent fluxes (H + LE) are the largest in upslope flows, nonstationarity effects and underestimations of the vertical wind speed do not compensate, and surface temperature errors are important, so that large biases on H + LE are expected when using both the EC and the BA method.


2005 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1063-1072 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven A. Margulis ◽  
Jongyoun Kim ◽  
Terri Hogue

Abstract Future operational frameworks for estimating surface turbulent fluxes over the necessary spatial and temporal scales will undoubtedly require the use of remote sensing products. Techniques used to estimate surface fluxes from radiometric surface temperature generally fall into two categories: retrieval-based and data assimilation approaches. Up to this point, there has been little comparison between retrieval- and assimilation-based techniques. In this note, the triangle retrieval method is compared to a variational data assimilation approach for estimating surface turbulent fluxes from radiometric surface temperature observations. Results from a set of synthetic experiments and an application using real data from the First International Satellite Land Surface Climatology Project (ISLSCP) Field Experiment (FIFE) site indicate that the assimilation approach performs slightly better than the triangle method because of the robustness of the estimation to measurement errors and parsimony of the system model, which leads to fewer sources of structural model errors. Future comparison work using retrieval and data assimilation algorithms will provide more insight into the optimal approach for diagnosis of land surface fluxes using remote sensing observations.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxime Litt ◽  
Jean-Emmanuel Sicart ◽  
Delphine Six ◽  
Patrick Wagnon ◽  
Warren D. Helgason

Abstract. Over mountain glaciers, large errors may affect turbulent surface heat fluxes estimated with the bulk-aerodynamic (BA) method. That might lead to uncertainties in estimating melt from surface energy balance (SEB). During the summers of 2006 and 2009, in the atmospheric surface layer of Saint-Sorlin Glacier (French Alps, 45° N, 6.1° E, ~3 km2), mean air-temperature and wind-speed vertical profiles and high frequency Eddy-Covariance (EC) data were collected to characterize the turbulence and the turbulent fluxes. We studied the influence of the BA method errors on the melt estimations, calculating the SEB alternatively with turbulent fluxes obtained from the BA and the EC methods. We classified our results in terms of large-scale forcing. In weak synoptic forcing, local thermal effects dominated the wind circulation. On the glacier, weak katabatic flows with a wind-speed maximum at low height (2–3 m) were detected 71 % of the time and were generally associated with weak turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and turbulent fluxes. When the large-scale forcing was strong, the wind in the valley aligned with the glacier flow, intense downslope flows were observed, no wind-speed maximum was visible below 5 m, TKE and turbulent fluxes were often intense. For both regimes, the surface layer turbulence production was probably not at equilibrium with dissipation because of the interaction of large-scale orographic disturbances with the flow when the forcing was strong, or low-frequency oscillations of the katabatic flow when the forcing was weak. When TKE was low, all turbulent fluxes calculation methods provided similar fluxes. When TKE was large, the EC method provided larger fluxes than the BA method. This underestimation was compensated by increasing the BA flux estimates using melt-calibrated effective roughness lengths. Though strong forcing was more frequently associated with large TKE events than weak forcing conditions, differences between the different SEB estimates remained in both cases within the error range of observed melt.


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 446-469 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. A. Rayner ◽  
P. Brohan ◽  
D. E. Parker ◽  
C. K. Folland ◽  
J. J. Kennedy ◽  
...  

Abstract A new flexible gridded dataset of sea surface temperature (SST) since 1850 is presented and its uncertainties are quantified. This analysis [the Second Hadley Centre Sea Surface Temperature dataset (HadSST2)] is based on data contained within the recently created International Comprehensive Ocean–Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database and so is superior in geographical coverage to previous datasets and has smaller uncertainties. Issues arising when analyzing a database of observations measured from very different platforms and drawn from many different countries with different measurement practices are introduced. Improved bias corrections are applied to the data to account for changes in measurement conditions through time. A detailed analysis of uncertainties in these corrections is included by exploring assumptions made in their construction and producing multiple versions using a Monte Carlo method. An assessment of total uncertainty in each gridded average is obtained by combining these bias-correction-related uncertainties with those arising from measurement errors and undersampling of intragrid box variability. These are calculated by partitioning the variance in grid box averages between real and spurious variability. From month to month in individual grid boxes, sampling uncertainties tend to be most important (except in certain regions), but on large-scale averages bias-correction uncertainties are more dominant owing to their correlation between grid boxes. Changes in large-scale SST through time are assessed by two methods. The linear warming between 1850 and 2004 was 0.52° ± 0.19°C (95% confidence interval) for the globe, 0.59° ± 0.20°C for the Northern Hemisphere, and 0.46° ± 0.29°C for the Southern Hemisphere. Decadally filtered differences for these regions over this period were 0.67° ± 0.04°C, 0.71° ± 0.06°C, and 0.64° ± 0.07°C.


Author(s):  
Robert M. Banta ◽  
Yelena L. Pichugina ◽  
Lisa S. Darby ◽  
W. Alan Brewer ◽  
Joseph B. Olson ◽  
...  

AbstractComplex-terrain locations often have repeatable near-surface wind patterns, such as synoptic gap flows and local thermally forced flows. An example is the Columbia River Valley in east-central Oregon-Washington, a significant wind-energy-generation region and the site of the Second Wind-Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2). Data from three Doppler lidars deployed during WFIP2 define and characterize summertime wind regimes and their large-scale contexts, and provide insight into NWP model errors by examining differences in the ability of a model [NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid-Refresh (HRRR-version1)] to forecast wind-speed profiles for different regimes. Seven regimes were identified based on daily time series of the lidar-measured rotor-layer winds, which then suggested two broad categories. First, in three regimes the primary dynamic forcing was the large-scale pressure gradient. Second, in two regimes the dominant forcing was the diurnal heating-cooling cycle (regional sea-breeze-type dynamics), including the marine intrusion previously described, which generates strong nocturnal winds over the region. The other two included a hybrid regime and a non-conforming regime. For the large-scale pressure-gradient regimes, HRRR had wind-speed biases of ~1 m s−1 and RMSEs of 2-3 m s−1. Errors were much larger for the thermally forced regimes, owing to the premature demise of the strong nocturnal flow in HRRR. Thus, the more dominant the role of surface heating in generating the flow, the larger the errors. Major errors could result from surface heating of the atmosphere, boundary-layer responses to that heating, and associated terrain interactions. Measurement/modeling research programs should be aimed at determining which modeled processes produce the largest errors, so those processes can be improved and errors reduced.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-40
Author(s):  
Kim Dasol ◽  
Chang-Hoi Ho ◽  
Hiroyuki Murakami ◽  
Doo-Sun R. Park

AbstractUnderstanding the mechanisms related to the variations in the rainfall structure of tropical cyclones (TCs) is crucial in improving forecasting systems of TC rainfall and its impact. Using satellite precipitation and reanalysis data, we examined the influence of along-track large-scale environmental conditions on inner-core rainfall strength (RS) and total rainfall area (RA) for Atlantic TCs during the TC season (July to November) from 1998 to 2019. Factor analysis revealed three major factors associated with variations in RS and RA: large-scale low- and high-pressure systems (F1), environmental flows, sea surface temperature, and humidity (F2), and maximum wind speed of TCs (F3). Results from our study indicate that RS increases with an increase in the inherent primary circulation of TCs (i.e., F3), but is less affected by large-scale environmental conditions (i.e., F1 and F2), whereas RA is primarily influenced by large-scale low- and high-pressure systems (i.e., F1) over the entire North Atlantic and partially influenced by environmental flows, sea surface temperature, humidity, and maximum wind speed (i.e., F2 and F3). A multi-variable regression model based on the three factors accounted for the variations of RS and RA across the entire basin. In addition, regional distributions of mean RS and RA from the model significantly resembled those from observations. Therefore, our study suggests that large-scale environmental conditions over the North Atlantic are important predictors for TC rainfall forecasts, particularly regarding RA.


2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (7) ◽  
pp. 1455-1471 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian Kinzel ◽  
Karsten Fennig ◽  
Marc Schröder ◽  
Axel Andersson ◽  
Karl Bumke ◽  
...  

AbstractLatent heat fluxes (LHF) play an essential role in the global energy budget and are thus important for understanding the climate system. Satellite-based remote sensing permits a large-scale determination of LHF, which, among others, are based on near-surface specific humidity . However, the random retrieval error () remains unknown. Here, a novel approach is presented to quantify the error contributions to pixel-level of the Hamburg Ocean Atmosphere Parameters and Fluxes from Satellite Data, version 3.2 (HOAPS, version 3.2), dataset. The methodology makes use of multiple triple collocation (MTC) analysis between 1995 and 2008 over the global ice-free oceans. Apart from satellite records, these datasets include selected ship records extracted from the Seewetteramt Hamburg (SWA) archive and the International Comprehensive Ocean–Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS), serving as the in situ ground reference. The MTC approach permits the derivation of as the sum of model uncertainty and sensor noise , while random uncertainties due to in situ measurement errors () and collocation () are isolated concurrently. Results show an average of 1.1 ± 0.3 g kg−1, whereas the mean () is in the order of 0.5 ± 0.1 g kg−1 (0.5 ± 0.3 g kg−1). Regional analyses indicate a maximum of exceeding 1.5 g kg−1 within humidity regimes of 12–17 g kg−1, associated with the single-parameter, multilinear retrieval applied in HOAPS. Multidimensional bias analysis reveals that global maxima are located off the Arabian Peninsula.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 971-987 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxime Litt ◽  
Jean-Emmanuel Sicart ◽  
Delphine Six ◽  
Patrick Wagnon ◽  
Warren D. Helgason

Abstract. Over Saint-Sorlin Glacier in the French Alps (45° N, 6.1° E; ∼ 3 km2) in summer, we study the atmospheric surface-layer dynamics, turbulent fluxes, their uncertainties and their impact on surface energy balance (SEB) melt estimates. Results are classified with regard to large-scale forcing. We use high-frequency eddy-covariance data and mean air-temperature and wind-speed vertical profiles, collected in 2006 and 2009 in the glacier's atmospheric surface layer. We evaluate the turbulent fluxes with the eddy-covariance (sonic) and the profile method, and random errors and parametric uncertainties are evaluated by including different stability corrections and assuming different values for surface roughness lengths. For weak synoptic forcing, local thermal effects dominate the wind circulation. On the glacier, weak katabatic flows with a wind-speed maximum at low height (2–3 m) are detected 71 % of the time and are generally associated with small turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and small net turbulent fluxes. Radiative fluxes dominate the SEB. When the large-scale forcing is strong, the wind in the valley aligns with the glacier flow, intense downslope flows are observed, no wind-speed maximum is visible below 5 m, and TKE and net turbulent fluxes are often intense. The net turbulent fluxes contribute significantly to the SEB. The surface-layer turbulence production is probably not at equilibrium with dissipation because of interactions of large-scale orographic disturbances with the flow when the forcing is strong or low-frequency oscillations of the katabatic flow when the forcing is weak. In weak forcing when TKE is low, all turbulent fluxes calculation methods provide similar fluxes. In strong forcing when TKE is large, the choice of roughness lengths impacts strongly the net turbulent fluxes from the profile method fluxes and their uncertainties. However, the uncertainty on the total SEB remains too high with regard to the net observed melt to be able to recommend one turbulent flux calculation method over another.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2301
Author(s):  
Yun-Sung Cho ◽  
Yun-Hyuk Choi

This paper describes a methodology for implementing the state estimation and enhancing the accuracy in large-scale power systems that partially depend on variable renewable energy resources. To determine the actual states of electricity grids, including those of wind and solar power systems, the proposed state estimation method adopts a fast-decoupled weighted least square approach based on the architecture of application common database. Renewable energy modeling is considered on the basis of the point of data acquisition, the type of renewable energy, and the voltage level of the bus-connected renewable energy. Moreover, the proposed algorithm performs accurate bad data processing using inner and outer functions. The inner function is applied to the largest normalized residue method to process the bad data detection, identification and adjustment. While the outer function is analyzed whether the identified bad measurements exceed the condition of Kirchhoff’s current law. In addition, to decrease the topology and measurement errors associated with transformers, a connectivity model is proposed for transformers that use switching devices, and a transformer error processing technique is proposed using a simple heuristic method. To verify the performance of the proposed methodology, we performed comprehensive tests based on a modified IEEE 18-bus test system and a large-scale power system that utilizes renewable energy.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3598
Author(s):  
Sara Russo ◽  
Pasquale Contestabile ◽  
Andrea Bardazzi ◽  
Elisa Leone ◽  
Gregorio Iglesias ◽  
...  

New large-scale laboratory data are presented on a physical model of a spar buoy wind turbine with angular motion of control surfaces implemented (pitch control). The peculiarity of this type of rotating blade represents an essential aspect when studying floating offshore wind structures. Experiments were designed specifically to compare different operational environmental conditions in terms of wave steepness and wind speed. Results discussed here were derived from an analysis of only a part of the whole dataset. Consistent with recent small-scale experiments, data clearly show that the waves contributed to most of the model motions and mooring loads. A significant nonlinear behavior for sway, roll and yaw has been detected, whereas an increase in the wave period makes the wind speed less influential for surge, heave and pitch. In general, as the steepness increases, the oscillations decrease. However, higher wind speed does not mean greater platform motions. Data also indicate a significant role of the blade rotation in the turbine thrust, nacelle dynamic forces and power in six degrees of freedom. Certain pairs of wind speed-wave steepness are particularly unfavorable, since the first harmonic of the rotor (coupled to the first wave harmonic) causes the thrust force to be larger than that in more energetic sea states. The experiments suggest that the inclusion of pitch-controlled, variable-speed blades in physical (and numerical) tests on such types of structures is crucial, highlighting the importance of pitch motion as an important design factor.


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